Case File
efta-efta00811573DOJ Data Set 9OtherLARGE CABIN GULFSTREAM MARKET UPDATE
Date
Unknown
Source
DOJ Data Set 9
Reference
efta-efta00811573
Pages
4
Persons
0
Integrity
No Hash Available
Extracted Text (OCR)
Text extracted via OCR from the original document. May contain errors from the scanning process.
LARGE CABIN GULFSTREAM MARKET UPDATE
THIRD QUARTER 2017
Pivforriirtnee.
Reptila
GULFSTREAM NEWS
Goodbye and hello - After 14 years of production, Gulfstream is nearing the end the G450 life cycle and is on the verge
of delivering the brand new G500. After 14 years of deliveries, the last G45O is scheduled for delivery in Q12018 and is
currently undergoing completion at the Appleton, WI service center. It will be succeeded by a faster, wider and more fuel
-efficient successor in the G500. The G500 has a max range of 5,000 NM, a max operating speed of Mach 0.925 and
will have new and improved 15,000-pound-thrust
engines. The fifth and final G500 testbed aircraft will be utilized
as the demonstrator aircraft. Certification is expected by the end of this year with the first customer deliveries expected
to begin in early 2018.
MARKET NEWS
Inventory levels of pre-owned aircraft available for sale have continued to decline throughout 2017 and are nearing a
10-year low of inventory available for sale — approximately 8% of the current production aircraft are available for sale.
Despite the continuing decline in large cabin inventory levels (aircraft less than 5 years old), the supply of G650
inventory has remained relatively level over the last year. A combination of increased demand (predominately from the
United States) as well as the manufacturers scaling back production levels have helped give the market solid footing.
AVPRO, INC.
41O.573.1515
900 Bestsate Road. Suite 412
1
Fax: 410.573.1919
Annapolis. Maryland 21401
&mad
tf.arrep.
4....1.04s• 4...1••••• /Or a••••,...enn•
EFTA00811573
Large Cabin Gulfstream Market Update
Page 2
G650/G650ER MARKET
•
There are currently 17 G650's presently on the market, including 5 aircraft that are currently under contract (3 of the
aircraft under contract are not advertised). This represents only 7% of the in-service fleet for sale,
• Current Asking prices range from $47M for a 2013 model with approximately 800 hours to $66.5M for a 2017 model
with delivery time only.
•
During the first 3 quarters of the year, there were only 5 pre-owned transactions (priced from $50M to $63M), but
activity levels have increased recently. Values on the low end of the market have finally dropped below $50M which
is spurring on some of the activity. Additionally, there is a handful of like new" aircraft with delivery time only that
a e discounting their prices in order to find a buyer.
20
15
10
5
0
Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17
=Aircraft for Sale
=Aircraft Sold
-0-Avg Asking Price
$64.000
$62.000 t
560.000
$58.000
$56.000
G550 MARKET
•
27 G550's are currently on the market, including 10 that are under contract representing 5% of the fleet available for
sale. Inventory levels are now 35% lower than Sept '16, thanks to the increased demand. In fact, the average asking
prices have increased over the last 3 months which is something we haven't seen in over 10 years!
• Current asking prices range from $13M for a 2004 model with just under 8000 hours to $35.5M for a 2014 model
with approximately 1000 hours.
• The only reason that we may start seeing the transactions slowdown during the next 6 months is due to most of the
heavily sought after aircraft being sold. Buyers still regularly prefer the "forward galley, crew rest" configuration but
more and more buyers are realizing that the 4 zone configuration, (i.e., the configuration without the crew rest) is
also acceptable considering you can simply designate another section of the aircraft a "crew rest:
• It is widely expected that the G550 will be phased out once the G600 begins to deliver. However, the interest level in
the G550 remains strong (especially with govemment operations) so it's conceivable that production could continue
for a short period even after the G600 deliveries begin.
50
40
30
20
10
0
Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17
=Aircraft for Sale
=Aircraft Sold
4 -Avg Asking Price
$26.000 ,
$25.000 2
$24.000 7
$23.000
$22.000
521.000
$20.000
EFTA00811574
Large Cabin Gulfstream Market Update
Page 3
GV MARKET
•
19 GV's are currently on the market, including 4 that are under contract (2 of of which are not currently
advertised). This is a 171% increase in supply since Q3 '16.
• Aside from an 18,000 hour aircraft asking $6.995M, current asking price ranges from $9.995M for a 1997 model
aircraft to $12.795M for a 2002 with approximately 5,000 hours and Corporate Care on the engines.
•
Year to date, only 4 GV's have sold, all occurring in the month of April.
