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efta-01459570DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01459570
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Global Fixed Income
Combing the Field for Yield
Convertibles
Carelawn 091.„
Historically, convertibles have a
high correlation to equities.
D4
'05
'08
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
12
'13
'14
'15
— Barclays U.S. Convertibles Composite Total Return 12 Mo
—
1YR) SAP 500 Index Total Return Level 12 Mo
Footnotes. Data is monthly and as of December 2015.
Source. FactSet, Deutsche Bank Wealth Management.
High Yield
Selective
120
110
100
93
80
70 •
60
-252
-201
-150
-99
-48
3
54
105
156
207
—High Yield Spreads in Tightening Cycle
Current Cycle
Footnotes: Data as of December 31, 2015
Source. FactSet. Deutsche Bank Wealth Management.
First Fed Rate Hike
Investment Grade Credit
240
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
The balance sheets are the healthiest for the
largest SSP 500 companies on record.
91
'93
'95
'97
'99
'01
'03
t5
t7
09
11
'13
'15
•••• S&P 100 - Taal Debt % Total Eguty
Footnotes. Data as of December 31. 2015.
Source' FactSet. Deutsche Bank Wealth Management
EM Debt
Cautious
0.0%
-0.5%
I
I
-1.096 -
-1.5% A
-2.0% -
-2.5%
Volatile currencies and
-3.0%
weak fiscal heath keeps
3 .5%
us cautious on EM debt.
-4.0%
-4.5%
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
• (AVG) EM Fiscal Deficit as % GDP
Footnotes Data as of December 2015. IMF estimate for 2015
Source- Bloomberg Finance LP. Deutsche Bank Wealth Manag,,,rnent
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
19
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
CONFIDENTIAL
DB-SDNY-0 120068
SDNY_GM_00266252
EFTA01459570
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