Case File
efta-efta00805620DOJ Data Set 9OtherNAUTILUS BUSINESS PLAN
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DOJ Data Set 9
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efta-efta00805620
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NAUTILUS BUSINESS PLAN
AAAS * HHMI * SIMONS
(.)
EFTA00805620
NAUTILUS
NAUTILUS
NAUTILUS
NAUTILUS
EFTA00805621
A UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY
FONES CONSULTING
JUNE 19, 2017
EFTA00805622
UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY
r The unique editorial positioning of Nautilus provides an opportunity to develop a business
without direct competitors and tap into a broader audience than the mainstream science
magazines.
r The ability to capture the interest and dollars from institutional partners has allowed Nautilus to
develop unique revenue streams that are not based on traditional CPM or other strict audience
measurements. Nautilus is not playing by the "normal" rules of print and digital advertising. This
provides an opportunity to drive revenues that far exceed its measurements by traditional terms.
r The unique and appealing design of the print product, coupled with the same for the web has
created an environment that both consumers and businesses want to be a part of. With the right
marketing resources and efforts, there is significant opportunity for circulation growth.
EFTA00805623
UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY
r A partnership with AAAS provides a strong base of customers that can create very efficient
customer acquisition while providing AAAS with a publication that helps to broaden its product
offering to new and existing members.
r There has been no full-time, dedicated marketing resource since the magazine was launched
responsible for growing circulation and driving subscription revenue. As a way to defer costs, a
partnership with MIT Press was formed and this proved very disappointing in terms of both their
efforts and lack of expertise.
EFTA00805624
UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY
r There is opportunity for more natural/organic growth in Circulation. With limited retail
presence, no direct mail or other visible forms of promotion, there has been limited exposure of
the brand. Many consumers are not even aware that the product exists.
EFTA00805625
SIGNS OF STRENGTH
• Growth in e-commerce — Store orders up 60% over the prior year with no marketing team and no
marketing investment. Strong conversion of web traffic to paid subscribers.
• Growth in Web Traffic — up 17% over the prior year with no investment in driving traffic
• Development of a new revenue stream through Channel Custom Publishing — the creation of 8 paid
Channels in 2017
• Increase in Social Media following ...
• facebook =1 26,484 likes
• twitter = 53,400 followers
• Instagram = 7,810 followers
EFTA00805626
CHALLENGES
• Short term cash and financial constraints resulting in potential damage to reputation within the
science editorial community
• Product format does not lend itself well to retail sales
• All channel custom publishing and sponsorships sold by only one person with key relationships —
limited bandwidth up to a point
• Limited renewal data on print and digital customers based on limitations of current e-commerce
system
• Large investment in editorial and design resources needed to feed issues, ongoing web content
and channels. Needs to be examined if it can be done more efficiently without sacrificing quality.
EFTA00805627
5 YEAR BUSINESS PLAN
2016
IN
2019
Revenue
$1,899
$1,720
$2,465
$3,173
$3,995
Expense
$2,829
$2,652
$3,151
$3,359
$3,575
Margin
($930)
($933)
($686)
($186)
$420
Cum. Margin
($1,862)
($2,549)
($2,734)
($2,314)
All $ on (000)
Assumes no Grants from 201 8 forward
EFTA00805628
CURRENT ACCOUNTS PAYABLE
As of June 19, 2017
MMIESAMMEITIMICINIEMMIN
$27,041
$9,854
$46,002
$50,768
$317,683
$451,349
Brown University is largest $ amount of $117,003 from Rent
Ji
EFTA00805629
OUTSTANDING LOANS
• TOTAL LOANS ARE $1,093,268 PRIMARILY TO 2 INDIVIDUALS
EFTA00805630
SCIENCE MAGAZINES CIRCULATION
Publication
AIM=!MIii..