•
Pricing levels have softened recently which is causing us to anticipate a slight increase in sales activity the
remainder of the year. However, buyers remain cautious of the money that they will be forced to put into the aircraft
after purchase, including cabin management and avionics. Once the work is completed, it would make for a
phenomenal aircraft at a fraction of the price of a new G550, but buyers also realize that these aircraft are now at or
approaching 20 years old, which gives some buyers reason for pause.
20
is
10
S
0
m
m
IN
512.500
512.000
511.500
$11.000
$10300
m
II
$10.000
Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17 Sep-17
Aircraft for Sale
=Aircraft Sold
41-Avg Asking Price
G450 MARKET
-
• 27 G450's are currently on the market, including 8 which are under contract. This represents 8% of the in-service
fleet available for sale.. After rising in inventory by nearly 30% earlier in the year, supply has dropped back down to
the inventory levels at the start of the year.
•
Current asking price range from $10.75M for a 2005 model with just over 4000 hours to $21.5M for a 2014 model
with approximately 2,000 hours.
• Sales activity has been consistent and combined with only 8% of the fleet available for sale. Pricing has leveled off
with no expectation for a dramatic change anytime soon. The majority of buyers in the 6450 market are US based
and are looking for US aircraft, but we continue to see aircraft from overseas being purchased at a discount and
later imported into the US.
40
30
20
10
0
Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17
ion Aircraft for Sale
IN Aircraft Sold
4Avg Asking Price
519.000
518.000
517.000
516.000
515.000
514.000
513.000
AVPRO, INC.
900 Restgate Road, Suite 412
Annapolis, Maryland 21401
410.573.1515
E
-ma
Fax
a:
: alai
=
tarr y. alma
EFTA00811575
Large Cabin Gulfsiream Market Update
Page 4
GIVSP/G400 MARKET
• 33 GIVSP's are currently on the market, including 8 that are under contract. Inventory levels have been dropping
since Q2 with the majority of the buyers looking for later model aircraft, considering the early model GIVSP's are at
least 20 years old.
• Current asking prices range from $3M for a 1993 model with approximately 9,500 hours and engines due mid-life in
2022 to $6.95M for a 2003 model with under 3,000 hours.
• Sales activity has increased this summer, and the average asking prices and relative values have steadied. Buyer's
prefer later model GIVSPs/G400s but even these aircraft have avionics issues to contend with, as well the 16 year
inspection, which is a large inspection for the GIVSP.
so
ao
30
20
10
0
Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17
Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17
=Aircraft for Sale
=Aircraft Sold
4 -Avg Asking Price
$7.000
$6.000
$5.000
$4.000
$3.000
$2.000
$1.000
$0.000
AVPRO, INC. "WHO WE ARE"
Avpro is one of the largest intemational aircraft brokerage and acquisition firms in the world. With our extensive aviation sales
experience, we are able to consistently achieve annual gross sales in excess of $1 billion. By leveraging over 26 years of
experience and cultivating strong relationships throughout the industry, we are able to capitalize on trends as they emerge. With a
professional team of specialists in research, marketing, contract negotiations, and closings, we are able to give each client the
confidence needed to navigate the complexities of each transaction.
AVPRO'S GULFSTREAM TEAM
KEVIN WHITE is the Avpro Gulfstream Market
Specialist. Kevin brings to Avpro a unique and
in-depth knowledge of not only real time market
condition expertise, but also operational,
technical and economic aspects of private jet
ownership. After joining the industry in 2001, he quickly
excelled in many facets such as aircraft sales, operation,
management. Kevin is also an ATP pilot with a type rating in
the Hawker 8001800XP.
VALERIE PEREIRA is the Avpro Gulfstream Market
Analyst. Valerie offers a unique and in-depth
knowledge of sales and acquisitions as well as the
operational, technical and economic aspects of aircraft
ownership. Valerie
began her career as an
international researcher for AMSTAT, subsequently moving into
a Sales support role for Regourd Aviation then Executive Sales
Director for the Bell Helicopter market at Heli-Asset. Valerie is
fluent in English, Portuguese, Spanish, French &
C NBdIRR
ME BAC
KEVIN WHITE
GULFSTREM.I SPECIALLST
VALERIE PEREIRA
GULFSTREAM ANALYST
[email protected]
I
AVPRO, INC.
410.5
900 Bestgate Road, Suite 412
Fax: 41
Annapolis, Maryland 21401
&mail:
tih
A CERTIFIED
MOW
04 • ••4•••• W. • An ...sr
0 NV M Itra44sens
EFTA00811576
Technical Artifacts (5)
View in Artifacts BrowserEmail addresses, URLs, phone numbers, and other technical indicators extracted from this document.
Forum Discussions
This document was digitized, indexed, and cross-referenced with 1,400+ persons in the Epstein files. 100% free, ad-free, and independent.
Annotations powered by Hypothesis. Select any text on this page to annotate or highlight it.