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efta-efta01193595DOJ Data Set 9OtherFrom: Vahe Stepanian
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Unknown
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DOJ Data Set 9
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efta-efta01193595
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From: Vahe Stepanian
To: [email protected]
Cc:
, Paul Morris <
>,
Subject: Re: Biotech Sell-Off.... [C]
Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2014 17:44:42 +0000
Inline-Images: unnamed; unnamed(1); unnamed(2); unnamed(3); unnamed(4); unnamed(5); unnamed(6); unnamed(7);
unnamed(8); unnamed(9); unnamed(1 0); unnamed(I I); unnamed(12); unnamed(13)
Classification: Confidential
Jeffrey - following up about your biotech holdings with an updated chart - current price ato -1:40pm EST today.
Description
Trade Date
Quantity
Current Price
Unit Cost
Market Value
Unrealized G/L
SANGAt40 BIOSCIENCES
5/28/2013
50,000.00
$
17.86
$
8.44
$
893,000.00
$
470,786.00
MOGEN
2/14/2012
2,095.00
$
307.34
$
119.55
$
643,877.30
$
393,422.35
FOUNDATION MEDICINE
1/13/2014
25,000.00
$
34.45
$
27.51
$
861,250.00
$
173,586.50
GILEAD SCIENCES INC
Multiple
8,100.00
$
73.42
$
79.41
$
594,702.00
$
(48,502.00)
ARIAD PHARMACEUTICALS
Multiple
16,535.00
$
7.66
$
17.60
$
126,658.10
$ (164,339.30)
Total Biotech
$3,119,487.40
$ 824,953.55
Please let us know how to proceed. Depending on your view, will look into unwinding, hedging. or adding to your exposure.
Thank you,
Vahe
From.
Jeffrey Epstein <jeevacaliontggmail.ccm,
To.
Tule Smill
l
03/25/2014 09.42 MI
Subject
Re: Biotech Sell-Off.... (II
remind me tomorow remind
On The, Mar 25, 2014 at 7:30 AM, Tazia Smith <
> wrote:
Classification: For internal use only
Jeffrey -
Biotech posted sharp declines. You are up $970,2.82 across your basket of names as of yesterday's (3124) close
(detail below along with chart of Nasdaq Biotech Index and your holdings). Consider unwinding or hedging now and
watching for entry point via total return swap or zero cost risk reversal as this negative momentum bottoms out. Note:
Ariad an outlier (incrementally positive news on drug, Iclusig).
The Financial Times features an article this morning suggesting that the sell-off in Biotech is a signal of a broader
market peak.
A letter from congressional representatives to Gilead questioning its plans to sell a hepatitis C drug (named Sovaldi)
for $84,000 per dose has put the spotlight on Congress' concerns that the expense might saddle state Medicaid
programs with steep costs. US is the only major health-care market remaining without any meaningful drug price
controls — increased risk for the sector once the Congress gets involved, especially if focused primarily on pricing.
EFTA01193595
NBI Index
Description
Trade Date
Quantity
Last Prices Unit Cost
Market Value
Unrealized G/L
SANGAMO BIOSCIENCES
05/28/2013
50,000.00
$
19.80 $
8.44
$
990,000.00
$
567,786.00
BIOGEN
02/14/2012
2,095.00
$ 312.60
$ 119.55
$
654,897.00
$
404,442.05
FOUNDATION MEDICINE
01/13/2014
25,000.00
$
36.40
$
27.51
910,000.00 $
222,336.50
GILEAD SCIENCES INC
2/5/14, 3/7/14
8,100.00
$
72.13
$
79.41
$
584,253.00
$
(58,951.00)
ARIAD PHARMACEUTICALS
2/14/12, 1/24/13
16,535.00
$
7.60
S
17.60
$
125,666.00
$ (165,331.40)
Total Blotec $3,264,816.00
$ 970 282.15
Nasdaq Biotech Index - lyr Price History
NBI
( 2499.44 -77.77
Or 24 Mar
0 2587.92 F 2587.92 L 2434.16
2499.44
Actions •
-FA Edit -
Table
"
-4.-"ara
DriSfID13
03/2S/2.314
ID
Last Pnce
I?