NAUTILUS
19,788 *
ASTRONOMY
102,752
DISCOVER
393,929
POPULAR SCIENCE
1,084,294
SCIENCE NEWS
84,250
SCEINTIFIC AMERICAN
399,534
TECHNOLOGY REVIEW
171,733
SCIENCE
81,891 paid + 21,378 sponsored
& non- paid = 103,269
NATURE
Nautilus data — 6,813 Print and 12,975 Digital subs
Data for other titles from June 2016 Alliance for Audited Media
Science data from Will - BPA
EFTA00805631
WEB STORE AND E-COMMERCE
EFTA00805632
STORE & E-COMMERCE
Key assumptions in Plan
• Web traffic growth: +25% in 2018, +20% per year in 2019 and 2020
• Traffic growth YTD 2017 is 16.8% over 2016 - same time period
• Investment in traffic growth through Paid Search and site/content Optimization starting in mid-year2017
• Hire outside digital marketing group — begin in July 2017
•
Site optimization
•
Paid search
Web subscription promotion ads
•
Email Marketing
•
Social Media Marketing
• Improved conversion and renewal rates through stronger email marketing
• Modest Increase built in for Average $ Per Order — $38.74 to $42.00
• Utilization of credit card automatic renewal to significantly improve conversion & renewal rates
• Conversion of Store Visitors to improve from 10.02% to15.0% in 2020
EFTA00805633
FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS
E-COMMERCE
2016
2017
2018
2019
E-Commerce
Revenue
$320,190
$502,884
$838,656
$1,056,707
Growth c/0
+57.0%
+66.7%
+26.0%
Marketing
Expense
$45,426
$120,000
$256,914
$268,645
Margin
$274,764
$382,884
$581,742
$788,062
Growth assumptions are conservative here — significant upside
dB
2020
$1,358,623
+28.9%
$276,664
$1,081,959
EFTA00805634
SALES BY PRODUCT
2016 Sales
Data
Ave. Price
Print Edition
3,577
$45.20 for 1
year subscription
Prime Digital Edition
Lifetime Prime
2,890
$17.15
245
$99.00
Although all purchases were online, more customers are choosing the higher priced
PRINT edition over the Digital edition. This is a unique product and the quality of the
print edition combined with the type of content leads customers to want to hold it in
their hands and enjoy the experience.
EFTA00805635
- BACK ISSUES PROVIDE ADDITIONAL REVENUE SOURCE
THROUGH STORE SALES
NAUTILUS
NAUTILUS
NAUTILUS
C) \tit'
• Print issues have a long shelf life and customers are willing to pay high prices for individual back
issues at $12 per copy.
• In 2016, sold over 600 back issues at $12.00 - $19.00 each
EFTA00805636
WEB & E-COMMERCE OPPORTUNITIES
• Traffic growth has been primarily organic so opportunity to focus resources and expertise to
increase organic as well as PPC traffic
• Currently the business does not have any one person dedicated to marketing and growing
subscriptions. Hire mid-level marketing person in 201 8
• The investment in marketing promotions to date has been minimal. The plan does not include any
direct mail or printed material promotion which should at least be tested
• Experiencing strong natural growth in visitors to store and improved conversion to orders
EFTA00805637
WEB & E-COMMERCE OPPORTUNITIES
• No integrated marketing plan to capture email addresses from web visitors, nurture and convert to
paid subscribers
• Leveraging an external digital marketing group would help drive revenue growth while managing
in-house marketing team expense
• Increase and leverage social media following in a greater way with boosted posts and begin
marketing test program
• Opportunity to drive incremental sales through Remarketing and Shopping Cart Abandon
programs
EFTA00805638
WEB & E-COMMERCE OPPORTUNITIES
ilAAAS
• Access to the AAAS customer file will provide a significant advantage for
effectively:
• AAAS active members
• AAAS expires
• AAAS email list of prospects — Registrations, ETOC, Careers, Other
• Access to AAAS website to offer subscription ads
• Opportunity to add Nautilus after sale of AAAS as bounce back or add-on promotion after purchase
• Potential to test direct mail offer for Nautilus to AAAS audience
• Subscription inserts for Nautilus in copies of Science
acquiring customers cost-
• Email promotion done in 2015 to AAAS lists generated over 2,000 new paid customers for Nautilus
Prime @ discounted $12 price point
• New AAAS email promotion being sent out soon to 3rd party list with new Nautilus offer.
