EFTA Document EFTA01466763

Subject: Re: Global Coverage [C] From: Tazia Smith a> Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2014 14:00:46 -0500 To: Vinit Sahni Cc: Paul Morris Classification: Confidential even better! (Embedded image moved to file: pic19350.gif) Tazia Smith Director I Key Client Partners - US Deutsche Bank Securities Inc Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management 345 Park Avenue, 26th Floor New York, NY 10154 Tel. Fax Mobile Email (Embedded image moved to file: pic30368.gif) From: To: Vinit Sahni/db/- Tazia Smith/db/- Cc: Mathew Negus/db/dbcom, Paul Morris/db/- Date: 01/15/2014 01:59 PROT0 PM Subject: [C] Re: Global Coverage Not taking series 7 again :-) Last time I remember they just rekindled it Vinit On 15 Jan 2014, at 18:42, "Tazia Smith" ct > wrote: Would be great - Jeffrey and Noam will be worth your study hours in and of themselves! <0.202.gif> Tazia Smith Director I Key Client Partners - US Deutsche Bank Securities Inc 345 Park Avenue, 26th Floor Tel. Fax Mobile Email <0.C56.gif> Vinit Sahni---01/15/2014 01:39:17 PM---I did have my series 7, 63 and 3 we should possibly reapply PROT1 From: Vinit Sahni/db/- To: Tazia Smith/db/- Cc: Paul Morris/db/ dbcom Date: 01/15/2014 01:39 PM Subject: Re: Global Coverage [C] , Mathew Negus/db/- I did have my series 7, 63 and 3 we should possibly reapply Vinit On 15 Jan 2014, at 18:28, "Tazia Smith" < › wrote: Hi Vinit - Jeff's request for global coverage is an important capability for KCP clients. Operationally, FX (hopefully rates derivatives as well) and equity derivatives shouldn't be a problem for global coverage -- Jeff's trading entities are set up in RMS and summit. No need a new account, as we chatted about. I am following up on the compliance front. It's compliance and credit risk management oversights that we need to be sure we have in place. We can discuss on our call. I just want to be responsive to Jeffrey and let him know that he does have global coverage. Are you licensed in the US (7 and 66)? Speak Soon! Tazia PROT2 <0.4A4.gif> Tazia Smith Director I Key Client Partners - US Deutsche Bank Securities Inc 345 Park Avenue, 26th Floor Tel. Fax Mobile Email <0.EF8.gif> Forwarded by Tazia Smith/db/dbcom on 01/15/2014 01:22 PM From Jeffrey Epstein <[email protected]> To: Vinit Sahni/db/ Tazia Smith/db/- Date 01/14/2014 06:39 AM , Paul Morris/db/ Subj Re: Jeffrey - Mexico -> MBONO 30y look interesting [C] ect: PROT3 can we set up an account based in london , so i do not have to wait for ny to open? On Tue, Jan 14, 2014 at 7:00 AM, Vinit Sahni < wrote: got it back to u as soon as NY opens up <0.1DFO.gif> Vinit Sahni Managing Director I Global Head - Professional Client Group & Key Client Partners Capital Markets Group by affiliates of Professional 105/108 Old Broad St (Pinners Hall), EC2N lEN London, United Kingdom Tel. Mobile Email Any proposed ideas are being delivered to you the DeAWM Key Client Partners ("KCP") London desk for discussion purposes only, and do not create any legally binding obligation on the part of Deutsche Bank AG and / or its ("DB"). These ideas are for the consideration the intended recipients of this mail only. The KCP London desk does not provide investment advice. All intended recipients are investors (as defined by MiFID), who understand the strategy, characteristics and risks associated with any ideas proposed herein and PROT4 the From: Jeffrey Epstein <[email protected]> To: Vinit Sahni/db/- Date: 14/01/2014 10:55 will be able to evaluate it independently. All trades on proposed ideas shall be subject to relevant internal approvals prior to execution. <0.2C30.gif> Subject: Re: Jeffrey - Mexico -> MBONO 30y look interesting [C] risk usd 3m bonds On Tue, Jan 14, 2014 at 6:41 AM, Vinit Sahni < wrote: Jeffrey - sorry, to clarify is it 3m USD worth of MXN bonds or 3m MXN, as its a local currency bond As soon as NY gets in will get a price on the MBONO 7.75% 11/13/2042 and ping u as and when our view on rates or the currency changes will keep u updated, as here u have on both components unlike the PDVSA where the bond was denominated in USDs. Best PROT5 Vinit <0.3908.gif> Vinit Sahni Managing Director I Global Head - Professional Client Group & Key Client Partners Capital Markets Group 105/108 Old Broad St (Pinners Hall), EC2N lEN London, United Kingdom Tel. Mobile Email Any proposed ideas are being delivered to you by the DeAWM Key Client Partners ("KCP") London desk for discussion purposes only, and do not create any legally binding obligation on the part of Deutsche Bank AG and / or its affiliates ("DB"). These ideas are for the consideration of the intended recipients of this mail only. The KCP London desk does not provide investment advice. All intended recipients are Professional investors (as defined by MiFID), who understand the strategy, characteristics and risks associated with any ideas proposed herein and will be able to evaluate it independently. All trades on proposed ideas shall be subject to the relevant internal approvals prior to execution. <0.4748.gif> From: <[email protected]> To: Vinit Sahni/db/- PROT6 Date: 14/01/2014 10:18 Subject: Re: Jeffrey - Mexico -> MBONO 30y look interesting [C] agreed lets do 3m On Tue, Jan 14, 2014 at 4:23 AM, Vinit Sahni < > wrote: Jeffrey - was looking for value in the EM space, post the PDVSA analysis, started looking at Mexico... here is a trade I think makes sense -> buying MBONO 30y unhedged At around 