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efta-efta01378488DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01378488
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efta-efta01378488
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7 October 2016 Corporate Credit,Energy Petroleo Bresileiro S.A.
'figure IS: Petrobras' leverage (net debt to EBITDA) sensitivity to Brent price and 2016 USD6RL
6.0
64
6.0
3.0
1015E 2016E 2017E 2011E 2013E ...-.uwast..3.4. Brent aD $40//60
..*-141.raftl OSA, Brent • 545/bb -s-US-080$ 0 3.i Brent * SWAPO
-6-6513BRI. Ea 3.4 theni @ 6550:0 -•-.1.61101. be JA. Brent 0 560Po0
- 4.-13506FIL • 3.6, Brent • $6$A0
60
SA
4.0
it
201SE 7016E 7017E 2018E 2019E 1.5.180; • to Brent0543PN re-USEPRI. eR 4.0. Brent
545/661 -e-USDBRL @ 4.0. Brent @ 850/W - 2-650691 @AO. Brent • $55/60
- 0-65089$ 04.0. Brent fi $60/MS •••••1$10691 040. Brent 0 $65A:b1
5.0
4.0
3.0
1010E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2019E
60
60
4.0
-ie.. VAMP • 3.6. Went 46 5450:61 wis - USOBRI • 36. Wee • $50.MF
-6-USCIBRI e 3,6. Imre @ $55/1:11 -41-1.5C/BRI.• 3.6. Dant • 560A ME
-0-1.506111 @ 3.6. Brent Or $65/146 2020E 2115E 7016E
7017E 1018E 2019E # 47, Brom 07 $40/ba
p. USCPM. 04 2. Brent • SASA0 -a- ushiski.• 4.2. *rat # 550rabt
-le-USOCIRI. @ A 2. Brent • $55,b0 P-USE904 Q42, Pert 0 $6040 me- OSUMI& 4.2. Brent • 565Aitil
2020E 2020E
5.0
ice
3.0
1015E 3016E 2017E 2018E 2013E 2020E
-
US0101. 034 Brant* 5.40/Mil -a .1.01011M. • AA Went@ $46/664
-••• Mani
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O
3
a
W
e
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5S0;1N -s- UW8910311. Brent 0 $55/bbl - sa. OWN: ca 34 WardCo $6o/6N
-
USDBRL @ 34. Brent @ $65/66
64
54
4.0
3.0
2015E 2(16E 2017E 2018E 2019E 7020E 044, Pew 0 SWAN et • USOBRL 144. Bea@ $4S/bb'
- e-USOBRIO 4.4. Welt ti 690,4A6 -s-USDBRL @AA Brent @$55/blyl
U6083104 4, Brent 0 $60.4361 - 2" USOE.R$ 04.4, Bran@ $65A0
Key ampere
Domestic E&P production growing 4.5%in 2015 and 2.0% thereafter. international E&P production flat
Domestic demand for oil products a
In 2015. est rn 2016..arn 2017. • 2% pa theroafter. intemetoral demand foe ml products flat.
Doman gasoline and diesel prices .6% p a in BBL terms
Variable coats denominated in BBL 38% of total in 2015. growing with inflation of 5% p.a.
Marginal interest rate 8%p a for USO debt. 14% p • for BBL debt.
Cape'. US D256.1 in 2015. USD1glen thereafter.
Working capital venation. USD50n 'span* in 2016 Asset sales LISDIObn in 2016 and USDOln in 2017
NO dividend payments.
New debt breakdown 75%in USD. 25% in GAL Minimum cash position USD5bn
San Dandy Sint Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Page 11
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
CONFIDENTIAL
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