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and have the results analyzed by the various stakeholders—trather like elected legislatures
were originally intended to do.
If we have the data that go into and out of each decision, we can easily ask, Is this
a fair algorithm? Is this AI doing things that we as humans believe are ethical? This
human-in-the-loop approach is called “open algorithms;” you get to see what the Als take
as input and what they decide using that input. If you see those two things, you’ll know
whether they’ re doing the right thing or the wrong thing. It turns out that’s not hard to
do. If you control the data, then you control the AI.
One thing people often fail to mention is that all the worries about AI are the same
as the worries about today’s government. For most parts of the government—the justice
system, et cetera—there’s no reliable data about what they’re doing and in what situation.
How can you know whether the courts are fair or not if you don’t know the inputs and the
outputs? The same problem arises with AI systems and is addressable in the same way.
We need trusted data to hold current government to account in terms of what they take in
and what they put out, and AI should be no different.
Next-Generation AI
Current AI machine-learning algorithms are, at their core, dead simple stupid. They
work, but they work by brute force, so they need hundreds of millions of samples. They
work because you can approximate anything with lots of little simple pieces. That’s a
key insight of current AI research—that if you use reinforcement learning for credit-
assignment feedback, you can get those little pieces to approximate whatever arbitrary
function you want.
But using the wrong functions to make decisions means the AI’s ability to make
good decisions won’t generalize. If we give the AI new, different inputs, it may make
completely unreasonable decisions. Or if the situation changes, then you need to retrain
it. There are amusing techniques to find the “null space” in these AI systems. These are
inputs that the AI thinks are valid examples of what it was trained to recognize (e.g.,
faces, cats, etc.), but to a human they’re crazy examples.
Current AI is doing descriptive statistics in a way that’s not science and would be
almost impossible to make into science. To build robust systems, we need to know the
science behind data. The systems I view as next-generation Als result from this science-
based approach: If you’re going to create an AI to deal with something physical, then you
should build the laws of physics into it as your descriptive functions, in place of those
stupid little neurons. For instance, we know that physics uses functions like polynomials,
sine waves, and exponentials, so those should be your basis functions and not little linear
neurons. By using those more appropriate basis functions, you need a lot less data, you
can deal with a lot more noise, and you get much better results.
As in the physics example, if we want to build an AI to work with human
behavior, then we need to build the statistical properties of human networks into
machine-learning algorithms. When you replace the stupid neurons with ones that
capture the basics of human behavior, then you can identify trends with very little data,
and you can deal with huge levels of noise.
The fact that humans have a “commonsense” understanding that they bring to
most problems suggests what I call the human strategy: Human society is a network just
like the neural nets trained for deep learning, but the “neurons” in human society are a lot
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