Case File
efta-01385917DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01385917
Date
Unknown
Source
DOJ Data Set 10
Reference
efta-01385917
Pages
1
Persons
0
Integrity
Extracted Text (OCR)
Text extracted via OCR from the original document. May contain errors from the scanning process.
-o
'Other Current Recommendations
a
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc
Trade Detail
Rationale
Risks
Opened
Entry
Current
PR.
Treasury
RV
Sell rich bond futures against
chess off-the-run bonds
Sell the rich classic bond futures versus
off-the-run bonds in the 2026 to 2028
sector
Classic bond futures
richen
11/26/14
+21 by
+12 by
4337k
Treasury
RV
Short ultra long futures vs 30s
Ultra long futures are rich
Ultra continue to richen
6112/14
+12 bp
+6 by
+480k
Inflation
Short 1/2026 breakevens vs 6w
and 30yr breakevens
les look rich; sell the rich 1/20268
10s richen further
1/23/15
+15 bp
+0 bp
+228k
Inflation
Long 30yr TIPS breakevens
versus 10yr TIPS breakevens
10s-30s breakeven alive appears too flat
on a long term basis
Long term inflation
expectations decline
11/26/14
+16 bp
+6 bp
489k
Inflation
Long 1/2029 breakevens vs 10w
breakevens
10w TIPS to 1/2029 breakeven curve is too
flat
1/2029 breakeven
cheapen further
10/3/14
+2 by
-2 bp
+206k
Inflation
long 30yr TIPS breakevens
The long end inflation market looks
undervalued; 30yr TIPS breakevens
multi-year lows
Long term inflation
near
12/12/2O14
1.91
%
expectations decline
1.91%
-862k
Inflation
Swaps
long 2yr2yr inflation swaps
We like being long 2yr2yr or 2yr3yr
forward breakevens to take advantage of
cheap 5s, while avoiding negative carry in
front end TIPS
Medium term inflation
expectations decline
12/1
14
1.77%
2.04%
+2A67k
Agencies
Buy long-dated GSE debt:
Buy 6100mm FNMA 6.625
11/30s vs. T 6.326 2/31s
Legislative momentum of Johnson-Crapo
on GSE reform is credit bullish for long-
dated GSE debt.
Reform bill stalls in
Congress or language
on government
guarantee modified.
3/14/14
+48 by
+40 bp
+2,0301c
Muni
Receive $100m 3y3y SIFMA
ratio at 78.2%. (Sorid)
Attractive roll down profile
Further ratio curve
steepening
4/25/13
78.2%
77.8%
+690k
Option
I X2 IY 5Y5Y ATMF/41 receiver
spreads oneness
Long-end rallies on premature or fast rate
hikes (policy mistake)
Rally below the
breakevens; unlimited
downside
9/26/14
04
-87.8s
-1.004k
_
° PtiCHI
Buy $100mn 6M 2yly 25bp
OTM MC payers vs. Sell 100mn
lY 4Y1Y 45bp OTM MC Payers
at zero net cost
Curve flattens on a hawkish FOMC
Curve bear steepens
9/12/14
04
-0.64
-6k
Option
Sell $100mn 6M5Y ATMF vs.
buy S200mn 6M5Y 30bp OTM
payers at zero net cost
Skew trades rich in a sell-off
Rates sell off half-way
and stay there till the
expiry
9/12/14
0 bp
0.0 bp
-2k
CiPtim
Buy Slbn 6M 58/10s ATMF/15
curve cap spread vs. sell SI bn
6M 5s/l0s 6bp OTM curve floor
at zero net cost
Curve steepens as the market converges
to Fed
Curve flattens beyond
the floor strike;
unlimited downside
9/5/14
Seuret Ostiab• an
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
CONFIDENTIAL
DB-SDNY-0087385
SDNY_GM_00233569
EFTA01385917
Forum Discussions
This document was digitized, indexed, and cross-referenced with 1,400+ persons in the Epstein files. 100% free, ad-free, and independent.
Annotations powered by Hypothesis. Select any text on this page to annotate or highlight it.