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efta-efta01072417DOJ Data Set 9OtherRI strategic initiative
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RI strategic initiative orking Retreat Pre-reads/handouts
I
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1
EFTA01072417
RI Retreat agenda
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2
2
EFTA01072418
RI team charter
EFTA01072419
Project Charter (I)
Routine Immunization Steering Group: Global Development Program
Team Name
Work Group Goal
The goals of the RI Steering Group are as follows:
- Develop routine immunization strategy;
- Identify resources that can be employed toward RI goals (potential partners, catalytic
funding, voice);
— Identify strategic opportunities for future RI Investments;
— Monitor initial implementation of RI strategic initiatives.
GD Goal this effort relates to
Strong routine immunization systems are the core of our Vaccine Delivery goals
(as listed on the Scorecard I:
— Eradicate Polio
— Prevent re-emergence of polio from either wild or vaccine-derived viruses
— Reduce measles morbidity and mortality (from 2000-2008, 2/3 of reduction in measles
mortality due to RI'
— Save 6.0M lives in 69 high burden countries over 2010-2019 with currently available
(DTP Measles, Nib, pneumo, rota) and new vaccines (malaria)
— Reach 90% of the children n the poorest countries with sustained coverage of vaccines
nationally and no district <80%.
— Achieve the DoV effort.
Work Group
Executive Sponsor
Steve Landry
Work Group Lead:
Acting DD, RI
Violaine Mitchell
Time Frame
Eleven Months: February 1, 2012 — December 31, 2012
Updated on
April 30, 2012; and August 31, 2012
4
EFTA01072420
Project Charter (II)
Opportunity Ratemen&
Justification
Summary
Assumptions and
Risks
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EFTA01072421
Project Charter (III)
>fcctesta
Objectives
Success Measures
• Articulate RI goals
— Within global context
— Specific to the foundation
— Specific to key geographies
• Mmdmize RI resources
— Identify key partner strengths
— SUategiae as to potential external partnerships
— Coordinate with other Internal efforts
• Outline Strategic Initiative In RI
— Identi
Investments
• Ultimately, to achieve the new DoV goals
• Shorter-term Increase in RI coverage in key geographies fic success measures 7B13 on a
initiative basis
6
EFTA01072422
Project Charter (IV)
a
nt.,,,, s ..
Core Steering Group members and their s Pr/ Division
• RI leans
Voters* Mitchell
Man Hanson
Rap Rao
Molly Abbrunese
• INDIA TEAM
Devendra Mandan
• ()then IN) in-country prese
• None
Codaboration with other foundation terns (CD &FM
Steering Group Memberare expected to coordinate across the foundation Gobal Health teams, and vitth
the Gbbal Development ou
t
as appropriate.
Partite
• F MOH In key countries
• Bilateral Donors, such as: USAID. UK/DrID. and Norway
• Other Partners: GAVI Secretariat, UNICEF, WHO. World Bank
Role of team members / staff mann ing sPecifIc activities with
MOH
• Violaine Mitchell, Acting DD for RI, will serve as the key contact person for FMOMs in
key geographies
• Steering Group Members will advise the Acting DD of new opportunities and topics under
discussion with partners
• Acting DD and RI Program Officer(s) will be available to pm/support these discussions with
internal staff and external partners, as requested or appropriate
7
EFTA01072423
Project Charter (V)
Proposed Timeline and Deliverables: 1 year
High-level Milestones for Year One of Routine Immunization Steering Group
Date Complete
Review and adoption of RI Steering Group Charter
2/01/2012
Development of Year One Work Plan
2/01/2012
Meetings with External Advisors
06/2012, 09/2012
Development of Metrics for Project
See Scorecard
Initiation of 3 RI Emblematic Grants
Ql, Q2 2012
8
EFTA01072424
Project Charter (VI)
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EFTA01072425
10
EFTA01072426
Global Immunization 1980-2009 - DTP3 coverage
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Eastern Mediterranean —European
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11
EFTA01072427
DPT3 coverage levels in key geographies
OTP3 covetage (a)
12
EFTA01072428
Trends in DTP3 Coverage in Nigeria, 1980 - 2010
EPI re-launched.
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2005
2010
2015
EFTA01072429
Coverage and risk comparison of DTP3 shows that hardest to reach are
those most in need of intervention
Compared coverage rates and risk by wealth quintile
• Using child mortality rates (1-
59 months) as a proxy for risk of vaccine preventable disease
• Each line represents a single country. with individual points
for each wealth quintile
For most vaccines and most countries, lower wealth quintiles
have higher mortality risks and lower coverage rates — however
the pattern differs between countries
• Assuming infections targeted by new vaccines are distributed similarly to child
mortality. existing programs may miss substantial fraction of high risk children
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=IIIMMEMe tad
Four graphs of coverage by quintile for all countries, recent year. BCG, DPT2, Polio 2,
Measles. Like tableau lower left, but only most recent year
14
EFTA01072430
Case-study of impact of equitable distribution with Rotavirus
Estimated distributional effects of totavirus vx
Rotavirus mortality and coverage curves mortality reduction and cost effectiveness
et
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[repeated 3 times]
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15
EFTA01072431
Countries with DTP3 coverage below 70%
40 countries in 1990
37 countries in 2000
20 countries in 2009
© 2010 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
16
EFTA01072432
Demands on vaccine delivery systems are rising dramatically
Demands on delivery systems are vowing dramatically
Cumulus-4w nulae and volume q vorrines used An imam.- childhood Amenummlion [Myopia
lalanket Rib
10000/0.11
OR KO
101,00.X.1
Total Valw,
OW USD)
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1986
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Swim Welds,/ lelfsels Odom?: el ant aloleesimmallaw.
17
EFTA01072433
Health worker shortfall is affecting immunization coverage
Immunization coverage improves with increased density of vaccinators
90 -
80 -
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0
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20 -
10 -
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Density (per 100 000)
100
WHO esthrolas Vat Inns then z .
MISICOrOpOleeekeelli:traic,-,rases. end RiclatgOOPer100,cr,.
0:0111400 a dal tiberlaCt,
18
EFTA01072434
57 countries are facing a critical shortage of health workers
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r alli
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Canines tort Crital 'Notate of health torten
Countries...ghoul cnbcal shortage <IMAM wodtn
Reaching target levels of health worker availability would roquir
2.4 million additional health workers in critical countries
19
EFTA01072435
Tech wrovelc,
Many technological innovations could improve RI supply-chain, but need
to be effectively implemented/deployed
Temperature monitoring innovations: e.g. VVIA.
freeze-tags. 30-day temperature recorders
IT systems innovations lutuwa diva..• az i
s
•
42)::"Zilleth
IR,'
re:. et...44es S
HERMES: supply-chain modeling tool
EVM+: next generation EVM toc
RFID tags: inventory monitoring too'
Others...
20
EFTA01072436
New touchpoints for vaccination (e.g. schools) have been deployed effectively in developed world
Comparison of school-based versus healthfacility touchpoints in developed world
Coverage raon fat 3 deo:G.11)V
ICO
40
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AV* UK anal USA eau
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UK 4-18 Feteeth.° 0:1,70
CI US 3.1irti
32
In developing world. greater proportion of out-of-school children can be a barrier to
school-based immunizations of school alien:lance
I
UK 3 Ocoee
USA 3 eases
Pray Low
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Chennets,
21
EFTA01072437
Other services often integrated with routine immunization
Health Facilities Integrating Services with Routine Immunization
In 2007 RED evaluated countries)
0 OR POW)
•CcadtN-133I
Wiftn-fl I h i€
-1
Integrated service
• The RI infrastructure provides a platform for the delivery of additional services
during fixed and outreach vaccination sessions
• In both fixed and outreach sessions. the services combined with immunization
varied, even within the same country (see figure above)
• Health facilities report that services are more frequently combined at fixed sites
than during outreach sessions
In addition to straining delivery system with new vaccines. health workers
are also providing multitude of additional services with each interaction
I
22
EFTA01072438
Our initial thinking on barriers to successful immunization
23
EFTA01072439
State of routine immunization today
We have achieved significant Impact
• In 2010. 109 million infants worldwide receive DTP3 vaccinations each year
• 130 countries met the 2010 target of z90% national coverage of DTP3
• More than 2.5 million deaths are averted per year of children <5 years of age
However, an unfinished agenda remains
• In 2010. 19.3 million (-20%) children did not receive some or all of the routinely
recommended childhood vaccines
• DTP3 coverage was below 70% in 18 countries in 2010. only 59 countries (31%)
achieved ≥80% coverage of DTP3 in every district
• --2 million additional child deaths could be avoided if we can reach GIVS target of
immunizing 90% of children < 5 years of age
We cannot afford to be complacent in addressing these key gaps
• RI coverage fell. or remained stagnant in 22 low-income countries between 2005 and
2009
• Hardest to reach children are those most in need of intervention and represent the
most potential lives saved
24
EFTA01072440
Initial framework for thinking about components of routine immunization
Data for decision•making
For routine immunization to occur. three processes must be successful:
• Demand: Individual must be present at the point of interaction where they can
receive a vaccination
• Snonly: The vaccine needs to anive at a designated point of i-iteraction where it can
be administered to an individual
• At the point of vaccination a health worker must actively identify an individual's
vaccination needs and follow the right steps to administer and record the vaccination
In addition, one enabler of routine immunization must be in place:
• Data for decision-making must be collected, analyzed, and used. The data includes
disease surveillance, coverage rates, and other metrics around the RI process
23
EFTA01072441
Demand barriers (I)
Demand
Barrier
Rationale, evidence, assumptions
il
l
p
EdUall1011y 111 orwooen
Slalus.
