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efta-efta00632073DOJ Data Set 9OtherFrom: Daniel Sabba
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DOJ Data Set 9
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efta-efta00632073
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From: Daniel Sabba
To: [email protected]
Cc:
„
Paul Morris
Stewart Oldfield
Subject: Re: An oil idea [C]
Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2014 19:55:49 +0000
Classification: Confidential
Jeffrey,
I had planned to discuss this idea with you at our call, but we ran out of time. We refreshed the original trade, whose market
value is significantly up (mid level at $1.74/bbl from $0.75/bbl). The recent disruptions in WTI have caused transaction costs to
increase (vol bid asks in vanilla options on that expiry have more than doubled). Therefore, while the idea was something we
liked two weeks ago before the OPEC meeting, we don't think its risk reward is that attractive now given the increased
transaction costs.
Regards,
Daniel
From:
To:
Cc:
Dale:
Subject:
Daniel Sabbaidbldbcom
11/21/2014 02:25 PM
An oil idea [CI
Classification: Confidential
Jeffrey,
We are working on ideas to articulate views we heard from clients relating to crude. Specifically, that crude will continue falling
in the short time frame, but over the long run will rally. We found the following trade to be very interesting and offer attractive
risk reward:
Long Dated Knock-In Call on WTI (CL1 Ref: 76)
Client buys a call option on CL1. Strike $100/bbl.
Expiry: 14-Nov-18.
Option only knocks in if on any date before expiry, CL1 settlement price is below $55/bbl
Offer price: $1.12/bbl (mid at $0.75/bbl)
For comparison, offer for vanilla $100 call is $4.30/bbl
If oil touches $50 in the next 3 years and then goes to $125, the option would have an intrinsic value of $25, reaching over 20x
payout.
Looking forward to connecting on this and other ideas.
Daniel
Daniel Sabba
Key Client Partners
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
EFTA00632073
This communication may contain confidential and/or privileged information.
If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this communication
in error) please notify the sender immediately and destroy this
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material in this communication is strictly forbidden.
Deutsche Bank does not render legal or tax advice, and the information
contained in this communication should not be regarded as such.
EFTA00632074
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