US. Department of Justice

US. Department of Justice Office of Justice Programs Bureau of Justice Statistics September 2020, NO 255113 Criminal Victimization, 2019 Rachel H. Morgan, Ph.D., and Jennifer L. Truman, Ph.D., BIS Statisticians A fter rising from 1.1 million in 2015 to 1.4 million in 2018, the number of persons who were victims of violent crime excluding simple assault dropped to 1.2 million in 2019. This is the first statistically significant decrease in the number of persons who were victims of violent crime excluding simple assault since 2015, and it corresponds with a decline in the number of victims of rape or sexual assault from 2018 to 2019. Based on the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), the nation's largest crime survey, the portion of U.S. residents age 12 or older who were victims of one or more violent crimes excluding simple assault declined from 0.50% (about 1 in 200 persons) in 2018 to 0.44% (about 1 in 230 persons) in 2019, a 12% decrease (figure 1). FIGURE 1 Percent of U.S. residents age 12 or older who were victims of violent crime excluding simple assault Percent 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 93 95 OD 'Os '10 15 19 1993-2019 Percent 0.6 03 OA 03 01 0.1 0.0 2015-2019 '15 Note: Estimates include 95% confidence intervals. See table 18 for definitions and appendix table I for estimates and standard errors. Estimates tor 2006 should not be compared to other years and are excluded from the 1993-2019 figure. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics. National Crime Victimization Survey. 1993-2019. HIGHLIGHTS ■ The rate of violent crime excluding simple assault declined 15% from 2018 to 2019, from 8.6 to 7.3 victimizations per 1,000 persons age 12 or older. ■ Among females, the rate of violent victimization excluding simple assault fell 27% from 2018 to 2019. ■ There were 880,000 fewer victims of serious crimes (generally felonies) in 2019 than In 2018. a 19% drop. ■ From 2018 to 2019.29% fewer black persons and 22% fewer white persons were victims of serious crimes. ■ The rate of violent victimization in urban areas— based on the NCV5's new classifications of urban, suburban, and rural areas—declined 20% from 2018 to 2019. ■ Based on the 2019 survey, less than half (41%) of violent victimizations were reported to police. ■ The percentage of violent victimizations reported to police was lower for white victims (37%) than for black (49%) or Hispanic victims (49%). ■ The portion of violent incidents involving black offenders (25%) was 2.3 times the portion involving black victims (11%), while the portion involving Asian offenders (1.0%) was 0.4 times the portion involving Asian victims (2.3%). ■ The rate of property crime declined 6% from 2018 (108.2 victimizations per 1,000 households) to 2019 (101.4 per 1,000). ■ The percentage of households that were burglarized declined to the lowest level since the NCVS was redesigned in 1993. CO C CD r+ BJS40 to= 3502-022 Page 1 of 53 EFTA_00001547 EFTA00156888 The percentage of households that experienced burglary (0.82%), which is unlawful or forcible entry or attempted entry of places in connection with a completed or attempted theft, was the lowest since the NCVS was redesigned in 1993. After peaking in 1994 (2.89%), this type of crime has generally declined over time, hitting a new low in 2019 (figure 2).1 The burglary prevalence rate fell 23% from 2018 to 2019. The NCVS is a self-reported survey administered annually from January 1 to December 31. Annual NCVS estimates are based on the number and characteristics of crimes respondents experienced during the prior 6 months, not including the month in which they were interviewed. Therefore, the 2019 survey covers crimes experienced from July 1, 2018 to November 30, 2019, and March 15, 2019 is the middle of the reference period. Crimes are classified by the year of the survey and not by the year of the crime. NCVS data can be used to produce— ■ Prevalence estimates: The number or percentage of unique persons who were crime victims, or of unique households that experienced crime. ■ Victimization estimates: The total number of times that people or households were victimized by crime. For personal crimes, the number of victimizations is the number of victims of that crime. Each crime against a household is counted as having a single victim—the affected household. ■ Incident estimates: The number of specific criminal acts involving one or more victims. (See Measurement of crime in the National Crime Victimization Survey, page 29.) 1ln this report, significance is reported at both the 90% and 95% confidence levels. See figures and tables (or testing on specific findings. CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 FIGURE 2 Percent of U.S. households who were victims of burglary, 1993-2019 Percent 33 3.0 2.S 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 '93 '95 '00 '05 '10 '15 19 Note: Estimates include 95% confidence intervals. Burglary is the unlawful or forcibleentry or attempted entry of places. including a permanent residence. other residence (e.g.. a hotel room or vacation residence). or other structure (e.g.. a garage or shed) where there was a completed or attempted theft. See appendix table 2 for estimates and standard errors. Estimates for 2006 should not be compared to other years and are excluded from this figure (see Criminal Krtimization, 2007 MO 224390. WS. December 2008)). Source: Bureau oflustice Statistic. National Crime Victimization Survey. 19934019. 2 3502-022 Page 2 of 53 EFIA_00001548 EFTA00156889 Victimization estimates Victimizations reflect the total number of times that people or households were victimized by crime. From 1993 to 2019, the rate of violent victimization excluding simple assault declined 75%, from 29.1 to 7.3 victimizations per 1,000 persons age 12 or older (figure 3).2 (Simple assault is the category of violent victimization captured by the NCVS that is least likely to be prosecuted as a felony.) Similarly, the rate of violent victimization reported to police, excluding simple assault, declined 77% during this period, from 14.9 to 14 victimizations reported to police per 1,000 persons age 12 or older. The rate of violent victimization excluding simple assault decreased from 2018 to 2019 After increasing 27% from 2015 to 2018 (from 6.8 to 8.6 victimizations per 1,000 persons age 12 or older), the rate of violent victimization excluding simple assault declined 15% in 2019 (to 7.3 per 1,000) (table 1). This decrease was driven partly by a decline in rape or sexual assault victimizations, which declined from 2.7 per 1,000 persons age 12 or older in 2018 to 1.7 per 1,000 in 2019. 2Violent crime excluding simple assault was called serious violent crime in NCVS reports prior to Criminal Victimization, 2078. FIGURE 3 Rate of violent victimization excluding simple assault and rate of violent victimization reported to police, excluding simple assault, 1993-2019 Rate per 1.000 peoons age 12 or older 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 Violent victimization. excluding simple assault . 1*k•H+ 11.-freh i r t`i—l'rrrt"*H--rt Y laden vlaknIzatkins reported to ponce. excluding simple assault '93 '95 '00 l l l l '05 '10 '15 I '19 Note: Estimates include 95% confidence intervals. See appendix table 3 for estimates and standard errors. Estimates for 2006 should not be compared to other years and are excluded from this figure (see Criminal Victimization. 2007 (NC 224390. BJS. December 20061). Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics. National Crime Victimization Survey. 1993-2019. TABLE 1 Number and rate of violent victimization, by type of crime, 2015-2019 T_ypeof crime 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019° Number Rate per 1,007 Number Rateper 1,00V Number Rate per 1,000a Rate per Number 1,007 Number Rate pm 1,00e Violent crime 5.006,620T 18.6 5353220 19.7 5,612,670 20.6 6385520 23.2 5,813,410 21.0 Rape/sexual assault' 431,840 1.6 298.410 t 1.1* 391980 1.4 734,630 t 2.7 459,310 1.7 Robbery 578,580 2.1 458.810 1.7 613.840 23 573,100 2.1 534,420 1.9 Assault 3,996,200T 14.8* 4.596400 16.9 4,604.850 16.9 5,077,790 18.4 4,819,680 17.4 Aggravated assault 816,760T 3.0 1,040,580 3.8 993.170 3.6 1,058,040 3.8 1,019,490 3.7 Simpleassault 3,179,440T 11.8 3,556,020 13.1 3,611.680 133 4,019.750 14.6 3,800,190 13.7 Violent crime excluding simple assau 1.827,170 6.8 1.797.790 6.6 2.000.990 73 2.365.770t 8.6t 2,013,220 73 Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding.Violent•crime categories indude rape or sexual assault, robbery. aggravated assault. and simple assault. and they include threatened. attempted. and completed occurrences of those crimes.Year4coyear statistically significant differences may vary from those previously reported. Previously. BJS created standard errors and presented testing for statistically significant differences among National Crime Victimization Survey INCVS) estimates in this table using generalized variance function parameters. while this table uses the Balanced Repeated Replication method. See Methodology for more information on the differences between these methods of variance estimation. See appendbc table 5 for standard errors. *Comparison year. tDifference with comparison year is significant at the 95% confidence level. tDifference with comparison year is significant at the 90% confidence level. agate is per 1.000 persons age 12 or older. See appendix table 34 for population numbers. bExdudes homicide because the NCVS is based on interviews with victims. cSee Methodology for details on the measurement of rape or sexual assault in the NCVS. dlndudes rape or sexual assault. robbery. and aggravated assault: this category was called serious violent crime prior to Criminal Vktimization. 2078. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2015.2019. CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 3 3502-022 Page 3 of 53 EFIA_00001549 EFTA00156890 From 2018 to 2019, there was no statistically significant change in the rate of total violent victimization, which includes simple assault. Based on the 2019 survey, about 65% of total violent victimizations were simple assault, with the remaining 35% being rape or sexual assault, robbery, or aggravated assault. There were no statistically significant changes in the rates of robbery, aggravated assault, or simple assault from 2018 to 2019. Rates of property victimization decreased from 2018 to 2019 The 2019 survey found that an estimated 12.8 million U.S. households experienced one or more property victimizations, which include burglaries, residential trespassing, motor-vehicle thefts, and other thefts (table 2). After remaining relatively stable from 2017 (108.4 victimizations per 1,000 households) to 2018 (108.2 per 1,000), the property-crime victimization TABLE 2 Number and rate of 2015 2016 2017 2018 2olso ReOtit t er Ra te per Rate OW per Type of property crime Number 1.00;er Number Number 1Ra,a r Total 14,611,040 110.7t 15.815,310 1186t 13,340,220 108.41 13.502,840t 10811 _Number 12,818,000 101.4 Burglary/trespassingb 2,904,570 22.0 t 3,160,450 23.7 t 2,538,170 t 20.6 t 2,639,620 t 21.1 t 2,178,400 17.2 Burglary< 2,020,730 153 t 2,205,180 1651 1,688,890 13.71 1.867.620 t 15.01 1,484,730 11.7 Trespassingd 883,850 6.7* 955,270 711 849280* &9t 772.000 61 693,670 5.5 Motor•vehide theft 564,160 4.3 618,330 4.6 516,810 4.2 534,010 43 495,670 3.9 Other thefte 11.142310 84.4 12.036,530 903t 10,285.240 83.6 10.329.210 82.7 10,143.930 80.2 Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding. Categories include threatened, attempted. and completed crimes. The number of property crimes should not be compared from 2017. 2018. or 2019 to 2016 or 2015. as the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) household weighting adjustment was updated for 2017 onward. which decreased the number of estimated households by about 8%. Property crime rates are unaffected by this change. See Methodology for details.Yeapto-year statistically significant differences may vary from those previously reported. Previously. ENS created standard errors and presented testing for statistically significant differences among NCVS estimates in this table using generalized variance function parameters. while this table uses the Balanced Repeated Replication method. See Methodology for more information. See appendix table 6 for standard errors. 