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efta-efta01446641DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01446641
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21 November 2013
Semiconductors
Intel
Valuation & Risks
Valuation
Intel trades near its historical low points on both P/S and P/E multiples. We
believe further upside potential remains as investors see accelerating growth in
2H14. Our price target is based on an EV/S ratio of 2.3x our 2014 revenue
estimate, a —10% discount to the five-year average. On a P/E basis, our price
target is based on -12x our 2014E EPS. We note the straight P/E is well below
the large-cap average within our coverage group (16x) and in-line with the
broader market multiple (S&P500 at 14x CY14E).
Risks
Risks include slower PC unit growth, market share losses to AMD, declining
NB growth, and a deteriorating product mix and/or average selling prices for
MPUs, Chipsets, and flash memory. Perhaps not over the next 12 months, but
the outcome of ongoing regulatory actions (EC-related primarily) and
integration of acquisitions could impair Intel's ability to grow.
Page 6
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0100920
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00247104
EFTA01446641
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