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efta-01459566DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01459566
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DOJ Data Set 10
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efta-01459566
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Global Inflation
Germination, Examination & Protection
REITs: Occupancy Rates High
94%
93%
92%
91%
90%
89%
88%
87%1
86% I
WM occupancy rates at the highest levels since the 1990's REITs should be we, supported.
WS
'88
'90
'92
'94
'98
'98
'00
'02
'04
'06
'08
'10 12 14
— Rental Occupancy Rate. Percent - United States
— Rental Occupancy Rates, S UnitsOr More. Percent - United States
Footnotes. Data is quarterly and as o₹ 3O15.
Source FacISet.
Bank Wealth Management
REITs Pricing Power
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
Dec-83
Rental prices. as seen by owners equivalent rent. are moving higher which suggests positive
pricing power in real estate.
Nov-91
Oct-99
Sep-07
Aug-15
Owners Equivalent Rent nen.. (AVG) Owners Equivalent Rent
Footnotes: Data as o₹ November 2015
So. irce. B€oemberg Finance LP. Deutsche Bank Wealth Managern -nt
Low Inflation Supportive of REITs
REITs and Economic Growth
20.0%
Since 197Z when CPI is
150% between 1-3%. RE1Ts rise. on average. 18% (VoY) and are
1O0% positive 87% of the time
5O%
0.0%
-5.0%
-10.0%
-15.0%
-20.0%
Less than 0
•
0-1%
1-3%
396+
• F TSE NAREIT (VoY %)GNen Level of CPI (YoY %) (LHS)
• % of the Time Positive (RHS)
Footnotes Time period is December 1972-November 2015 CPI is headline CPI
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Monlgernent
1
1000%
20%
100%
80.0%
80%
60%
60.0%
40%
20%
40.0%
0%
20.0%
-20%
-40%
0.0%
-60%
4O%
-6%
Snot? 1972, when GDP (YoY) is between 2-3%, REITs have rallied. on average 17.8% (YoY).
They were only negative on one occasion (2O90).
• III
•
[repeated 11 times]
m
•
ar* s ••
•
[repeated 4 times]
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
(% 1YR) Real GDP YoY - United States
•
(% 1YR) FTSE NAREIT/ All Equity REITs
Footnotes. Time period is 407'F:5015 Quaderly year over year GDP.
13
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0 120062
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00266246
EFTA01459566
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