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efta-efta01388601DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01388601
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18 October 2016
REITs
US REIT 3O16 Earnings Preview
Shopping Centers: Store closures to hit 30 internal growth,
but progress for re-tenanting more important
IFigure 53: 1-Month Shopping Center performance
WoolRatan
a.
911,
II
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• t sestets' eine,se
As of 10/14/16
Sarea 0
lint SAL
Figure 54:: YTD Shopping Center performance
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9 3\
<Pelt &tettrieiotnecit
As of 10/14/16
Source 4/.M,. eat sK
[Figure
120% I
55: Vacancy up and rents down modestly in 3O
, 4%
3%
'Figure 56: 2016 SS NOI growth similar to 1H level
4%
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—VaCPecert
•
National vacancy rate was up 10bps q/q to 1O%
•
Effective rent growth was down relative to last O
to 1.9% y/y.
Sias Dana Ea. Sae
•*MS
• 1016
42016
•
2016 SS NOI guidance on average at the
midpoint is —3%, implying steady results in 21-I,
although additional
potential store closures
present downside risk.
San arch*
orrwew ciao
Key Shopping Center topics/questions for the quarto:
•
Development and redevelopment outlook
•
Anchor and small shop retailer health
•
Sports Authority releasing, downtime arid capex update
•
Logans Roadhouse and Golfsmith exposure and store closures
•
Outlook and thoughts on Staples/Office Depot (SPLS: DB Hold rated,
USD7.561ODP: DB Hold rated, USD3.34, both by Mike Baker)
New watchlist tenants
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Page 27
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0092247
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00238431
EFTA01388601
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