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efta-02705694DOJ Data Set 11OtherEFTA02705694
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TAP ADVISORS AA
Global Bit Discussion Materials
May 2014
EFTA_R1_02096504
EFTA02705694
Summary of Valuation Methodologies
)escri
Spectrum Value - Sem. ,et C ase
• Industry standard valuation methodology (AKA "Greenfield Approach")
•
• Primary methodology used in the absence of "good" comps
IRR Analysis
• Google's review and endorsement of the financial projections narrows the
discussion items
— We've sensitized the analysis for higher discount rates
- We've assumed that 20% of Global Bit's ("GB") equity will be set aside for
employees
• Geostationary satellite spectrum rights have become increasingly scarce in
recent years
•
•
— Whereas historically satellite spectrum rights were granted for nominal
fees, more recently satellite operators have paid up to $90mm per slot
GEO Slot
Equivalent
• GB's spectrum provides coverage that is more comprehensive than
geostationary spectrum and provides significantly more bandwidth
Valuation
• GB's spectrum can be converted into geostationary spectrum slot-equivalents
based on coverage and bandwidth
• We have valued GB's spectrum by applying average purchase prices paid for
geostationary satellite spectrum slots to GB's spectrum slot-equivalents
• In theory, an orbital spectrum right is a government granted license to provide
a particular service in a certain market
•
•
• Franchise licenses in the US cable industry provide an analogous economic
model
Franchise Fee
Valuation
- Cable operators in the US must obtain franchise licenses and pay franchise
fees from each municipality where they wish to offer cable service; these
fees are —5% of revenue
• We applied the same percentage to the revenues generated by GB's business
model as a proxy for the value of the spectrum
$300 million - $700 million
$702 million
32 GEO slot equivalents at
$21.7mm/slot
$400 million - $600 million
NPV of 5% franchise fee of
revenue discounted at 10%
with 0% perpetuity growth
TAP ADVISORS AS
EFTA_R1_02096505
EFTA02705695
Summary of Valuation Methodologies (cont'd)
ucscriPiiun
Spectrum Value - Sem.
eckl Case
License Value of
• We have reviewed the license/franchise/spectrum book value as a percentage
of total enterprise value for various industries (wireless, cable, satellite)
•
•
Mature Businesses • We have applied this ratio to the total "mature" enterprise value of GB's
business model, valuing GB using a 10% WACC
(Wireless, Cable,
Satellite)
-
Must value company's business model under the assumption that is a
mature business with significant going-concern, brand, goodwill,
customer-relationship and other intangible value
GB's business model is fundamentally a broadband play which is much more
analogous to the terrestrial wireless business model rather than the traditional
•
FSS business model
Developing
Markets Wireless
— Therefore, can use terrestrial spectrum valuations to provide a proxy for
the value of GB's spectrum
License Proxy
• Industry standard practice is to value spectrum on a MI-IzPOP basis in order
to account for amount of spectrum and size/density of coverage area
• Valuation metric can be adjusted to take into account varying economic and
technical qualities of the spectrum
2
$300 million - $425 million
12.5-17.5% spectrum value of
total enterprise value
calculated on a "mature" basis
$45.3 billion
TAP ADVISORS AS
EFTA_R1_02096506
EFTA02705696
IRR Analysis
• An IRR or DCF analysis (mathematically equivalent) is an industry standard methodology for determining the value of a cash flow
generating asset
• For a start-up venture such as GB, there are significant assets that need to be acquired and/or developed in order for the business to
function
- If the costs for acquiring/developing these assets are captured by the cash flows then, those assets are not a part of what is being valued
by the analysis. Specific examples include:
• Satellites - captured through capital expenditures
• Manufacturing facilities - captured through capital expenditures
• Intellectual property - captured through NRE spend
• Management talent - captured through the options pool and stock grants
• Capital - captured through required rate of return / WACC
- The valuation (or purchase price in the case of an IRR framework) resulting from the analysis needs to be allocated amongst all the
assets whose costs are not captured in the cash flows
• The only assets that aren't accounted for in the cash flows are the spectrum rights and landing rights
• Landing rights in the Ku-band have historically been very easy to acquire and require nominal administrative fees
4 male on+
Total Soto (mm)
Revenue
% Growth
Tora ha to
7014
2015
2016
I. lot, I Nil t
rating Prote, t un.
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2012
ol 0
$36.187
406%
1241
2024
1033
$44,461
301%
446
2823
1033
$19,851
1.2.3%
6150
TV
Ls, Total Coon
EBITDA
% Margin
D&&
Err
1/41, Taws
Plus. D&A
LewCepa
Ism. A Net Wooing Cartel
Unleveled KT
leo
Spectrum Purchase Prke
IRR
00
10
/44,
68
( )
( 07)
058)
0-▪ 5)
(
(
(3.
