Case File
efta-01388530DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01388530
Date
Unknown
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DOJ Data Set 10
Reference
efta-01388530
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•
Breakeven on structure is - 5% away, structure sees FXI re-enter old trading range, while selling post Feb/March
highs
•
Feb gets near-term G20 catalyst, the big rate decisions over December (which can move USD), as well as the full
announcement of Chinese fiscal policy early next year
Light exo — Feb FXI ATM call contingent on SPX <105% for 2.05% vs 4.15% vanilla
•
FXI has started to outperform SPX over the last week, and if current fundamental factors keep the US down to only
slightly up, FXI can continue to close the performance gap over the next 3M. Just look to today, SPX down 50bps, and FXI
is trading 40bps higher.
•
ATM FXI — 105% SPX is over 3.6% and so the contingency is cheapening the vanilla call 50% and similar structure
43%
While the recent SPX selloff has brought both markets closer, SPX is still massively outperforming on the
year, and FXI can now continue to close that gap if the US underperforms even after the trade deal.
10
3D
2950
2900
2850
2800
2750
2650
2600
2550
FXI implied vols are near 2 year highs, and 95/105 skew near flattest levels over same period, indicating
investor expectation for upside here.
1M
6M
YID
re
SY
Max
Daily V
Table
Low: 2554.6201
5“.A50
hack i Annulate
N -A t-
27_•j'l I
• SPX Index / FXI 1.5 Equity 65.9767
C6..t..f.43.7888
Dec
Mar
Aim
CFO
2017
2018
Hi: 2230.75
east Price
ASP Inicx (LI)
2688.49
mif*lWS Equity (81) i 40.78
Low: 38.26
54.00
52.00
50.00
48.00
46.00
4.01%
44.00
42.00
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0092128
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00238312
EFTA01388530
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Phone
554.6201Forum Discussions
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