5.
Max
:a t! •
4
Z: 5.e:1:1"5.
Track
/ Annotate
News
, Zoom
I
• Last Price
2499.44
•
T High on 02/25/14 2854.26
A.-Average
2155.07
.1 Low en 03/25/13 1619.16
• Volume
83.00M
L■ SMAVG (15) 62.3 M
Line Chart
"EDI"
0
Volume
2800
p- moo
2499.44
P. 2400
2200
•• 2000
I-1800
• 1600
Jun
Sep
2013
Dec
2014
Mar
Ariad - lyr Price History
ARIA US
S
Market
K7.86 /7.88K
15x10
Prey 7.60
Vol 171 991
EllirM
a
'•
•••Pr
e'lfiirrntain
Last Pria
=Mr ,
:"”"c
MINE
ID
3D
IM
•*-
1Y
zd
. 1
, •
•
C S•curity/Sta
Track
• Annotate
4
News
CL Zoom
. ip• Volume
0.172M
L • SMAVG (15) 11.128M
Line Chart
C
20
15
10
Biogen - lyr Price History
EFTA01193596
FMI US
ui
OS/24/2011
18118 US
f
c
—
Q314.75 /315.500
1>:1
312.60
715
99 Save As
WROBArei—vrtalreimiralr
03/25/201'
ID
3D
IP!
OM
rt.
Lan Price
Line Chart
A QUA
1. oinvive
mcy AvIt MOMM
".<
M USD m
1Y
Max
Eaqy •
to Stagily/5"a
d Evert
0
4- Track
.0: Annotate t.4' News Q. Zoom
l. Last Price
312.60
T High on 03/18/14 351.94
m- Average
250.467
1 Low on 03/25/13 176.22
• LT:• Voluz
(154
e
115Omm
I
Jun
Sep
2013
Dec
Mar
2014
350
iffila
250
200
SM
1.80611
Foundation Medical - 1 r Price Histor
FMI US
$
Market
1-1--
P35.25 /38.78K
1-:1
Prey 36.40
Vol 543,200
99 Save As
90 Achonfl
Echt -
99 Table
03/25/2014 las: Once
Line Chart
OZEIPm
===
VoUnne
1Y
•
•
if Et<vrt“St...Cy
E.ev.
0
Track .• Annotate
m'• Mews r-. Zoom
45
/
el Last Price
36.40
High an 03/13/14 43.62
-9- Average
30.1647
/ Low on 09/24/13 18.00
yE Volume
0.543M
1 .
SMAVG (15) 0.265M
Sep
Oct
•
Nov
2013
Dec
Jan
•
Feb
Mar
2014
40
30
25
20
5M
Gilead - 1yr Price History
EFTA01193597
GILD US
Market
P72.64/72.82K
1.1
72.13
Vol 29.340
GILD US
ui
03'25'2013
.1D
3D
1M
99 Save As
961 Actions •
WI Ern •
91 Table
Line Chart
PI 13/ZINI"
par=
min
MEMO
OM
YTD
lY
St'
Max
Daly •
•
S/c.riD/ Drop,
Yc1 Evert
0
+ Track
/ Annotate
News
... Zoom
0-85
03/25, 2014 last Once
. Last Price
72.13
•
T High on 02/25/14 83.95
... Average
64.4132
i Low on 03/25/13 44.98
0-80
0'65
0-60
-55
-50
0-45
4' •■ Volume
29340
k
Dec •
Mar
2014
Jun
2013
Sangamo - 1 yr Price History
ISGMO US
Market
1(19.85/21.400
•
Prey 19.80
Vol 2,907, 036
li
99 Save As
90 Actions
97) Edit •
Last Price
ID
3D
LI
611
YTD
'
■ Last Price
19.80
.
T High on 03/19/14 23.86
-0- Average
12.1209
Low on 06/26/13
7.31
i.
•
Track
Annotate
2 2
92) Table
Line Chart
VoLme
^Er'
Security/Study
v4 1ts-t
t".
