EFTA00035829

FEDERAL BUREAU OF PRISONS Inmate Participation in Drug Treatment Programs vs. Staffing Levels EFTA00035829 Table of Contents Executive Summary Inmate Participation in Drug Treatment Programs vs. Total Number of BOP Employees Including the total number of inmates in all drug treatment programs and the following individual programs: Drug Education Program, Residential Drug Abuse Program (RDAP), Non-Residential Drug Abuse Program (NRDAP), Community Treatment Program, and Medication Assisted Treatment (MAT) Program. Inmate Participation in Drug Treatment Programs vs. Filled First Step Act (FSA) Positions Including the total number of inmates in all drug treatment programs and the following individual programs: Drug Education Program, RDAP, NRDAP, Community Treatment Program, and MAT Program. 2 EFTA00035830 Executive Summary EFTA00035831 Executive Summary This analysis, conducted in response to GAO Priority Recommendation 2*, examines the correlation between inmate participation in drug treatment programs and staffing levels from FY2021 to FY2024. This analysis examines (1) the correlation between inmate participation in drug treatment programs and the total number of BOP employees, and (2) the correlation between inmate participation in drug treatment programs and the number of filled FSA positions. Findings reflect correlation only and do not imply causation. Key • • Insights Total Number of BOP Employees • No correlation between the total number of BOP employees and the number of inmates participating in all drug treatment programs. • No correlation between the total number of BOP employees and the number of inmates participating in individual drug treatment programs.** Number of Filled FSA Positions • No correlation between the number of filled FSA positions and the number of inmates participating in the Drug Education Program, RDAP, or Community Treatment programs. • Moderate correlation between the number of filled FSA positions and the total number of inmates participating in all drug treatment programs. • Moderate correlation between the number of filled FSA positions and the number of inmates participating in NRDAP. • Strong correlation between the number of filled FSA positions and the number of inmates participating in the MAT Program. There is no trend indicating that changes in the number of BOP employees affect inmate participation in drug treatment programs. This indicates that increases in filled FSA positions are generally associated with higher inmate participation in certain drug treatment programs, though other factors may also play a role. *GAO Priority RocommPndation 2: "The Director of BOP should develop and implement a plan for analyzing data to help identify and address the causes and potential impacts of staffing challenges on staff and inmates" 4 **Individual drug treatment programs include the following: Drug Education Program, RDAP, NRDAP, Community Treatment Program, and MAT Program. EFTA00035832 Inmate Participation in Drug Treatment Programs vs. Total Number of BOP Employees EFTA00035833 Total Inmates in All Drug Treatment Programs vs. Total BOP Employees The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the total number BOP employees and the total number of inmates participating in all drug treatment programs. There is no trend indicating that changes in the total number of BOP employees affect the total number of inmates participating in drug treatment programs. Total Number of Inmates in All Drug Treatment Programs vs. Total Number of BOP Employees a2o O 90,000 80,000 70,000 37 312 E m t 60,000 (13 o o E & 50,000 E o w s_ E 11, 40,000 35:4481. E c- - 30,000 Z 20,000 0 10,000 55,265 27,704 2021 2022 35_940 35:091"".. 75,246 79,690 2023 2024 37,500 37,000 36,500 36,000 35,500 35,000 34,500 34,000 33,500 Fiscal Year Total Number of Inmates in Drug Treatment Programs •••••••• Total Number of BOP Employees (Year-End) *The correlation has an R2 value of 0.002 indicating that the total number of SOP employees has no impact on the number of inmates in drug treatment programs. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50. Total Number of BOP Employees 6 EFTA00035834 Inmates in Drug Education Program vs. Total BOP Employees The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the total number of BOP employees and the total number of inmates participating in the Drug Education Program. There is no trend indicating that changes in the total number of BOP employees affect the number of inmates participating in the Drug Education Program. Number of Inmates in Drug Education Program vs. Total Number of BOP Employees op 0 c 2 30,000 25,000 20,000 •, 37,312 •. 19,378 OD V, 2 (0 a E c 35,387 c 0 — t' s 0 n3 15,000 %./ a) uj uj 10,000 8,749 5,000 2021 2022 26,958 35,001 22,406 35,940 2023 2024 37,500 37,000 36,500 36,000 35,500 35,000 34,500 34,000 33,500 Fiscal Year Number of Inmates in Drug Education Program Total Number of SOP Employees (Year-End) *The correlation has an R2 value of 0.003 indicating that the total number of SOP employees has no impact on the number of inmates in the Drug Education Program. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 >0.50. Total Number of BOP Employees 7 EFTA00035835 Inmates in RDAP vs. Total BOP Employees The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the total number of BOP employees and the number of inmates participating in RDAP. There is no trend indicating that changes in the total number of BOP employees affect the number of inmates participating in RDAP. Number of Inmates in RDAP vs. Total Number of BOP Employees Number of Inmates in RDAP 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 37,500 37,000 36,500 36,000 35,500 35,000 34,500 34,000 33,500 37,312 12,170 35,001 „... 11027 10,465 35,940 35,387 6,640 . [repeated 16 times] 2021 2022 2023 2024 Fiscal Year Number of Inmates in Residential Drug Abuse Program Total Number of BOP Employees (Year-End) Total Number of BOP Employees *The correlation has an R2 value of 0.004 indicating that the total number of BOP employees has no impact on the number of inmates in RDAP. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50. 8 EFTA00035836 Inmates in NRDAP vs. Total BOP Employees The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the total number of BOP employees and the number of inmates participating in NRDAP. There is no trend indicating that changes in the total number of BOP employees affect the number of inmates participating in NRDAP. Number of Inmates in NRDAP vs. Total Number of BOP Employees Number of Inmates in NRDAP 25,000 37,500 37,312 20,993 21,166 37,000 20.000 36,500 35,940 36,000 15.000 13,570 '..35,387 35,500 •• . [repeated 12 times] 10.000 35,000 7,891 35,001 34,500 5.000 34,000 33,500 2021 2022 2023 2024 Fiscal Year Number of Inmates in Non-Residential Drug Abuse Program Total Number of BOP Employees (Year-End) Total Number of BOP Employees *The correlation has an R2 value of 0.03 indicating that the total number of BOP employees has no impact on the number of inmates in the NRDAP. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50. 9 EFTA00035837 Inmates in Community Treatment Program vs. Total BOP Employees The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the total number of BOP employees and the number of inmates participating in the Community Treatment Program. There is no trend indicating that changes in the total number of BOP employees affect the number of inmates participating in the Community Treatment Program. Number of Inmates in Community Treatment Program vs. Total Number of BOP Employees 16,000 14,000 .?? 12,000 E O U 00 10,000 CL ai • st a," 8,000 c — 0 6,000 4,000 2,000 37,500 37,000 36,500 36,000 35,500 35,000 34,500 34,000 33,500 37,312 S' 14,944 35,49,40 11.852 13,149 35,001 Z J , Z O F . [repeated 30 times] 4,424 2021 2022 2023 2024 Fiscal Year Number of Inmates in Community Treatment Program ••••••• Total Number of BOP Employees (Year-End) *The correlation has an R2 value of 0.02 indicating that the total number of BOP employees has no impact on the number of inmates in the Community Treatment Program. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 >0.50. Total Number of BOP Employees 10 EFTA00035838 Inmates in MAT Program vs. Total BOP Employees The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the total number of BOP employees and the number of inmates participating in the MAT Program. There is no trend indicating that changes in the total number of BOP employees affect the number of inmates participating in the MAT Program. Number of Inmates in MAT Program vs. Total Number of BOP Employees Number of Inmates in MAT Program 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 37,500 37,000 36,500 36,000 35,500 35,000 34,500 34,000 33,500 at.. 9,136 35,940 35,387 4,936 • [repeated 3 times] . [repeated 12 times] . [repeated 13 times] . [repeated 16 times] .... 35,001 3,208 246 2021 2022 2023 2024 Fiscal Year Number of Inmates in Medication Assisted Treatment (MAT) Program Total Number of BOP Employees (Year-End) *The correlation has an R2 value of 0.21 indicating that the total number of BOP employees has no impact on the number of inmates in the MAT Program. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 050. Total Number of BOP Employees 11 EFTA00035839 Inmate Participation in Drug Treatment Programs vs. Filled FSA Positions 12 EFTA00035840 Total Inmates in All Drug Treatment Programs vs. Filled FSA Positions The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows a moderate correlation* between the number of filled FSA positions and the total number of inmates participating in all drug treatment programs. As the number of filled FSA positions increases, the total number of inmates participating in all drug treatment programs tends to increase but may be influenced by additional factors. Total Number of Inmates in All Drug Treatment Programs vs. Number of Filled FSA Positions 90,000 800 80,000 700 669 70,000 600 60,000 500 50,000 400 40,000 338 30,000 20,000 10,000 111 248 300 200 100 55,265 27,704 75,246 79,690 2021 2022 2023 2024 Number of Filled FSA Positions Fiscal Year Total Number of Inmates in All Drug Treatment Programs •••*••• Number of Filled FSA Positions *The correlation has an R2 value of 0.39 indicating that the number of filled FSA positions has a moderate impact on the total number of inmates in all drug treatment programs. To show a strong impact, data standards 13 require R2 > 0.50. EFTA00035841 Inmates in Drug Education Program vs. Filled FSA Positions