Case File
efta-01455664DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01455664
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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01455664
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EURINR lower as a combined play on continued inflows into India and ECB
activism:
Trade: A 6m EURINR 78 put (at-the-money spot) financed by selling the 83
call has zero net premium (spot ref: 77.9S, forward: 80.50)
with the Modi government showing decisiveness in pursuing its reform
agenda, capital inflows into India look likely to continue for the
foreseeable future
Indian equities are at all-time highs and the entry point is not very
attractive
The rupee also embeds carry of 7%/year, cheapening risk reversals
Chart of EURINR spot
(Embedded image moved to file: pic16078.gif)
S&P SOO Put options dislocated relative to Call options
Trade: A 6m 110% calls financed by 6m 90% puts in a ratio of 4 calls
bought per put sold has zero net premium (spot ref: 1998)
Very high demand for SPX puts makes it possible to buy multiple calls
for each call sold
Across major indices, the ratio of calls-to-puts is highest for US
equities
Skew (y-axis) vs ATM vol (x-axis) is stretched
(Embedded image moved to file: pic21901.gif)
Renewed interest in Japanese equities ahead of GPIF re-allocation and policy
momentum
Trade: A 6m 110% call financed by 6m 90% put has zero net premium (spot
ref: 16374)
Investors are waiting for the giant Japanese pension funds to
re-allocate away from bonds to equities
The Abe administration is looking for additional ways to stimulate the
economy
Nikkei vols are high and skew is poor -- no easy way to get into the
trade, best to do calls vs puts 1-to-1 struck around major technical
levels
chart showing NKY history with strike of 90% put highlighted
(Embedded image moved to file: pic19086.gif)
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Best regards,
uzair Aqeel
Investment Specialist
Key Client Partners
Deutsche Bank AG, Filiale London
105/108 Old Broad St (Dinners Hall),
London EC2N lEN, United Kingdom
Email uzair.acieelOdb.com
(Embedded image moved to file: pic25019.gif)
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0114549
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00260733
EFTA01455664
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