)
(4.804)
01
)
D
)
0
7) 0
)
7)
OD
111
Wa
1
00
1.0
49
146
173
426
60 7
10
$186
51319
$3,738
$8,358
113,666
524.310
We
Nu
500.0%
233.3%
124.1%
63.5%
779%
144
0 68)
0 107)
($1510
0139)
1450
12.163
55,738
18.862
$16.16'
122.946
529,993
$33,701
0/11
Ws
402%
58,0%
61.7%
64.8%
665%
674%
67.5%
67.6%
(47)
(135)
(159)
(232)
(261)
(172)
4412)
(3831
(418)
(410)
(353)
(3401
0115)
0242)
($317)
0371)
5189
$1,590
$4,025
$6479
$15,749
522.534
529.642
$33,341
ii
0
0
0
0
(073)
(1.206)
(2.120)
0,037)
(3.834)
(7.410)
0,340)
47
135
159
232
261
272
412
383
418
410
353
340
(318)
(621)
(165)
017)
(206)
(79)
(996)
(114)
059)
(114)
(114)
(114)
3
2
3
03)
00)
97
93
83
153
95
86
44381,
0384)
0726)
0324)
($669)
$194
11.708
$3318
$6,711
$11,523
$17,293
$22,556
$24,809
(5001
(3841
4726)
4324)
(669)
191
1,708
3,118
6,711
11,523
17.293
22536
24,809
$500
63.63/4
111,1021
Purchase Dam
6/30/14
Terminal Value C
ulat. on
2025 DITTDA
(ass Normalued D&A
EMT
Less: Taxes
Plus: 3kermlixed D&A
Lem: Nam alixed CapEx
Nel Terminal ra
533,701
(370)
$33,331
0333)
370
(370)
524,998
PerpetuityGrowth Rate
0.0%
PetpeRniv 0r.count Rate
IR 0%
Terminal Value
$138478
lmplird ORDA Muni*
4.1x
Envloym Ownership
20.0%
Nei Terminal Valve
1111.102
TAP ADVISORS AS
E FTA_R1_02096507
120
66
1.36
EFTA02705697
IRR Sensitivity Analysis
ERR ccmnn,n
I
I
I
5300
66.9%
400
652%
500
634%
600
62.2%
700
610%
00%
5300
66.9%
400
65.2%
500
634%
600
62.2%
700
614%
0%
5300
66.9%
400
65.2%
500
634%
600
622%
700
610%
Meremeelal SAC
50
$75
$150
5225
645%
61.6%
590%
62.9%
615%
602%
590%
40.2%
589%
57.7%
56.6%
57.7%
565%
55.4%
544%
Satellite CapEx Inman
20D%
400%
60.0%
65.7%
616%
635%
64,1%
624%
61.3%
60.1%
630%
61.7%
60.4%
59.3%
620%
60.7%
59.5%
585%
Mn) Rechmlien %
15%
30%
45%
630%
582%
532%
61.4%
59.9%
584%
573%
55.9%
54.7%
519%
504%
493%
57,4%
33.6%
483%
Implied 2023 EDEMA Marla
674%
67.4%
67.0%
66.5%
65.5%
5300
55.9%
54.8%
537%
52.7%
512%
800%
62.5%
61.1%
592%
582%
57.7%
60%
46.1%
449%
43.9%
429%
420%
I
I
lnaemental Chown %
0%
5300
66.9%
400
652%
500
634%
600
62.2%
700
610%
00%
5300
669%
400
65.2%
500
634%
600
622%
700
610%
8%
15%
23%
654%
636%
620%
63.7%
62.1%
604%
622%
604%
59D%
601%
593%
57.7%
594%
58.1%
565%
NRECapF.x Increase
250%
50.0%
75.0%
653%
632%
624%
63.7%
623%
610%
592%
623%
611%
599%
582%
61.1%
59.9%
58.8%
578%
C.009 Increase%
30%
602%
58.6%
572%
56.0%
542%
NOD%
61.1%
399%
582%
572%
56.9%
$300
500
600
700
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
669%
645%
611%
59.9%
572%
652%
559%
616%
547%
622%
53.6%
610%
590%
56.9%
549%
526%
latiAle4 2025 EDITDA Musla
674%
621%
582%
535%
482%
62.9%
615%
602%
604%
592%
580%
58.5%
572%
56.0%
I
I
5300
400
503
600
700
0
66.9%
652%
634%
622%
610%
De
6
653
63.5%
61.9%
605%
593%
M Delp
12
60.4%
582%
56.1%
573%
542%
560%
534%
54.9%
18
57.6%
5300
400
500
600
700
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
10%
674%
652%
64.3%
62.9%
617%
0%
634%
59.9%
55.9%
50.6%
43.9%
420%
394%
523%
Em
Ownendi
15%
672%
655%
610%
62.6%
613%
24
524%
510%
49.8%
484%
47.6%
20%
66.9%
652%
634%
622%
610%
25%
30%
66.2%
644%
62.9%
61.5%
665%
642%
633%
61.9%
60.6%
603%
Coils remise %
15%
30%
45%
615%
592%
572%
572%
531%
485%
55.9%
515%
462%
53.5%
49.1%
442%
372%
Now: &Kinney 5500mm Swine I Parcher Prtir
60%
542%
510%
464%
41.6%
342%
CBITnk lzrgn M-nr,inty
COSti hic rea se %
0%
0%
674%
15%
674%
30%
670%
45%
645%
60%
655%
IS%
30%
62.9%
624%
62.2%
61.6%
605%
552%
57.9%
574%
56/f
55.5%
45%
60%
48.8%
484%
478%
46.9%
535%
53.1%
526%
518%
504%
454%
TAP ADVISORS AS
EFTA_R 1_02096508
EFTA02705698
IRR Sensitivity Analysis (cont'd)
Even with draconian haircuts to the business plan, Google would still significantly exceed its cost of capital
I RR Waterfall Is/ Purchase Price Range of 5300-700mm
0
0
The business case contemplates a partnership approach
where local distributors carry the burden or subscriber
acquisition in exchange for a revenue share
— We assumed an incremental $150/sub SAC cost in
addition to the revenue share
Churn costs (in the form of SAC and hardware subsidies)
will be borne by distributors in exchange for a revenue
share; take rate projections were developed on a "net