EFTA00805639
OTHER MARKETING OPPORTUNITIES
• With a full time Marketing Manager on staff in 2018, there are numerous opportunities to create
partnerships and to promote subscription offers for Nautilus.
• Gift promotions could be promoted much more aggressively to existing Nautilus print and digital
subscribers as well as the AAAS audience. Nautilus makes a great holiday gift for that friend or
family member that is a lover of science.
• Science museums, science competitions and science-related conferences all could be explored for
subscription opportunities.
EFTA00805640
WEB & E-COMMERCE STATS
YTD
60% growth in Orders in 2017
2017 YTD - 6/18
2016 YTD - 6/18
Variance
Website Users
3,345,451
2,863,670
+ 16.82%
Ave Monthly Users
608,264
520,667
Visitors to Store
54,912
44,378
+23.7%
Conversion of Store
10.02%
7.74%
+29.5%
Orders
Total Store Orders
5,503
3,435
+60.2%
Orders/Web Users
.164%
.120%
+36.66%
Ave. $Rev Per Order
$38.74
$38.09
+ $.65
Revenue $
$213,168
$130,832
+62.9%
Orders Include New and Renew Orders
Traffic data from Goolge Analytics, store data from Big Commerce
EFTA00805641
WEB & E-COMMERCE STATS
2016 actual
2017 Actual +
Projected
2018 Projected
2019 Projected
2020 Projected
Unique Users
6,161,666
7,299,168
9,123,957
10,948,749
13,138,498
Ave Monthly Uniques
513,472
608,264
760,330
912,396
1,094,875
% Growth
+18.46%
+25%
+20%
+20%
Visitors to Store
96,287
129,561
149,760
179,712
215,654
Conversion %
8.86%
10.02%
14.0%
14.0%
15.0%
Total # of Orders
8,534
12,982
20,966
25,160
32,348
Orders as % of
.1385%
.177%
.229%
.229%
.2462%
Uniques
Ave $/ Order
$37.52
$38.74
$40.00
$42.00
$42.00
Total $ Revenue
$320,190
$502,884
$838,656
$1,056,707
$1,358,623
EFTA00805642
WEB CONVERSION METRICS
AAAS
Science
Jan-June 2017
Other Pub in
Category
Current events/
politics
Jan-May
2015 data
Jan-Aug 2015 data
2017
Average Monthly
5,440,924
608,264
3,729,045
927,528
Uniques
Conversion to Orders
.075%
.1645%
.0575%
.255%
Ave Monthly Orders
4,117
1,001
2,144
2,371
,./
J
)
EFTA00805643
WEB AND E-COMMERCE CAPABILITIES NEEDED
• Can $ be saved by hosting with AAAS?
• Need new commerce platform to allow for automatic renewal of subscriptions
• Need platform to capture email addresses in database and develop drip/nurture email
campaigns to move prospects to paid buyers
• Need capability to execute Remarketing to website visitors
• Need capability to serve web ads and send emails as follow up to shopping cart abandons
• Site needs thorough review for search optimization
EFTA00805644
Current Email
Newsletters
SELECT NEWSLETTERS AND SUBMIT CONTACT DETAILS...
•New chapters Thursdays
Nautilus publishes a new chapter of feature stories on its monthly theme, every Thursday.
Sign up to this list to stay up to date on the latest and greatest.
•Editor's picks Sundays
Read about the Nautilus stories and blogs we've been thinking about over the past week.
Currently 35,000 emails sent 2X a week through Mail Chimp.
With over 600,000 monthly uniques to the site, we should be
able to grow the newsletter circulation.
