Case File
efta-01378315DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01378315
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efta-01378315
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INTERNAL USE ONLY
DO NOT DISTRIBUTE IN PART OR IN WHOLE
Corporate Credit > U.S. Investment Grade
ONEOK Partners LP
Updated: November 2, 2015
Trade Idea:
Buy ONEOK Partners 10-year bonds
Investment Rationale:
From a relative value perspective, we are maintaining our outperform relative value recommendation. We think OKS spreads are wider
than similar pipeline names due to the market perception that the drop in oil prices will have a greater impact on OKS than some of the
pipeline names with less NGL leverage. While that may be true, we think NGL prices likely have limited additional downside from the
current levels since they are at a 10-year low. We also believe the market is discounting the increased level of fee-based contracts,
which include minimum volume commitments. In addition, when we compare the OKS G-spread to lower-rated pipeline names, like
SXK, KMI and ETP, we think OKS bonds look attractive. We think OKS should eventually compress closer to the comparable pipeline
names, or at a minimum, limits the downside if the ratings are lowered.
OKS reported EBITDA of $701MM for the six-months ended 6/30/15, down 7% from the same period last year. Interest expense
increased 18%, which caused EBITDA/interest coverage to drop to 4.20x from 5.32x last year. Leverage was also weaker at 5.58x as
of 6/30/15 compared to 4.82x at YE 2014. Despite the weak results for the first half of the year, the company reaffirmed its full-year
EBITDA guidance range of $1.51 billion to $1.73 billion based on the expectation of new well connection, completion of field
compression projects, an increase in the capture of natural gas currently being flared and new natural gas processing plants being
connected to the NGL pipelines in the Mid-Continent and Rocky Mountain regions.
We expect some improvement over the next few quarters based on the factors noted by the company in the reaffirmation of its full-year
EBITDA guidance, we need to see some evidence of that improvement. Our rating is also supported by the amount of fee-based cash
flow (about 75% in 2015) and commodity hedging, which should help stabilize the overall credit profile. From a financial strategy
perspective, we expect the company to continue taking a balanced approach to fund future growth and take comfort in the fact that
Rees-Hifitmriatatirwhfjg stress a commitment to maintaining investment grade ratings.
Trade
Ratings
Issue
Spread
Cash
View
Horizon
Ticker
CPN
Maturity
CCY
Size
Yield
Price
ISIN
`:body's
Entry
Target
Loss
Oulpedorm
12 mos.
OKS
4.90
3/15/2025
BBB
Baa2
USD
500M
591
385
345
425
92.83
US€8268
NAP87
Deutsche Meet
& Wesah Management
16
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
CONFIDENTIAL
DB-SDNY-0075484
SDNY_GM_00221668
EFTA01378315
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