adds" basis
— We assumed 30% incremental chum resulting in
80.0% -
70.0% •
60.0% -
66.9%
61.0%
61.6%
56.6%
increased SAC costs and lower revenue
50.0% -
47.1%
0
Current plan ARPUs are based on detailed market
analysis; they offer better service for lower prices than
competitors
10.0% -
43.3%
38.•1%
0
— We reduced ARPU by 20%; this is incremental to the
revenue reduction as a result of chum
Current operating costs are based on a detailed, bottoms-
up cost model with significant cushion built in (15% of
revenue in excess of scheduled costs)
30.0% -
35.5%
34.0%
33.1%
30.3%
31.5%
30.7%
28.4%
— We increased fixed and variable costs by 20%, thereby
reducing EBITDA margins
20.0% -
16.5%
0
Satellite, launch and NRE capital expenditures have been
based on detailed discussions with and proposals from
15.1%
vendors
10.0% -
— We increased manufacturing and launch capex by 20%
and NRE capex by 100%, significantly increasing
required capital
0.0%
Base Case SAC
Churn
ARPU
Costs
Satellite
NRE
Delay +2
0
Satellite and commercial launch based on a detailed
schedule developed by management and Google
+$150
+30%
-20%
+20%
Capex
Capex
yrs
— We delayed commercial launch by 2 years to provide
-Ir..
•1(K1'
additional buffer for delays
5
TAP ADVISORS sA
RI 02096539
EFTA02705699
GEO Slot Equivalent Valuation
■ Historically, orbital spectrum rights were assigned for nominal fees
• As high-quality orbital spectrum rights have become scarce, valuations have gone up dramatically
— Recently, satellite operators have paid upwards of $90mm for satellite orbital slot licenses
Recent Brazil Orbital Slot Auction Results
Year
Company
Price (S mm)
Bands
Longitude
2014
Hispasat
$29.3
Ku
61 W
2014
SES
14.9
C, Ku, Ka
48 W
2014
SES
12.1
Ku
64 W
2014
Eutelsat
12.8
C, Ku
69.45 W
2011
Hughes Network Systems
91.6
Ku, Ka
45 W
2011
Hughes Network Systems
22.2
Ku, Ka, X
68.5 W
2011
Star One
23.3
Ku, Ka
84 W
2011
Star One
23.3
Ku, Ka, X
70W
Average Price/Slot
$28.7
High
91.6
LOU'
12.1
TAP ADVISORS AS
EFTA_R1_02096510
EFTA02705700
GEO Slot Equivalent Valuation (cont'd)
Additionally, when orbital spectrum rights have been acquired in M&A transactions, the acquirer is required to
mark to market the value of those rights, providing a market-based valuation for orbital rights
Intel sal -Pa na insat
• Panamsat merged with Intelsat Bermuda (subsidiary of Intelsat)
in 2005, making the world's largest commercial satellite
company
— Leading global FSS provider of video, corporate, Internet,
voice and government communications services
— Had a fleet of 23 active satellites (including 2 backup
satellites)
• Allocated $1.1 billion of the $3.3 billion purchase price to orbital
slot value
— 34% of total value attributable to orbital slots
-
$59 million per slot over 19 orbital slots
Viasat-WildBlue
• WildBlue acquired by Viasat in 2009
- Premier Ka-band satellite broadband service provider
- Didn't own any orbital slots, but had 2 satellites that were
providing service under colocation agreement
• Allocated $8.2 million of the $574 million purchase price to
satellite co-location rights
10 year agreement set to expire in 2019
Extrapolating $8.2 million per 10 years as a DCF (at 3%
inflation) to estimate perpetual rights yields an NPV of the
slot of $21.7 million, at a discount rate of 8%
I oral/PSI I elesat Canada
• Telesat Canada acquired by Loral Space & Communications and
the Public Pension Investment Board of Canada in 2007;
subsequently, was merged with Loral Skynet
- Satellite services operator and provider of global
communications services to broadcast, telecom, corporate
and government customers
- Had 13 GEO satellites in operation
• Allocated $494 million of the $3.3 billion purchase price to
orbital slot value
- 15% of total value attributable to orbital slots
— $45 million per slot over 11 orbital slots
TAP ADVISORS sA
EFTA_R1_02096511
EFTA02705701
GEO Slot Equivalent Valuation (cont'd)
We valued GB's spectrum by converting it into "geo slot equivalents" and applied the range of prices paid for
orbital spectrum rights
InPrice
GEO Slot Equivalent Calculation
