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efta-01385417DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01385417
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3 January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media. Cable & Satellite
Shifting gears to the operating environs, after US advertising revenues grew
-5% in 2016 (the strongest showing in over a decade), 2017 posted a more
modest but still positive —2.6% gain. Digital (display, video, social, search,
etc.) is now the largest media platform in the country (at -46% of total ad
revenues). The category led the charge with high-teens growth, as social
media, video, mobile, and paid search provided a big lift. Television (-1/3 of
total ad revs) had an off year (-8% according to Magna) as Olympics and
political cycled off and nat'l CPM inflation was unable to offset softer volume
and declining viewership.
Out-Of-Home ad sales rose LSD, fueled by
increased digital screens.
Radio dipped by LW as traditional (terrestrial)
operators face competition from digital/streaming competition. Last and least
is print, which saw mid-teens ad declines as the industry continues to struggle
amidst ongoing erosion in print readership, high fixed costs, and difficulty
roping in new digital income to compensate.
Looking ahead to 2018, the trifecta of political. Olympics, and World Cup will
provide a boost. As such, ad spend is projected to rise -3.9% Y-o-Y, on
average. In the table below we present a blend of recently-issued prominent
advertising guru industry outlooks.
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As we survey the HY Media / Business Services landscape entering 2018,
many credits remain converged into a fairly tight trading range. This is a
reflection of conditions in the overall HY / Leveraged Loan markets, stable
fundamentals and reasonable leverage. A handful of outliers find themselves
there due to excessive leverage, steep maturity walls, reliance on capital
markets, structural/secular shifts, and/or considerable fundamental business
challenges.
In the following sections, we dive into each sub-sector and
discuss the opportunities and challenges therein.
Page 142
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0086701
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00232885
EFTA01385417
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