'Comparison year. Mifference with comparison year is significant at the 95% confidence level. tDifference with comparison year is significant at the 90% confidence level. agate is per 1.000 households. See appendix table 35 for number of households. bCalled household burglary prior to Criminal Victimization, 20 /8.Includes unlawful or forcible entry or attempted entry of places. including a permanent residence. other residence le.g.. a hotel room or vacation residence). or other structure (e.g.. a garage or shed). but does not include trespassing on land. clndudes only crimes where the offender committed or attempted a theft. Estimates differ from those previously published in the Criminal Victimization. 20)8 report because a coding error that affected the generation of those eadier estimates has been corrected. dlncludes aimes where the offender did not commit or attempt a theft. Does not include trespassing on land. Estimates differ from those previously published in the Criminal Victimization, 20f8 report because a coding error that affected the generation of those earlier estimates has been corrected. elncludes other unlawful taking or attempted unlawful taking of property or cash without personal contact with the victim. Incidents involving theft of property from within the same household would classify as theft if the offender has a legal right to be in the house (such as a maid. delivery person. or guest). If the offender has no legal right to be in the house. the incident would classify as a burglary. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics. National Crime Victimization Survey, 2015-2019. property victimizations, by type of crime, 2015-2019 NCVS methods of variance estimation For surveys with complex sample designs, such as the NCVS, several methods can be used to estimate the magnitude of sampling error associated with an estimate. In previous reports, BJS has used both generalized variance function (GVF) parameters and direct-variance estimation for generating standard errors and testing statistically significant differences between NCVS estimates. Compared to GVFs, direct-variance estimation is generally considered more accurate in approximating the true variance. This year's bulletin presents tables 1 and 2 using the Balanced Repeated Replication (BRR) method, a form of direct-variance estimation, and continues to present other victimization and incidence estimates using GVFs (except for totals in tables 4, 9,24, and 25 that are also presented in tables 1 and 2, and statistics in table 12 that are based on the new classification of urban, suburban, and rural areas).The Taylor Series Linearization (TSL) method, another form of direct-variance estimation, continues to be used to generate standard errors for prevalence estimates. BJS has an active research program on direct- variance estimation that seeks to improve the quality and accuracy of NCVS estimates. See Methodology for more details. CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 4 3502-022 Page 4 of 53 EFIA_00001550 EFTA00156891 rate declined 6% from 2018 (108.2 per 1,000) to 2019 (101.4 per 1,000). This decline was partly due to a 22% decrease in burglary (15.0 to 11.7 burglaries per 1,000 households). As with the prevalence of burglary, this was the lowest observed rate of burglary victimization since the NCVS was redesigned in 1993. There were nearly 1.2 million domestic-violence victimizations The rate of domestic violence, which includes a subset of violent victimizations that were committed by intimate partners or family members, was 4.2 victimizations per 1,000 persons age 12 or older, based on the 2019 survey (table 3). This was not a statistically significant change from the rate in 2018 (4.8 per 1,000). There were TABLE 3 Number and rate of violent victimizations, by selected characteristics of violent crime, 2018 and 2019 2018 2019• Selected characteristics of Rate per violent crime Number 1,000a Rate per Number 1,000' Domestic violence 1,333,050 4.8 1.164,540 4.2 Intimate partner violence 847,230 3.1 695,060 2.5 Stranger violenced 2,493,750 9.1 2,254,740 8.1 Violent crime involving injury 1,449,530 53 1,265,680 4.6 Violent crime involving a weapon 1,329,700 4.8 1.119,060 4.0 Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding.Violent•aime categories include rape or sexual assault. robbery. aggravated assault. and simple assault.They also include threatened. attempted. and completed occurrences of those crimes.Other violent-crime categories in this table. including domestic violence and violent crime involving injury. are not mutually exclusive from these categories or from each other. See appendix table 7 for standard errors. 'Comparison year. agate is tper 1.000 persons age 12 or older. See appendix table 34 for population numbers. bIncludes the subset of violent victimizations that were committed by intimate partners or family members. cIncludes the subset of domestic•violence victimizations that were committed by intimate partners. which include current or former spouses. boyfriends. or girlfriends. dlncludes the subset of violent victimizations that were committed by someone unknown to the victim. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2018 and 2019. CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 also no statistically significant changes in the rates of intimate-partner violence, stranger violence, violent crime involving injury, and violent crime involving a weapon, from 2018 to 2019. The rate of completed violent victimization decreased from 2018 to 2019 The NCVS measures completed, attempted, and threatened violent victimizations experienced by persons age 12 or older. From 2018 to 2019, the rate of completed violent victimizations decreased from 6.9 victimizations per 1,000 persons to 5.5 per 1,000 (table 4). There was no statistically significant change in the rate of attempted or threatened violent victimization from 2018 to 2019. TABLE4 Rate of completed, attempted, and threatened violent victimizations, 2015-2019 Violent victimizations 2015 2016 2017 2018 2017 Totala 18.6 192 20.6 23.2 21.0 Completed 6.0 5.1 5.6 6.9 3 53 Attempted 6.4 6.0 6.8 72 7.0 Threatened 6.1 '1 83 82 92 85 Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding. Rate is per 1,000 persons age 12 or older. See appendix table 34 for population numbers. Violent•victimization categories include rape or sexual assault. robbery. aggravated assault. and simple assault. See appendix table 8 for standard errors. 'Comparison year. *Difference with comparison year is significant at the 95% confidence level. *Difference with comparison year is significant at the 90% confidence level. aStatistkally significant differences for the total victimization rates are presented using the Balanced Repeated Replication method.Generalized variance function parameters were used to cakulate statistically significant differences for the rest of the table. Source Bureau of Justice Statistics. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2015.2019. 5 3502-022 Page 5 of 53 EFIA_00001551 EFTA00156892 The Uniform Crime Reporting program and the National Crime Victimization Survey together provide a complementary picture of crime in the U.S. The Bureau of Justice Statistics' National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) measures crime reported and not reported to police. The Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) program, administered by the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), measures only crime recorded by police. In 2018, the UCR reported that 3.7 total violent crimes (including murder and non-negligent manslaughter, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault) per 1,000 residents and 22.0 property crimes (including burglary and motor-vehicle theft) per 1,000 residents were known to law enforcement (table 5).The 2018 NCVS estimated that 4.3 violent crimes excluding simple assault per 1,000 persons age 12 or older, and 36.9 property crimes per 1,000 households, were reported to law enforcement. The 2019 NCVS estimated that 3.4 violent crimes excluding simple assault per 1,000 persons age 12 or older, and 33.0 property crimes per 1,000 households, were reported to law enforcement.; Because the NCVS and the UCR measure an overlapping, but not identical, set of offenses and use different approaches in measuring them, complete congruity should not be expected between estimates from these two sources. Restricting the NCVS to violent crime reported to police, and excluding simple assault, keeps the measures as similar as possible. However, significant methodological and definitional differences remain between how these violent crimes are measured in the NCVS and the UCR: ■ The UCR includes murder, non-negligent manslaughter, and commercial crimes (including burglary of commercial establishments), while the NCVS excludes those crime types. • The UCR excludes sexual assault, which the NCVS includes.4 • The UCR property-crime rates are per person, while the NCVS's are per household. (There were 2.2 persons age 12 or older per household in 2019.) Moreover, because the number of households may not grow at the same rate each year as the total population, trend data for rates of property crimes measured by the two programs may not be entirely comparable. 320l9 UCR data had not been publicly released at the time this report was published. aSexual assault includes a range of victimizations and is separate from rape or attempted rape. Sexual assault includes attacks or threatened attacks involving unwanted sexual contact between victim and offender. with or without force: grabbing or fondling: and verbal threats. TABLES Rates of crime reported to police in the Uniform Crime Reporting program and in the National Crime Victimization Survey, 2018 and 2019 Rate per 1.000 persons 2018 UCR rate per age 12 or older Type of crime 1,000 residentsa 2018 NCVS 2019 NCVS Violent crime exduding simple assault 3.69 429 338 Murder 0.05 — — Rape/sexual assaultb 0.43 0.66 056 Robbery 0.86 130 0.90 Aggravated assault 2.47 2.32 1.92 2018 UCR rate per Rate per 1,000 households 1,000 residentsa 2018 NCVS 2019 NCVS Property crime 21.99 3689 33.00 Burglary' 3.76 7.11 6.03 Motor-vehicle theft 2.29 336 3.12 Note: National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) and Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) program crime rates are calculated differently. UCR crime ratesare normally reported per 100.000 persons but were recakulated for this report to align with the reporting of NCVS crime rates. See appendix table 9 for standard errors. -Not applicable. alncludes crimes against populations not included in the NCVS: persons age 11 or younger. persons who are homeless. persons whoare institutionalized. and crimes against commercial establishments. bThe NCVS estimate indudes sexual assault: the UCR does not.The UCR estimate is based on its revised definition of rape. See Methodology for details on the measurement of rape or sexual assault in the NCVS. cThe UCR defines burglary as forcible entry. unlawful entry where no force is used. or attempted forcibleentry of a structure to commit a felony or theft. The NCVS defines burglary as the unlawful or forcible entry or attempted entry of places. including a permanent residence. other residence (e.g.. a hotel room or vacation residence), or other structure (e.g.. a garage or shed). where there was a completed or attempted theft. NCVS estimates differ from those previously published in the Criminal Vkrimizotion. 2018 report because a coding error that affected thegeneration of those earlier estimates has been corrected. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics. National CrimeVictimization Survey. 2018 and 2019. and Federal Bureau of Investigation. Crime in the United States. 2018. https://ucribi.gov/crime-in•the-u.s/20113/crime•in-the• us.-2018/topictages/tablesitable.1. Continued on next page CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION. 