(5 min)
First
Second
2014
Hispasat
5293
Ku
61 W
(Bandwidth in aps)
Constellation Constellation
Total
2014
SES
14.9
C Ku, Ka
48 W
Bandwidth / Spot Beam
039
[1.971
2014
SES
12.1
Ku
64 W
Spot Beams / Satellite
19
[191
2014
Eutelsat
12.8
C Ku
69.45 W
Satellites / Constellation
1,560
1,560
2011
Hughes Network Systems
91.6
Ku, Ka
45 W
Total Bandwidth
17,347
56,406
75,754
2011
Hughes Network Systems
22.2
Ku, Ka, X
68.5 W
2011
Star One
233
Ku, Ka
84W
% of Capacity over Land
25%
25%
25%
2011
Star One
"et
Ku, !Ca, X
70 W
Total Bandwidth Over Land
4,337
14,602
18,938
2009
Wildblue
f„,
Ka
111.1 W
ViaSat-1 Bandwidth
134
134
134
2007
2005
Telesat Canada
Panamsat
45.0
59.0
various
various
various
various
ViaSat-1 Slot Equivalents
C32)
109
(141)
I Average Price/Slot
(02:11,
I
Base Case
Sensitized Case
Average Price/Slot
$323
WildBlue Price/Slot
$21.7
Total Slot-Equivalents
141
1st Constellation Slot-Equivalents
32
Global Bit Spectrum Value ($mm)
$4,563
'Global Bit Spectrum Value ($mm)
$702
TAP ADVISORS sA
EFTA_R1_02096512
EFTA02705702
Franchise Fee Valuation
• In theory, an orbital spectrum right is a government granted license to provide a particular service in a certain market
• Franchise licenses in the US cable industry provide an analogous economic model
- Cable operators in the US must obtain franchise licenses and pay franchise fees from each municipality where they wish to offer cable
service; these fees are —5% of revenue
• Apply the same percentage to the revenues generated by the Company's business model as a proxy for the value of the spectrum
• The comparison is imperfect:
— GB's rights are fundamentally superior to franchise rights as franchise rights are generally non-exclusive whereas GB will have exclusive
rights to provide high-bandwidth, low-latency Ku-band broadband access from a LEO orbit
- Comparison does not account for CapEx/OpEx differences in the broadband vs. MSO business model
Cable Co Franchise Fee Analysis
Franchise
Video
Fr. Fee as no
(5
W.'
Fee I'aid
Revenue
Video Revenue
Corneast
$1,259
519,936
6.3%
Time Warner Cable
490
10,183
4.7%
Charter
190
3,840
4.9%
Base Case
Global Bit Annual Revenues
550,1‘10
1/410,000 -
s10,000 -
s10,00111 -
s10,000 • So
So
50
5186
5(1
2014 21)15 2011, 2017
Di.count Rate
S14,461
534,187
524310
511,666
58358
$1,11953r" •
111$ 21110 2020 21)21 2022 2021 2024
Franchise Fee %
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
10.0%
56,641
58,855
511,069
513282
15.0%
3,250
4,334
5,417
6501
20.0%
1,830
2,440
3,050
3460
25.0%
1,121
1,494
1268
2,241
30.0%
727
970
1,212
1,455
7.0%
515,496
7,584
4,270
2,615
1.697
9
Sensitized Case
s20,000
515,000 -
5111,000 •
',IMO •
Global Bit Annual Revenues
$14,630
50290
65.199
e
52,402
$0
$O
$11
$1)
SO
5127 >738
2014 20)5 7016 2017 2018 3149 2024) 2021 2022 2023 2024
Franchise Fee %
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
10.0%
52,013
52,684
53,355
15.0%
943
1258
1,572
20.0%
508
677
847
25.0%
297
397
496
0
30.0%
185
246
308
6.0%
7.0%
54,025
1,886
1,016
595
369
$4,696
2,201
1,185
694
431
TAP ADVISORS AS
EFTA_R1_02096513
EFTA02705703
License Value of Mature Businesses
• Companies across the wireless, cable and satellite industries assign a carrying value to license/franchise/spectrum rights on their books
— Unlike young companies, mature businesses have spent significant capital building up hard assets, intangibles (other than
license/spectrum/franchise rights) as well as going-concern value. These assets are already paid for and thus the enterprise value needs
to be allocated among these assets
• The percentage of license/franchise/spectrum value of enterprise value of these companies can be applied to GB's enterprise value to value
spectrum assets. Analysis only applies if GB is valued on a "mature" basis. Two possible approaches:
— Estimate the value of hard assets, intangibles, and going concern-value the business would develop once it reached steady state - very
difficult, if not impossible, to do
— Value the company on a DCF basis using a steady-state WACC (we used 10%)
Value Acne-. Intlgri..,
License Value Across Industrie.
