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efta-01378313DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01378313
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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01378313
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INTERNAL USE ONLY
DO NOT DISTRIBUTE IN PART OR IN WHOLE
Corporate Credit > U.S. Investment Grade
Kinder Morgan Inc.
Updated: November 2, 2015
Trade Idea:
Buy Kinder Morgan Inc 10-year bonds
Investment Rationale:
We are maintaining our outperform relative value recommendation on KMI at this time. This is based mainly on the fact that the
bonds are still quoted slightly behind ETP (also outperform) and well behind WES and CPGX, which are all comparably rated. Only
SXL is quoted slightly wider at this time, which is a much smaller, less liquid name. In our view, we think the main reason that MLP
names have underperformed relative to the energy sector is due more to bond market technicals than fundamentally driven. We
believe that MLP spreads should tighten significantly if, and when, the bond market recovers and the appetite for higher yielding
bonds increases. At this point, we are cautiously optimistic that market conditions will improve by the end of the year. We will
continue to monitor the market closely.
- KMI reported EBITDA of $5.2 billion for the nine-months ended 9/30/15, down 2% from the same period last year. Interest expense
increased 15%, which caused EBITDA/interest coverage to drop to 3.43x from 4.03x last year. Leverage on a TD/EBITDA was also
weaker at 6.05x as of 9/30/15 from 5.71x at YE 2014. Distribution coverage was 1.00x for 3Q 2015, which is the same as the same
period last year.
- The company remains bullish due to the need for pipeline infrastructure to move and store natural gas, crude oil and NGLs from the
growing shale plays and oil sands, which should be the mains driver of growth. In addition, the trend toward LNG for export and
natural gas export to Mexico should provide some long-term demand upside, which is already leading to some firm capacity
pipeline contracts.
Recommendation(s):
Trade
Ratings
Issue
Spread
Cash
View
Horizon
Ticker
CPN
Maturity
COY
Size
Yield
Price
ISIN
S&P
Moody 's
Enuy
Target
Loss
Outperform
6 mos.
KMI
4 30
6/1/2025
BBB
Baal
USD
1.58
562
353
313
393
90 35
U549456
OAF
Deutsche Meet
& WesTh Management
13
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
CONFIDENTIAL
DB-SDNY-0075482
SDNY_GM_00221666
EFTA01378313
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