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efta-01446912DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01446912
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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01446912
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4 February 2014
Health Care Facilities and Services
HCA Holdings, Inc.
(Figure 6: Balance sheet & Cash flow analysis IS in MM, except per share data)
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Guidance. HCA issued 2014 guidance as follows: revenue $35.50436.50
billion, adjusted EBITDA $6.60-$6.85 billion, adjusted EPS $3.4543.75, capex
approx. $2.2 billion. 2014 guidance includes a benefit to adjusted EBITDA from
PPACA of approx. 1%-2%, which implies $65-$135 million benefit. HCA
expects 2013 adj. admits to range from +1% to +2% and rev/ adj. admits +2%
to+3%. Guidance also includes HITECH incentive payments $110-$130 million
and HITECH related expenses of $110-$130 million. We believe guidance was
very conservatively established, but not unexpected. EBITDA guidance
represents growth of flat to +4% and relative to consensus EBTIDA of $6.82
billion we believe HCA's outlook provides a reasonable start. Recall HCA
finished 2013 with EBITDA -1% above the top-end of its original guidance
range.
F gum 7 F€CA 2014 Guidance vs. DBe and Consensus
2014
Guidance
DB Estimate
Consensus
Resenues
$35.508 - $36.508
$36.5868
536.1388
Adjusted EBITDA
56.606 • 56.8513
$7.0498
S6 8218
PPACA Benet'
$66M - $137M
$15014 - $20001
NA
Adjusted EPS
$3.45 - $3.75
$3.92
$3.78
Capex
Approx. $2.2B
$2.2B
$2.05
•HCA guidance br 2014 PPACA benefit approx. 1% - 2% of adjusted EIMTDA
501./a7044/00M Sint SaVenVni9Oni Mama, /haws
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Pago 7
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
CONFIDENTIAL
DB-SDNY-0 101350
SDNY_GM_00247534
EFTA01446912
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