7.5% yield, inflation probably in the 3-4% in the foreseeable future, and USD/MXN likely stable or stronger in real (deflated) terms, I think it is good value. The curve is steep. If you look at 10Y10Y UST and 10Y10Y MXN yields, the spread is above 500bp . Say inflation differential is 100bp higher in Mex and credit diff is 100bp (10Y CDS is about 100bp higher in Mexico although Mex has much better debt dyn), this still leaves about 300bp of cushion for real depreciation per year...In sum, it seems good value in near term mark to market risk is slower pace of implementation of energy reform and a selloff USTs happy to discuss further if u find interesting... PROT7 <0.54CC.gif> CNYMXN chart courtesy Nav Gupta (shows relative value in Labour cost between China and Mexico) <2.4736.gif> <7.28A0.gif> Vinit Sahni Managing Director I Global Head - Professional Client Group & Key Client Partners Capital Markets Group by affiliates of Professional 105/108 Old Broad St (Pinners Hall), EC2N lEN London, United Kingdom Tel. Mobile Email <7.3418.gif> Any proposed ideas are being delivered to you the DeAWM Key Client Partners ("KCP") London desk for discussion purposes only, and do not create any legally binding obligation on the part of Deutsche Bank AG and / or its ("DB"). These ideas are for the consideration the intended recipients of this mail only. The KCP London desk does not provide investment advice. All intended recipients are investors (as defined by MiFID), who understand the strategy, characteristics and risks associated with any ideas proposed herein and will be able to evaluate it independently. All PROT8 trades on proposed ideas shall be subject to the relevant internal approvals prior to execution. Fro Jeffrey Epstein <[email protected]> M: To: Vinit Sahni/db/- Cc: Tazia Smith/db/ , "Nav Gupta (DEUTSCHE ASSET MANAG)" ffi>, Paul Morris/db/ Vahe Stepanian/db/- Dat 13/01/2014 11:50 e: Sub Re: PDVSA chart + USDJPY Trade [C] jec t: thanks , lets keep On Mon, Jan 13, 2014 at 7:47 AM, Vinit Sahni < > wrote: PROT9 This attached image shows the current pricing on the curve, which is slightly weaker than it was in early December. I have also added the term structure of PDVSA and VENZ sovereign bonds, which gives us some relative value across the curve Bouts of volatility will likely remain an issue and therefore it will trade like a short tail risk trade. However, given that access to dollars remains key for Venezuela, we should expect the government to do whatever they can to avoid a problem servicing these bonds (or even the perception of the same). They do have a heavy amortization schedule in 2014 and 2015. <7.45E2.gif> Vinit Sahni Managing Director I Global Head - Professional Client Group & Key Client Partners Capital Markets Group 105/108 Old Broad St (Pinners Hall), EC2N lEN London, United Kingdom Tel. Mobile Email <8.348.gif> From Tazia Smith/db/- PROT10 To: "jeffrey epstein" <[email protected]>, Cc: "Vinit Sahni" "Nav Gupta (DEUTSCHE ASSET MANAG)" Date 12/01/2014 22:52 Subj Re: PDVSA chart + USDJPY Trade [C] ect: Looping in Vinit here as he was recently involved with a large offering in the pdvsa credit and may have some take-sways. My view is the bonds are money good in 2015, as of now, but you are not looking for yield carry (as discussed), and the risks of restructuring and near-term downside due to politics specific to venezuela and chatter around EM assets at large are likely greater than implied by the bonds' current - 85 levels; would use Friday's rally to sell (particularly if you believe it was rates driven vs credit). For what it's worth, we've found Latam family offices that PROT11 are are demand. price very familiar the credit (and do like carry) fully loaded and do not have incremental Tazia Smith Director Key Client Partners - US Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc. 345 Park Avenue - 26th Floor Tel: Mobile: Fax: E-mail: From: Jeffrey Epstein [[email protected]] Sent: 01/12/2014 04:56 PM AST To: Tazia Smith Subject: Re: PVDSA chart + USDJPY Trade [C] do you think money good in 15 On Sun, Jan 12, 2014 at 4:38 PM, Tazia Smith < > wrote: Jeffrey: Please find the chart of PDVSA 5% 10/28/15 history below, as well as a description of the USDJPY 10yr trade that we briefly discussed on Friday. Speak with you soon, Tazia PROT12 <8.1AD6.gif> Used with permission of Bloomberg Finance LP, 1/10/14 Forwarded by Tazia Smith/db/dbcom on 01/12/2014 03:29 PM From: To: Date: AM Nav Gupta/db/- Tazia Smith/db/- 01/10/2014 08:21 Subject: $Y [I] of Classification: For internal use only Long $Y Call Options. We like long expiry options to benefit from the present dislocation between interest rates and volatility Deutsche Bank FX Strategists are calling for USDJPY of 115 by year-end 2014, and 120 by year-end 2015. See DB FX Blueprint published 1/9/14, and note that #2 of the top 10 themes 2014 (p. 5-6) revolves around extended weakness in the Japanese Yen vs. USD. PROT13 Consider a lOyear expiry $Y call option struck at 85 (spot fx 105, forward fx 77.70). Price 4.7% of USD notional This option has four notable characteristics If $Y stays at these levels the option decays positively by approx 15-20% per year If $Y trades 90.00 at any time (arguably a scenario in which the option is no longer wanted) the option "knocks-out" and becomes worthless. While $Y might decline to 90, our significantly $Y atypical option in so quantitative analysis indicates the probability of such a decline is (double?) overpriced by the options market The premium of the option is quite sensitive to moves in spot - which is for a lOyear option. This also results from the knockout feature. This means if $Y moves quickly by 5% the increases / decreases value by almost half, If $Y rises to 110 or 115 the option can easily be unwound to monetize the profit The option costs roughly PROT14 1/3rd compared to the vanilla 85 strike call Maximum loss is premium paid Nav Gupta Managing Director by affiliates of Professional the Deutsche Bank AG, Filiale London 105/108 Old Broad St (Pinners Hall), EC2N lEN London, United Kingdom Tel. Mobile Email Any proposed ideas are being delivered to you the DeAWM Key Client Partners ("KCP") London desk for discussion purposes only, and do not create any legally binding obligation on the part of Deutsche Bank AG and / or its ("DB"). These ideas are for the consideration the intended recipients of this mail only. The KCP London desk does not provide investment advice. All intended recipients are investors (as defined by MiFID), who understand the strategy, characteristics and risks associated with any ideas proposed herein and will be able to evaluate it independently. All trades on proposed ideas shall be subject to relevant internal approvals prior to execution. PROT15 Tazia Smith Director I Key Client Partners - US Deutsche Bank Securities Inc 345 Park Avenue, 26th Floor Tel. Fax Mobile Email copying, This communication may contain confidential and/or privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this communication in error) please notify the sender immediately and destroy this communication. Any unauthorized disclosure or distribution of the material in this communication is strictly forbidden. Deutsche Bank does not render legal or tax advice, and the information contained in this communication should not be regarded as such. privileged, The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client may constitute inside information, and is intended only for the use of the addressee. It is the property of PROT16 Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful. If you have received this communication in error, please notify us immediately by return e-mail or by e-mail to [email protected], and destroy this communication and all copies thereof, including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved This e-mail may contain confidential and/or privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this email and delete this e-mail. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the material in this e-mail is strictly forbidden. Please refer to http://www.db.com/en/content/eu_disclosures.htm for additional EU corporate and regulatory disclosures. The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may constitute inside information, and is intended only for PROT17 communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited communication in error, please notify us immediately by return e-mail or by e-mail to [email protected], and destroy this communication and all copies thereof, including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved This e-mail may contain confidential and/or privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this email and delete this e-mail. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the material in this e-mail is strictly forbidden. Please refer to http://www.db.com/en/content/eu_disclosures.htm for additional EU corporate and regulatory disclosures. The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may constitute inside information, and is intended only for PROT18 communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited communication in error, please notify us immediately by return e-mail or by e-mail to [email protected], and destroy this communication and all copies thereof, including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved This e-mail may contain confidential and/or privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this email and delete this e-mail. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the material in this e-mail is strictly forbidden. Please refer to http://www.db.com/en/content/eu_disclosures.htm for additional EU corporate and regulatory disclosures. The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may constitute inside information, and is intended only for PROT19 communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited communication in error, please notify us immediately by return e-mail or by e-mail to [email protected], and destroy this communication and all copies thereof, including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved This e-mail may contain confidential and/or privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this email and delete this e-mail. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the material in this e-mail is strictly forbidden. Please refer to http://www.db.com/en/content/eu_disclosures.htm for additional EU corporate and regulatory disclosures. The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may constitute inside information, and is intended only for communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited communication in error, please notify us immediately by PROT20 return e-mail or by e-mail to [email protected], and destroy this communication and all copies thereof, including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved PROT21