Case File
efta-01462289DOJ Data Set 10OtherEFTA01462289
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Unknown
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DOJ Data Set 10
Reference
efta-01462289
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6m forward ref : 2.8560 / 2.8635
Rationale:
Given the recent downward move in commodities, commodity linked currencies
have experienced increased volatility and marked depreciation vs. USD (see
historical price chart below)
Affected commodity linked currency pairs include AUDUSD, USDBRL, USDCAD,
USDMXN, and USDNOK
Premium neutral bullish risk reversals on commodity currencies can take
advantage of implied vol, skew and forward dynamics (i.e. client buys
foreign currency call and sells foreign currency put)
Looking at volatility adjusted skew amongst commodity currencies, current
USDBRL levels provide a compelling entry point into premium neutral risk
reversals.
(Embedded image moved to file: pic02959.gif)
other commodity currencies: while for USDBRL call strike is about 14% away
from spot while put is about 1% away, for USDMXN the call strike would be
approximately 8% away while put strike would be 3% away from spot.
Best regards,
Daniel
Daniel sabba
Key Client Partners
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Tel.
Mobile
Email
CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0 124775
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00270959
EFTA01462289
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