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 6 3502-022 Page 6 of 53 EFTA_00001552 EFTA00156893 The Uniform Crime Reporting program and the National Crime Victimization Survey together provide a complementary picture of crime in the U.S. (continued) ■ NCVS estimates are based on interviews with a nationally representative sample of persons in U.S. households. UCR estimates are based on counts of crimes recorded by law enforcement agencies and are weighted to compensate for incomplete reporting. ■ The NCVS does not measure crimes against persons who are homeless or who live in institutions (e.g., nursing homes and correctional institutions) or on military bases. Also, it does not measure crimes against children age 11 or younger. The UCR measures crimes against all US. residents, including crimes against children age 11 or younger. In some states mandatory reporting laws require that persons report certain crimes against youth. Due to these factors, the age distribution of crimes measured in the UCR differs from that of the NCVS. Taken together, these two measures of crime provide a more comprehensive picture of crime in the U.S. For additional information about the differences between the NCVS and UCR, see the Nation's Two Crime Measures (NO 246832, IDS, September 2014). CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION. 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 7 3502-022 Page 7 of 53 EFTA_00001553 EFTA00156894 About 2 out of 5 violent victimizations were reported to police in 2019 The NCVS provides statistics on crimes reported and not reported to police and on the reasons why a crime was not reported to police. Victims may not report a crime for a variety of reasons, including fear of reprisal or getting the offender in trouble, believing that police would not or could not do anything to help, and believing the crime to be a personal issue or too trivial to report. Reporting to police may occur during or immediately following a criminal incident or at a later date. Police may be notified by the victim, a third party (including witnesses, other victims, household members, or other officials, such as school officials or workplace managers), or police may have been at the scene of the incident. Based on the 2019 survey, 41% of violent victimizations were reported to police, which was not a statistically significant change from 2018 (43%) (table 6). About a third (33%) of property victimizations were reported to police in 2019. There were some statistically significant changes from 2018 to 2019 by type of crime reported to police. The percentages of robbery (from 63% to 47%) and other theft (from 29% to 27%) reported to police declined during this period, while the percentage of intimate partner violence reported to police increased, from 45% to 58%. TABLE 6 Percent and rate of victimizations reported to police, by type of crime, 2018 and 2019 Percent of victimizations reported to police Rate of victIrrizatIons repotted to police per 1,000a Type of alma 2018 201? 2018 2019. 14oknt cdmeb 42.6% 40.9% 9.9 8.6 Rape/sexual assaultc 24.9 33.9 0.7 0.6 Robbery 62.6 t 46.6 13 0.9 Assault 43.0 40.9 7.9 7.1 Aggravated assault 605 52.1 23 1.9 Simple assault 38.4 37.9 5.6 5.2 Violent crime excluding simple assaultd 49.9% 465% 43 3.4 Selected characteristics of violent cdme Domestic violence 47.0% 52.2% 23 2.2 Intimate panne( violence 45.01 58.4 1.4 15 Stranger vidence9 445 39.9 4.0 33 Violent crime involving injury 54.3 49.5 29 23 Violent crime involving a weapon 60.3 52.4 29* 2.1 Property alme 34.1% 32.5% 369t 33.0 flurglaryArespassingh 46.6 48.5 9.9 t 83 Burglary, 475 51.4 7.1 $ 6.0 Trespassingl 445 42.2 2.8 23 Motorvehide theft 78.6 79.5 3.4 3.1 Other theftk 28.6* 26.8 23.7 t 215 Note: Violent-crime categories include rape or sexual assault. robbery. aggravated assault, and simple assault. and they include threatened. attempted, and completed occurrences of those crimes. Other violent-crime categories in this table. including domestic violence and violent crime involving injury. are not mutually exclusive from these categories or from each other. See appendix table 10 for standard errors. Comparison year. }Difference with comparison year is significant at the 95% confidence level ₹Difference with comparison year is significant at the 90% confidence level agates are per 1.000 persons age 12 or older for violent crime reported to police and per 1.000 households for property crime reported to police. See appendix table 34 for population numbers and appendix table 35 for number of households. "Excludes homicide because the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) is based on interviews with victims. cSee Methodology for details on the measurement of rape or sexual assault in the NCVS. dincludes rape or sexual assault. robbery. and aggravated assault: this category was called serious violent crime prior to Criminal Victimization. 2018. elndudes the subset of violent victimization, that were committed by intimate partners or famiy members. rIndudes the subset of domestic-violence victimization' that were committed by intimate partners. which include current or former spouses. boyfriends. or sarlfriends. glncludes the subset of violent victimization that were committed by someone unknown to the victim. "Called household burglary prior to Criminal Victimization. 2018. Includes unlawful or forcible entry or attempted entry of places. Including a permanent residence. other residence (eg..a hotel room or vacation residence). or other structure leg.. a garage or shed). but does not include trespassing on land. 'Includes only crimes where the offender committed or attempted a theft. Estimates cfiffer from those previously published in the Criminal Victimization, 2018 report because a coding error that affected the generation of those earlier estimates has been corrected. lIncludes crimes where the offender did not commit or attempt a theft. Does not include trespassing on land. Etimates differ from those previously published in the Criminal Victimization. 2018 report because a coding error that affected the generation of those earlier estimates has been corrected. kIndudes the taking or attempted unlawful taking of property or cash without personal contact with the victim. Incidents involving theft of property from within the same household would classify as theft if the offender has a legal right to be in the house (such as a maid. delivery person. or guestlif the offender has no legal right to be in the house. the incident would classify as a burglary. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistks. National Crime Victimization survey.2018 and 2019. 3502-022 Page 8 of 53 EFTA_00001554 EFTA00156895 The rate of unreported violent crime increased from 2015 to 2019 From 2018 to 2019, there were no statistically significant changes in the rate of reported or unreported violent crime (whether completed, attempted, or threatened) (table 7). While the rate of total violent crime (whether completed, attempted, or threatened) reported to police was 8.6 victimizations reported per 1,000 persons age 12 or older in both 2015 and 2019, the rate of unreported violent crime increased from 9.5 per 1,000 persons in 2015 to 12.1 per 1,000 in 2019. During this same period, the rate of both reported (from 2.2 per 1,000 to 3.1 per 1,000) and unreported (from 3.6 per 1,000 to 5.3 per 1,000) threatened crime increased. Assistance from a victim-service agency was received for 8% of violent victimizations Victim-service agencies are public or private organizations that provide help to victims. Based on the 2019 survey, assistance from a victim-service agency was received in 8% of violent victimizations (table 8). This was a decline from the percentage in 2018 (11%). The percentage of violent victimizations committed by an intimate partner for which victims received assistance from a victim-service agency increased from 18% in 2018 to 26% in 2019. TABLE 7 Rate of violent victimization reported and not reported to police, by completed, attempted, and threatened crimes, 2015-2019 Rate of reported crime per 1,000a Rate of unreported crime per 1,000a Violentcrine 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019' 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019' Total 8.6 8.6 9.2 9.9 8.6 95t 10.8 10.9 12.9 12.1 Completed 33 25 2.8 33 25 2.6 2.6 2.6 3.5 22 Attempted 3.1 2.6 2.9 3.2 19 33 3.3 3.8 3.8 4.0 Threatened 2.2* 3.6 3.5 14 3.1 3.6t 4.9 45 5.6 53 Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding and missing data. Vrolent•aime categories indude rape or sexual assault robbery. aggravated assault, and simple assault. Each year between 2015 and 2019. whether the crime was reported to police or not was unknovm at a rate of 03 to 0.5 victimizations per 1.000 persons age 12 or older. See appendix table I I for standard errors. *Comparison year. Difference with comparison year is significant at the 95% confidence level. *Difference with comparison year is significant at the 90% confidence level. a te is per 1.000 persons age 12 or older. See appendix table 34 (or population numbers. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2015-2019. TABLES Percent of violent victimizations for which victims received assistance from a victim-service agency, by type of crime, 2018 and 2019 Type of aim. 2018 2019' Violent crimes 10.6%1 7.7% Violent crime exduding simple assaultb 122 10.8 Simple assault 9.4 t 6.0 Intimate partner violencec 18.1%* 26.1% Violent crime involving injury 14.7% 17.9% Violent crime involvinga weapon 11.2% 7.1% Note: See appendix table 12 for standard errors. *Comparison year. tDifference with comparison year is significant at the 95%confidence level. *Difference with comparison year is significant at the 90%confvdence level. %clucks rape or sexual assault. robbery. aggravated assault. and simple assault. Includes threatened. attempted. and completed occurrences of those crimes. Excludes homicide because the National Crime Victimization Survey is based on interviews with victims. bincludes rape or sexual assault. robbery. and aggravated assault this category was called serious violent crime prior to Criminal Victimization. 2078. %dudes the subset of damestic•violencevictiminations that were committed by intimate partners. which include current or former spouses. boyfriends. or girlfriends. Source Bureau of Justice Statistic. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2018 and 2019. CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 1 SEPTEMBER 2020 9 3502-022 Page 9 of 53 EFTA_00001555 EFTA00156896 Rates of violent victimization decreased across some demographic characteristics from 2018 to 2019 From 2018 to 2019, the rate of violent victimization decreased from 24.7 victimizations per 1,000 white persons age 12 or older to 21.0 per 1,000 (table 9). Among Asians, the rate of violent victimization declined from 16.2 per 1,000 in 2018 to 7.5 per 1,000 in 2019. During this same period, the rate of violent victimization also decreased for persons ages 25 to 34 (from 31.8 to 25.0 victimizations per 1,000) and ages 35 to 49 from (25.2 to 19.5 per 1,000). Among divorced persons, the rate of violent victimization decreased from 39.1 per 1,000 in 2018 to 28.5 per 1,000 in 2019. Among females, the rate of violent victimization excluding simple assault decreased from 9.6 victimizations per 1,000 females age 12 or older in 2018 to 7.0 per 1,000 in 2019. From 2018 to 2019, the rate of violent crime excluding simple assault also decreased for persons ages 35 to 49 (from 9.8 to 6.7 victimizations per 1,000). For those living in households where income was less than $25,000 a year, the rate decreased from 19.0 to 14.2 victimizations per 1,000 persons age 12 or older. In the same period, the rate of violent crime excluding simple assault for those living in households earning more than $200,000 a year increased from 3.0 to 7.0 per 1,000. CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 TABLE 9 Rate of violent victimization, by type of crime and demographic characteristics of victims, 2018 and 2019 Violent victimization Total violent excludipg simple Victim demographic victimization assault characteristic 2018 2019• 2018 2019• Toter 232 21.0 8.6 t 73 Sex Male 221 21.2 75 73 Female 243 20.8 9.6 t 7.0 Race/ethnicity Whited 24.7 t 21.0 8.2 65 Blacks 20A 18.7 10.0 7.0 Hispanic 18.6 21.3 8.5 10/ /Wand 162t 7.5 5.6t 19! Otherte 49/ 663 20.5 209 Age 12-17 34/ 35.2 10.1 1113 18-24 35.9 37.2 16.3 1613 25-34 312* 25.0 11.3 89 3549 25/ 19.5 9.8* 6.7 50-64 183 18.9 6.4 5.6 65 or older 65 6.0 2.3 19 Marital status Never married 33.5 31.2 12.9 119 Married 121 11.5 4.1 313 WidowAvidower 125 10.7 4.3 49 Divorced 39.11 28.5 14.8 10.7 Separated 58.2 641 20.8 195 Household income Less than $25000 40.8 37.8 19.0 t 14/ $25000549.999 23.5 19.7 9.3 73 $50,000-599.999 165 16.6 4.7 55 $100,000.5199.999 19/ 16.2 5.8 39 $2001300 or more 163 18.0 3.0 t 7.0 Note Rates are per 1.000 persons age 12 or older. Includes threatened. attempted. and completed occurrences of those crimes. See appendix table 34 for population numbers and appendix table 13 for standard errors. "Comparison year. tDifference with comparison year is significant at the 95% confidence level. *Difference with comparison year is signifxant at the 90% confidence level. !Interpret estimate with caution. Estimate is based on 10 or fewer sample cases or coefficient of variation is greater than 50%. alncludes rape or sexual assault. robbery. aggravated assault. and simple assault. Excludes homicide because the National Crime Victimization Survey is based on interviews with victims. bindudes rape or sexual assault. robbery. and aggravated assault this category was called serious violent crime prior to Criminal Victimization. 