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efta-01388957DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01388957
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efta-01388957
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IR October 2016
REITs
US REIT 3016 Earnings Preview
VTR
&rho
Normalized FRZI/sh
Normalized FADish
Operseclisales
Teed SS NOIC00wth lush. WO
SHOP SS NOI growth (cash. WV)
SS Avg occupancy ch NM
55 Avg monthly REVPOR growth ly/yl
INN 55 NOI growth (cash. yN)
Total Coverage
1.100 SS NOI growth Rash. Wry)
End occupancy ch tyay)
Avg rent pee occupied SI lyrUI
Note consensus data is based on Thomson corn led data as of 10/14/16 Historcal data has not been r stated
Updated views on acute ca e hospitals including sector outlook commentary on the recent debt investment in
the Ardent/LHP merger, and plans for further expanding hospital exposure
•
Expect an update on the six development projects VTR had at the end of 2Q and the two in-process
developments acquired from Wexford
•
Updated outlook for future growth opportunities resulting from the exclusive development agreement with
Wexford and the 9 development sites VTR acquired
•
Update on disposition plans. Our model assumes $300MM in 3Q16 and $75MM in 4Q16
•
Update on seniors housing supply in VTR's markets, most notably Atlanta, Denver, San Francisco, arid
Sacramento
9015
Acta
$1 09
2010
MIS
SI 04
50 97
50 96
MOW
4 3%
Aetna
3 5%
3 2%
2 1%
-03%
-0 7%
3 5%
39%
57%
1.6x
62%
1 7x
31%
08%
.04%
-07%
2 6%
09%
3010
Do.
SI 01
MW
Cane
SI 00
SO 90
Meal
Dee
2010
Pro 30 Guide
Poet 30 Guide
Dee
Cane
5405 44 13
$410
$4 12
5369 • S3 73
5370
Pre 30 Odds
Peet 30 Oulde
OB.
2 0% - 3 0%
I 5% • 3 0%
35%-40%
10% • 20%
•
Updated plans to fully fund the Wexford deal and the new Ardent debt investment after a $450MM senior note
issuance in September
•
Operator update including comments on recent Kindred performance
•
We are updating our model for the recently announced debt investment to help fund the Ardent operating
company merger with LHP and recent financing activity. Our 3Q16 normalized and NAREIT FFO/sh estimates
are unchanged. Our 2016 norm and NAREIT FFO/sh estimates are both unchanged at $4.10 and $4.07,
respectively. Our 2017 norm. FFO/sh moves to $4.42 from $4.34 and our NAREIT FFO/sh estimate moves to
$4.42 from $4.33, which reflect the new $700MM debt investment in 1Q17 and additional debt financing
activity in 2H17. Please see Figure 98 for a summary of our full year estimate revisions.
Sate* (Minch &roc cryany Ma MOM lOn
Page 52
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0092979
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00239163
EFTA01388957
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