Case File
efta-01361989DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01361989
Date
Unknown
Source
DOJ Data Set 10
Reference
efta-01361989
Pages
1
Persons
0
Integrity
Extracted Text (OCR)
Text extracted via OCR from the original document. May contain errors from the scanning process.
Investors who wish to articulate a view on a decreasing global central bank liquidity can do so by buying 6 month 5sl0s
curve floors. The 5sl0s is a proxy for the SySy, which, as seen above, can be regarded as a proxy to liquidity.
SySy USD rates and spread between 10 and Sy swaps (5s104
Last Price
ill.1SF6055,BLC Curncy (R1) 2.9506
USSW510
imcy (R2)
63.4375
1
010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
IsSFS055 Canty (USD FORWARD SWAP SYKSY) Daily 11SEP2010-10SEP2015 Copyright. 2015 .2 .:c tt ,e-c rinarKt
i-5-
4 E.
5.5000
5.0000
4.5000
4.0000
3.5000
2.9506 63.4375
The Ssl0s also comes down (curve flattens) during hikes. Therefore this trade could benefit in the event of either a Fed
hike, or the event of no hike and a decrease in central bank liquidity
10.000
8.000
6.000
4.000
2.000
18
2/4/94 Hike
6/3/99 Hike
6;10/04 Hike
Indicative Transaction Terms:
Investor buys: Ssl0s USD CMS curve floors
Expiry:
6 months
Strike:
ATMF (56bps)
Notional
$100mm
Offer:
10bps (mid 8bps)
Terminal Payout:
Notional x max (Strike — terminal 5sl0s spread,0)
Ref. 5s10s Forward:
55 bps
2010-2014
20 5
Source for graphs: DB Markets Research US Fixed Income Weekly, September 4 2015 and Bloomberg.
Daniel
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.40
0.20
0.00
-0.20
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0051285
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00197469
EFTA01361989
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GPS
3.5000
2.9506GPS
4.5000
4.0000GPS
5.5000
5.0000Forum Discussions
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