• Niemen with low educational ilaltr3 may have less aCals 10
eseciad information. as well as lesser degree of socio-economic
(mothers. caregivers) independence. Nils nate,' relates to decisimmialting power)
• Evidence: Often correlated with chid health indicators. cited as risk
factor for lack of vaconation
Political banters
• Chicken who he in conflict-affected areas. or who have recently
migrated from those areas are less 'hely to be vaccinated. Reasons
may range from lack of personal financial lemmas. lack a service
delivery systems. and lack of trust in 'authority.'
• Evidence: TBD
Technology
Operations
Lack of caregiver education
• Rationale: Some caregivers may not realize (or may not have been
about vaccination
told) linen to come back for subsequent doses. and villy* is
important to do so
• Evidence: Cutts S Eliellik (e.g. t0SURS of PaleiMan studyusing home'
based education: study usng redesign c4 ot card to hilllight return
dates and education on importance of full series)
Lack of inkrmatico /Anti-
• Rationale. May stem from misenformation: or from a lack of
vaccine movements int:malice) regarding AtiFts
• Caregivers may
• Some indications that anti-vaccinahon movements are growing with
choose not to have coverage rates increase as people see less evidence of trzEii.
child vaccinated
• Evidence: TBD
Cultural / religious beliefs
• Cultural or religious resistance to receiving vaccination,
• Evidence: TBD
26
EFTA01072442
Demand barriers (II)
IM=
Opera tionS
Cont.)
Demand
Barrier
Rationale, evidence, assumptions
Geography
• Distance to point of vaoariation is a border (often related to line and
finance, but also in its own righl)
• Some geographic areas. we 'off the grid' (e.g. urban slums). and not
accounted for n a designated service delivery area
• Evidence: Cuttstieild pacer; Walt Orensteinn and Stanley Flotiliin
Lack of financial resources
• Delivery system does not account fee the cost and opponunily cost of
binreang to a vaccination of waiting, and of any 'Unofficial' charges
• Evidence: TED
Lack of rpm/van:on
• If no other services are offered at the same silelsame lime. it
not be perceived as weer the cost & time
• Evidence:TED
Lack of btasernaliChld
• Chidren been at home I without a skated birth attendant are les:
lleallh Service UUizalion likely to be vaccinated
• This priori lack of service uttizadon. presumably for similar
operational reasons. spits over into lack of senuse utlizaticei
for imrnortirdtion
• Evidence: TBD
Poo service deivery
• Missed opporkwities. whereby 'lockouts. concerns of wastage rhos
no opening of a new multi-dose vial). or other cancellation of
vaccination discourage completion of a series
• Evidence: TBD
• Drepouts can also be caused by someone having a bad priori
experience at a health censer - ride trealment by a healthcare
worker. unexpected Sees. local vaccine ranchero, ex.
• Evidence: TBD
Bad experience
27
EFTA01072443
Surveys in Nigeria and Ethiopia shows that majority of unvaccination driven by lack of awareness or willingness
Total patient pool IIIIWN gram 1111/11
Main reasons C44•0 BY ratter for chid n04 recemnp vaccine' :
•
•
Nigeria size of unAinder vaotinaied
(All vaccines?
100%
•
Ohio& size ohm.
vactinslims
(Measles vaccines)
Demand
Compliance
Total untunder vaccinated'
• La:444i*
• fee, ado .6140
• Post too fa.
• blew.. mc
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306
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88% 47•-•
04%
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St%
II
Su,
41%
23%
18%
18%
WA
1.4ajOnty of unrunder•
Smni8cani source of
VaCCII130011 unAmder vaccination
28
EFTA01072444
correlated to mothers education schooV9
Primer/
Inforceoalalo
Sezenenr
Unwise,•
40
60
BO
ICO
% Coverage
Mothers education appears to be a positive factor for immunization
Coverage in Khartoum, Sudan
Key findings on education from other studies
• Generally. the studies reviewed suppore“ the conventional wisdom that education.
particularly mothers education, is a positive factor for immunization
• However, the relationship is not always dean and consistent
• e.g. in one Kenya study fathers education correlated well with
vaccination in urban areas and mothers education in rural areas
• In Nigeria. educated people were less likely to immunize their children than
illiterates
29
EFTA01072445
Lack of information on vaccination presents a barrier
Country examples
• Liberia: Over 1/3 of mothers said they were not informed about the return date
• 2008 EPI review in Benin found that one d the pincipal reasons for non-vaccination was
mothers being unaware of the need to return or when or where to return
• In Mozambique. 3/4 of health workers said they always write the return dates on the
child's card, but only 1/4 of the cards actually had the return date written
• However..-i Uganda. 80% of parents claimed that health staff advised them to retsn for
more vaccinations
• In one area of Bangladesh. with a 30% dropout rate. 63% of mothers claimed they were
not informed about the time and place of EPI sessions
30
EFTA01072446
Case study: addressing demand in rural India has more impact than addressing supply-issues only
Note: This is a controversial issue(
Immunization rates by type of immunization camp in rural India
Fuly immunized 1%)
so
30
20
0
%coverage 6%
Avg cost!
child
Note. CCTs •
;34 novas temente/ me mee room
•el+ dewed meoleaten nem epos
6.5x
Control
Reliable
Incentives' + camps only reliable camps
18%
39%
555.83
527.94
V TOD
Key findings
Demand
Improving reliability of services improves immunization rates by -3x.
but adding small incentives improves uptake of by -6.5x
• Primary impact of incentive is to increase full compliance
Offering incentives proves to be more cost effective than purely improving
supply
• Average cost 1 child is actually lower when offering incentives - since daily
fixed cost (mainly health worker salary) is spread over more children
Study indicates that size of incentive does not matter beyond the fact that a
positive incentive is offered
However. coverage still remains very low despite interventions
31
EFTA01072447
Epidemiology of unimmunized child — access
Impact of distance in Khartoum State. Sudan
Impact of distance in Senegal lip Ici-clale irmnunizabon (%)
40
78
60
20
o ..—
WO ire 4 GO inns
Atilt hire a GO mns
40
Full imrriunizalica (%)
so
ro
60
40
93
0
10
Um wain i0 ims
Welk awe a 30
32
EFTA01072448
Nigeria: Closer look at disparities by wealth quintile
Methods
• 2003 and 2008 data
• Analyzed by region. wealth, vulnerability (nutritional status) and time
• BCG. DPT1. DPT2. DPT3.
Polio 0. Polio 1. Polio 2.