2018. cstatistically significant differences for the total victimization rates are presented using the Balanced Repeated Replication method. Generalized variance function parameters were used to calculate statistically significant differences (or the rest of the table. dExcludes persons of Hispanic origin (eg.. "white' refers to non•Hispanic whites and "black" refers to non-Hispanic blacks). elncludes Native Hawaiians and Other Pacific Islanders. American Indians and Alaska Natives. and persons of two or more races. Source Bureau of Justice Statistic. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2018 and 2019. 10 3502-022 Page 10 of 53 EFIA_00001556 EFTA00156897 The percentage of violent victimizations reported to police was higher for females than for males Based on the 2019 survey, the percentage of violent victimizations reported to police was higher for females (46%) than for males (36%) (table 10). This difference can largely be attributed to reporting of simple assaults, as the percentages of violent victimizations reported to police, exduding simple assault, were similar for females (47%) and males (46%). The percentage of violent victimizations reported to police was lower for white persons (37%) than for black persons (49%) and Hispanics (49%). Among different age groups, the percentage of violent victimizations reported to police, excluding simple assault, was lower for persons ages 18 to 24 (36%) than for persons ages 25 to 34 (60%), 50 to 64 (52%), or 65 or older (61%). The percentage of violent crime reported to police was lower for those who had never been married (35%) than for married (45%), divorced (46%), or separated (62%) persons. The percentage of violent victimizations reported to police, excluding simple assault, was lowest for those living in households earning more than $200,000 a year (13%). CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 TABLE 10 Percent and rate of violent victimizations reported to police, by type of crime and demographic characteristics of victims, 2019 Victim demographic characteristic Total Sex Male' Female Race/ethnicity White'b Blackb Hispanic Asianb otheos Age 12-17 18.24* 25-34 35.49 50-64 65 or older Marital status Never married' Married YndowAvidower Divorced Separated Household income Less than 525.000 $25.000549.999 $50.000499.999* S100.000-5199999 5200.000 or more Note Violent-crime categories include rape or sexual assault. robbery. aggravated assault. and simple assault, and they indude threatened. attempted. and completed occurrences of those crimes. See appendix table 14 for standard errors. "Comparison group. tDifference with comparison group is significant at the 95% confidence level. *Difference with comparison group is significant at the 90% confidence level. !Interpret estimate with caution. Estimate is based on 10 or fewer sample cases or coefficient of variation is greater than 50%. aRates are per 1.000 persons age 12 or older. See appendix table 34 for population numbers. bExcludes persons of Hispanic origin (e.g.. "white* refers to non•Hispanic whites and "black" refers to non-Hispanic blacks). cIncludes Native Hawaiians and Other Pacific Islanders. American Indians and Alaska Natives. and persons of two or more races. Source. Bureau of Justice Statistic. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2019. Total violent victimizations reported to policea Rate per Violent victimizations reported to police, excluding simple assaulta Rate per Percent 1,00 Percent 1,000c 40.9% 8.6 46.5% 3.4 35.7% 75 46.4% 3.5 45.9 t 9.6 46.6 3.3 37.0% 7.8 46.9% 3.0 49.2 t 9.2 52.1 3.7 48.8 t 10.4 48.7 5.0 t 47.9 3.6t 42.9! 0.8 t ! 39.8 26.4 t 27.3 t 5.7 24.0%1 8.4 t 37.4% 4.1 37.9 141 36.4 5.8 46.4 11.6 6021 5.3 44.4 8.6 t 422 2.8 t 47.11 89t 525t 2.9t 41.9 25t 61.01 34.8% 10.9 423% 5.0 45.4t 52t 49.8 1.5 t 47.3 5.0 t 63.9* 3.1 46.2 t 13.2 49.7 5.3 61.7t 39.61 60.9* 11.9* 41.8% 15.81 46.8% 6.6 t 44.7 8.8 57.4* 4.31 43.1 72 44.5 2.4 33.0* 53 43.1 1.7 29.5t 53 13.41 0.9t 11 3502-022 Page 11 of 53 EFIA_00001557 EFTA00156898 Classification of urban, suburban, and rural areas in the National Crime Victimization Survey By Jeffrey H. Anderson, Ph.D., BJS Director This year, the Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) provides new classifications of urban, suburban, and rural areas for the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), with the goal of presenting a more accurate picture of where criminal victimizations occur. Historically, the NCVS has classified areas as urban, suburban, or rural based on the following definitions: ■ Urban: within a principal city of a Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) ■ Suburban: within an MSA but not within a principal city of the MSA ■ Rural: outside of an MSA These definitions are straightforward, but they suffer from two main shortcomings: 1. Metropolitan statistical areas are based on entire counties, and counties almost always contain both rural and non-rural areas. Yet the NCVS's historical definitions classify each county as being either entirely rural (if not part of an MSA) or entirely non-rural (if part of an MSA). For example, California's San Bernardino County, which includes much of the Mojave Desert and covers more than twice as much land as the state of Maryland, is classified as containing no rural areas under the NCVS's historical definitions. This is because San Bernardino County is part of the Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario MSA, and the NCVS's historical definitions do not classify any part of an MSA as being rural. On the other hand, Colorado's La Plata County, home of Durango, is classified under the historical definitions as being entirely rural, because it is not part of an MSA. This is true even though the Census Bureau says that, as of 2010, 40% of La Plata County's population lived in non-rural areas. Similarly, Casmalia, Calif. had a 2010 population of 138 people and is surrounded by undeveloped land. Because it is located within a county (Santa Barbara) that is designated as an MSA (the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara MSA), the NCVS's historical definitions classify Casmalia as suburban. Meanwhile, Bozeman, Mont., with a 2010 population of 37,280-270 times that of Casmalia—is classified by the NCVS's historical definitions as rural, because it is located in a county that is not part of an MSA. 2. The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) designates principal cities (of which there are anywhere from 1 to nearly 20 in a given MSA) as being among "the more significant places in each Metropolitan and Micropolitan Statistical Area...in terms of population and employment:The principal city designation is not necessarily indicative of urban status, nor is it intended to be. Yet the NCVS's historical definitions classify all principal cities of MSAs as urban, and all other places as not urban. As a result, Union City, NJ., located just across the Hudson River from Midtown Manhattan, is classified by the NCVS's historical definitions as suburban, due to its not being defined as a principal city. Union City had a 2010 population density of 51,918 people per square mile, more than three times the population density of San Francisco (17,180). Meanwhile, Rome, N.Y., which had a 2010 population density of 451 people per square mile—less than 1% that of Union Crty—is classified by the historical definitions as urban.The same is true for Yuma. Ariz., Hilton Head Island, S.C., and Foley, Ala. None of these had a population density in 2010 that was even 2% that of Union City, yet all are classified as urban under the NCVS's historical definitions, while Union City is classified as suburban. These are not isolated examples. Weighted housing-unit density (discussed more below) is essentially a measure of how closely people live to one another. Based on the 2010 Census of Population and Housing and 2013 OMB principal-city designations, 506 of the 674 principal cities in the United States (75%) had weighted housing-unit densities below that of the U.S. as a whole. In other words three-quarters of the places classified by the historical definitions as urban were less densely developed than the areas where most U.S. residents lived. A new definition: BJS's new NCVS definition of urban is based on the notion that urban places are those that are densely populated, are at the center of a major metropolitan area, or some combination of these. BJS's specific criteria is that a place is urban if it is— ■ The main city or Census-designated place (i.e., the first place listed) in a 500,000-person (Census-designated) "urbanized area," with a weighted housing-unit density within its city limits of at least 3,000 housing units per square mile. In other words, the primary city in a large "urbanized area" qualifies as urban if it meets the weighted-housing-unit-density threshold of 3,000 housing units per square mile. (The overall weighted housing-unit density for the U.S. is 2,396, based on the 2010 Census.) ■ A named city or Census-designated place in a 500,000-person (Census-designated) "urbanized area:' with a weighted housing-unit density of at least 4,000 housing units per square mile within its city limits. In Continued on next page CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 12 3502-022 Page 12 of 53 EFIA_00001558 EFTA00156899 Classification of urban, suburban, and rural areas in the National Crime Victimization Survey (continued) other words, a city that is prominent enough to be included by the Census Bureau in the name of a large "urbanized area" (for example, Long Beach in the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim urbanized area) qualifies as urban if it meets the weighted•housing-unit-density threshold of 4,000 housing units per square mile. ■ Any city or Census-designated place with a population of at least 50,000 and a weighted housing-unit density of at least 5,000 housing units per square mile. ■ Any city or Census-designated place with a population of at least 10,000 and a weighted housing-unit density of at least 10,000 housing units per square mile. The Census Bureau's "urbanized areas" referenced in this definition are similar to OMB's metropolitan areas, but they delineate areas of substantial population rather than utilizing entire counties. The weighted housing-unit density referenced in this definition is discussed in greater detail below. In addition to developing this definition of urban, BJS has adopted the Census Bureau's definition of rural to replace the historical NCVS definition of ruralThe Census Bureau provides