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d-23666House OversightOtherAcademic model of human capital cash flows with no actionable leads
Date
November 11, 2025
Source
House Oversight
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House Oversight #011149
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Summary
The passage is a technical discussion of a theoretical model for human capital valuation. It contains no names, transactions, dates, or allegations linking powerful actors to misconduct, making it low Presents a mathematical framework for valuing human capital over the life cycle. Mentions concepts like time preference rate and discounted cash flow. No reference to specific individuals, organizati
This document is from the House Oversight Committee Releases.
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I argued that outside investment in human young, including the unpaid work of
parenting, might not be far from constant. School costs rise as parenting costs
decline. (A10.1) in that case gives
H(x)= ale -1), if x<=A. (A10.2)
At maturity (A10.1) becomes
H(A)= | . C (ze dz, (A10.3)
H in adulthood is easiest to model at present value rather than present cost. Human
cash flow is pay 7 less C_. Discounted cash flow becomes
Hox) =f" (r-C, (Her dz, if x>=A, (A10.4)
where r(z) now is best understood as time preference rate. This is identical to
expected rate of return, as shown in the diamond ring parable. Note that there is no
explicit adjustment for asset risk. | argue that human capital is not inherently riskier
than physical capital, but rather adapts to the risk tolerance of its owner. It is riskier
collectively because owned disproportionately by the risk-tolerant young. I treat
risk profile as a function of the owner’s age, gender and wealth. (A10.4) describes
cohort value, and so neglects individual differences in gender and wealth as already
captured in the characteristics of the cohort.
I model C, as negligible in adulthood because I see so little of it. That would reduce
adult human cash flow to pay alone, and so simplify (A10.4) to
APPENDIX A: The Argument in Notation 3/7/16 23
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