EFTA00805645
NEWSLETTER OPPORTUNITY
• Opportunity to add topic specific newsletters that would allow us to tailor advertising and support
certain channel content by building a following around a specific topic.
EFTA00805646
Social Media for Nautilus
Likes 126,484
Followers 53,400
Followers 7,810
EFTA00805647
OTHER COMMERCE OPPORTUNITIES
• Can we generate additional revenues from licensing content?
• Can we charge for specific webinars or podcasts?
EFTA00805648
NAUTILUS WEB USERS FROM AROUND THE WORLD
Top 5 are English speaking
1.
UNITED STATES - 56.0%
2.
UNITED KINGDOM - 6.36%
3.
CANADA - 5.90%
4.
INDIA - 3.13%
5.
AUSTRALIA - 2.92%
6.
GERMANY - 1.91%
7.
BRAZIL - 1.12%
EFTA00805649
NAUTILUS WEB ACCESS BY DEVICE
DESKTOP
49.96%
MOBILE
41.09%
TABLET
8.96%
EFTA00805650
NAUTILUS ADVERTISING & CUSTOM PUBLISHING
V ADVERTISING SPONSORSHIPS
✓ADVERTISING IN EMAIL NEWSLETTERS
✓CHANNELS CUSTOM PUBLISHING
EFTA00805651
ADVERTISING SPONSORSHIPS
Sponsor
Content
2016
Howard Hughes
Spark of Science
Olin College of Engineering
2016 Aging Content
Glen Foundation
Total
$93,000
$25,000
$110,000
$228,300
EFTA00805652
ADVERTISING SPONSORSHIP REVENUE
ASSUMPTIONS
2017
2018 - $5K per month
2019 - $10K per month
2020 - $15K per month
John,
Add comment here
.0=3:1=MEIMEm.
$50,000
$60,000
$120,000
$180,000
(;)
EFTA00805653
EMAIL NEWSLETTER ADS
2016
017
2018
2019
2020
Lisa Mattress
$6,000
$1 2,000
$350/email X 2
emails per week
What is current size of email newsletter list?
Opportunity to drive more email subscribers.
$36,400
$36,400
$36,400
EFTA00805654
Channels
TUNE IN TO NAUTILUS DEEP DIVE PORTALS
SCIENCE PHILANTHROPY ALLIANCE
CANCER FOCUS
Creating a Census of Human Cells
by Aviv Negev
.44
Why the Ethical Rules of Human-Subjects
Research Need a Fresh Look
by Matthew Salami
QUANTA ABSTRACTIONS
How Superfluid Dark Matter Mimics an Old
Idea About Gravity
by Jennifer ()beadle
EFTA00805655
NAUTILUS CHANNELS
• Channels give institutions the opportunity to create a custom publishing product on the Nautilus
platform.
• Including an online "magazine within a magazine", print supplements, and potentially independent print
magazine spin-offs.
• Content can be commissioned by Nautilus, or curated by Nautilus
EFTA00805656
NAUTILUS CHANNELS
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
• Ability to scale channels from the current 8 channels to 22 over the next 3 years
• John Steele as primary/sole seller of Channels
• Organizations value the environment and audience that Nautilus has created beyond any strict
measurements of impressions and # of web visitors.