specific, carefully drawn boundaries around "urban areas" (both larger "urbanized areas" and smaller "urban clusters") using set criteria, classifying everything outside of those boundaries as rural. BJS classifies areas that are neither urban nor rural as suburban. In comparison to places that are urban, suburban areas are characterized by lower density, a larger ratio of single-family homes to apartments, and layouts based principally on automobile transportation. Some suburban areas, those that might be thought of as "suburbia proper: do not have their own urban centers but are located near a separate urban city. Other suburban areas are cities or towns that have urban centers, but those centers have smaller populations than their surrounding suburban areas, so the bulk of the city's population lives in suburban areas. (Cities are the smallest geographical designations that can realistically be used in classifying areas as urban.) In short, suburban areas are a mix of "suburbia proper: towns, and some generally smaller cities that are more suburban than urban. BJS uses weighted housing-unit density in its new NCVS definitions because that measure provides a better indication of the degree of urban density than conventional population density does. Conventional population density is derived by dividing population by land area, and it measures how densely populated a given area of land is. As of the 2010 Census, the U.S. as a whole had a conventional population density of 87 people per square mile; however, most U.S. residents do not live in areas where there are only 87 people per square mile.The experience of most U.S. residents is more fully captured by weighted population density, which is essentially a measure of how densely populated an area is from the perspective of those who live in it. Weighted housing-unit density is similar to weighted population density, with the difference being that the latter focuses on population and the former on housing units. In comparing weighted housing-unit density to weighted population density, John R. Ottensmann writes. "Housing units better represent the physical pattern of urban development, as they are relatively fixed."5 Housing-unit density is the number of housing units per square mile in a given area. Weighted housing-unit density, under BJS's approach, is the weighted average of the housing densities for all census tracts in an area, with the tracts weighted by their number of housing units. For ease of explanation, imagine an area with only two census tracts. One tract has 2,000 housing units, covers 2 square miles, and thus has a housing-unit density of 1,000 housing units per square mile. The other tract has 6,000 housing units, covers 1 square mile, and thus has a housing-unit density of 6,000 housing units per square mile.The area's weighted housing-unit density is the weighted average of these two tract-level housing-unit densities, or (1,000"2,000+6,000"6,000)/8,000 = 4,750. Otherwise put, the weighted housing-unit density is based one-quarter on the first tract's density (because it contains one-quarter of the housing units) and three- quarters on the second tract's density. Weighted housing-unit density identifies urban places much more clearly than conventional population density does. Among places with populations of at least 10,000 people in 2010, Chicago rises from #71 in conventional population density to 416 in weighted housing-unit density, New Orleans from #2,212 to #190, and Urban Honolulu from #474 to #13. Meanwhile, Passaic, NJ. falls from #7 in conventional population density to #45 in weighted housing-unit density, while Santa Ma, Calif. falls from #67 to #237 (moving from 4 places above Chicago to 221 places below). Comparing the old and new definitions: Both the old and new NCVS definitions, as would be expected, classify New York's five boroughs as urban (New York City's weighted housing-unit density is a nation- leading 29,345 housing units per square mile), and they both add Jersey City, NJ. (weighted housing-unit density Shahn R. Ottensmann. "On Population-Weighted Density" February 2018. hnps://www.researchgate.nett publication/322992771_On_Population-Weighted_Density. Continued on next page CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 13 3502-022 Page 13 of 53 EFIA_00001559 EFTA00156900 Classification of urban, suburban, and rural areas in the National Crime Victimization Survey (continued) of 13,837 housing units per square mile), Newark, NJ. (8,788), and White Plains, N.Y. (5,671). The old definition also includes New Brunswick, NJ. (4,908) and Lakewood, NJ. (2,106). The new definition reclassifies Lakewood and New Brunswick as suburban (although just a 2% increase in New Brunswick's weighted housing-unit density would qualify it as urban) and adds the following places as urban: Guttenberg, NJ. (weighted housing-unit density of 29.171 housing units per square mile); Hoboken, NJ. FIGURE 4 Washington, D.C. MSA, by old and new classification Old classification New classification Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2019: and 2010 Census of Population and Housing and 2013 OMB Metropolitan Statistical Area designations. (25,870); West New York (21,763); Union City, NJ. (20,477): Cliffside Park. NJ. (12,001); Mount Vernon, N.Y. (8,811); East Orange, NJ. (8,763); Bayonne, NJ. (8,263); Yonkers. N.Y. (7,930); Elizabeth, NJ. (7,468); Passaic, NJ. (7.424): and Paterson, NJ. (6,739). As the accompanying map of the Washington, D.C. area (figure 4) shows, both the old and new definitions include Washington, D.C. (weighted housing-unit density of 10,115 housing units per square mile), Arlington, Va. (10,485), Alexandria, Va. (7,714), and Silver Spring, Md. (6,135), as urban places.The new definitions do not classify anywhere else in the D.C. area as urban.The old definitions added as urban Bethesda, Md. (4,325), Gaithersburg, Md. (2,836), Reston, Va. (2.543), Rockville, Md. (2,534), and Frederick. Md. (2,235), all of which the new definitions classify as suburban. The new definitions more closely fit U.S. residents' own sense of where they live, as reflected in the American Housing Survey (AHS). For each of five metropolitan or micropolitan area designations, the following table and figure show how most AHS respondents in 2017 classified where they lived (and what percentage of respondents gave that classification), what percentage of people would be classified that same way by the new and old NCVS definitions, and the difference between the AHS result and the new and old NCVS results (table 11, figure 5). As table 11 shows, 58% of AHS respondents who lived in the biggest principal city of an MSA said that they lived in an urban place. Forty-three percent of them would be classified as living in an urban place by the new NCVS definitions, a difference of 15 percentage points (58% versus 43%) from the portion of AHS respondents who gave that answer. In comparison, 100% of those TABLE 11 U.S. residents' sense of where they live, per the American Housing Survey Percent classified same way as Most common classification by most common AHS classification Difference (in percentage points) New NCVS Old NCVS Part of MSPJmiao area lived in MIS respondentsa definitions definitions Newl4CVS vs. AHS Old NCVSYLAHS Biggest principal city of MSA 58% urban 43% 100% 15 42 Other principal city ofMSA 67% suburban 88 0 21 67 In MSA but not principal city 64% suburban 79 100 15 36 In mictopolitan area 52% rural 48 100 4 48 Outside of metro/micro area 70% rural 75 100 5 30 Average - 12 45 aAmerican Housing Survey. -Not applicable. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics, National CrimeVictimization Survey. 2019, 2010 Census of Population and Housing and 2013 OMB Metropolitan Statistical Area designations: and US. Department of Housing and Urban Development American Housing Survey. 2017. Continued on next page CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 14 3502-022 Page 14 of 53 EFIA_00001560 EFTA00156901 Classification of urban, suburban, and rural areas in the National Crime Victimization Survey (continued) respondents would be classified as living in an urban place by the old NCVS definitions, a difference of 42 percentage points (58% vs. 10096) from the portion of AHS respondents who gave that answer. While AHS respondents' answers about where they live are not necessarily dispositive, the new NCVS definitions fare far better than the old ones versus the AHS in every category, by a margin of at least 21 percentage points per category and an average margin of 33 points per category. Under the new definitions. 12% of the population lives in urban areas, 69% in suburban areas, and 1996 in rural areas, compared to 33% in urban areas, 53% in suburban areas, and 14% in rural areas under the old definitions (table 31).0f the main cities in the 15 largest MSAs in the U.S., the new definitions classify 13 as urban.The two classified as suburban—Phoenix, Ariz. and Riverside, Calif.—had 2010 weighted housing-unit densities below that of the U.S. as a whole. According to the historical NCVS definitions, by far the most urban region in the country is the West, followed by the South (using the Census Bureau's regional classifications). Under the new definitions, the Northeast is by far the most urban region, followed in order by the West, Midwest, and South. The most suburban region according to the old definitions is the Northeast Under the new definitions, the West is the most suburban region. with the Northeast being the least suburban region. A complete list of places classified as urban under the new NCVS definitions is provided at the back of this report (appendix table 36). FIGURE 5 Location-of-residence classification, by source of classification Percent leo 30 60 40 JO 0 1C0 80 60 40 JO l00 30 60 40 10 0 American Housing Survey respondent dassification Rig gest principal city of ?ASA Other principal city of MSA ■ Urban ■ Suburban ■ Rural 1 InMSAbut not principal city In micropolitan area Outside of metro/micro ere New NCVS definitions Riggest principal city oft.S Other principal city of /ASA In MSA but not principal city In micropolitan area Outside of met romtcru sc Old NCVS definitions Biggest principal Glyn( ?ASA Other principal city of MSA InMSAbut not principal dry In micropolitan area Outside of metro/rmuo area Note See appendix table 4 for estimates. Source:Bureau of Justice Statistics. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2019: US. Department of Housing and Urban Development. American Housing Survey. 2017: and 2010 Censusof Population and Housing and 2013 OMB Metropolitan Statistical Area designations. 3502-022 Page 15 of 53 EFIA_00001561 EFTA00156902 The rate of violent victimization in urban areas, based on the new classifications of urban, suburban, and rural areas, declined from 2018 to 2019 From 2018 to 2019, the rate of violent victimization in urban areas declined from 26.5 victimizations per 1,000 persons age 12 or older to 21.1 per 1,000 (table 12) based on the NCVS's new classifications of urban, suburban, and rural areas (see text box on pp. 12-15). Excluding simple assault, the rate of violent victimization in urban areas fell from 12.2 victimizations per 1,000 persons age 12 or older in 2018 to 8.0 per 1,000 in 2019. There were no statistically significant changes in the rates of violent victimization, or of violent victimization excluding simple assault, in suburban or rural areas from 2018 to 2019. The rate of property victimization, however, declined from 2018 to 2019 in both suburban (from 108.6 to 100.8 victimizations per 1.000 households) and rural (from 80.3 to 68.1 per IMO) areas. There was no statistically significant change in the rate of property crime in urban areas. Based on the new definitions, the 2019 rate of violent victimization in urban areas (21.1 per 1,000 persons age 12 or older) and suburban areas (22.3 per 1,000) was higher than the rate in rural areas (16.3 per 1,000). There was no statistically significant difference between the rates of violent victimization in urban and suburban areas, and there were no statistically significant differences in the rates of violent victimization excluding simple assault across urban, suburban, and rural areas. The rate of property victimization in urban areas (153.0 per 1,000 households) was higher than the rate in suburban (100.8 per 1,000) and rural areas (68.1 per 1,000). The rate of property victimization in suburban areas was also higher than the rate in rural areas. TABLE 12 Rate of victimization, by type of crime and location of residence, 2018 and 2019 Rate per 1,000a Violent ctimeexduding Violent cumeb simple assault' Propertycrimed location of residences 2018 2019° 2018 2019' 2018 2019' New definition ilibanf 26.5* 21.1 122f 8.0 146.9 153.0 Suburbang 23.8 22.3 8.6 7.6 108.6* 1008 Ruralh 18.9 16.3 6.3 5.6 803t 68.1 Old definition Urban' 28.9 26.0 12.2 9.5 1429 144.4 Suburban/ 18.6 165 6.1 5.7 86.71 74.9 Ruralk 26.9 26.3 9.6 7.7 101.7$ 92.1 Note: Statistically significant differences for the new definition rates are presented wing the Balanced Repeated Replication method of direct estimation. Statistically significant differences for the old definition rates are presented using generalized variance function parameters. See appendix table IS for standard errors. 