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efta-01365015DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01365015
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DOJ Data Set 10
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Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
0
-1
e w
Appendix A: Bacl<test Results
.
?
.,
g
Z' 3
g. g
r
a Z
(Figure 34: Comparing performance under rising and falling markets: Equity vs. various 1IIM call option strategies
0 0
co —.
Dec-02 to Oct-07
Oct-07 to Mar-09
Mar-09 to Up-13
Apr-13 to Sep-13
Dec-02 to Sep-13
Dec-02 to Apr-13
41
Return
Vol
Return
Vol
Return
Vol
Return
Vol
Return
Vol
ReVVol
Return
Vol
RetNol
of
Equity
133%
128%
-55.3%
37.8%
223%
18.7%
189%
11.3%
80%
20.3%
392%
7.5%
206%
36.6%
9:
Outright: ATM
6.4%
6.8%
-24.5%
10.4%
8.8%
9.0%
10.8%
7.7%
3.3%
8.4%
39.0%
3.0%
8.4%
35.4%
Outright: 9%
6.5%
6.8%
-18.6%
8.1%
7.1%
8.6%
11.9%
8.1%
3.4%
7.8%
43.7%
3.1%
7.8%
39.5%
Outright: 5%
4.6%
4.8%
-10.8%
4.7%
4.0%
6.0%
9.0%
6.8%
2.3%
5.3%
42.4%
2.0%
6.3%
37.9%
Outright: 3%
3.5%
3.5%
-8.2%
3.7%
2.4%
4.5%
6.5%
5.7%
1.5%
4.0%
36.8%
1.3%
3.9%
32.6%
Spread: ATM - 3%
5.0%
3.4%
-13.8%
6.7%
6.4%
6.1%
4.5%
2.4%
3.1%
4.7%
64.9%
3.0%
4.8%
62.8%
t
c,
Spread: 9% - 3%
5.1%
3.4%
-8.2%
4.3%
4.8%
4.4%
5.6%
2.9%
3.2%
4.0%
79.9%
3.1%
4.0%
76.9%
ii
Spread: ATM • 1%
Spread: 9% - 1%
6.0%
6.1%
5.1%
5.2%
-20.6%
-14.8%
9.2%
6.8%
8.1%
6.6%
7.3%
6.7%
7.9%
9.0%
4.5%
5.0%
13%
3.6%
6.8%
6.1%
49.4%
67.0%
3.2%
3.3%
6.9%
62%
48.3%
53.1%
Spread: 5% - 1%
4.1%
3.1%
-7.0%
3.4%
3.4%
4.0%
6.1%
3.6%
2.3%
3.6%
64.9%
2.2%
3.6%
60.8%
Spread: ATM - 1M 2%
7.7%
6.7%
-22.8%
10.4%
7.6%
7.9%
-6.4%
7.6%
16%
7.8%
46.8%
4.0%
7.8%
50.8%
Spread: 9%- 1M2%
7.9%
6.8%
-16.8%
8.1%
6.1%
7.6%
-4.9%
90%
3.8%
7.3%
62.6%
4.2%
7.2%
67.6%
Spread: 5%- 1M 2%
5.9%
5.0%
-9.7%
6.0%
3.3%
6.4%
-9.4%
7.2%
2.7%
5.2%
52.3%
3.2%
5.1%
62.6%
Outright: ATM
6.7%
7.4%
-19.4%
9.0%
9A%
10.0%
13.4%
8.7%
4.4%
8.8%
49.9%
4.0%
8.8%
45.9%
Outright: 9%
6.7%
7.4%
-14.3%
7.1%
6.9%
9.1%
14.2%
9.2%
4.0%
8.1%
48.8%
3.6%
8.1%
44.2%
Outright: 5%
4.3%
5.1%
-8.6%
4.9%
3.0%
6.0%
118%
7.9%
2.0%
5.5%