Polio 3. Measles
Table show coverage rates of different vaccines by wealth
Quintile
Key findings
• Children in poorer households are less likely to be vaccinated
• Disparities in coverage for all vaccines
100%
90%
80%
>0%
00%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Penegi
Pvcrtc
‘1019 fbc/Ro linen<
Vaccination coverage rates by wealth quintile: Nigeria DHS 2008,
children 12-23 months
BOG
—
OPTI
0012
-
OPT,
Polo 0
—
Polo,
Polo 2
—
Polo
Mooth••
1 figure (most recent year) with multiple vaccines coverage rates by quintile (national)
33
EFTA01072449
Epidemiology of unimmunized child
Demand
Barriers
Utilization difficulties: country examples
Lack of motivation
• In Dhaka. 21% of mothers in one study stated that immunizations were not necessary for thee children
Previous use of health
• Studies in West Africa. India. and Ecuador found that services
families with a history of using health services for other reasons had a much higher chance of having their ch Jr
vaccinated
Poor service delivery
• In Liberia. 30% of mothers commented on the inconvenience of long waiting times
Bad experience
• In Uganda. only a minority (13%) complained about being treated rudely or badly
• After some mothers lose their immunizationThealth cards.
they are scared to go back to the health centers for fear of
being yelled at by the health staff. made to pay for a new card. and/or asked to return home for the forgotten card
I saINIMMI
34
EFTA01072450
Epidemiology determinants of unimmunized child: summary of major
Demand
Major RIM Factors (secondary factors)
ConespendingfrolnforcIng -
Place of residence (rucal cistant front a health faddy)
(family factor)
Insufficient facift es. truela:se selvicer..routreach.
restncledincorivenew servire hours (sernce factorS1
Poverty gamily Ham)
Health marker attitudes and behavior. charges (official tad unaided (service factors)
Mothers' education (family factor)
(Although mothers' education was commonly associated viith ithiHren's immurization status. some
studies found little or even a reverse correlation)
Inthdficienthneffective IEC. engagement with commtably leaders and groups (service factors)
Majer Causal Faders (primary factors)
Cenuperbelna RaInferekia faders
Bad experiences at health facittWoutreach. leadng to fears. negative expectations. and lack of bust ((amity
fader)
Health uerker &dudes and behavior. aide effects. stock
Calls (service factors)
Competing priorities (too busy) gamily Wei)
Restridedfmconvenient hours. difficult access. unreliable serene, (service factors)
Missed opportunities to immunize (sentry factor)
Parents' altitudes and fears (e.g. to have sick chid immunized). although in most cases parents accept
heath staffs recommendation
Feardrumors (Ian* factor)
Insufficienthnertedive IEC. engagement milk community leaders and groups (service factors)
Lack of appreciation of ba.Oc benefit of vaccination
((amity factor)
InthdficienVnertedive IEC. engagement milk community leaders and groups (service factors)
Lack of understanding of need for multiple doses. when and where to return. That immunization protects against
certain specific diseases (family factor)
Poor health worker communication; insufficient/ ineffective IEC. engagement with community leaders and
grows (service factors)
4>Nute• s volt!. 0tlel f won, I
35
EFTA01072451
Summary of papers reviewed shows a significant impact can be achieved by addressing demand generation barriers
COUrIlly (Reg Veile) brarohn 19911191
8de< deStriptiOn
OutcomeS
Demand
Moss .90:nation compagro: stainnary anke ara niobto ~ca Wite or eritioul bW sakmonialon as an
ereceelbe
1201
Zlekla 19911161
En ya 1998
122)
Mån 1997
Ota~ kame. ~rem:Ses (Frør b Semi elias ~ul anta))
'noble kre 'henne« reernateltros 9wri grem atemprtsans.anotersnt ol~n~pbetial
vahnloors !rc« grass »is
0(2.1~1kX4 IDOCt»400t <anwasirs
Trea ~44n.le (Ara ot p» campaien was Mord,-
Segl 1990 kcesed on kor N. fam ~e. and pfinfed ode wl rendnders el nar~
øy end *nem *meina
Propan ol bre veds ()urne~ proerot sen
Mad to 11"0 be oblaten lone eat Scinic ot tolt obo«, and wfl
e roten* ~e ror the okt
1400 pmuoø ol smal colaVatoo mol tøsod CM!.
0111630101110id kir Ia -born va/x*1~ data.
elabfreon
2006[171
2009 LSI
'Smie' Su« corroncelon togrem Modedm men/ ot Vanen) boalinn›LHaimossages (09. MCH.FP.
vaconation) Tre ~au. «odla includod eapboards, enensian døme sen* telciame abedisemenee ~e
spa. pre* a& in naseapen and local
Trne elrechfied Statene binonen mb, kn thourand roande«.
1) CleCUPStn indros +avl ~nov**.
bom ommuenney
2) Focusod on ad als anda sn s ol acnatIon
3) FOCUS00 on hal aztr‘ plan :Muting Øens tor eir, ~la and chtehoad °oste
Ftogu1atmoela.63.3%
1~ raca," carrpapla: 77.1%
Solony vatm ta rnerow.94.1%
',lobb vatn bod inconat 99.3%
Men*, v.:floa
935-19
Bota (I% ~oase) enroene 11" nole~
Tete 122% ~ess)
~nano131K napm)
Notes Ditto.« lo tak study n ~Ila 2000
53.9% Meie)» 64.5% 11993)
Inler~~
~se
59ntol93%
[onkel grip: excoaso 1~ 60.7%lo 93"
Total aro.112A
Ond! poren 67.6% noteromber 68 e%
~tatten anaa 494%
Monen wlio asen" meny Smeng
Sen prabancel «anal bon) moro lloly tron noe bro db nol lo ~pleie OPT ~net» , (90Ins499.1
Note:~ pilstat roro b:61.1kcitio •111.1991.11 ~ia nimm: 20%.~..e efter knoin~-trensfer
OPT: 28.5%inercazo stor knoncer3aoSanster
61~re COVIMILI 811/10..,
36
EFTA01072452
Point of Vaccination barriers (I)
Polic
Tech nology
Barrier
Health worker shortage
Geer/seeing health worker ptiodliss
Policies can result in missed
•
oppccturiliss to vaccinate
(e.g. wastage. oren-vial)
•
Recordng name-based data
•
on •vaccina:ions is lime consuming. prone to ems.
•
and often nsukident to allure backing of chicken in the community
Rationale, evidence, assumptions
• Critical shortages and a high turnover of service delivery and
supply Chain health workers in the poorest counties: ccenpouncrir
by poor motivation and undemerfcemanse—leave poorest areas most underserved
• Evidence: Stale of wono's niceness
• Opportunity cost associated with screening la immirrization.
administering a vaccination. and recording the information con 1
outweighed by need for another competing health service
• Evidence:Stu:0hs showing decrease or vaccinationsduring curahve
care Mils
Include poides against wastage. lack of Wits. facilitating open.v
policies. and lackof clarity at cortdintications
Evidence: Observation and status of VVMs on new vaccines
Difficult to ID patient quickly al health facility if home-based
vaccinatcm card is unavailable
Evidence: DOA and DOS assessments. RED ovals
EFTA01072453
Point of Vaccination barriers (II)
Barrier
Missed opporltnities due lo stock•outs cc nadequale tinning leading to concerns
about wastage or lane contraindications
Civic operations discourage parents ken attending
Rationale, evidence, assumptions
• Evidence: RED evais: presentations by WHO iesnonsi EPI advisors
to SAGE sneering,: Re:Mum on mined opportentes
• Inadequate explanation to parents of hie need to return or when to
MUT
• Negative family experience al a previous health center or outreach
alteManoe
• Evidence: same as above
3
EFTA01072454
57 countries are facing a critical shortage of health workers
4Ia
-
Canines with cella shortage of health Wattn
-
Countries settent touch shortage of heath *odes
Reaching target levels of health worker availability would roquir
2.4 million additional health workers in critical countries
39
EFTA01072455
Health worker shortfall is affecting immunization coverage
Immunization coverage improves with increased density of vaccinators
100
90
80 -
70 -
) 60
50_
40 -
30 _
20 -
10 -
0
10
lc°
-0- Maas
-~ ',Asses
Density (per 100 000)
40
EFTA01072456
a, ,-.3 i: , • 'afar-. .,
4,770,
C".
=4'7 re,
"1"Niv
. vl *n. IIII31,1,r ,
1-"loill i , p 1 1
Data accuracy is difficult to achieve on health facility-based primary records
Records include registers, tally sheets^ clinic copy of health card or family record etc
Barriers to data accuracy include:
• Poor form design (e.g. lack of space: outdated records meaning improvisation is needed for
new vaccines)
• Lack of writing tools (e.g. pencil blunt: biro runs out of ink)
• Mistakes in recording data (e.g. wrong vaccine dose. wrong date. inclusion of children outside —
the target age group etc)
• Deliberate falsification of records. e.g. due to real or perceived pressure to meet targets
• Poor storage leading to lost or damaged (e.g. by rain, rats. etc) records and egisters
Oa
MEMO
1
7
5 .4
r.
