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efta-01384975DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01384975
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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01384975
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Cumulative Returns (1991—June 2015)
Conon:Oise Return ot jone .1(1, 2015
0991 = indexed to 1001
1.800
1.600
k IA00
l2®
1.000
KO
603
1-
40
200
0
1991
1997
2003
2000
2Cris
-
Fen,land —
WW 2 —aPatenveds —M O%
Sonny: NCREIF, SNI. Financial.
(1991—Jun. 20151
1400%
1400%
1200%
1490%
1000%
tin
P00%
740%
533%
B00%
400%
200%
0%
FainLind
SAP se%)
AP441414, 44
U.S. farmland may serve as a hedge against both inflation and deflation with limited correlation to other asset
classes
We believe the farmland asset class may provide both diversification and a hedge against inflation
in a portfolio of investments. The Purdue University Center for Commercial Agriculture published
research on farmland values. In its analysis, the Center found that over a period of time that spanned
various market cycles (1914.2011) farmland values were highly correlated with inflation with a
correlation coefficient of 0.63 between land prices and the Consumer Price Index. In addition,
farmland's returns to major asset classes such as the US. 10-Year Treasury and the S&P 500 Index, as
noted in the chart below (based on research from The Center for Farmland Research at the University
of Illinois), demonstrate farmland's potential ability to diversify a portfolio.
Return Correlation with U.S. Farmland (1970 to 2012)
30.2% Gold
I
tiv.
10-Year Treasury
(9.6%)
Baa Bonds
(10.0%) IIII
Equity REITs
(26.3%)
S&P 500
(26.6%)
MSCI EAFE Index
(35.0%)
OJIA
(40.0%)
(20.0%)
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
U.S. farmland performance during different interest rate environments and during recent credit shocks
U.S. farmland property values have generally been increasing over the long-term, although
exceptions may exist, with lower than historical debt-to-equity and debt-to-asset ratios over the past
44 years, and have risen in both increasing and decreasing interest rate environments. With less debt,
farmland has been and may be more resistant to interest rate changes, credit shocks and financial
recessions. During the financial crisis in MK the NCREIF Farmland Index generated robust gross
cumulative gains while the S&P 500 Index and the MSCI World Index generated substantial losses.
152
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM P 6(e)
DI3-SDNY-0085715
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00231899
EFTA01384975
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