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efta-01457964DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01457964
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efta-01457964
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Portfolio
Our view of non-traditional asset classes
Alternatives portfolios
Due to their distinct characteristics, we take a
differentiated look at selected liquid and illiquid
alternative investments.
Liquid alternatives
• Commodity Trading Advisors (DTAs)
Geopolitical concerns and worries about the ripple effects
from changing U.S. monetary policy could make life difficult
for systematic managers with longer-term holdings. For them,
capturing directional trends across portfolios will be challenging
given changing relationships between asset classes and they
could suffer from spikes in volatility. By contrast, the smaller
number of managers running shorter-term models (with one-
day to one-week holding periods) could well benefit from such
market gyrations. Some of these managers have already seen a
notable pickup in performance this year.
■ Discretionary macro
Managers here have proved to be among those better equipped
to navigate through recent market volatility and trend reversals
in rates and equities. Divergent monetary policies in the United
States and Europe should continue to create exploitable trends
in the most liquid asset classes. U.S.-dollar strengthening could
gather pace as the Fed starts hiking rates later this year. The
normalization in Fed monetary policy should also force emerging
markets along a very diverse set of adjustment paths, creating
a healthy pipeline of opportunities, both from directional and
arbitrage standpoints, in local currencies and rates.
Event-driven/
relative
value
Credit
_ Equity
long/short
Illiquid_
hedge
funds
Infra-
structure
Private
equity
Illiquid alternatives
a Private equity
Private-equity markets continue to perform strongly. European
valuations remain slightly lower than U.S. valuations and may
also offer greater potential economic upside. Private-equity
acquisition multiples (the price paid relative to the target
companies' earnings) are above their 10-year average for both
small and largo deals in the United States and Europe. In the
United States pricing remains very competitive as both strategic
buyers and financial investors are extremely active. In the first
quarter of 2015 deal sourcing has been dominated by the
public-to-private segment for the U.S. market and by secondary
buyouts in Europe. The first quarter also saw considerable
distributions by fund managers to investors. Buoyant Chinese
capital markets until recently had enabled private-equity
managers to sell portfolio companies at a record pace and on
favorable terms However, the recent local-market correction
will potentially make this environment more challenging in the
future.
Sources; Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management Investment
GmbH, Deutsche Bank AG Filktle London, as of 7/21115
This allocation may not be suitable for all investors. In our
balanced model portfolio, we currently allocate 10% to alternative
investments (see "Portfolio").
Please refer to the following interview for the regulatory
requirements for the offer or sale of alternative investments.
it Commodity Trading Advisor
14 0 ittrem...
CCA1/4 -e, I LaxticatEcktionitub,w 20'S
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
CONFIDENTIAL
DB-SDNY-0117701
SDNY_GM_00263885
EFTA01457964
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