I
41
EFTA01072457
-60-70% of all opportunities for valid vaccination were missed
in CAR study
Frequency of missed opportunities for vaccination, by antigen, among the
study sample of 12-23-month-olds. Central African Republic. 1990
% of visits
100
80
40
0
Con
DIM
70
1~
is.,COrtgi
VISis aero vs OCe.“, elgen
• A missed opportonRy for yearn/ben was defined as a VateirtaliOn visit or other health mite visit by a child wnr,
ud not receive arraccinatian for which he or she was eligbie
• Immunization policy in the CentralAfrican Republic encourages the immunizattn of all age-eligible ehildten.
unless they are sick enough to wattanl hosutalitalion (study assumes no hospdatirarpms)
I
42
EFTA01072458
Study suggests that by using all opportunities to vaccinate, full coverage rates could be raised to 65%
Some opportunities were missed even when another vaccine was given
54o missed oppaturolies
OPT'
OPTS
Limas
Antigen
MI % (NSW *two no atiar vocal. was ahem
%ffisr.o3 nennl motor vocal. an' flan
Potential increase in coverage by avoiding missed opportunities during other
vaccination-visits or all visit
% emiage
03
80
0
OPTS
Menke
Al .,.J:rc4
Sesalne noted onyx w0
PCONtlal vrafated dins .003 und
PCONtlal vias wan wad
43
EFTA01072459
Other studies showed % of missed opportunities varied widely 4
by country but generally higher in curative than preventive visits
Prevalence of missed opportunities in
Key findings from missed opportunity preventive and curative visits in ten countries
studies
Cameroon (2.35 nos)
CM (12-23 meal
..nores 023 noel
06464410.23, 4461
2466640-23n-4cl r
—t
. ..ea (12.23 f.>41 y44460494'441
PA4zarn0oue (12-23 fru) ID
Pualo Ro2(2.6006441
Vs6-64.4016 (023 two
AO courdrw• (01
O
20
40
60
SO
100
% missed oppedtmilies
Screening for immunizations at curative visits important
• Studies showed that 'Never immunizec' children were identified at curative services
but were less likely to be seen at preventive services
Alternatively, health facilities should increase the number of days that
immunizations are offered
• Studies in Gabon showed a 2- to 3-fold increase in missed opportunities on days
when immunizations were not scheduled
• In Burundi. missed opportunities were lowest in facilities that immunized at every
health contact (15%), compared with facilities that immunized every day but not
at every contact (21%), or facilities that immunized fewer than 4 days/ wk (30%)
EFTA01072460
Five major reasons for missed opportunities highlighted by studies
Major reasons for missed opportunities
Conclusions
Medan % acrass dudes analyzed (ranee in patendeses)
Failure to administer immunizations simultaneously
False contraindications
Negative health•worker attitude eg Ani, e.,reie are n:o ant.%
atul <v wewomo ftv vt
Logistics problems aP vv MOIWO. poor COW orpmeanan oathaentorternang
parental refusal
3
11%1
22 t7-35%
19(648%)
16(146%)
10(481%1
O
5
la
IS
20
25
Medan %el missed opportunities
Initiatives to eliminate missed opportunities can have significant
impact:
• Missed opportunities were reduced by 8-69%
• Immunization coverage was increased by 10-145%
Recommendations include:
• Use missed opportunities survey:
routinely
• Screen and immunize at every contact
• Administer vaccines simultaneously
• Emphasize true contraindications
• Provide continuing education on immunization
• Reduce fear of vaccine wastage
45
EFTA01072461
Supply barriers (I)
Policy
Barrier
Rationale, evidence, assumptions
Health worker shortage
Inadequate training
Poo- demand forecasting at al levels
Strateges not context spectec
• Critical shortages and a high ttrnover of service delivery and supply
chain health workers in the proofed Quintiles; compounded by poor
supervision and support often resultng in absenteeism and underperformance —leaves poorest Weft most underserved
• Evidence: State of worlds mothers
• Little upitoidate pre-service training for immunization services. in-
senice training is lime-consuming to devebp. thus is ftecroieney out-
of-date. Few a-Learning or text messaging systems avedatle
• CPI managers' meetings are useful for exchanging ink:motion at the
policy level but rarefy provide updates to stall al the lower levels
• Unclear protocols and inadequate training of staff for appropriate
data collection and utilization
• Evidence: TOD
• Vaccine demand brocading is often based on old census data an
last years procurement
• It is rarely matched to end-user consumption
• Eindenca TBD
• Countries and districts face challenges in adapting program
strategies to specific contextdroeds
• Evidence: TBD
46
EFTA01072462
Supply barriers (II)
Barrier
Rationale, evidence, assumptions
Policy
(cost.)
S
Built in buffer stocks are if* large
Parallel systems
Lack o( optimally designed systems liatenal and nternabonal relicts are being very slow
to adapt to the heal-stabrIty of new vaccines
• Current irefficiericies are overcome by maintaining high stock levels
and tolerating high wastage rates
• andence: TBD
• Many vertical meditine supply Chains (vx cold chains). ART. RH.
operating in parallel
• There are also significant management deincentives to init.-gin',
• Evidence:TOD
• There are onty rare projects 01 aitntry policies to demonstrate
efficient and effective vaccine supply chains optrnized for high
performance and low cost rather. current systems follow administratrae sructures
• E odenct• TOO
• HBV. TT. conjugate bacterial, and pentavalent vaccines (minus
pedussis) can be heabslable . but polities constiain vaccination to
sites with functionng cold chain . increasing costs of cold-chain
• Assumption. Abifty to distribute. store and deliver vaccines under
mere flexible singe condticns
• Eodence: Multiple references on heal-stability and heeze-sensitrahe
Project OM:nixie work?
47
EFTA01072463
Supply barriers (Ill)
Barrier
Lack of reliable funding
Donor dependency
Pore financial management.
parlicubdy at lower levels
Lack of discretionary funds at operational boos to solve ombems locally
Routine nvounbarion lacks priority al global level
Rationale, evidence, assumptions
• Inadequate. unpredictable. and delayed release of designated
funds from governments and damn to central and district levels
affects abiley of program lo an and implement RI services
• Evidence Nigeria national stock oul of pad vx in 2011 due lo
late disbursement of funds. Lydon - report on Laos financial
suslainablity pan
• Many countries depend opal outside donors bond the goo's share
of NIP
• Evidence: country share of Funding
• With lore or no budget oversight and accOuntatilly thee, is
hale understandng of the cost drivers of the program and potential efficiencies
• Evidence: TBD
• E.g. Lady authority or petty cash to subcontract to a local sourt,
of transport
• Evidence: RED teals. personal experience
• Evidence No RI position funded at UNICEF HO through regular
resources. <2% of AFRO's immunization budget goes to RI. much or
WHO's immunization program funded through GAtil Rusin< tt PLUM
48
EFTA01072464
Supply barriers (IV)
Polley
(cont.)
Barrier
Lack of information used to guide country dedsion making e around new
product introductions)
Inadequate guidance provided for some new votaries
Inadequate vaccine safety guidelines
Inadequate waste deposes guidance
SE=
Rationale, evidence, assumptions
• Ladled country access to up-to-date information on product
presentation and future pricing trajectories
• GAVI-elgible countries have Mlle choice over vaccine peesertat-
• No detailed mapping of is available of areas with tow coverage
with high drop-oul rates. Opguide and diced irdensifed activities
• Evidence TBD
• Many national immunizalko programs lack policies. guidance
strategies lo deliver vaccines that do not readily lit into arrant
Muth! EPI schedule or louchpoints
• Evidence: Hec,B brth dose should be given within 24 hours of birth.
Men A is largeled to 1.29 year olds n campaign settings. HPV is
targeted to school age population
• Guidance on AEFI training and capaccy needs in countries is weak
and yet wen the advent of newer vaccines (some introduced for the
first lime ei develop-fly countries. given at different age groups. and
through Sins.) AEFI stereillance and response is critical - esoecially
with increasing pressure from anli-vaocire movement
• Evidence: TBD
• No dear policy recommendations on njedicei material waste disposal
• Evidence: TBD
49
EFTA01072465
Supply barriers (V)
Technology
Opera lions
Barrier
Convicting and inadequate information systems
Lack of reliable
ccovnuncation between layers of health system
Lack of information systems
Suboptimal product profile
Infrastructure in place does not match current need
Outreach sessions frequently cancelled or delayed
Supply
Rationale, evidence, assumptions
• Different systems for lopstics and supply chain. stock management.
immunization records. performance monitoring and surveillance
• Lack of birth registry to track unvaccinated children
• Evidence: RED swats; SAGE reports ARISE. Cuttsainth report
• Fixed posts were built decades earlier and population has mount:
subsequently or posts were organized for pontosl reasons rather
than need
• Evidence: personal experience.
