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efta-01451253DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01451253
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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01451253
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As soon as NY gets in will get a price on the MBONO 7.7S% 11/13/2042 and
ping u
as and when our view on rates or the currency changes will keep u updated,
as here u have risk on both components unlike the PDVSA where the bond was
denominated in USDs.
Best
Vinit
(Embedded image moved to file: pic07548.gif)
vinit Sahni
Managing Director I Global Head - Professional client Group & Key client
Partners Capital Markets Group
Deutsche Asset & wealth Management
105/108 old Broad St (Pinners Hall),
EC2N tou nndnn
iinirnd xingdom
Tel.
Mobi
Emai
Any proposed ideas are being delivered to you by the DeAWM Key Client
Partners ("KCP") London desk for discussion purposes only, and do not create
any legally binding obligation on the part of Deutsche Bank AG and / or its
affiliates ("DB"). These ideas are for the consideration of the intended
recipients of this mail only. The KCP London desk does not provide
investment advice. All intended recipients are Professional investors (as
defined by MiFID), who understand the strategy, characteristics and risks
associated with any ideas proposed herein and will be able to evaluate it
independently. All trades on proposed ideas shall be subject to the relevant
internal approvals prior to execution.
(Embedded image moved to file: pic21477.gif)
From:
Jeffrey Epstein <[email protected]>
To:
vinitSahni/db,a
14/01/2014 10:18
subject:
Re: Jeffrey - Mexico -> mBoNo 30y look interesting [c]
agreed
lets do 3m
On Tue, Jan 14, 2014 at 4:23 AM, Vinit sahni
Classification: Confidential
wrote:
Jeffrey - was looking for value in the EM space, post the PDVSA analysis,
started looking at Mexico...
here is a trade I think makes sense -> buying MBONO 30y unhedged
At around 7.5% yield, inflation probably in the 3-4% in the foreseeable
future, and USD/MXN likely stable or stronger in real (deflated) terms, I
think it is good value. The curve is steep. If you look at 10Y10Y UST and
10Y10Y MXN yields, the spread is above 500bp . Say inflation differential is
100bp higher in Mex and credit diff is 100bp (10Y CDS is about 100bp higher
in Mexico although mex has much better debt dyn), this still leaves about
300bp of cushion for real depreciation per year_In sum, it seems good value
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0 107625
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00253809
EFTA01451253
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