Lictme
Enterpriw
License
Enterprke
11.V
e:;
Country
Value
Value
of I, V
slue
Value
Mobile Carriers
Cable Companies
AT&T
USA
$59,584
$166,987
35.7%
Comcast
USA
$56,364
5182,364
30.9%
Verizon
USA
72,713
260,301
27.9%
Time Warner Cable
USA
26,934
64.056
42.0%
Sprint
USA
41,978
62,898
662%
Charter
USA
6.009
28,101
21.4%
Tatobilc
USA
17,383
39,464
44.0%
Cablevision
USA
732
13,416
55%
China Mobile
China
n2
142,677
02%
Shaw Communications
Canada
7,476
14,802
50.5%
Vodafone
United Kingdom
43,991
102,552
42.9%
DBS
Bharti Airtel
India
3,013
32.732
9.2%
Dish
America Movil
Mexico
9,433
118,679
7.9%
USA
$3297
530234
10.9%
Telefonica
Spain
27,238
145,411
18.7%
DirecTV
USA
785
55,918
1.4%
Axiata
Malaysia
580
20,809
2.8%
O.2
Vimpelcom
Netherlands
6,797
39,210
17.3%
SES
Luxembourg
$1,011
518,391
55%
F.tisalat
UAE
2,191
25.045
8.7%
Intelsat
Luxembourg
238.8
17,301
13.8%
Te'mar
Norway
5,962
45,015
132%
TeliaSontra
Sweden
1,252
45521
2.8%
Other
Sirius XXI
Deutsche Telekom
Germany
48,476
141,020
344%
USA
$2,084
$25,750
8.1%
Reliance Communications India
4,282
10557
40.6%
Iridium
USA
14
1,323
1.1%
Idea Cellular
India
1.730
10,719
16.1%
Averagen)
17.8%
Russia
182
23,731
0.8%
Telecom Italia
Italy
8,803
61,933
142%
Median
138%
Tab Teleservices
India
366
1266
28.9%
Turkcell
Turkey
1,112
9,261
12.0%
Megaton
Russia
1,905
24529
Base Case
Global Bit Enterprise Value of 569,620
Spectrum Value as %d EV
Sensitized Case
Global Bit Enterprise Value of 52.427
Spectrum Value as 4d of EV
10.0%
125%
15.0%
175%
20.0%
10.0%
125%
15.0%
175%
20.0%
$6,962
I
$8,703
510,443
512,184
513,924
5243
I
5303
$364
$425
5455
TAP ADVISORS sA
(1) Excludes top 4 and bottom 4 observations
10
EFTA_R1_02096514
EFTA02705704
Developing Markets Wireless License Proxy
• GB's business model is fundamentally a broadband play which is much more analogous to the terrestrial wireless business model rather
than the traditional FSS business model
— Traditional FSS uses wide coverage beams (often encompassing entire continents) thereby broadcasting identical information to a wide
geographic footprint (perfect for some applications, such as DTH video)
— GB's business model uses many small spot beams each carrying unique data which is well suited for broadband service
- Therefore, can use terrestrial spectrum valuations to provide a proxy for the value of satellite spectrum
• Industry standard practice is to value spectrum on a MHzPOP basis in order to account for amount of spectrum and size/density of
coverage area
• Valuation metric needs to be adjusted for varying economic and technical qualities of the spectrum
— Terrestrial spectrum, under optimal conditions, can theoretically reach spectral efficiencies of 30 bits/Hz, although real world values are
closer to 1-7 bits/Hz
- GB's first generation constellation will have a spectral efficiency of 1.2 bits/Hz
- The build-out costs for terrestrial networks, on a per covered POP basis, are orders of magnitude higher than for satellite networks - this
has not been reflected in the valuation analysis
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Average Price/MHzPOP(1)
Median
$0.12
0.08
Global Bit Spectrum
Spectrum (MHz)
Population (mm)
MHzPOP (mm)
2,050
7,046
14,444,300
Wireless Spectral Efficiency
30.00
Global Bit Spectral Efficiency
120
Efficiency Factor
0.04
Adjusted MHzPOP (mm)
577,772
Median Price/ MHzPOP
0.08
GB Spectrum Value ($mm)
$45,319
Illustrative Comparison of Build-Out Off\
Myanmar (Ooredoo)
US. (AT&T Wireless)
US. (Industry Estimate)ta)
Global (Global Bit)
Excludes top 4 and bottom 4 auction results; see Appendix for full dataset
AT&T disclosures indicate that 24% of its PP&E (of 4275bn) is related to the wireless business
Industry insider/expert estimate for de novo spectrum build out
I I
Build-Out
CapEx
$15,000
65,952(3)
3,750
3,210
Population
Coverage On m
56
$269.08
319
206.81
319
11.76
7,046
0.46
Implied
Cost/POI'
TAP ADVISORS sA
EFTA_R1_02096515
EFTA02705705
Appendix
EFTA_R1_02096516
EFTA02705706
Financial Projections - Base Case
Base case model: no SAC or churn; revenue, costs, capex and timing as projected
Plitt ill, Date
6/30/14
6 mdlnwal
Purchase
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
.1020
2021
2022
2021
2024
2025
Terminal Value •kulalluo
Total Sub, (mm)
11(1
00
0
10
4
146
273
42.6
60.7
810
1033
1033
2025 ESITDA
$33,701
Revenue
SO
SO
50
$186
$1,119
$3,730
$13258
513266
$24210
534,187
544,461
549251
Le,. Normalized D&A
(370)
%
Ne
We
nor
get.