The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the number of filled FSA positions and the number of inmates participating in the Drug Education Program. There is no trend indicating that changes in the number of filled FSA positions affect the number of inmates participating in the Drug Education Program. Number of Inmates in Drug Education Program vs. Number of Filled FSA Positions 30,000 25,000 0.0 132 20,000 co‘- E S O 15,000 O 10 t5) -C3 10,000 E w 5,000 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 338 26,958 669 22,406 111 19,378 248 . [repeated 13 times] . [repeated 14 times] . [repeated 6 times] . [repeated 8 times] 8,749 2021 2022 2023 2024 Fiscal Year Number of Inmates in Drug Education Program —40— Number of Filled FSA Positions Number of Filled FSA Positions 14 *The correlation has an R2 value of 0.13 that the total number of filled FSA positions has no impact on the number of inmates in the Drug Education Program. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50. EFTA00035842 Inmates in RDAP vs. Filled FSA Positions The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the number of filled FSA positions and the number of inmates participating in RDAP. There is no trend indicating that changes in the number of filled FSA positions affect the number of inmates participating in RDAP. Number of Inmates in RDAP vs. Number of Filled FSA Positions Number of Inmates in RDAP 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 12,170 111 10,465 669 12,027 248 6,640 .•' . [repeated 7 times] . [repeated 10 times] . [repeated 10 times] . [repeated 9 times] . [repeated 9 times] . [repeated 13 times] 2021 2022 2023 2024 Fiscal Year Number of Inmates in RDAP •••a••• Number of Filled FSA Positions Number of Filled FSA Positions *The correlation has an R2 value of 0.22 indicating that the number of filled FSA positions has no impact on the number of inmates in RDAP. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50. 15 EFTA00035843 Inmates in NRDAP vs. Filled FSA Positions The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows a moderate correlation* between the number of filled FSA positions and the total number of inmates participating in NRDAP. As the number of filled FSA positions increases, the number of inmates participating in NRDAP tends to increase but may be influenced by additional factors. Number of Inmates in NRDAP vs. Number of Filled FSA Positions Number of Inmates in NDRAP 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 248 . 111 5,000 669 13,570 7,891 20,993 21,166 2021 2022 2023 2024 Fiscal Year Number of Inmates in Non-Residential Drug Abuse Program •••••••• Number of Filled FSA Positions 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 Number of Filled FSA Positions *The correlation has an R2 value of 0.43 indicating that the number of filled FSA positions has a moderate impact on the number of inmates in NRDAP. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50. 16 EFTA00035844 Inmates in Community Treatment Program vs. Filled FSA Positions The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows no correlation* between the number of filled FSA positions and the number of inmates participating in the Community Treatment Program. There is no trend indicating that changes in the number of filled FSA positions affect the number of inmates participating in the Community Treatment Program. Number of Inmates in Community Treatment Program vs. Number of Filled FSA Positions 16,000 14,000 -c E 12,000 E E O u 10,000 (13 c" 8,000 st c 0 ) 6,000 1?.. u- F- a) 4,000 2,000 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 669 14,944 338; : •• ." 13,149 111 11,852 248 . [repeated 6 times] . [repeated 8 times] . [repeated 9 times] . [repeated 6 times] 4,424 . [repeated 14 times] . [repeated 4 times] . [repeated 9 times] . . . [repeated 7 times] . [repeated 9 times] 2021 2022 2023 2024 Fiscal Year Number of Inmates in Community Treatment Program ••••••• Number of Filled FSA Positions *The correlation has an R2 value of 0.27 indicating that the number of filled FSA positions has no impact on the number of inmates in the Community Treatment Program. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 050. Number of Filled FSA Positions 17 EFTA00035845 Inmates in Medication Assisted Treatment Program vs. Filled FSA Positions The chart below shows data from FY2021 to FY2024. It shows a strong correlation* between the number of filled FSA positions and the number of inmates participating in the MAT Program. As the number of filled FSA positions increases, the number of inmates participating in the MAT Program tends to increase. Number of Inmates in MAT Program vs. Number of Filled FSA Positions Number of Inmates in MAT Program 10,000 800 9,000 700 669 8,000 600 7,000 500 6,000 5,000 400 4,000 300 248 3,000 . [repeated 19 times] 200 2,000 . [repeated 7 times] 100 111 1,000 246 3,208 4,936 9,136 2021 2022 2023 2024 Fiscal Year Number of Inmates in Medication Assisted Treatment (MAT) Program -AD— Number of Filled FSA Positions suonlsod VSd PaII!d jo JaquunN *The correlation has an R2 value of 0.98 indicating that the number of filled FSA positions has a strong impact on the number of inmates in the MAT Program. To show a strong impact, data standards require R2 > 0.50. 18 EFTA00035846