• Current information systems to monitor and trap*. vaccine and
irtecton supply stocks from arrival to point of use or disposal are not
being ate not pale or are not being used lo back and mentor vaccine
supplies and utilization from national to peripheral levels
• Evidence: Optimize
• packaging. presentaticn. thermostablity. and dosage regimen could
be inproved for the developing world supply chain
• Evidence: Project Optimize
• Mismatch between ih the ntrnber of vaccination points anditor they
are distributed in a manner oral does riot match up with popidation
needs and the requiernents of the heath service
• Evidence: personal experience. data on WHO heath systems site
• Owing to a lack of funzing or procedures in place to refund out-of-
pocket expenses of health staff iwnunization entrench is often
delayed or Cancelled
• Evidence: TBD
50
EFTA01072466
Supply barriers (VI)
Opera tions
(cent.)
Barrier
Rationale, evidence, assumptions
Inadequate cold-chain
• Al ✓ub national levels in Wieder capacity
• Evidence: WHOWNICEF data; Project Optimize
Inadequate temperature monitoring and reporting
Inadequate maintenance
Suboptimal power supply
Serious transportation issues at peripheral points
Supply Chao evaluation
• Significant variability et the use of supply chain and cold chain
variability assessment tools leading to vanable measured costs across
countries and data gaps
• Endence TOO
• There is an absence of data compled centrally on V3CCitte heat
exposure and no routine data is available at al on freeze exec:sena
al any level of the system Mils indicate heat exposure localy
• Evidence: Optimize
• Cold Ch9in ethipment maintenance lends to be poor feeerythitie
from not wiping down solar panels to hang an effective maintenance organization with skiled staff. transport and spare parts
• Evidence: TBD
• Poor and inxosistenl power supply at planet:anal levels
• Evidence: LARI 2011
• The last 10K are the most dello-ill
• Evidence: TBD
51
EFTA01072467
WHO Immunization schedule
al
friiiri•
-i
r-ez..
,
...wean
Lea
,.
1....7.
”ft...
isimidooen anan•
KO
4.,...to• ay an,
4...0 vft. '
., ... , ..saira nion,
.,....ftioftebanoft
I
I
•
...room Ms
..
...cm; 'WWI
......i....fri..
annowom noein,.. , one
0
hN
MP.
On.afte
1..• ..4".”1"ftlf ihnftss ...V..) p.....
f%,
IN
...so.
oen
•4e,....i, a ....n..
nre
•4 4
•
4 a.m.
I
4 en•nr.f...•.•
4o. Oft•O on
..v.. cc,
-••• •••••Th,
... ft...., ...oft.
I
teitroliortnri
4.10,ffeby OM
•.,..it”nesii n""
I
ter.......01.1
.0,40 &rat On.;
,,..... ft
Ha
I. a,. raY...
10.
....p.m. on OM.
I
......roi.. OM
re
......e. 0774
...ft,..,.
, Pt," curb.
II..
non
"gat
'
o non ne
a
...win, caw
0. 0...*
......, te,
I
anus..
2.....
F..,
tool.. it
0,.....el• • ....
ft...
in.
l
nern ne polo'*. — non.
.,.... in, en nor won, • one.. Fr no . en
---,on
t
en..., nonnt= none..
,
to.,....nen— ,,
I..
•ore
•.I•• ,in•enn ee rDo
e
.
i
eine on mein
2t...1 e en en •o
Fel
',soon..
nen, 1..1 ens eltaftr— fa ft n aftw..0.....ionrom wt.
Owes ft.% z" " iv,.
t011nwliolle•Sallulall
52
EFTA01072468
Country schedules
AnOfien not (countries with vaccine
Introduced I (of 1931010 slaps'
.cciarnenclagons Medi &AIWA..
WA
177 102%1
00130%Y
WA
173 M0%)
88 (45%10
39 120%)
139122Y%
45(23%) acocoel(COniugele
v.
PIN
Reeernmendeffern kir caddren residing M cedOn miens
Japanese Encephalon.
Yellow rove, lecar mrntla tux., /0, chsidten ewne1001-n*acP0P0460^5
Typhoid
Chokra
012%)
33O2%)
WA
WA
0,000014
32 (17%)
125%)
t
A
WA
.,,nendallons for chill, n receiving vs from ,,zatton ptogtom wish WIJ/di CILitaCICYJOICS
Wattreasell
120162%)
131165%
106166%)
•
•
1510%)
0 of country vaccine introductions
(for WHO tracked vaccines') e counties per vaccine
a
•
•.iC
•MCV2
K Piwro ps III IF
Maras cos
!Slane
•
HepA
L. Pans
•
vans
•
nere
E
HPV
-11 lance
M Retahln, dd. (Wef 0 WmV raw 0 rent.** I W Iv wane ,..
•
won. atelt.OJelisealia aryl,* ifrvaXcps I•I••tIlI••tO20,t•-
.r.s pro won sea peva amuses.. cfranrittx it Seta two ow
Di
EFTA01072469
Average Annual Immunization Program Cost per Year
(2009 $USD)
$100.000.000
$90.000,000
$80.000,000
$70.000.000
$60.000.000
$50.000.000
$40.000.000
$30.000.000
$20.000.000
$10.000.000
$0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20092010 2011 201220132014 2015
—Routine —Campaign
Shared —Imm Specific
Total
34
EFTA01072470
Human resources costs a large part of non-vaccine costs
r
1
Human Resources
MCold Chain
Transport
(Surveillance
Training
Social Mobilization
Other
SOttON UOM BMW POION016.041.2011
55
EFTA01072471
Proportion of government funding increasing slowly
Deno 1,1 governmen; tund.ng for •,‘accines and To o!ine Immunization
in 185 WHO Member States-2610-2005
%Vaccinc cvcodehect teamed
*.Roumw imenuninton cp;mblain
I)) th 'ben crtuncom
0mm[d In thc mcntmcni
I00%
90%
60% fe%
g
1 I
0—Sanplc
A‘Cl2gC
Popu
•
wash:.:
Maa r'.
I
56
EFTA01072472
Half of countries financing less than 50% of total needs
Government financing is 42% of total financing
100".
57
EFTA01072473
Today's vaccine supply chain
A network of people and equipment and well established procedures
stivo(t vesc"
PAIL,*
RECORD
ANNUAL STATISTICS
ItStouiryS
ANALYSIS
RIONTIII.T REPORT
C
loZ il
KIIIOUNIS
A
te
•
7:2*
.0
411
VACCINATOR/
NOON. MOORED
KOREN CENTRE
MANUFACTURER
REQUEST
FORSUPPLY f a te, mi l -
AIRPORT
Fri
%
1;1M wawa STORE
DOTRICT/
REGIONAL STORE
Simple, precise
& standardized
58
EFTA01072474
Supply system architecture follows administrative/ political
structure
—
fr Al pots
Pier.ify SIure
—.
National
$ 0-natio al I
-
S
I 3 4
.7
late
Sub-national 2
"K
- to-
C.
4.
II•ofth Centel
NoahCaren
C
SONCO Calvary
5— Oalhory
I -
111=1:isi
EFTA01072475
Vaccine storage recommendations
Primary vaccine store
Up to 6
Months
Intermediate vaccine store
Region- up to
District- up to
3 months one month
Health centre
Up to one month
Health post
Up to we month
OPV
-WC to -WC
BCG
Measles. MR. MMR
YF
Mb freeze-dried
Meningococcal AMC
HepB
2°C to +8°C
(-WC lo-WC oho (*WWI
IPV
DT DTP. DTP Hep B
Hb liquid
Td
TT
+2°C to +8°C
Never Freeze !