500.0%
2333%
124.1%
635%
77.9%
40.6%
30.1%
721%
ENT
$33,331
Las: Taxes
0,333)
Network Ors & Tranweswe
$8
514
518
$43
153
587
$130
$212
$333
5442
6510
$384
Plus. Normalized D&A
370
Set Manulaclunng
8
15
30
63
32
32
64
35
66
36
36
36
Is,,: Nornulize1CapE,
(370)
Billing &Care
o
1
1
16
86
274
587
926
1512
2.124
2,762
3.096
Net Terminal IMF
$24,998
ReVellUe Share
0
0
0
IS
90
298
669
1.093
1,945
2.735
3337
3,988
Bat Del%
0
0
0
2
11
37
84
137
243
342
445
499
Perpetuity Growth Raw
0.0%
Anprcumly Diwount Rate
180%
Variable Cosa
$16
$30
519
5139
3272
5730
31,553
52403
$1,101
55.678
57,329
58.203
TennInal Value
$138276
Mktg & Prod Dye
56
$14
$34
$65
$96
SIM
5109
3120
5131
3142
$154
$154
Implied LAMM Multiple
&Ix
Research & Dry
17
21
23
24
37
49
62
67
33
94
104
105
Employee 4.1%. ncr.hip
200%
G&A
29
12
53
97
264
681
1-195
2214
3.828
5327
6280
7.689
Net Terminal Value
$111,102
Fitad Casa
$52
$77
$109
5186
5396
5337
$1367
$2,401
34.043
$5,563
67,138
37,947
Sukw.cnber Anquttitien Coals
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Gres Adds
0
0
0
I
4
10
13
15
18
20
22
0
Coq rvr Crote Md
ive
0
. v.(
116
58
46
44
80
723
139
MI
.69
I
a: Total Coax
(68)
(107)
058)
(325)
(669)
(1567)
(3,120)
(004)
0.141)
(11.241)
(1067)
(16.150
EStIDA
019)
(S102)
(31381
0139)
$450
$2,163
35.238
$8,862
$16.166
622,946
$29,995
63%701
Alargin
We
We
Mt
Mt
40.2%
58.0%
62.7%
642%
663%
67.7%
67SX
676%
Las: D&A
(47)
(133)
(159)
(232)
(261)
(272)
(412)
(383)
(418)
610)
(353)
040)
ESIT
(6115/
0 242)
0317)
6371)
$189
$1290
$4225
$8479
$15749
$22436
52%642
333361
Las. Ta xes
0
0
0
0
0
0 75/
(1206)
(2320)
0.937)
0,634)
(7.410)
0.340)
Plus: D&A
47
135
159
232
261
272
412
383
418
410
353
340
Less:Capa
0 16)
0 21)
668)
017)
(206)
(79)
(996)
(114)
(859)
(114)
(114)
(114)
less. A Net Workin Ca tel
3
2
3
3
97
83
83
153
93
86
418
Dakvered FCF
03841
0726)
($324)
06691
$194
$1,703
$3,118
66,711
$11.523
$27,293
$22,556
$24204
lows
600)
MO
(726)
(324)
349)
194
1.708
3,113
6,711
11.523
17,293
22,556
24209
111.102
Spectrum Purchase Price
IRR
$500
63434
13
TAP ADVISORS AS
EFTA_R1_02096517
EFTA02705707
Financial Projections - Sensitized Case
Sensitized model: 5150 SAC, 30% chum, ARPU -20%, costs +20%, satellite capex +20%, NRE capex +100% and 2 year delay
2014
2019
2020
2021
2022
PurchaseDale
6/30 14
2016
2017
2023
2024
202;
I vnnual Value ( akulanon
Total Cub' Onn0
0
00
DO
0.0
OA)
(18
40
117
210
12.1
452
59.7
2025 811111)A
$5,410
Revenue
$0
SO
$0
SO
10
$127
173$
$2.402
$3199
$8290
$14430
$20,330
Las. Normalized D&A
(370)
% °mirth
N
We
Me
Na
06
482.4%
2253%
1163%
55A%
76.5%
390%
(SIT
"MU
less: Taxes
0.260)
Network Ops & Trarrittreqon
SI
$16
$22
$30
$32
$62
$70
$100
$154
$201
$297
$365
Ilus. Normalized D&A
370
Sat Alanulactunnt;
1
18
36
38
39
76
39
42
80
43
80
43
Las Normalized Ca pEtt
070)
&Care
1
2
2
2
13
67
2203
396
631
1,102
1,529
Net Terminal ICE
$3.7.0
