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efta-01388608DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01388608
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DOJ Data Set 10
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18 October 2016
REITs
US REIT 3O16 Earnings Preview
Office: Valuations remain attractive, but specter of
recession remains an overhang
'Figure 66: 1-Month Office performance
0% If n
nits
osow
o:
11
"4"
4
efi
tr. a at
'Figure 67: YTD Office performance
Mks
tocojew co &nowt ewenniArt
seninietotoWelefillet
iel,
As of 1 Of 14/1 6
'Figure 68: vacancy flat while rents decelerate
14.0%
12.0%
100%
00%
00%
00%
20%
Map/ Marks
20.0%
150%
100%
I SO%
Milli Will IIIIII It 0,,
1 40%
FlateleitesnessistWee
mar0w
Rich Groat. 09,0
—Vicar**
As of 10/14/16
Sovce Oettscre furi.
Figure 69: SS NO( (Cash) growth WY
nee,
roz
ISO%
100%
O:
SIM
kill
y
.
40%
-10.0%
ISO%
em
CU
IOW
SLG
VNO MY.
%MG (DC. Mane
SS ESTDAMSEllnOn
•2015
*3015
•1015
*1016
•2010
•
WY market rent growth of +3.5% in 3Q16 is
■
Rent commencement of previously-signed leases
down 40bps from 2016, and has been on a
and free rent burn off should support elevated SS
decelerating trend since 4Q15
NOI growth
•
Rent growth slows vs. 2016 in NY (+3.8%). LA
(+3.4%), and Boston (+2.7%). DC improved
(+2.5%) while SF was unchanged (+5.1%)
•
Vacancy flat q/q. Boston. LA, and SF improved,
NY was unchanged, while vacancy increased in
DC
Now *War moan wnpftbe W. DC. Ooslon. LA *to SF
San* Daw00Y M. RE6
Key Office topics/questions for 3016
•
Health of the leasing environment, with national momentum generally
healthy
Supply in the major markets, and impact on pricing power
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Page 37
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0092257
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00238441
EFTA01388608
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