+2°C to +8°C
EFTA01072476
Data suggests that vaccine effectiveness is impaired by age as well as logistics issues
MCVI Vaccine Effectiveness by age of administration and select WHO region
1E0
77 1
•
•
96 1
92
92
77 1 1
AFR
SEAR
EUR
GUDE
4 92%. >12 ma a vo 1-
Generally lower VE estimates in AFR and SEAR hale been 'Orbited by studies to
pagearmialle differences including cdd chin Sues. eadeepate vaccine handing.
pow vacdne stooge. ad inadequate wain* adriiristralion
Age a:
altnnistraton apmars to have signfloant inosel an
MCVI VE
9411 moneys
3.12mouge
61
EFTA01072477
Legacy from the early EPI days:
arr
Focus on enforcing standard practices in a robust infrastructure
• SOPs for all aspects of the programmes
-
Simple rules and procedures/guidelines
-
Easy to convey through cascade training
-
Easy to remember and monitor
• Training large numbers of staff
Training materials, large numbers of training courses, cascade training
- Focus on mid level managers and health workers
- All partners engaged in supporting/conducting training sessions
• Health Care workers trained to follow SOPs not to make decisions
- Keep vaccines cold ! (freezing occurring with TT and DTP but because freezing point>
were low, freezing was not a real concern until Hep B was introduced)
Vaccine management rules:
Discard vaccines vials open at the end of the session
Discard vaccine vials taken for outreach and returned unused
Open a 10 dose vial even if only one child comes to the session to avoid missed opportunities
High rates of vaccine wastage was encouraged (acceptable for penny vaccines but is no
longer)
WM can help change paradigm - this is still not exploited in an optimal manner to move
towards a more flexible and efficient supply chain
EFTA01072478
Changing environment -
More vaccines with diverging storage requirements
Heat sensitivity
Most sensitive
2
LOBS sent:!
Days 7 at 37°C
14
30
Traditional cold chain
u)
ca a,
-J
Soutec hfiltben. J. TechN6421 ConsOation • 2006
Freeze sensitivity
EFTA01072479
Prices and packed volume pre dose have been increasing over time
DTP Mesas wµ1 rm Prteumo Rots rmw•
5
0
7D
10
Yon. Kenny
IND ION
2000
2000 art. De< a DroDY'ReDi It wf .teans pea Pun DI a...
OP•MOCI Kludge (CM30016:44.1
' UNICEF ad PMIO -
Plard sesame Nos
••CMH Pilo DVD*011000)
64
EFTA01072480
Supply chain strained by new vaccines
Figure 1: Demands on vaccine delivery systems are rhino dramatically.=
Demotes on drWorey swami am growing onwiterkelly ram— sic &tomtit/1P 00 ratan inns.
MSS awkilbad.mwtt.
oar No oar
11119113
10.1•1•1
Voloaddlow
1101WWIIMpoll
P.vaS•ft
••••.<4•11 mart misfile lorw*Aart
Ski
tom iSW NW MC IS nt• rn Iffl lfK IS WO an 2004 2000 000a 200 NW $01
• Plierad Ilipedbabi
• New and inaeased•volume packaging require more storage space and baking / supervision on
disposal
• Hq.er cost of vaccines increases financial risk and exacerbates fled of MO wastage
65
EFTA01072481
Commodi y Logistics System in Kenya complexity genres el 4
,
Fob For oninmeAlina
Prom•••••••
AsonUnad./ lanent anili
Amnon-ID
•441.1.1.11
t
401.• let I.
00••••••
sn
OnIAP
A
TB( litr••7 oh, sare
Man.n.
I
utacts
•
S
ERZ
C
C
Q1A
A108. TB
I..
maw
MEN kiCOS wsl
POPIILS Man
66
EFTA01072482
Best practices: SCMS regional distribution centers run by
PEPFAR
SCMS regional distribution centres and coverage
Management of warehousing and distribution - could be outsourced to parastatais and autonomous supply a? Uncles
67
EFTA01072483
Enduring weaknesses- EVM assessments in 24 countries lvM Ptionaty Intl
IM
so
60
40
0
U
12
0
14
81
C6
82
88
19
100
so
60
40
20
EVM SubNallonal level
L1
L4
45
IS
P
to
19
1-Arrival ; 2-Temperatures: 3- Capacity: 4 Infrastructure; 5- Maintenance; 6- Stock Mgt
7- Distribution: 8- Vaccine mgt; 9-Information Sys
80 % is considered as the score of an effective system
EWA Lowest Doling level ice
80
60
90
20
fl
f5
IA
IS K
f7
to
(9
EVM Service Mot Level
100
so
60
1
1S
l0
20
0
Cl
to
IS
IS
Cl
1$
T
EFTA01072484
Effective Vaccine Store Management metrics
• primary • intermediate • service point
69
EFTA01072485
Two highlighted interventions to address issues
Optimize (WHO, PATH partnership with funding from BMGF)
• Since 2007 has aimed to use technological and scientific advances to guide the development of new products and
ensure maximum efficiency and safety in the field
• e.g. passively cooled produce-delivery carts, battery-free solar
refrigerators
Vaccine Presentation and Packaging Advisory Group (VPPAG)
• Provides forum for representatives of UN agencies, experts
involved in public sector delivery of vaccines, and industry
representatives to discuss vaccine presentation and packaging issue
• Originally run by GAVI in 2007 to deal with new pneumo vaccine, now run by WHO and expanded in scope to address
HPV and other pipeline vaccines
70
EFTA01072486
Aspects of transportation affecting effectiveness and efficiency
*9 mxor !op/ erNo:ia•.:
ricrper. to:
Mix of vehicles
[
sen
Lively
WHIM at mimeos le • doses rm.
_
patbeis soon in motile dole)
VW* 0(101a!
veherpt/ in vocreong order
Avadabaity mg Waif COUP.
Iu
mows.
mentenar03.
rep PC el cost of running
Health impact imPrri On Man. 5t50/11I,P pled /
Mingo:pre, Waite GM/aryl nITIresof in weed rrerbe, 'end mTlq
Noes done
Witted cot rd..eled
Per We edeirrerytriPine ean500e00 µ.loon$ reach defirnaf on the of
Sticks eri
Who goes parfOrinie to Iran,
•
71
EFTA01072487
Comparison of transportation efficiency measures across ea_ two countries and two vehicle types
411vDt* ■0...tr a
Km
Running
Total cost vehicle
Mgmt cost I km
I km
Availability
Utilization month
Stele
1
013
_J
NO.05 006
006 015
Yinhyol
ao
OW
00
01
0.2 00
05
10 0
S
S
50
100
0
50
100 0
1200 4.000
0
%
bwlvekkblms.
Mgmtscoati
Ghanaian resources aro around 50% more effective than the Cote
d'Ivoiro transport resources in most efficiency measures
72
EFTA01072488
Planning vaccination services and managing resources needs improvement
• Emphasizing low vaccine wastage (e.g. only vaccinating one day a week: not opening a multi-dose
vial for few children) may mean more missed opportunities
Poor stock control and lack of transport for vaccine cksbibution meal stock-outs are common
Mothers fumed away because of stock-outs. attendance on days not designated for vaccination.
outreach team not arriving on time. health workers concern about vaccine wastage or false contra.
indications. may be discouraged from returning
• Children who are vaccinated are not always protected, as inadvertent freezing of freeze-sensitive
vaccines is now more common than damage by excessive heat transport of vaccine to outreach
needs to maintain appropriate temperatures for heat-sensitive and freezing-sensitive vaccines
• Lack of planned preventive maintenance greatly reduces the working life of transport and cold chat
equipment
• Projects have demonstrated increased utilization rates of transport by improving transport police'.
(e.g. using most cost-effective means of transport) and maintenance
• Effective Vaccine Store management (EVSM) evaluations since 2000 constantly identify the need for
more, higher-grade and better-trained logisticians to plan and implement efficient vaccine supply
chain management. especially now that expensive new vaccines are being introduced.
• Refresher training must be updated and repeated due to frequent staff turnover.
• Governments need to create posts for logistics and transport managers
• The best mix of strategies (e.g. daffy vaccination at fixed sites: reducing missed opportunities: using
most cost-effective transport and human resoisces) needs to be evaluated in different settings
EFTA01072489
Distribution of clinics versus population density and DPT3 vaccination coverage highlights problem areas in Nigeria
DPT3 Vaccination coverage
Cri
Population & clinic density
74
EFTA01072490
GAVI-countries rely on GAVI for new vaccine support
-r
a of applications approved and recommended for approval (cumulative)
180 a 160
E 140
*T„, 120
= °100
80
a
fit. 60
'3 I 1
0 0
40
20
0
■
1
M
■ FtOtavirus
•
Pneumococcal
•—•
—
Measles 2-, dos,
I
I
F
Yellow fever
Mil
I
g
m
_
_
■
Hib containing
M
I
M
I
k
m
I
I
•
Hepatitis f.
