Case File
efta-01385975DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01385975
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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01385975
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'Dui SOMMOOS We9 Otpilino()
Closed Trade Recommendations
Trade Detail
Rationale
Risks
Opened
Envy
Mond
Exit
P/L
inflation
Long 2019 TIPS breakevens versus
2016 TIPS breakevens
Being long 2019 BEs versus 2016 BEs
has positive carry. rind is less
correlated with energy prices than 1w
BEs
2019 breakevens drop
more than 2016
breakevens
11/26/14
+41 bp
2/25/15
+22 bp
+4,014k
Inflation Long 30yr TIPS breakevens
Bond TIPS look cheap one relative
value basis
Inflation expectations
decline
10/17/14
2.08°/0
12/9/14
1.97%
-1,171k
Inflation Long 6yr TIPS
6yr TIPS look cheap
Inflation declines further
9/12/2014
-6 bp
10/28/14
-11bP
+81k
inflation
Long 10yr TIPS breakevens vs 5yr and
30yr TIPS breakevens
10yr breakevens look cheap ahead of
supply
10yr breakevens
underperform
5/16/14
+6 bp
9/25/14
+6 bp
-120k
inflation
Long 30yr TIPS breakevens vs 10yr
TIPS breakevens
10s-30s breakeven curve is too flat
10yr breakevens
outperform
6/12/14
+8 bp
7/23/14
+12 bp
+171k
Infladon Long 6yr TIPS breakevens
We favor short-dated TIPS for near-
term catty. We like the cheap and
liquid 0.1259 of 4/2019.
Decline in energy prices
or inflation expectations
6/12/14
+200bp
9/16/14
+182 bp
4,240k
Inflation
Swaps
Long 2y2y inflation swap
2y2y inflation looks attractive on
historical basis
Forward inflation falls
10/3/14
2.1%
12/9/14
2.0%
409k
Inflation
Swaps
Sell the 5yr5yr inflation swaps
11/7/14
I heapsr aenagg:r5twyr 454trarirrieyflaentiosnis
wide. Selling the 5yr5yr inflation
swaps looks attractive.
5yr5yr inflation swaps
rise
2.58%
12/18/14
2.43%
+1,381k
Treasury
RV
Long 5s vs 2s and I Os
5s appear attractive
6s cheapen further
915/2014
+41 bp
10/28/14
+34bp
+418k
Treasury
RV
Sell classic bond futures CTD (6.126
Aug29s) against Aug22s and Aug42s
Classic bond futures close to 1.5
standard deviations rich versus l0s
and 30s
Continuing
outperformance of classic
bond futures
10/7/13
+13bp
8/12/14
.7 bp
-404k
Treasury
RV
Take profits on the 20262029 bonds.
(Li)
2026-2029 bonds have outperformed
recently and look rich to l0s and 30s
2026-2029 bonds
continue to cheapen
9/17/13
+11 by
8/12/14
+7 by
-228k
Treasury
RV
Long I Os vs 5s and 30s
l0s look cheap on the curve
lOs continue to cheapen
9/12/13
+26 by
7/7/14
+14 by
+364k
Option
Conditional bull steepeners: Sell
$32.8mn 3M1OY ATMF receivers vs.
buy $100mn 3M3Y ATMF receivers at
net takeout lc
Front-end gets re-priced in a delayed
Fed hike
Curve bull flattens;
unlimited downside
9/26/14
-I bp
12/30/14
0 bp
+19k
° Pt im
Buy IX2 3M3Y ATMF/13.5bp receiver
spreads for zero net cost
Short-term risk off and short covering
Rally below the
breakevens; unlimited
downside
9/26/14
0 bp
12/30/14
0 bp
+28k
Stave Dace& art
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
CONFIDENTIAL
DB-SDNY-0087443
SDNY_GM_00233627
EFTA01385975
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