Case File
efta-01453884DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01453884
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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01453884
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iv) THE KEY POINT - FX volatility is very low in currency pairs like EURUSD
where central bank policy on each side is increasingly diverging. The low vol makes
this bet inexpensive to put on.
v) Because FX vol is so low betting now or soon with a one year time horizon costs
very little. id rather be early than late here
vi) i prefer ly expiry because this trade could take 6-12mths to play out
1Y EURUSD VOL: Low - but then again most most vols are
What I like about EURUSD is that central bank policy on each side is diverging
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This Table shows mid-market premiums (in % of notional) as spot and time change.
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19.5 is mid (offer is 21)
4) Scale into £4mm Nationwide (UK Building Society) 6.875% perpetual which
yields 6.4% in GBP and is likely to be called in 5years
European Bank ATI HyBrid Bonds (aka CoCo's) have rallied significantly. We were
unable to get the BBVA issue at the right levels.
A very similar bond which has rallied 30bp less than the BBVA is the Nationwide
(UK Building Society) 6.875% perpetual which currently yields 6.4% and is likely to
be called in 5years time. It has a tierl capital trigger of 7% and current tierl capital
ratio is 13% which is fair margin.
The Nationwide one I'm suggesting today is rated Fitch/S&P BB+, its parent is
Fitch/S&P rated single-A
The BBVA bond we tried to buy earlier is rated Fitch BB-, its parent is S&P rated
BBB-
I suggest scaling £2mm at 6.5% and £2mm at 6.75%. Transaction cost is 6bp from
mid.
Yield to call of Nationwide 6.875% perpetual IS1N X51043181269
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Tazia for any execution, Q&A to me.
Best,
Nay
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0111730
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY GM_00257914
EFTA01453884
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