2000
2001
2002
2003
2000
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Year
75
EFTA01072491
Data for decision-making barriers (I)
Policy
Technology
Barrier
Inadequate IlACI (integrated management of childhood ifnesses) policies
No national poky of using a general homebased 'health card* for al health
interactions
Difliculty knowing vx status for dedren who are ill
Difficulty in diagnosing aetiological agent of disease syndromes
Cause of death dab ere very difficult to obtain in low income countries
Rationale, evidence, assumptions
• Ikta policies don't emphasize (a) need to bring health:.
card lo outpatient care. (b) need to use all opportunities t•
chid for vx. including attendance for curative care
• Evidences rthiewol NCI training
• Need card that captures al health services (e.g. growth =flirting.
vaccinations and sick visits).
• Would help reduce rested opportunities and monitor vaccination
status of children with VPDs
• Evidence: redone, experience
• Vaccination status of daltren who are it is often unknown
(bit vx card often not bought) or not recorded (bit Poe' of health worked)
• VPO surveilanoe therefore often lacks into on vx status c'
which could be used to asses vx effectiveness
• Evidence: personal experience
• Difficulty ie diagnosing aetiological agent of disease syndromes lie
diarrhoea. sepsis and pneumonia makes surveillance complex to
organize; only feasible in sentinel sites
• Evidence: personal experience
• Poetrbly need technology to improve autopsies (poletriallY Plot •
modem detection of infectious agents)
• Need improved completeness and quality of death registration
• Evidence: Personal experience
76
EFTA01072492
Data for decision-making barriers (II)
Technology
(colt.)
Opera tions
Barrier
Improved methods are needed to record infamatign on M of vaccine-dose
ccoduinatons each child has receiver(
Lack of inexpensive Geldbendy antibody assays
Lack of communications technology
Lack of data toallow highlevel managers and policymakers to plan and manage
vaccination points ellicieray
Inadequate disease uneaten:a
Inadequate skills and resoutes to conduct ussd outbreak investigations
Rationale, evidence, assumptions
• For surreys. infer-nation is usually obtained via home-based records
• For admirrstrative data. the numerator may be taken from tally
sheets, but what is recorded on those tally sheets depends on what
was on the health card when the chid was vaccinated
• Evidence:TOD
• Needed for use in finger-prick blood spots or oral fluid reduce Vit.
potential to use serosurveinance and model resulting data to
estimate impact
• Evidence:TOD
• Needed to track (and reduce the eminence of): 'Nor:louts' of
vaccine. transport. fuel. or health waken
• Evidence: northern Nigeria piled project? RED evaluation
• Dab on population movements. urbanization etc not easily available
and not matched with data on physics infrastructure (roads.
eactricity eb), communications and other planing rectrirementx
• Evidence: Personal experience
• Constrained by due to Oeflicient use of tools. lack of skiled
motivated human resources: lack of laboratory reamer:es. lack
access to curative care fa sick chicken
• Evidence: F Cutts Landscape analysis on surveillance for EnAGI 2D::
• Inability to determine causes of outbreak (Wire to vaconale vs
vaccine failure) or root causes r rick factors
• Evidence: TOO
77
EFTA01072493
Data for decision-making barriers (III)
Barrier
Rationale, evidence, assumptions
Operations
(coot.)
Overall
Inadequate monitoring of numbers. dianbution and maintenance of inputs
Inadequate AEFI stemillanze
False perception that coverage equals population protection
Inadequate skins. motivation and co-ordination to relieve and use data
• For heath services metrics (e.g. infrastructure. health workers. transport)
• For vaccination program metrics (e.g. cold chain. vaccines. suppliet
• Monitoring systems need to be integrated and adequately supervised
• Evidence: IRAN retools. Cutts & O e11k report. Project Opt
• Limited by same constraints as above as well as • ladt. , '
dissemination of dear definitions for AEFIs
• Evidence: TOO
• Need also to know vaccine effectiveness or surrogates of VE Ie
vaccines stored and transported under temperatues that do inactfrara them or reduce their potency
• riddance: TOO
• Inadequate combined reviesn of data on larger population. inpx.
outputs and impact. Wadequate use of information for action
• riddance: TOO
78
EFTA01072494
Comparison of WHO and DHS for DPT3
WHO and DHS coverage estimates for
DPT3 in 11 countries emaitn1 Draw. asa,ar.
Data DX 04(4400.
nuMlny
Key observations
• DHS coverage tends to be lower
• OHS not influenced by administrative data
79
EFTA01072495
Advantages vaccination and coverage
Disadvantages of methods to measure
Data maddtalon•
Disadvanuus.
Rased
I electronic) i an cue complete and mcorme intitimumi on cumulative vaccination
claim. of individuals alb] populations fan he used to set appointment,. issue
reminders and recalls.
Cre of ebb:tonic rystenw could reduce tinw rpm on paper registers tout am
widespread in low income COnntrICI. and often not used
Need good eomp tit': c zccc,
Need complete drib registry for we &nominal°.
Need unique In ILLUIII/Cf throllf*IIII lift
If held locally. dilficuh to track rumination of migrates
If held nationally. feedbocletme at local level may b:
slow
Requires adequate funding and human resources
Need secure ploccdurerm nuMain confidentialky
Routine coport of
-. accinations delivered
Simple in conception
Continuous infomution alkros monaoring of cumulative coverage through
the year and by districhhealth facility
Can he used at local kcal to track coverage and dropout rates
Population denominator.. often inaccurate
Priv me SOMIr ohm does not recur',
Exaggeration of asses administered common le.g.
double-counting of same child if home-based recoil!
mislaid. inclusion of children outside target age musk or purpueful evEgeratioM
Transenmion errors at each health system level when runcebosed wstemt. used
Surveys
_population
If well conducted. can pmssate accurate information
Other indicators (e.g. missed opponunilick caretaker kw-whilst:lean be
assessed
Involvement of health woders can to teaming copodunity lamenn etc inine)s kw multiple
programs can reduce cosh.
lot quality sample surreys can he used
to identity health facilities and low coverage subunits
ACCIOJCy of Jam depends on adequate surrey design.
training. suparbion and quality control
Sampling frame often based on nutdatcd census inform.uion nigh rick subgroups (e.g. migrams. street children,
nuy be missed
Iloarebased remit may be mitring or incomplete mil accuracy of verbal history of vaccination varies
Panic ipmion rate affects reliability of mutts fallen long delays moil results arc known.
Small sample sates give imprecise results: Large sample sires arc expensive and more hmewomuntinv
cm. se. 4 ...•••• onn kuono 1
80
EFTA01072496
Draft conclusions on state of coverage
Dora for decisionmaking
Ogg.: ot challenges are:
• Rape ly changing population demographics. e.g. urbar zation. changing birth rates. Want survival rates. chant:jag
stonily settings
• Polcal context of denorninala measurement
• thmsbarnts on high.qualliy survey implementation especially in politically unstable countries. conlielaffected
areas. and urban slums
• Increasing cornpexity of vaccination schedule inaeases chances of errors in recording 8 compting numerator de,
Ways to improve coverage estimates:
• New or improved siereY methods can be developed. but wil only address parts of the problem (i.e. can reduce
serection bias (though security constraints may persist), can reduce but not ekrin.the observer bias. and can
airwave data management).
• Fuller analysis of existing data can Sao improve coverage estimates (e.g. combining data from routine reports and
surveys into models (Lassie!)
• Registries may be longterm solution but are CiffiClit to implement even in righinccene countnes
• %Welber measured by survey or other maws. accurate completion of primary records of vaccination is assentor
lit regimes strong managervant and superrocon
To decide where to invest. need to determine priorities for use of coverage data:
• Asa tool to estimate poputsbon protection. coverage a limited by assumptions about •vaccine effectiveness and
thus a not sufficient
• Triangdate data on vaccinations with data Wen effective vaccine management assessments. surveillance. outbreak
iwasligatens. and special strides (e.g. case contra slides) to obtain fuller picture of program impact
• Asa tool to identify under-served populations for local (e.g. district)usa. coverage is very helpful and existing
methods are adequate if implemented welt
• Investment in improving recording and transmission of data on vaccinations. and strengthening managerial use and
feedback of data. wil improve all methods of measurement
111====
81
EFTA01072497
Data quality audits show 48% of countries have a poor verification factor
Data from Data Quality Audits (DOA') conducted between 2002.2005 in 41 countries
40%
no
2r%
I Mg NM WM mainorniromitentireratimi IItn ar4iniadseigiwa.=vtiutimpimpit
IIIIIIMIJIIII iiiiiJiMiliil WI II or.