News
. ZOOM
T• Volume
2.907M
P-24.00
-22.00
19 SO
0. 18.00
16.00
-14.00
a-12.00
-10.00
-8.00
istmlias
Jun
2013
Sep
2014
Mar
10M
CLI
2.90711
Healthcare sector has outperformed S&P500 last 4 years and has been the best-performing sector YTD
•
Improving R&D returns
•
Ongoing efficiency gains due to various 'self-help' measures
More supportive regulatory and payor environment
Increasing number of financings and IPOs in Q1
Frequent upward revisions lately to sales estimates at the largest biotechnology companies
Nasdaq Biotech Index (NBI) dropped 4.4% Friday
Sharpest decline since Oct-11
•
Triggered by a letter from congressional representatives to a biotech company Gilead Sciences, questioning its
plans to sell a hepatitis C drug (named Sovaldi) for $84,000 per dose
EFTA01193598
Gilead required to give briefing by 03-Apr
Sovaldi expected to generate >$4bn in sales this year
The drug's expense might saddle state Medicaid programs with steep costs
The whole sector is as risk
•
US is the only major health-care market remaining without any meaningful drug price controls
•
Risk for the whole sector once the Congress gets involved, especially if focused primarily on pricing
The biggest NBI firms sold-off significantly
1d chg (%) Index Wt (Ye)
BIOGEN DEC INC
-8.2
7.9
AMGEN INC
.3.2
7.8
GILEAD SCIENCES INC
-4.6
7.0
REGENERON PHARMACEUTICALS
-5.4
6.9
CELGENE CORP
-3.7
6.5
ALEMON PHARMACEUTICALS INC
-8.0
4.6
ILLUMINA INC
-5.4
4.6
MYLAN INC
-0.9
4.3
VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS INC
-5.1
3.8
BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC
-5.9
2.5
Ways to hedge exposure to the US biotech sector
•
ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotech Fund (BIS US Equity): designed to be 2x short the NBI
•
Options on iSharesNasdaq Biotech ETF (IBB US Equity)
NBI — last 5 ears
A' CC(
2577.2
2000
1500
10O0
500
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
1201•
NBI It
(Nasdaq Blotedinology Index)
Cciayrchte 2014 Montan Finance L.P.
23-IUr-2014 14:35:20
NBI vs S&P500 — last 1 year
Normalized As Of 03/23/2013
Hi: 57.370
a■ NKI Index - SPX Index 38.8807
• -r 5
Jun
•
Sep
Dec
Mar
2013
2014
60
38.8807
20 •
0
NBI — last 1 year
EFTA01193599
Sep
Dec
Jan
Mar
Oct
Nov
2013
mel Index Nasdaq aloteChnoicgry Wm) Daily LIStiM13-LIFIAR2014
2577.2:
2500
2400
2300
2200
2100
2000
Feb
2014
copyrhps 2014 atocaberg Finarce
23-ear-201• 14:35:52
KCP Capital Markets
This e-rnall may conlain confidential and/or privileged information. If you
are not the intended recipient (or have recetved the e-mail in error)
please notify the sender immediately and destroy the email. My
unauthorized copying. declosure or deiribulion of the material in this
e-rnall is strictly forbidden.
Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners - LIS
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset & wealth Mamgement
345 Park Avenue. 26th Floor
New York. NY 10t54
Tel.
Fax
MO
Email
Pancio-1,:hy Peefbrm.
This communication may contain confidential and/or privileged information.
If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this communication
in error) please notify the sender immediately and destroy this
communication. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the
material in this communication is strictly forbidden.
Deutsche Bank does not render legal or tax advice, and the information
contained in this communication should not be regarded as such.
***********************************************************
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
EFTA01193600
Jeffrey Epstein
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@ginailal, and
destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
This communication may contain confidential and/or privileged information.
If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this communication
in error) please notify the sender immediately and destroy this
communication. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the
material in this communication is strictly forbidden.
Deutsche Bank does not render legal or tax advice, and the information
contained in this communication should not be regarded as such.
EFTA01193601
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