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efta-01388637DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01388637
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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01388637
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Evhdart 12 Household and Retail Invent°is. Growth
Forecast
% YrNr Growth
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
20%
1.0%
0.0%
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Inventory Growth
--
Long-term Average Inventory Growth
—
HH Formations
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Strengthening fundamentals continue to support investment returns (see Exhibit 13). Regional and super regional
malls returned 12.9% (trailing four quarters) in the second quarter 2016, followed by neighborhood and community
centers (12.0%) and power centers (10 00/0).
Exhibit 13 Total Returns by Retail Sub.Type
Total Returns
4%
Regional and Super Regional
Malls
■
•
Retail
Neighborhood and Commtnity
Centers
•2016
*Average (2006-2015)
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B
Power Centers
From a geographic perspective, the high-growth and tourist markets of Miami, Phoenix and Orlando delivered the
highest investment returns over the past 12 months. Other lop performers included Washington. DC. Riverside,
and San Diego. Returns in the global gateways of New York. Boston and Los Angeles lagged the sector
benchinark
NCREW: Da;P:Xle Asool Management. Data as of Maxi: 20:6.
NCREIF and Doutsthe Assad Management. Data as of Marth 2016
U S Real Estate Strategic Outlook I September 2016 17
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0092303
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00238487
EFTA01388637
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