ReVellUe Share
0
0
0
0
12
71
231
199
796
1,404
1.952
Bad Debt
0
0
0
0
1
7
24
52
ea
146
20.1
Perpetuity Growth Rae
0.0%
Arrpetuity Dit.count Rase
ISO%
Vart41:6e Cosa
$20
$36
$59
170
172
$165
$255
$600
$1,181
11.753
13,030
$1,092
Terminal Value
$21,001
Mktg & Prod Dev
$7
$17
$40
$78
5115
$129
$130
$144
$157
$171
$184
$185
bawl led LAMM Multiple
3.91
Research & Dev
20
26
27
29
41
59
75
80
100
113
125
126
Employee Om menhir
20/1%
35
50
64
83
115
168
303
629
1,151
1731
2286
3.913
Net Terminal Value
316,801
Fand Coma
$63
$93
$131
$190
$274
$356
5508
$854
$1,411
$2015
$3396
$4,123
Suhicnber Acquisition Cumin
0
0
0
0
0
163
705
1,921
3.(e3
4,109
5,532
6.604
Grits Add«
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
13
20
29
17
44
Cott zvr Cram 4.14
We
eta
We
a
a
347
210
186
In
18,5
794
199
Iess: Total Cub
02)
(129)
(190)
(260)
016/
1484)
0568)
0371)
0 625/
0.176)
01,757)
04,920
BMW,
% Alamein
082)
01191
6/9
Na
($190)
Na
02440
MI
0 344)
96i
0 5571
039.2%)
0 7301
(981%)
0972)
(405%)
04231
0.2%)
$111
1.4%
$2.873
156%
$3,410
26.6%
'ASS, D&A
02)
(99)
(101)
(12$)
(133)
(251)
(284)
(270)
(518)
(362)
(459)
(468)
FOR
011$)
02211)
0291)
0386)
0480/
0105)
01/1141
01.241)
07731
($248)
$2513
$4,943
Las* Taxes
0
0
0
0
0
(I
0
0
0
0
0
0236)
PluE D&A
32
99
101
126
133
251
284
270
344
362
459
468
Lems:Capa
027)
(921)
(16)
(2091
(S4)
(973)
082)
(114)
03901
(111)
0/405)
014)
less. A Net %Yearn); Capital
4
2
3
3
(5)
(D)
(2)
78
37
ss
107
63
Unkvered ICE
135051
($1,047)
11203/
04641
0405)
($1,541)
01,013)
01,006)
043791
$35
11.971
$4,124
leFCF
000),
1:051
(1.0171
(2031
1464)
1405)
(1,511)
(1,0131
MONO
(1.579)
35
1.971
4.121
16501
Spectrum Putebaw Price
$500
IRR
15.844
14
TAP ADVISORS AS
EFTA_R1_02096518
EFTA02705708
Key Assumptions - Base Case
Global Bit Operating Assumptions
(S millions, except per unit comma)
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
RF Satellite Launches:
Phase 1
1560 satellites
2017-2024
Phase 2
1560 satellites
2020-2027
Phase 3
1560 satellites
2022-2029
Coverage:
Land Coverage
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%
Capacity Utilization
0%
0%
0%
1%
5%
15%
16%
25%
21%
28%
40%
40%
Business Customers (based off total)
35%
35%
35%
35%
35%
35%
35%
35%
35%
35%
35%
35%
Overall Utilization
0%
0%
0%
1%
7%
20%
22%
34%
28%
38%
54%
54%
Provisioning (at lowest residential package):
240 Kbps Allocation
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
60.0%
60.0%
60.0%
60.0%
180 Kbps Allocation
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
90.0%
90.0%
35.0%
35.0%
35.0%
35.0%
60 Kbps Allocation
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
60 Kbps Allocation (Entry)
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
10.0%
10.0%
5,0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
Customer Care / Sub / Year
$0
$0
$0
$7
$6
$5
$4
$3
$1
$1
$1
51
Residential ARPU:
Capacity.
