REVISION OF 'BLACK BOOK'

f 3 ST erm T+. Approved For Release {gOI0BI27 : CIA-RDPT5-00662R0001001Gg012:4 @ - T——— fa HEVISION OF PILACK BOOK" 4 Parte United Statss Dologation Go COGOH, in 189 tolegram No. 6170, April 8, 1952, SECRET, roqusatsd Shut nero p-to-dato veld rounded in- telligenco comicdity studies of Liot II Ltors ba prepared prior to the Oetobar-lioverbar dfasusstons for fixing 1953 quotas. Tt wee pointed cut that the outeoms of the future negotiaticos will depend heavily upon the facts which they can mre owailsble in those ciscussians. They expreaasd tho hopo that ths intelligomes dota would be substantially . { revirod in ordur Lo Teflact thn actus) Soviet Zoo situation end plans | in or carront %eras aa posible. Ghiof of the U.S. Delegation reiterated this nued for a thorough roviaton of the "black back" when ho 7s recently in ¥oshiughon on Gone aultaticn. With the expectation that intelligencs agention wll be able to moot this regusat the U.S, Delogation states thet 30 will urge thet requoate for changes in LA3t IT ccatrole priaing during tho next six LW months be deferred umlesa their considorstion is absolutely essential. In eubssiuent cobleo - Faria 7419 of Jay 18, ond Parle T386 of July 17 (paragraph C) ~ the U.S. Delegation oparifiss tha items of priority concern es shown in the attached Lind, 1 The Titls TY Tack Groups under Departacnt of Comercs direction | 11 sldo nad similar data on Soviet Bloc requirements, trade, etc. i with rogard to many of thess comcditios, Tt 1s expected that the | | comodity studies required can be prerared with both purposes in viuw | | #ttached 42 a guide "chock 11st" cutiine which has proved useful in the ] | preparation of the study on Lead which 1a currontly being coepleted | | i *DOC Declass Intsructions on File* | | | sw «BON - SECURITY INFORMATION i | Approved For Release 2000/08/27 : CIA-RDP75.00662R000100160012-4 |  oe Approved For Release Qgh0/08I27 : CIA-RDP75.00662R0001004#012-4 Oi. v A ‘SECURITY INFORMATION . PRIORITY LIST Sulphur snd sulphuric Aoid Aluminum Fosro~chrozs Tiras snd tao Corrosive resistant rmtarials Seamless stael pipe Chemtoci—equipmeent Motel-working machinery Transport oquipzant, - rails Tronport cquipent - lesoustivin . Diezels Yartns propulaten squipesnt In addition, studies are being prepared ou the v faloning oubjoct which may mest the sects in Gusetion: . Lead « Ststo/DFY with CIA Fyrites ~ CIA end Stato/DFT Elcctrical squipaont - GIh (Task Group) : Snips - BIC frampnriation Sub-comdttes Bearings = EDAC Boaringa Sub-uamitlee Excavators “7 KSan ~ “mmo - SBOURITY INEORMATION Approved For Release 2000/08/27 : CIA-RDP75.00662R000100160012-4 A  "Approved For Release 20408127 : CIA-RDP75-00662R000100164g42-4 Rh SECURITY MPORMATYOR ~ TET GUTLINE GUIDE FOR REVISION OF BLACK 200K. STATRIENTS ON STRATEGIC ITEMS TH SOVIET BLOC . ~ FREE WORLD TRADE 1. DEFINITION AWD USAGES Dafinition Principal Soviet Bloc usages, eopecially any differences from ¥satern conoumption pattern. Substitutes svellable within the Hloz, fron the Free fiorld and e8tinats of dugreo on which mports of other commodities 6nd to relive depsndencs, or extent to which reduction of such ixports would dacreans depandenea. II, INTRA~SOVIET BLOC SITUATION 4 Production s 1. Data on individual Soviet Bloc coustrier and the Soviet Bloc a3 a whole for the peried 1948 to the regent, Ww (ostinated actusl sod planncd production), with statistics or information on planned produstion reguiresente and ex- pasted trends to 1954 or 1955, as veedily svatlable. 