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kaggle-ho-011003House Oversight

Economic derivation of growth rates with no apparent political or financial leads

Economic derivation of growth rates with no apparent political or financial leads The passage is a technical discussion of macroeconomic formulas without references to individuals, institutions, transactions, or controversies. It offers no actionable investigative leads. Key insights: Derives a growth equation linking output, consumption, and capital.; Introduces a 'thrift rate' as negative consumption rate.; References Mill and Keynes but only in theoretical context.

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House Oversight
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Economic derivation of growth rates with no apparent political or financial leads The passage is a technical discussion of macroeconomic formulas without references to individuals, institutions, transactions, or controversies. It offers no actionable investigative leads. Key insights: Derives a growth equation linking output, consumption, and capital.; Introduces a 'thrift rate' as negative consumption rate.; References Mill and Keynes but only in theoretical context.

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kagglehouse-oversighteconomicsmacro-theoryacademic-writing

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Mill and Keynes and tradition hold (4.2) and (4.2a) as logical certitudes which hold constant over time. I agree if we imagine the asterisks. Constancy over time would imply change in growth = change in output - change in consumption. (4.3) I take the trouble to derive this as a road | haven't preferred to follow. | will reason instead in rates rather than flows. Rates, or ratios of flows to capital, effectively cancel capital from numerator and denominator. That frees them to show comparison between smaller and larger economies among the eight | test. Mill’s idea, or anyhow mine, is that the ratio of consumption to capital in all those countries can hold constant. That is what the charts and tables show. To follow that lead, divide (4.2a) by capital. This finds growth — output consumption at canteal ; (4.4) capital capital capital That can be put more compactly as growth rate = capital productivity - consumption rate, (4.4a) where rate always means ratio to capital. That needs a caveat because consumption rate in macro means ratio to output. Capital productivity in this sense is also called rate of return. For more compactness still, define thrift rate = - consumption rate, allowing (4.4a) to be restated as Chapter 4 Mill’s Idea 1/11/16 12

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