Costs:
CapEx:
240 kbps
520
Phase 1 Gbps / Sat
11.12
Backhaul/Circuits %
1.0%
Manufacturing CapEx / Sat
$250,000
180 kbps
15
Phase 2 Gbps / Sat
37.44
Revenue Share %
8.0%
Launch CapEx / Sat
325,000
60 kbps
15
Phase 3 Gbps / Sat
55.50
Other G&A % of Rev
15.0%
Total NRE CapEx ($rtun)
675
60 kbps (entry)
5
SAC
$0
Ongoing CapEx / Year ($nun)
114
Business
80 - 100
TAP ADVISORS AS
EFTA_R1_02096519
EFTA02705709
Franchise Fee Valuation Model
Base Case
2014
Revenue
Frandtise Fee %
$0
5.0%
Spectrum Cash Flows
so
IPV of Spectrum Cash Flows
$0
NPV
$11,069
(5 millions)
2014
Revenue
Franchise Fee %
$0
5.0%
Spectrum Cash Flows
$0
IPV of Spectrum Cash Flows
$0
NPV
$3,355
2015
SO
2016
$0
2017
$186
2018
$1,119
2019
$3,730
2020
$8,358
2021
$13,666
2022
$24,310
2023
$34,187
2024
$44,461
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
$o
$22,231
$0
$9
S56
$186
$418
$683
$1,216
$1,709
$2,223
$0
$0
$7
$38
$116
$236
$351
$567
$725
$857
$8,172
Discount Rate
Perpetuity Growth
10.0%
0.0%
Sensitized Case
Spectrum Cash Flows Based on CableCo Franchise Fee Structure
2015
SO
2016
$0
2017
SO
2018
$0
2019
$127
2020
5738
2021
52,402
2022
85,199
2023
$8,290
2024
514,630
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
TY
$0
$0
SO
$0
$6
$37
$120
$260
$414
$732
$7,315
$o
$0
SO
$0
$4
$21
$62
$121
$176
$282
$2,689
Discount Rate
Perpetuity Growth
10.0%
0.0%
Note: calculated using 10% discount mte TAP ADVISORS AA
EFTA_R1_02096520
EFTA02705710
Developing Markets Wireless License Proxy
Relent
)12VCIOpIllg Market
Sri:OIL/Ill
AUCtIM1 Rt alts
Country
Year
Price ISmml
MHz Bou
t
Population (mm)
WM I lzPOP
India
2014
30,081
10
1,009
52.98
Croatia
2013
31
10
5
0.67
Excluded from Average
Czech Republic
2013
136
20
10
0.66
Czech Republic
2013
122
20
10
059
Czech Republic
2013
114
20
10
0.56
Croatia
2013
19
10
5
0.41
Myanmar
2014
500
30
56
0.30
India
2014
2,627
12
1,009
022
India
2014
1,887
14
1,009
0.13
India
2014
2,108
20
1,009
0.10
India
2014
2,168
21
1,009
0.10
Pakistan
2014
307
20
174
0.09
Pakistan
2014
301
20
174
0.09
Pakistan
2014
148
10
174
0.08
Pakistan
2014
148
10
174
0.08
Czech Republic
2013
2
2
10
0.08
Czech Republic
2013
3
4
10
0.08
Czech Republic
2013
2
2
10
0.08
Czech Republic
2013
2
2
10
0.08
Czech Republic
2013
7
10
10
0.06
Pakistan
2014
210
20
174
0.06
Slovakia
2014
9
30
5
0.05
Czech Republic
2013
16
40
10
0.04
Czech Republic
2013
16
40
10
0.04
Czech Republic
2013
16
40
10
0.04
India
2014
143
3.6
1,009
0.04
Lithuania
2013
0
20
3
0.03
Chile
2014
13
30
17
0.02
Chile
2014
8
20
17
0.02
Lithuania
2013
20
3
0.01
Lithuania
2013
0
20
3
0.01
Excluded from Average
Latvia
2014
0
20
2
0.00
Chile
2014
$1
20
17
0.00
TAP ADVISORS sA
17
EFTA_R1_02096521
EFTA02705711
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by TAP Advisors ("TAP") for the exclusive use of the party to whom TAP delivers this presentation
(together with its subsidiaries and affiliates, the "Company") using information provided by the Company and other publicly available
information. TAP has not independently verified the information contained herein, nor does TAP make any representation or warranty, either
express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained in this presentation. Any estimates or
projections as to events that may occur in the future (including projections of revenue, expense, net income and stock performance) are based
upon the best judgment of TAP from the information provided by the Company and other publicly available information as of the date of this
presentation. There is no guarantee that any of these estimates or projections will be achieved. Actual results will vary from the projections and
such variations may be material. Nothing contained herein is, or shall be relied upon as, a promise or representation as to the past or future.
TAP expressly disclaims any and all liability relating or resulting from the use of this presentation.
This presentation has been prepared solely for the informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell
any securities or related financial instruments. The Company should not construe the contents of this presentation as legal, tax, accounting or
investment advice or a recommendation. The Company should consult its own counsel, tax and financial advisors as to legal and related
matters concerning any transaction described herein. This presentation does not purport to be all-inclusive or to contain all of the information
that the Company may require. No investment, divestment or other financial decisions or actions should be based solely on the information in
this presentation.
This presentation has been prepared on a confidential basis solely for the use and benefit of the Company. Distribution of this presentation to
any person other than the Company and those persons retained to advise the Company, who agree to maintain the confidentiality of this
material and be bound by the limitations outlined herein, is unauthorized. This material must not be copied, reproduced, distributed or passed
to others at any time without the prior written consent of TAP.
TAP ADVISORS sA
EFTA_ R1_ 02096522
EFTA02705712
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