'Comparison year. tDifference with comparison year is significant at the 95% confidence level. *Difference with comparison year is significant at the 90%confidence level. abate is per 1.000 persons age 12 or older for violent crime and per 1.000 households for property crime. See table 31 for populations. blncludes rape or sexual assault. robbery. aggravated assault. and simple assault. Excludes homicide because the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) is based on interviews with victims. %dudes rape or sexual assault. robbery. and aggravated assault: this category was called serious violent crime prior to Criminal Victimization. 20 f 8. dlncludes burglary. residential trespassing. motor-vehicle theft. and other theft. eke Classification of <Ann.suburban, and rural areas in the National CrimeVktimizolion Survey on pp. 12-I S and Methodology for details on the measurement of location of residence in the NCVS. fAll census blocks within cities or Census•designated places that meet certain criteria based on their population and density. See Classification of urban, suburban, and rural areas in the National Crime Victimization Survey on pp. 12-IS and appendix table 36. gAll other census blocks not classified as urban or rural. bAll census blocks not in Census Bureau•defined urbanized areas or urban clusters. !Within the principal city of a Metropolitan Statistical Area IMSA). Within an MSA but not in a principal city of the MSA. kNot within an MSA. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistic. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2018 and 2019. CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 16 3502-022 Page 16 of 53 EFIA_00001562 EFTA00156903 Demographic characteristic Total Sex Male Female Both male and female offenders Racetethnidty White' Blackc Hispanics Asianc Other(' Muhipk offenders of various racesc Age 11 or youngerf 12-17 18.29 30 or older Multiple offenders of various ages Incidents estimates An incident is a specific criminal act involving one or more victims.° In 2019, there were 5.4 million total violent incidents involving victims age 12 or older (table 13). Patterns varied in the demographic characteristics of victims and offenders involved in violent incidents, as perceived by the victims. Based on the 2019 survey, the victim-to-population ratio of 1.0 for both males and females shows that the percentage of violent incidents involving male (49%) or female (51%) victims was equal to males' (49%) or females (51%) share of the &Tables 13 through 17 present incident-level data on victims and offenders. Offender characteristics in the NCVS are based on victims perceptions of offenders. population. The offender-to-population ratio shows that the percentage of violent incidents involving male offenders (75%) was about 1.5 times greater than the percentage of males represented in the population (49%), whereas the percentage of violent incidents involving female offenders (21%) was 0.4 times the percentage of females in the population (51%). The victim-to-population ratio varied by race. The percentage of violent incidents involving white (62%) or black (11%) victims was similar to the population percentages of white (62%) or black (12%) persons. Likewise, about 17% of violent incidents involved Hispanic victims, which was equal to the representation of Hispanics in the population (17%). A smaller percentage of violent incidents involved Asian victims (2%) than the share of Asians in the population (6%). TABLE 13 Percent and number of violent incidents, by total population Number of violent incidents Population' Offenderb Victim 276.872,470 5,440,680 5,440,680 100% 100% 100% 1.0 1.0 1.0 134.691660 3,806,570 2,668,600 48.6% 75.0%1 49.0% 15 15 1.0 142.178.810 1,085,550 2,772,070 51.4 21.4t 51.0 OA OA 1.0 182,030 - 3.6 - 171,423.480 2,289,390 3,379,920 61.9% 50.2%t 62.1% 0.8 0.8 1.0 33,397.100 1,140,470 582,650 1/1 25.0 t 10.7 23 2.1 0.9 47,890.870 853,990 926,650 173 18.7 17.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 17,401.410 44,520 123,400 63 1.0 t 2.3 t 0.4 0.2 0.4 6,759.600 208.170 428,050 24 4.6t 7.9t 0.6 1.9 3.2 27.720! - 0.6! - - - 94,230 2.0% - - - - 24,941.440 723,630 800,300 9.0% 15.6t 14.7%t 1.1 1.7 1.6 52,798,870 1,348,610 1,617,860 19.1 29.0 t 29.7 t 1.0 1.5 1.6 199,132,160 2,323,940 3,022,520 71.9 50.0 t 55.61 0.9 0.7 0.8 - 157390 3A - - - - and victim and offender demographic characteristics, 2019 Percent of population" Percent of violent incidents Offenderb Victim Ratio of percentages Offender Offender to Victim to to victim population poptdation Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding and missing data for offender characteristic. An incident is a specific criminal act involving one or more victims. Offender characteristics are based on victims' perceptions of offenders. See appendix table 16 for standard errors. 'Comparison group. tOifference with comparison group is significant at the %%confidence level. !Interpret with caution. Estimate is based on 10 or fewer sample cases. or coefficient of variation is greater than 50%. —Not applicable. aThe National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) population represents persons age 12 or older living in non-institutionartzed residential settings in the US. bincludes those incidents in which the perceived offender characteristics were reported.The sex of the offender was unknown in 7% of incidents. the race or ethnicity of the offender was unknown in 16% of incidents. and the age of the offender was unknown in 15% of incidents. cExdudes persons of Hispanic origin le.g.."white" refers to non-Hispanic whites and 'black* refers to non-Hispanic blacks). dIf the victim perceived any of the offenders in a multiple offender incident to be of Hispanic origin. they are classified as Hispanic. elncludes Native Hawaiians and Other Pacific Islanders. American Indians and Alaska Natives. and persons of two or more races. (While the NCVS does not survey victims age II or younger. victims may report the offender to be age 11 or younger. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2019. CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 17 3502-022 Page 17 of 53 EFTA_00001563 EFTA00156904 Based on victims perceptions of the offenders, the offender-to-population ratio shows that the percentage of violent incidents involving black offenders (25%) was 2.1 times the percentage of black persons (12%) in the population. The percentage of violent incidents involving white offenders (50%) was about four-fifths (0.8 times) the percentage of whites (62%) in the population, while the percentage of violent incidents involving Hispanic offenders (19%) was similar to the percentage of Hispanics in the population (17%). The percentage of violent incidents involving Asian offenders (1%) was about one-fifth (0.2 times) the percentage of Asians in the population (6%). The percentage of violent incidents involving offenders of other races (Native Hawaiians and Other Pacific Islanders, American Indians and Alaska Natives, and persons of two or more races) was about double (1.9 times) the collective percentage of those races in the population. The offender-to-victim ratio shows that the percentage of violent incidents involving black offenders (25%) was over twice (2.3 times) the percentage of incidents committed against black victims (11%). In contrast, the percentage of incidents involving white offenders (50%) was four-fifths (0.8 times) the percentage of incidents committed against white victims (62%), while the percentage involving Asian offenders was two-fifths (0.4 times) the percentage committed against Asian victims. Persons ages 12 to 17 were more than 1.5 times more likely to be offenders (16%) or victims (15%) in violent incidents than their percentage of the population (9%). Those between the ages of IS to 29 showed a similar pattern. Those age 30 or older were less likely to be offenders (50%) or victims (56%) than their percentage of the population (72%). Females were offenders in a greater percentage of violent incidents committed against females (28%) than against males (14%) (table 14). Males were offenders in a greater percentage of violent incidents committed against males (82%) than against females (69%). Based on victims' perceptions, about 1.7 million violent incidents in 2019 were committed against white persons by offenders who were white, 346,260 violent incidents were committed against black persons by offenders who were black, and 334,600 violent incidents were committed against Hispanic persons by offenders who were Hispanic (table 15). There were 5.3 times as many TABLE 14 Percent of violent incidents, by victim and offender sex, 2019 Number of Offender sex Both male Victim sex violent incidents Total Male Female and female Total 5,074,160 100% 75.0%t 21.4%t 3.6% Male' 2.410,380 100% 82.1 143 33 Female 2.663,770 100% 68.6 t 27.7 t 3.7 Note Details may not sum to totals due to rounding. An incident is a specific criminal act involving one or more victims. Offender sex is based on victims' perceptions of o&nders. Includes those incidents in which the perceived sex of the offender was reported.The sex of the offender was unknown in 7% of incidents. which is why the number of incidents reported here is only 93%as high as in table 13. See appendix table 17 for standard errors. 'Comparison group. tDifference with comparison group is significant at the 95% confidence level. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics.National Crime Victimization Survey,2019. TABLE 15 Number of violent incidents, by victim and offender race or ethnicity, 2019 Number of Offender raceiethnkity Victim race/ethnicity violent incidents Whit& Morita HIspankb Other" Whiten 2,796,710 1,722,230' 472570t 463,520t 138,380t [pada 494,610 89,980 t 346,260' 43,730t 14,640 t! Hispanic 774.310 170,840 t 249.030 334,600' 19.840 t Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding. An incident is a specific criminal act involving one or more victims. Offender race or ethnicity is based on victims' perceptions of offenders. Indudes those violent incidents in which the perceived offender race or ethnicity was reported.Offender race or ethnicity was unknown in 16% of violent incidents. which is why the number of incidents reported here is only 84%as high as in table 13. See appendix table 18 for standard errors. 'Comparison groups are intraracial victim and offender percentages (white-on•vAsite. black•on.bladc. and Hispanic•on-Hispanicl. tDifference with comparison group is significant at the 95% confidence level. !Interpret with caution. Estimate is based on 10 or fewer sample cases. or coefficient of variation is greater than 50% aExdudes persons of Hispanic origin leg-"white" refers to nonitispanic whites ancrbladc"refers to non•Hispanic blacks). blf the victim perceived any of the offenders in a multiple offender incident to be of Hispanic origin. they are dassified asHispanic. qncludes Asians. NativeHawaiians and Other Pacific Islanders.Amerkan Indians and Alaska Natives. persons of two or more races.and multiple offenders of various races. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistic. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2019. CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 18 3502-022 Page 18 of 53 EFIA_00001564 EFTA00156905 violent incidents committed by black offenders against white victims (472,570) as were committed by white offenders against black victims (89,980). The largest percentage of violent incidents committed against white, black, and Hispanic victims were committed by someone of the same race or ethnicity (table 16). Offenders were white in 62% of violent incidents committed against white victims, black in 70% of incidents committed against black victims, and Hispanic in 43% of incidents committed against Hispanic victims. Sixty-two percent of violent incidents committed against white victims were perceived to be committed by white offenders, the same portion (62%) of the total U.S. population age 12 or older that was white (table 17). Among black victims, the percentage of violent incidents perceived to be committed by black offenders (70%) was 5.8 times higher than the percentage of black persons in the population (12%). The percentage of violent incidents committed against Hispanic victims by Hispanic offenders (43%) was 2.5 times higher than the percentage of Hispanics in the population (17%). TABLE 16 Percent of violent incidents, by victim and offender race or ethnicity, 2019 Victim race/ ethnicity Number of violent incidents Offender race/ethnicity Total white Black. Hispanle Otherm Whit? 2.796.710 100% 61.694* 16.9%t 16.6%t 4.9%t Blacka 494610 103% 18.2 t 70.0" to t 3.0 t! Hispanic 774310 103% 22.1 t 32.2 t 43.2* 2.6 t Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding. An incident is a specific criminal act involving one or more victims. Offender race or ethnicity is based on victims' perceptionsof offenders. Includes those violent incidents in which the perceived offender race or ethnicity vras reported. Offender race or ethnicity was unknown in 16% of violent incidents, which is why the number of incidents reported here is only 84%as high as in table 13. See appendix table 19 for standard errors. 'Comparison groups are intramcial victim and offender percentages (white-on-white, black.on•bladc, and Hispanic•on-Hispanic). tDifferencewith comparison group is significant at the 95% confidence level. *Difference with comparison group is significant at the 90% confidence level. !Interpret with caution. Estimate is based on 10 or fewer sample cases. or coefficient of variation is greater than 50% aExdudes persons of Hispanic origin (e.g.. "vAite" refers to non•Hispanic whites and "black' refers to non-Hispanic blacks). blf the victim perceived any of the offenders in a multiple offender incident to be of Hispanic origin. they are classified as Hispanic. cindudes Asians. Native Hawaiians and Other Pacific Islanders. American Indians and Alaska Natives. persons of two or more races. and multiple offenders of various races. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2019. TABLE 17 Percent of violent incidents and percent of the U.S. population, by victim and offender race or ethnicity, 2019 Ratio of percentages Percent committed of violent incidents by offenders Percent of the populationa Victim race/ Of the same Of another Of the same Of another ethnicity Total race/ethnicity race/ethnicity Total race/ethnicity" race/ethnicity Whited 100% 61.6% 384% 100% 61.9% 38.1% 100% 70.01 30.0t 100% 12.1 87.9 H Blac ispakdnic 100% 43.2t 56.8t 100% 17.3 82.7 Offender of same race/ethnicity to population of same racelethnicityb 1.0 5b 03 23 0.7 Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding. An incident is a specific criminal act involving one or more victims. Offender race or ethnicity is based on victims perceptions of offenders. Includes those violent incidents in which the perceived offender race or ethnicity was reported. Offender race or ethnicity was unknown in 16% of violent incidents. See appendix table 20 for standard errors. 'Comparisons are between the percentage of the U5. population of the same race or ethnicity and the percentage of violent incidents committed by offenders of the same race or ethnicity. and between the percentage of the U.S. population of another race or ethnicity and the percentage of violent incidents committed by offenders of another race or ethnicity. tDifferencewith comparison group is significant at the 95% confidence level. ache National Crime Victimization Survey population represents persons age 12 or older living in non-institutionalized residential settings in the U.S. bTbe percentage of incidents committed by offenders of the same race or ethnicity of the victim divided by the percentage of the U.S. population of the same raceor ethnicity. cllw percentage of incidents committed by offenders of another race or ethnicity divided by the percentage of the U.S. population of another race or ethnicity. dExcludes persons of Hispanic origin (e.g.. "white' refers to non•Hispanic vAites and 'black's refers to non-Hispanic blacks). Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2019. Offender of another race/ethnicity to population of another race/ethnicity 1.0 CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION. 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 19 3502-022 Page 19 of 53 EFTA_00001565 EFTA00156906 Prevalence estimates The percentage of persons who experienced violent crime excluding simple assault declined from 2018 to 2019 Prevalence reflects the number or percentage of unique persons who were crime victims, or of unique households that experienced crime. Based on the 2019 survey, 1.10% of all persons age 12 or older experienced one or more violent victimizations, which was not a statistically significant change from the percentage in 2018 (1.18%) but was higher than in 2015 (0.98%) (table 18). The percentage of persons who experienced rape or sexual assault declined from 0.13% in 2018 to 0.08% in 2019, but there was not a statistically significant change in the percentage of persons who experienced robbery, aggravated assault, or simple assault. After increasing 22% from 2015 (0.41%) to 2018 (0.50%), the percentage of U.S. residents age 12 or older who were victims of violent crime excluding simple assault decreased 12% (to 0.44%) in 2019. The number of victims of violent crime excluding simple assault fell from 1.4 million in 2018 to 1.2 million persons age 12 or older in 2019. This was largely driven by a decrease in the number of victims of rape or sexual assault. Prevalence rates declined from 2018 to 2019 for selected characteristics of violent crime. The percentage of persons who were victims of domestic violence declined (from 0.23% to 0.19%), as did the percentage of persons who experienced violent crime involving injury (from 0.31% to 0.27%). TABLE 18 Number and percent of persons who were victims of violent crime, by type Number of victimsa of crime, 2015-2019 Percent of personsb Type of crime 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019. Total violent crime 2,650,670t 2,882320 3,106340 3254250 3,059,060 0.98%t 1.06% 1.14% 1.18% 1.10% Rape/sexual assaultd 204,000 162,940 208.960 347,090 t 212,230 0.08 0.06 0.08 0.13 t 0.08 Robbery 375280 312,310 402.430 363,210 337,720 0.14 0.11 0.15 0.13 0.12 Assault 2,175,520 t 2,497,500 2,595.780 2468,820 2.586,170 0.81 t 0.92 0.95 0.97 0.93 Aggravated assault 560120 t 680,770 646.540 694,260 697,190 0.21* 0.25 024 0/5 025 Simple assault 1,690.190 t 1,903,860 2,024.880 2.058,870 1.965,410 0.63* 0.70 0.74 0.75 0.71 Violent crime excluding simple assaulte 1,099.400 1,123,190 1,225,800 1367,270* 1.216,400 0.41% 0.41% 0.45% 0.5096* 0.44% Selected characteristics of violent crime Domestic violence' 493310 514,350 559.820 636,540t 521,870 0.18% 0.19% 021% 023%t 0.19% Intimatepartner violence] 310,090 273,890 308.560 368,980 310,320 0.12 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.11 Stranger violenceh 1,117340t 1276,710 1,370.020 1.411,500 1393,650 0.41t 0:17 0.50 0.51 0.50 Violent crime involving injury 778300 663,920 722.560 841,280 735,430 0.29 024 027 0.31 * 027 Violent crime involving a weapon 644370 t 767,320 776.770 838,630 788,920 0.24 * 028 0.29 030 028 Note Details may not sum to totals because a person may experience multiple types of crime Violent•crime categories include rape or sexual assault. robbery. aggravated assault. and simple assault. and they include threatened. attempted. and completed occurrences of those crimes. Other violent•crime categories in this table. including domestic violence and violent crime involving injury. are not mutually exclusive from these categories or from each other. See appendix table 34 for population numbers and appendix table 21 for standard errors. 'Comparison year. tDifference with comparison year is significant at the 95%confidence level. *Difference with comparison year is significant at the 90%confidence level. aNumber of persons age 12 or older who experienced at least one violent victimization during the year. bPercentage of persons age 12 or older who experienced at least one violent victimization during the year. cExcludes homicide because the National Crime Victimization Survey is based on interviews with victims. dSee Methodology for details on the measurement of rape or sexual assault in the NCVS. elncludes rape or sexual assault. robbery. and aggravated assault: this category was called serious violent crime prior to Criminal Vicanization. 2018. 'Includes the subset of violent victimization that were committed by intimate partners or family members. glncludes the subset of domestic-violence victimizations that were committed by intimate partners. which include current or former spouses. boyfriends. or girlfriends. hlncludes the subset of violent victimizations that were committed by someone unknown to the victim. Source Bureau of Justice Statistic, National CrimeVictimization Survey, 2015.2019. CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 20 3502-022 Page 20 of 53 EFIA_00001566 EFTA00156907 Between 2018 and 2019, the number of white or Asian violent-crime victims decreased, and the number of Hispanic victims increased Based on the 2019 survey, an estimated 1.17% of males (1.6 million) and 1.04% of females (1.5 million) were the victim of at least one violent crime (table 19). Prevalence rates decreased for some demographic groups from 2018 to 2019. The percentage of females who were victims of violent crime decreased from 1.16% in 2018 to 1.04% in 2019. The percentage of whites who were victims decreased from 1.19% in 2018 to 1.07% in 2019, and the percentage of Asians who were victims declined from 0.67% to 0.42% during this time period. From 2018 to 2019, the prevalence of violent victimization declined for persons ages 35 to 49 (from 1.27% to 1.06%). The prevalence of violent victimization also decreased among persons who were divorced (from 1.81% to 1.54%) or were widows or widowers (from 0.93% to 0.60%). From 2018 to 2019, the portion of Hispanic persons who were victims of violent crime increased from 1.05% to 1.28%. There were no other statistically significant increases in the prevalence of violent victimization by demographic groups from 2018 to 2019. The percentage and number of households that experienced property crime decreased from 2018 to 2019 The 2019 survey found that 6.76% of all households (8.5 million) experienced one or more property victimizations, down from 7.27% (9.1 million) in 2018 (table 20). This decline was driven in part by a decrease in the rate of burglary. The percentage of households experiencing burglary decreased from 1.07% in 2018 to 0.82% in 2019, a decline of 23%. The prevalence of motor-vehicle theft remained relatively stable from 2018 to 2019. CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 TABLE 19 Number and percent of persons who were victims of violent crime, by demographic characteristics of victims, 2018 and 2019 Victim demographic Number of vgnmsa Percent of persons') characteristic 2018 2018 2019' 2019° Total 3254,250 3.059.060 1.18% 1.10% Sex Male 1,615,610 1.579.530 1.21% 1.17% Female 1,638,640* 1.479540 1.161 1.04 Racelethnidty Whites 2047,6401 1,836520 1.19%1 1.07% Black< 416,850 367,030 1.26 1.10 Hispanic 493,520* 610,690 1.05 t 1.28 Asians 115,510* 73,870 0.67 T 0.42 Other<gi 180,730 170,950 2.79 253 Age 12-17 377,420 400,830 131% 1.61% 18-24 484,710 504,420 1.62 1.70 25-34 684250 677.100 132 150 35-49 779,070 t 651,210 1/7 t 1.06 50-64 675,580 612,010 1.07 0.98 65 or older 253/30 213,490 0.49 0.40 Marital status Never married 1.572,480 1567,440 1.62% 1.60% Married 899,040 820,940 0.70 0.63 Widow/ widower 140,520 t 90300 0.93 t 0.60 Divorced 495,460# 417,300 1.81t 1.54 Separated 137,510 156,050 268 3.14 Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding and missing data. Violent-crime categories include rape or sexual assault. robbery. aggravated assault. and simple assault, and they indude threatened. attempted. and completed occurrences of those crimes. See appendix table 34 for population numbers and appendix table 22 for standard errors. *Comparison year. *Difference with comparison year is significant at the 95%conndence level. *Difference with comparison year is significant at the 90%confictence level. aNumber of persons age 12 or older who experienced at least one violent victimization during the year. bPercentage of persons age 12 or older who experienced at least one violent victimization during the year. cExdudes persons of Hispanic origin (e.g.. 