37.0%
1.7%
5.4%
30.7%
Outright: 3%
3.0%
3.6%
-6.2%
3.4%
1.7%
4.4%
9.8%
7.0%
1.2%
3.9%
31.1%
0.9%
3.7%
23.5%
Spread: ATM • a
5.9%
4.0%
-10.8%
5.8%
7.8%
6.3%
4.2%
2.2%
4.5%
5.4%
83.4%
4.5%
5.5%
82.4%
Spread: 9% - 3%
6.8%
4.0%
-6.9%
3.8%
6.3%
6.2%
6.1%
2.7%
4.1%
4.6%
89.8%
4.0%
4.6%
87.9%
Spread: ATM - 1%
6.8%
5.8%
-15.6%
7.5%
8.2%
9.1%
-4.9%
8.6%
4.4%
7.6%
58.0%
4.8%
7.5%
612%
Spread: 9% • 1%
6.8%
5.8%
-10.5%
5.3%
5.6%
8.0%
-3.9%
8.8%
4.0%
6.8%
58.5%
4.3%
6.7%
63.9%
Spread: 5% • 1%
4.4%
3.6%
-4.8%
2.8%
1.8%
6.1%
-6.9%
8.4%
2.0%
4.2%
48.7%
2.4%
3.9%
60.8%
Spread: ATM - 1M 2%
7.9%
7.2%
-16.2%
8.3%
7.4%
7.9%
-3.3%
7.9%
4.5%
7.7%
58.5%
4.8%
7.7%
62.6%
Spread: 9% - 1M 2%
7.9%
7.3%
-11.7%
6.8%
5.5%
7.5%
-2.4%
8.6%
4.3%
7.3%
588%
4.6%
7.3%
62.8%
Spread: 5% • 1M 2%
6.6%
6.4%
-7.3%
6.3%
2A%
6.6%
4.3%
8.6%
2.6%
6.6%
46.3%
2.9%
6.3%
54.2%
Outright: ATM
7.8%
8.7%
•15.9%
7.9%
103%
13.7%
10.7%
9.9%
6.7%
11.0%
52.0%
5.5%
11.1%
50.1%
Outright: 9%
7.5%
8.5%
-11.4%
5.9%
7.0%
12.5%
11.8%
10.2%
4.7%
10.1%
46.7%
4.5%
10.1%
44.0%
Outright: 5%
4.7%
6.4%
-5.8%
3.6%
1.8%
8.3%
8.7%
10.2%
2.1%
7.0%
29.7%
1.8%
6.9%
26.8%
Outright: 3%
2.9%
6.0%
-4.0%
2.8%
1.3%
6.0%
5.9%
9.9%
1.3%
5.2%
26.6%
1.2%
5.0%
23.3%
3
Spread: ATM - 3%
Spread: 9% - 3%
7.1%
6.7%
4.6%
4.2%
-9 8%
-5.3%
6.3%
3.3%
9.1%
5.8%
9.6%
8.1%
6.2%
6.3%
1.8%
2.2%
6.7%
4.7%
7.2%
6.1%
79.9%
77.6%
6.7%
4.7%
7.3%
6.2%
78.8%
75.4%
ti
Spread: ATM • 1%
8.2%
7.6%
-13.3%
6.9%
10.8%
12.4%
12.5%
4.3%
6.4%
9.9%
65.3%
6.2%
10.0%
62.0%
Spread: 9% - 1%
7.9%
7.3%
-8.9%
4.8%
7.4%
11.1%
13.6%
4.7%
6.6%
8.9%
61.1%
6.1%
9.0%
66.7%
Spread: 5% - 1%
5.1%
5.2%
-3.3%
2.4%
2.3%
6.6%
10.7%
4.1%
28%
5.6%
50.2%
2.5%
5.7%
44.3%
Spread: ATM - 1M 2%
8.9%
8.2%
-11.0%
6.3%
7.4%
9.6%
-5.3%
8.0%
86%
8.7%
64.9%
6.1%
8.7%
69.7%
Spread: 9%- 1M 2%
8.6%
8.1%
-7.9%
6.1%
5.3%
9.2%
-4.6%
8.8%
6.0%
8.3%
60.3%
5.4%
8.3%
65.0%
Spread: 5%- 1M 2%
6.0%
8.4%
-3.4%
3.4%
1.5%
7.3%
-92%
10.5%
2.8%
6.5%
43.3%
3.3%
6.3%
52.6%
San Amami en
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00201785
DB-SDNY-0055601
EFTA01365015
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