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efta-01378310DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01378310
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INTERNAL USE ONLY
DO NOT DISTRIBUTE IN PART OR IN WHOLE
Corporate Credit > U.S. Investment Grade
Energy Transfer Partners
Updated: November 2, 2015
Trade Idea:
Buy Energy Transfer Partners10-year bonds
Investment Rationale:
- Our view on ETP is based on the recent acquisitions to improve the business risk profile and the additional cash flow will eventually
help improve the credit metrics. This WMB transaction further enhances the overall business mix of the company and adds
considerable size, scale and diversification. In addition, ETE has completed several large acquisitions over the past few years and has
always managed to maintain the IG ratings at the MLP. Therefore, we think the company's statement that this transaction will have no
ratings impact on the MLPs has credibility.
- ETE (GP of ETP) officially announced that is reached an agreement to acquire WMB (GP of WPZ) for $37.7 billion, which includes the
assumption of debt. The WMB units will be purchased by a newly created C-corporation called Energy Transfer Corp, LP. (ETC). The
cash portion of the purchase price will be financed with new debt issued by ETC. The transaction will make the combined entity the
fifth largest energy company (by enterprise value), behind ExxonMobil, PetroChina, Shell and Chevron.
- From a relative value perspective, ETP bonds appear to be quoted about 30 bps wider on the news. However, most MLPs are quoted
about 20 bps wider, so the ETP bonds are only marginally wider. This widening could be the results of the technical overhang of a $6.0
billion debt offering by ETC that is pushing the complex slightly wider. We see no fundamental credit reason for the spread widening
and we believe ETP bonds should tighten as technicals improve after the ETE debt deal is done. In addition, we expect ETP spreads
to tighten as it becomes part of a larger, more diversified company. In addition, although the corporate structure has become a bit
more complicated, we think announcing this deal removes some of the event risk uncertainty for ETE and WMB, which has been
weighing on these names since a deal between these companies was first proposed back in June. Therefore, continue to believe there
is performance potential in ETP bonds and we are maintaining our outperform relative value recommendation at this time.
Recommendation(s):
Trade
Ratings
Issue
Spread
Cash
View
Horizon
Ticker
CPN
Maturity
CCY
Size
Yield
Price
ISIN
S&P
Moody's
Entry
Target
Loss
Outperform
12 mos.
ETP
490
2/1/2024
BBB
Baa3
USD
350M
5 79
383
343
423
94 20
U529273
RAY53
Deutsche Meet
& Weslitt Management
10
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
CONFIDENTIAL
DB-SDNY-0075479
SDNY_GM_00221663
EFTA01378310
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