2. Discussion of production probleas of individual countries and the Soviet Bloc 2s a whole, (facilities, technical ‘capacity for development of processing facilities, sveila- bility of labor, grades of ore, eta.) Be Inbra-Orbit Trade Data on trade or patterns of trade amang the Soviet Bloc coun. tries, intra-orbit transportation problems, ste. In the event that the Soviet Bloc is currently both exporter and importer vis-a-vis the West, what adjustments within the Ble would bs required or fosnible were it decided to eliminate exports and reduce imports C Coneumption Estimates of consumption of individual Soviet Bloc countries, and for the Bloc as a whole (production plus imports minus . exports, plus or minus otock changse). v ERNE. _~ SECURITY INFORMATION Approved For Release 2000/08/27 : CIA-RDP75-00662R000100160012-4  Te + Approved For Releasdgg00/08/27 : CIA-RDP75.00662R00010kg0012-4 ! Outlins Guide (Continued) - . 2 D. Raguirenents : Eotinated roqudramcits shoild so fer us poneibls bo described in terme of epcifisd lovels of sativity and in terns of neads . . for epacitic eaé-Ltna; o.g., stockpile, military mwodusticn, ote. Specific exidarsss of fhortage should te indicated KOT: Indioste, for the forogolng, the principsl methods used for dordving tha cstinaten of production, sto , 0.g extrapolation of date roforiing to cerly postwar poricd, plant faciiitlas intelligencs, plen data, trade data analysts, etc. Dovusentaticn of all data Should bo 03 couploto 3 pusaibls Tith opeeifis ei. tation of the mstn sources TIT. SORSION TRADE N)%il FREE TORLD 4 Swuistico on Imports fron Free World 1 by dodivicuel Sovist Blo: counties end tho Sloe as a whole 2. By Incividun) Free World countiles and the total Free Weed 3. Portod 1948 to fiaent - with sompuracive prever figures if rosdily svaslabis. 4. In every cose feastble (and particularly fn the ced of w + data on specific Tactsra Buscpo cosatries and Pros World a8 whale) shan: (a) Soviet Bice sports separately ao indicated in official statletics of exporting ccumiry (publdshsd or COCON) and (b) Estimate of octal srportn, including estimated magnitude of covert ad indirect exchanges 8a well as trads Which would ba reported offielally. 2 date on Soviet Elec Exports, with resultant Ermer ort Tears re Tith resent 8 Dade Agrecment Commitments + 1. Listing of Fras World coxaitments for delivery to Soviet + Bloc countries (or any bles axport comitmnte) showing: (8) Couatrice invelved, (2 date and curation of agrecemnt, ©) quantity and valuo (Lf availebie), and (a) ainiler dats on previous trade sgraemsnts, and agreemants bec to 1949, Lf possible. 2. Trade agracment bavgainiog expordence indicative of Soviot Bloc requizsmnto. | ~ | sovmmm——, - SEGUELTY IFCRIATION Approved For Release 2000/08/27 : CIA-RDP75-00662R000100160012-4  “7. Approved For Releasqgfo0i08/27 : CIARDOP7S-00662R00010beloot2-4 Outline Quids (Contimud) - La I ES : 2. Prices . . Any inforzation indicating Soviet Hoc prices, their : alterations, relationship to Pres Vorld market price, particular circumstances in which premium prices are offered by the Rice. E. Principe) moans and routs by which commodity enmtere ths oe tha ros Vora IV, SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIORS Assessment of current ard future urgancy of Soviet Hoe dependence upon Free World imperte with relation to (1) total producticn and general siteation of atringency or adaguacy, (2) progress of plans for future self-eufficlency, and (3) relationunip to other com- Bodies. : wv / vv Approved For Release 2000/6AIRIEY 75. 036 R00 IUIORNONTCH