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efta-01450732DOJ Data Set 10Other

EFTA01450732

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EFTA Disclosure
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Deutsche Bank Markets Research Rating Buy Company Aegerion Alert North America United States (:( I' Health Care AEGR.0O AEGR UO NMS AEGR Biotechnology Update post speaking with Management We spoke to AEGR management regarding their plans for 2014 and are updating our model to reflect the information. In particular we are raising our SG&A expenses in 2014 in-line with the company's plans to invest in sales and marketing. Our model also reflects the company guidance of becoming profitable in 2H'14. Notably, the co would provide 2014 guidance at JPM conference early next year. Incremental color on SG&A increase. Invest upfront with 3 year outlook. Acc to management, they believe it is more prudent to invest in SG&A keeping a 3 year outlook and invest upfront for those years. The co would be increasing sales force substantially in 2014 instead of increasing sales force every year. Before the launch of Juxtapid, the co guided for 15 sales reps in the US. We believe the number is higher now and is expected to increase. Focus on customer care to help with prescriptionstreimbursement The co will be making investments in all three buckets of SG&A 1) sales, 2) marketing and 3) medical affairs. The co expects to make substantial investments in customer care reps who take care of reimbursement and prescription generation. The co. launched with 4 customer care reps and now have 8 such reps. The co expects to increase this to 20 by YE 2013 and to 40 by YE 2014.We are now modeling 2014 SG&A expenses at S1 25M vs. S95M prey. This is -671450M) higher vs. current SG&A run rate of $75M (Or 13). Guidance faiso in Cis' I s r: as a refkii;tion of inanagernent saile ,Noill f likely come in line with die guidance Management style is conservative at the beginning of the year but likely will be in-line toward end of year. The company seems confident of achieving 2013 guidance as the company has good visibility about scripts which would lead to new patient starts in 4Q. 40'13 numbers would likely come in-line in given management style. This guidance assumes shipping delays due to some patients delaying treatment which comes with diet modifications till holidays end. The guidance also accounts for less shipping days in 4Q. Given the increase in expenses, we are now modeling the company becoming profitable in 211'14 which is In-line with the guidance. 2014 to be reimbursement year in the EU. Consensus might be high Management also noted that 2014 would be the year of reimbursement negotiations in the EU and they do not expect substantial revenues from the EU in 2014. The company expects most of the EU companies to come online by the end of 2014.We are reducing our EU revenues to $10M vs. $13M previous and note that consensus is at $17M for 2014 EU revenues. SBC to increase in 2014 due to stock price increase. We are raising SBC to $30M vs. $25M previous. We reiterate BUY with St 15 TP. Date 18 November 2013 Company Update Nice at 15 Nov 2013 (USD) Nice (awe( 52-week range (9.,(„.(( Ice« (n(it;k3.1. Research Analyst (+11 212 250.7591 robyn.karnauskasCadb.corn AtMhu Nocilyj Research Analyst (+11 212 250.6761 alethia.young@dboom 74.73 115.00 97.24 - 20.17 :41(X.k ligth(lav ((Ala Market cap (USD) Shales outstanding (n) Free float 1%) Volume OS Nov 2013) Option volume fund. shrs.. 1M avg.) Swim. Deutsch* Sant 2.153.6 28.8 100 276.887 -Key data FYE 12/31 2012A 2013E 2014E 10 EPS -0.55 20 EPS -0.63 30 EPS -0.59 40 EPS -0.86 FY EPS (USD) -2.64 -1.96 1.47 PIE (xl 51.0 Raw OsOOM ant ` 71;;;66141;yrciatealiFICriiurreal'iri:Wirl rO e trona. Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Deutsche Bank does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. Thus, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.THE VIEWS EXPRESSED ABOVE ACCURATELY REFLECT PERSONAL VIEWS OF THE AUTHORS ABOUT THE SUBJECT COMPANY(IES) AND ITS(THEIR) SECURITIES. THEY HAVE NOT AND WILL NOT RECEIVE ANY COMPENSATION FOR PROVIDING A SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATION OR VIEW IN THIS REPORT. FOR OTHER DISCLOSURES PLEASE VISIT http://gm.db.com/ger/disclosure/Disclosure.eqsr ?ricCode=AEGR.OQ MICA(P) 054/04/2013. 1 CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) CONFIDENTIAL DB-SONY-0 106558 SDNY_GM_00252742 EFTA01450732

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Phone+11 212 250.6761
Phone+11 212 250.7591
URLhttp://gm.db.com/ger/disclosure/Disclosure.eqsr

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