Bank of America research links Donald Trump poll numbers to Mexican peso movements
The passage is a routine financial analysis showing a statistical correlation between Trump poll averages and MXN returns. It contains no allegations, financial flows, or misconduct involving powerful Regression model includes Trump poll average as a variable affecting MXN returns. Model suggests MXN could be 7‑15% stronger than current levels based on poll changes. Recommendation to stay neutral
Summary
The passage is a routine financial analysis showing a statistical correlation between Trump poll averages and MXN returns. It contains no allegations, financial flows, or misconduct involving powerful Regression model includes Trump poll average as a variable affecting MXN returns. Model suggests MXN could be 7‑15% stronger than current levels based on poll changes. Recommendation to stay neutral
Persons Referenced (2)
“...ear interest rate differential between MXN and USD swaps, and RealClearPolitics polling average for Donald Trump in the 2016 US presidential election. The estimated equation is RON = bo + by RO + bz *RPP™ + bstd...”
Hillary Clinton“...tral the Mexican peso for now. We believe the Mexican peso would likely strengthen significantly if Hillary Clinton wins the US election. But there is still significant uncertainty. Net speculative long USD/MXN posi...”
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