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efta-01367795DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01367795
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22 May 2015
US Equity Insights
It's time to buy the Big & Low 25 stock basket again as Energy
names tall out
The 25 stocks that most lower the S&P PE are attractive again. These stocks have big
market cap and earnings weights and trade at low PEs vs. the S&P. These 25 stocks
are: 9 Financials (JPM, C, WFC, BAC, GS, MET, PRU, AIG, COF), 8 Tech (AAPL, IBM,
HPO, CSCO, MU, QCOM, INTC, ORCL), 2 Airlines (AAL, DAL), 2 Telecom (VZ, T), 2
Autos (GM, F), 1 Health Care (GILD), and 1 Energy (VLO). The aggregate PE on 2015
EPS of these 25 stocks is 12 vs. 20x for the S&P excluding them. We see value at
Telecom, but return it to EW from the OW set Jan end and put Media/Cable back to EW
rom UW. We OW Heath Care, Tech, Financials and Utilities. We UW Energy,
Industrials and Materials.
Figure 10125 stocks that lower the S&P 500 PE the most, i.e. stocks with big market cap and earnings weights and
trade at low PEs vs. the S&P
no-
NAT*
Sector
Industry
Market
Pt on
Earnings
Cap ($bn)
201SEPS Weight
Earnings Weight •
(Stock 2015 PE -
S&P 500 2015 PEI
AAPL-US
Apple Inc
Information Technology
Technology Hardware, Storage & Pell
757.6
14.1
5.04%
-0.184
JPM-US
JPMorgan Chase & Co Financials
Banks
247.9
11.3
2.06%
-0.132
C-US
Citigroup Inc
Financials
Banks
166.5
10.0
1.57%
-0.122
GILD-U5
Gilead Sciences inc
Health Care
Biotechnology
164.1
10.0
1.53%
-0.119
IBM-US
International Business I Information Technology
IT Services
159.7
11.0
1.38%
-0.093
AAL-US
American Airlines Grew Industrials
Airlines
30.9
5.0
0.67%
-0.085
WFC-US
Wells Fargo & Co
Financials
Banks
262.9
13.5
1.84%
-0.078
BAC-US
Bank of America Corp Financials
Banks
176.1
12.3
1.33%
-0.072
V2-US
Verizon Communicatioi Telecommunication Services
Diversified Telecommunication Servic
206.5
13.0
1.51%
-0.071
GM-US
General Motors Co
Consumer Discretionary
Automotoles
47.4
7.7
0.57%
-0.058
GS-US
Goldman Sachs Group I Financials
Capital Markets
83.1
10.4
0.75%
-0.055
MET-US
Mod& Inc
Financials
insurance
59.5
9.0
0.63%
-0.055
HPQ-US
Hewlett-Packard Co
Information Technology
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peri
60.1
9.2
0.63%
-0.054
T-US
AT&T Inc
Telecommunication Services
Diversified Telecommunication Servic
179.7
13.6
1.23%
-0.051
CSCO-Us
Cisco Systems Inc
Information Technology
Communications Equipment
151.2
13.1
1.07%
-0.050
F-US
Ford Motor Co
Consumer Discretionary
Automobiles
60.5
9.6
0.60%
-0.049
PRU-US
Prudential Financial Inc Financials
insurance
38.9
8.5
0.44%
-0.040
AIG-US
American International Financials
insurance
82.3
12.0
0.64%
-0.037
MU-US
Micron Technology Inc Information Technology
Semiconductors & Semiconductor Eq.
28.6
8.0
0.34%
-0.033
VLO-US
Valens Energy Corp
Energy
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
31.0
8.6
0.34%
-0.031
COF-US
Capital One Financial C Financials
Consumer Finance
47.1
11.0
0.40%
-0.027
DAL-US
Delta Aar Lines inc
Industrials
Airlines
36.0
10.3
0.36%
-0.027
QCOM-US Quakomm Inc
Information Technology
Communications Equipment
114.3
14.4
0.76%
-0.025
INTC-US
Intel Corp
Information Technology
Semiconductors & Semiconductor fry
158.0
15.2
0.97%
-0.025
ORCL-US
Oracle Corp
Information Technology
Software
142.0
15.0
0.90%
-0.024
S&P 500
18,816
17.7
The 25 Big & tow stocks
3,492
12.0
S&P ex. the 25 Big & Low stocks
15,324
20.0
Sane DIES. Dana* OVA
Iiigrjre 11: Summary statistics on the 25 Big and Low S&P 500 stocks
The 25 Big & Low Stocks
Mkt Cap
PE on
Count Weight 2015 EPS Companies
Financials
9
33%
11.4 J PM, C. WFC. BAC GS, MET, PRU, AIG, COP
Information Technology
8
45%
13.4 AAPL, IBM, IIPQ, CSCO. MU, QCOM, INTC. ORCL
Industrials
2
2%
6.2 AAL, DAL
Telecommuriration Services
2
11%
13.3 V2. T
Consumer Discretionary
2
3%
8.7 GM, F
Energy
1
1%
8.7 VLO
Health Care
1
5%
10.1 GILD
All
25
100%
12.0
Sara ?6(S Gs.rscme
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Payo 5
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00205592
DB-SDNY-0059408
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