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efta-01389059DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01389059
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18 October 2016
REITs
US REIT 3016 Earnings Preview
iFigure 44: ACC's 3O16 results preview
ACC
Earnings
i rOrigsli
Opining PASS
SS NOI growth. VA
SS Revenue growth, vN
SS Eotense growth, yry
Average whollvowned Oa. in ingots reported)
Develoorner4 starts an AAA's)
Owned worms under construction On MIA's)
On-campus sward pepsine In MIA's)
Dispositions On NW's)
Noto caloensof inmates vs based on )Mennen compled dm es of 10/14,16
ACC spats FrOM due to accounteg rules reaur•g 4 to conschime rts oncarrous properties
•
Update on the 19 non•core asset portfolio that is under LOI and expected to close in 4O16. Guidance calls for
3016
Actual
$0 43
ASS
5.9%
3.7%
2.1%
913%
2016
Actual
SO 54
Rabat
2.5%
2.6%
24%
92.5%
S1138
$912
5407
SO
$440
$lEC
S32
SO
3016
Actual
Cons
$0 43
5045
ASA:
3.6%
2.7%
is%
92.7%
$131
$912
$407
so
2016
Pre 33 Guido
Post 30 Gila
Mk , Cons
S,2 19. 52 31
5328
I
K 28
Pa AI On
Pout 30 On
Des
2.0% - 3 8%
3 0% total
2 2% • 2 9%
2 6% total
1 A% - 2 3%
2 I % total
967%
9200 - 5600
1600
$126MM to S526MM in planned 2016 dispositions. We are modeling $526MM to close during 4O. Also expect
an update on ACC potentially retaining management of sold assets
Comments on the conclusion of the 2016-2017 academic year lease-up and expectations for next year with
$600MM of deliveries finalized for Fall 2017
•
Update on the 2018 development pipeline and development yields for on-campus vs. off-campus
•
Color on final leasing stets for the 2016/2017 school year
Update on expected SS NOI growth in 2017. ACC previously projected that +3% of rent growth, a 70.80bps
pickup in occupancy, and operating expenses growing at 2% or lower would drive SS NCH growth towards the
high end of 3%•6% range in 2017
Update on national supply trends vs. ACC construction (ACC accounts for 13.7% of all 2017 development
deliveries in their markets, up from 5.1% in 2016)
Sew • Dettlehe SW*. 000nOrly SW naMao•n
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Page 21
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0093272
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00239456
EFTA01389059
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