0"
lailliielS1 URIIIIIIIIii! hal
ILMININIIII
I IIII i
0,4 lin Mal
2r4
SIM
§
gi
li t §g
11011101raMMICAMEJNI1
- . 5%
MN/
CI
INni
46% of countries obtained a VF (verification factor) below 80% (needed for continued GAVI support
82
EFTA01072498
Weaknesses in the information systems apparent at all levels WENN
Immunization reporting system quality guidelines
% of countries
% of districts
% of health units achieving
[repeated 3 times]
VSO Of computers 10 manage ellMtaltann data
103a
41
Use of drawers denominatces accordng lo year to cabman DTP3 we .A
4,
Vaunts ledgers are tp )3 clota tor TT
54
r-76
_q
oencoiratogs for DTP3 (*Anal wading 10 WHOO8AnlhOnS
92
WA
[repeated 3 times]
PubliCalkon MO immtwoz8C01 0848
B2
1 Se
',acmes ledgers are tp to date foe DIP
_ .I
70
.T3
Existence of data reporting guidelines
74
89
WA
reeflOsch On immunizaten laloser level
it
53
t,
-
Integf8tOrt Min. reporting 8,18/0081 from hILIS tO fliStriCI level
61
Intagraton dem. reportng systems from dolma to national level
56
WA
Existence of charnel* showing immunization partcananoe indicators -a5
63
56
Mcnaorino COPTI.3 drop cut 1810
EXitt8000 M OtiWolOOS 10 report AEFI
C000CI OSIIM8401 of vaccine wastage
Doncfronabrs used at national and dstncl levels woods
Existence of gurdelnes to deal web laeo roponng
Avaltablity Of Conant taly sheet, kg OPT
Avaltablity M reports
Existence avaccine ledgers
:36
32
*
32
•
14
▪
I3
WA
[repeated 3 times]
O
50
100
WA
WA
4M.
59
_
46
.)
1
r31
64
WA
60
WA
WA
87
0
50
ID)
WA
WA
W
8 ..
E
65
56
0
50
100
83
EFTA01072499
However. countries have demonstrated ability to improve
Verification Factors
Compared performance of countries that undertook two DOAs across 2-3 years
VF
10)
I
Ikrti+af
t.
Carewc,),
Ounoa
PM" 03A VF
Curregt 00A vr
Nona 1
84
EFTA01072500
Indicators to monitor immunization program performance
Program
Indicators component
% d vaccinated cisldren (if routne reports are used. OTP3 taken as proxy)
ulputs
% drects with >80% OTP3 coverage in infants'
% districts with (390% measles vaccine coverage in infants'
% of planned outreach seasons that were conducted on schedule
:uluery:
% of planned fixed site sessions that were conducted on schedule
Access to
% of chiiiren up-to
-dale (BCG and DTPIn:eel) by age 2 months ,vices
(lacking
'Dropper- difference in percentage receiving DTP1f0PVI and either DTP3e0PV3 or measles
actenties raCtine
Use of all
Percentage of children receiving all vaccines for which they are elgibe al each visit
opportunities
Safety
Proporton of districts that have been suppled with adequate (equal or more) nurribee ite AM
for all routine immunizations during the yea' igistics and
Proporton of districts that had no interruption in vaccine supply'
iuld chain
Percentage of facilities storing vaccine at recommended temperatures
Vaccine effectiveness in expected range We each vaccine everualed
Transport'
Klometerdvehide or motorbikeirronth thigh km • high utilization)
Percent use for service deivery and service delivery support (hgher•more effective)
Poficy of panned preventive maintenance (PPM) & % PPM activities conducted
Full cost per km (low cost • more efficient use of vehicles/instal:dies)
% expected detect disease surveillance reports recereed al national level'
Sumeiltance/ ron's:ring
% expected detect coverage reports received at national levee
Managenwnl
Country has 5year immunization plan and supervision % dregs having miapplans that include immunization actreffies'
% cistricis that did >t supervisory iisit to all Health facilities in last year'
2ideder
Proportion of providers who know and follow recommended guidelines. inducing those on
ituncedtref simultnnecus administration. contraindications, and sale injection procedures
3 ri
85
EFTA01072501
S6
EFTA01072502
For most survey respondents, goal-setting had strong coverage
component
Whether as a discrete strategy or coordinating entity and from your vantage point what would
you propose as the overarching goal(s) of RI investments at the foundation?
Sustainability also a recurring theme in goal-setting
(but spelled in many ways()
Yt
—
erep
RIB
ir2,1 ce."-11'=-17 improv_ xis*.
*Di me4ff:tern:::
.
w
programs wrirr' eli i plarteemr seams wheave 14 ell merlon coverage
'Size of words correspond to frequency of use across responses
Note: Includes surveys completed through
1/31; will share full version on Monday
87
EFTA01072503
Survey respondents generally set four different categories of goals
Improving Coverage
'cyst
©Improving the RI system and data
©Achieving health impact
ORnating
Founded/an goals ,,rd 10 l'eSt P,PAII0n3
• Cantle rmmstrnerent•
61, 91 owl teensy
• WHO/ ntIldbin al
• AI ;nail 9)% 41 WI pray
Oe-,a,yriosae IndI Hixee
•
Performame of RI wsie-rn
Baling sustainable pe,th
F.x.inare Ma control
Wthnit an RI Vtalegy
%upon, nths
Ma erwing coverage al
PnXialles le ellen for
Mere enianewn thrower, are Palteta,
*anionic., el VPOs
• Cried pawl Wanes ewmaion a,y leharin
• DM In all rlistentsal
• Innemeniwawcw.
Wanton SIM art RI
• Chicken eclat one. wren of eNla boothg age.(ain posse,/ adalescorta)
• Per GAM goes rerun
• Greater ofitdoncy one
(Wanly (V audante eIwd imemaiome neon br CO.
• Swat pea ennosem
• Uninbrsal
PrceraT.
• CoweeesxM 1.91, infant
=Malt/ fates de le VPDs
• wero..re Caber/
OPIX080,4 whew needed
• UpdringeroaarninnasAlem
• HOnxtden. Icenerlorming armlet"
• WPM'" cod <non and legelas
• 'lake of be unarms onlne
• Icopraed program cnanagemem
• Achieve eeprty n *Nemec,
• Impratd *InmatesCl
• Foam on WM embed 0-9 nee waCCr415
YAM' el On Moray
• INIMOMINIO RIOr:terra
Event/one wants to improve eeverege, but
Note: Includes surveys completed through has Monet Ideas en where to leas
1131: will share full version on Monday
88
EFTA01072504
Internal and external interviews reveal key themes in where people think
the foundation should engage
External (n = 3)'
Strong alignment on foundation's role in advocacy
The (your) voice to motivate the donor community to loved in systems.'
Support governments building cepaeity
(and sustaushg thin the health system.' help LMlCAIIfCs get enough information to
aegoasle effectively with menufactu fen.'
Poacyrnalters !idea to (the co-charsl cOrrefenny... ITheigperspeetive is valuable
and powerful? (2 people)
One interviewee also highlighted foundation's intellectual leadership
•
-(BIAG') is very good a! rhattenging our assuatithimutttomIlhirfield.paniculasly on
togistics management.'
Internal (n = 4)
Strong alignment on foundation's role in advocacy and supply chainllogistics
•
lisc the to-ct:w voce to make RI a priority_ for countries.'
•
'Bring partners together to work on this issue. but to do so we'd need to have some
skin In the game.'
'Focus on the supply chain: (2 people)
Direction less clear in data improvement and human resources
• Improve immunization data.' ( 2 PesPle)
• We can push others to hnorove rantrirt-
• ;Success of sysavn is based on human management. we need to toothier whether
tie ham a fore. and if so, bow to be MSc initurnsannagrams.at "(2peopt)
I
89
EFTA01072505
Foundation investments to date that are relevant to RI
90
EFTA01072506
Ongoing efforts at the foundation have largely focused on supply barriers
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Total funding of grants SISLIt• reeding lo Rt. -$22.7M
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92
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Summary
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m
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'Sano‘e g03014 -may n0400 Cenorenen8ht
94
EFTA01072510
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