'white" refers to non-Hispanic whites and "black" refers to non-Hispanic blacks). dincludes Native Hawaiians and Other Pacific Islanders. American Indians and Alaska Natives, and persons of two or more races. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistic. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2018 and 2019. 21 3502-022 Page 21 of 53 EFIA_00001567 EFTA00156908 TABLE 20 Number and percent of households victimized, by type of property crime, 2015-2019 Number of households victimize& Percent of households victimizedb Type of property crime 2015 2016 2017 2018 20W 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019• Total 10,030,510 9225,060 9,145,690 t 9080.4901 8545,770 7.60%1 7.37% t 743%1 7.27%t 6.76% Burglary/trespassingc 2,175,380 2,037320 1,842,7301 1251.4201 1,537,190 1.65%1 153%1 1.50%t 1.48%t 1.22% Burglaryd 1.562,130 1,455,720 1,273,410t 1333,600t 1.040,730 1.18t 1.091 1.031 1.07t 0.82 Trespassinge 707,910 671,650 639,6201 585,190 530,440 0.54 t 0.501 0.521 0.47 0.42 Motor-vehicle theft 465,650 470,880 438,860 424360 411.140 0.35% 035% 0.36% 0.34% 0.33% Other [befit 7.941,030 7,803350 7,330,960# 7,261240 6,991.800 6.02%1 5.85%1 5.96%1 5.82%1 5.53% Note: Details may not sum to totals because a household may experience multiple types of crime.The number of property crimes should not be compared from 2017. 2018. or 2019 to 2016 or 2015, as the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) household weighting adjustment was updated for 2017 onward, which decreased the number of estimated households by about 8%. Property crime rates are unaffected by this change. See Methodology for details. See appendix table 35 for number of households and appendix table 23 for standard errors. *Comparison year. tDifference with comparison year is significant at the 95% confidence level. *Difference with comparison year is significant at the 90% confidence level. aNumber of households that experienced at least one property victimization during the year. ttercentage of households that experienced at least one property victimization during the year. cCalled household burglary prior to Criminal Victimization. 2018. Includes unlawful or forcible entry or attempted entry of places, including a permanent residence, other residence (e.g.. a hotel room or vacation residence). or other structure (e.g.. a garage or shed). but does not include trespassing on land. dlndudes only crimes where the offender committed or attempted a theft Estimates differ from those previously published in the Criminal Victimization. 2018report because a coding error that affected the generation of those earlier estimates has been corrected. Includes crimes where the offender did not commit or attempt a theft. Does not include trespassing on land. Estimates differ from those previously published in the Criminal Victimization. 20 f 8 report because a coding error that affected the generation of those earlier estimates has been corrected. Includes the taking or attempted unlawful taking of property or cash without personal contact with the victim. Incidents involving theft of property from eithin the same household would classify as theft if the offender has a legal right to be in the house (such as a maid. delivery person, or guest). If the offender has no legal right to be in the house, the incident would classify as a burglary. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics. National Crime Victimization Survey, 2015.2019. Prevalence of serious crime Tables 21 and 22 in this report present a person-based prevalence measure to show the number and percentage of persons who were victims of a serious crime. This measure includes serious violent and serious property crimes combined into one statistic. Crimes included in this measure are those for which offenders can generally be charged with a felony offense. Serious violent crime includes— ■ Rape or sexual assault completed or attempted rape, completed sexual assault with serious or minor injuries, and completed forced sexual assault without injury ■ Robbery: completed or attempted robbery ■ Aggravated assault: completed aggravated assault with injury, and attempted or threatened aggravated assault with a weapon. Serious property crime includes— ■ Completed burglary: unlawful or forcible entry into places, including a permanent residence, other residence (e.g., a hotel room or vacation residence), or other structure (e.g., a garage or shed), and involving a theft or attempted theft ■ Completed motor-vehicle theft. The measure of serious crime attributes a completed burglary victimization to each person age 12 or older in the household, and it attributes completed motor-vehicle theft to persons age 12 or older in the household when they were the person responding to the survey on behalf of the household (the household reference person) or were related to the household reference person. CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 22 3502-022 Page 22 of 53 EFIA_00001568 EFTA00156909 The percentage of persons who were victims of serious crime decreased from 2018 to 2019 There were 880,000 fewer victims of serious crimes in 2019 than in 2018, a 19% drop (table 21). Serious crimes are those for which an offender can generally be charged with a felony offense. Based on the 2019 survey, 1.36% of persons age 12 or older (3.8 million) experienced at least one serious crime, down from 1.68% (4.6 million) in 2018. The decline in serious crime was driven primarily by a decrease in serious property crime, especially a decline in completed burglary. The percentage of persons age 12 or older who were victims of serious property crime declined from 1.25% in 2018 to 0.96% in 2019. The percentage of persons age 12 or older who were victims of completed burglary declined from 0.98% in 2018 to 0.73% in 2019. From 2018 to 2019, the percentage of persons age 12 or older who were victims of completed or attempted rape or of completed sexual assault with injury or force declined from 0.09% to 0.06%, a drop of more than 85,000 victims. There were no other statistically significant changes in serious violent crime from 2018 to 2019. TABLE 21 Number and percent of persons who were victims of serious alma 2015-2019 Number olvIctine Type of crime 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019' Total serious al mec 4,793040T 4,708,410 t 4329,5201' 4,63C‘730 3,756,490 1.78%t 1.73%t 1.66%t 1.68%t 1.36% Serious violent aimed 1,063,530 1,092,700 1.170,460 1277,820 1,173,030 039% 0.40% 0.43% 0.46% 042% Rape/sexual assault exd. threats and no-force contact 164,880 131,760 144,280 254320t 168,860 006 0.05 0.05 0.09 t 006 Robbery 375,280 312,310 402,430 363210 337,720 0.14 0.11 0.15 0.13 0.12 Aggravated assault 560,720T 680.770 646,540 694260 697.190 0211 025 024 025 025 Serious property aimee 3,824,5501 3.693,820 i 3,452,530 t 3,443,770 t 2,662370 142%1 1.36%t 127%1 125%t 0.96% Completed burglary 3,083.6401 2,973,8901 2.736,910 t 2,691.120t 2,016280 1.141 1091 1.001 0.981' 0.73 Completed motor-vehicle theft 801.770 802,270 746,630 794,040 663.430 030 029 027 0.29 024 Note: Details may not sum to totals because a person may experience multiple types of crime. See appendix table 24 for standard errors. 'Comparison year. }Difference with comparison year is significant at the 95% confidence level. $Difference with comparison year is significant at the 90% confidence level. aNumber of persons age 12 or older who experienced at least one serious crime during the year. bPercentage of persons age 12 or older who experienced at least one serious crime during the year. %dudes persons who were a victim of a serious violent crime or whose household experienced a completed burglary or completed motor-vehicle theft. For these crimes. offenders can generally be charged with a felony offense. dincludes completed rape or attempted rape. sexual assault with serious or minor injuries. completed forced sexual assault without injury. completed or attempted robbery. completed aggravated assault with injury.and attempted or threatened aggravated assault with a weapon. Excludes simple assault. threatened rape or sexual assault. and unwanted sexual contact (not rape) without force. °Includes completed burglary and completed motor-vehicle theft. Completed burglary includes unlawful or forcible entry of places. including a permanent residence, other residence (e.g., a hotel room or vacation residence). or other structure (e.g.. a garage or shed). and involving a theft or attempted theft. Excludes attempted burglary. residential trespassing• and all other property crimes. This measure attributes a burglary victimization to each person age 12 or older in the household. Completed motor-vehicle•theft victimization were attributed to persons only when they were age 12 or older and were the reference person for their household or were related to the reference person. Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics. National Crime Victimization Survey. 2015.2019. Percent of personsb CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 23 3502-022 Page 23 of 53 EFIA_00001569 EFTA00156910 From 2018 to 2019, the percentage of whites and blacks who were victims of serious crime decreased Based on the 2019 survey, 1.44% of males (1.9 million males) and 1.28% of females (l.8 million females) were victims of serious crime (table 22), which represented a decline from 2018 for both sexes. In 2019, the prevalence of serious crime was higher for males than for females. The percentage of white persons age 12 or older who experienced serious crime declined from 1.57% in 2018 to 1.23% in 2019. The percentage of black persons declined from 2.21% to 1.57%. The percentage of Hispanics who were victims of serious crime in 2019 (1.70%) was higher than the percentage of whites (1.23%) or Asians (0.79%). The prevalence of serious crime decreased from 2018 to 2019 among persons ages 12 to 17 (from 1.95% to 1.46%), 35 to 49 (from 1.82% to 1.30%), 50 to 64 (from 1.60% to 1.23%), and 65 or older (from 1.26% to 1.00%). In 2019, the percentage of persons ages 18 to 24 (1.84%) who experienced serious crime was higher than the percentage of persons ages 35 to 49 (1.30%), 50 to 64 (1.23%), and 65 or older (1.00%). Never-married persons, married persons, widows or widowers, and divorced persons all experienced declines in serious crime from 2018 to 2019. In 2019, the prevalence of serious crime for married persons (1.04%) was lower than the prevalence for never-married (1.62%), divorced (1.84%), or separated (2.58%) persons. CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION, 2019 I SEPTEMBER 2020 TABLE 22 Number and percent of persons who were victims of serious crime, by demographic characteristics of victims, 2018 and 2019 Victim demographic characteristic Number of victims.) 2018 20