• Continued ability to leverage the print edition as added-value to sponsorships and channel custom
publishing
• Ability to leverage the Science Philanthropy Alliance and to lesser degree AAAS Affiliate Network
EFTA00805657
NAUTILUS CHANNELS REVENUE - 2016
SPONSOR
CONTENT
2016 REVENUE
Howard Hughes
Think Like a Scientist
$100,000
John Templeton Foundation
COSMOS
$184,217
John Templeton Foundation
COSMOS
20 458
Total 2016
$304,585
G4,1/ ICA
EFTA00805658
NAUTILUS CHANNELS REVENUE - 2017
SPONSOR
V
CONTENT
2017 REVENUE
Howard Hughes
Howard Hughes
Glen Foundation
Glen Foundation
Glen Foundation
Amer. Society Clinical Oncology
John Hartford & AFAR
Max Plank
Sloan Foundation
Woman in Science Engineering
Kavli Foundation
Other Prospects — Neuro Science
Total 2017
Think Like a Scientist
$100,000
Spark of Science 2017
$93,300
Aging
$50,000 — 3mos 2017
Aging 2017
$100,000
Printing
$25,000
Cancer Channel
$60,000
Aging Channel
$60,000
In discussions
$50,000 6 mos in 2017
In discussions
$50,000 6 mos in 2017
In discussions
$66,666 4 mos in 2017
In discussions
$33,333 — 4 mos in 2017
In discussions
$62,000 — 6 mos in 2017
$750,299
EFTA00805659
%Id
NAUTILUS ADVERTISING & CHANNELS
KEY OPPORTUNITIES
Err
MEM.
Quanta Abstractions
MIT Press
Nantucket project
Science, Ethics and Religion
Oceans
Chemistry
Invention
Economics
Exploratorium
Complexity
Carnegie Science
Simons
MIT Press
Nantucket Project
Templeton
Dalio Foundation, WHOI
American Chemical Society
Lemelson Foundation
RAND
Exploratorium
Santa Fe Institute
Carnegie Science
Blog reprints
Curated Excerpts
Curated
Original
Original/Curated
Original/Curated
Original
Original/Curated
Curated
Original/Curated
Curated
EFTA00805660
CHANNEL REVENUE PROJECTIONS
2018-2020
2017
$75%2099
2018
14 channels
$1,400,000
@ $100k
2019 — 18 channels
$1,800,000
@ $100k
2020 — 22 channels
$2,200,000
@ $100k
EFTA00805661
EDIT RESOURCES FOR CHANNELS
=EMI
IIMEMEMMEZM
# Channel Editorial Interns
1
2
2
2
# Channel Editors - freelance
2
3
5
# Channels
8
14
18
22
# Channels Per Edit Resource
2.66
2.8
3.0
3.14
Channel Edit Costs
$75,000
$196,500
$244,575
$292,804
EFTA00805662
'v....,"
NAUTILUS ADVERTISING & CUSTOM PUBLISHING
SUMMARY
2017
2018
2019
2020
Advertising &
$234,300
$62,000
$96,400
$156,400
$216,400
Sponsorships
Channel Custom
$304,585
$750,299
$1,400,000
$1,800,000
$2,200,000
Publishing
Total
$538,885
$812,299
$1,496,400
$1,956,400
$2,416,400
./0 Growth
+50.7%
+84.2./0
+30.7./o
+23Z%
..,
EFTA00805663
ADVERTISING & CHANNELS
CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
• Currently all advertising sponsorships and channel sales are driven by John Steele
• How can we apply additional high-level resources to support the revenue growth plans?
• $100,000+ sales to Foundations and Institutions takes experienced and committed high-level resource.
How can AAAS help in this area?
• Will the credibility and stature of A.A.A.S. help with Channel sales?
EFTA00805664
NAUTILUS EDUCATION SUBSCRIPTIONS
• With 36,000 high schools in the USA, Nautilus is identifying the Institutions that want to support
science and subsidize the cost to put Nautilus (print copy and digital access) into schools in a
specific area.
• Moore Foundation has recently expressed interest in helping to fund the program.
• National Science Teachers Association has recently agreed to endorse and promote the project
EFTA00805665
/
High School Teachers tweeting on most important publications
for their school.
David Theriault @davidtedu
Replying to fa secretrune
I asked around. For HS teachers, in order 1. The New York
Times 2. (guardian Major UK newspaper 3. The Atlantic
Monthly 4. ANautilusMaq
0
EFTA00805666
)
NAUTILUS EDUCATION SUBSCRIPTIONS
2017
2018
2019
2020
# of Schools
625
1,250
2,000
3,500
Price per School
$40
$40
$40
$40
Revenue Estimate
$25,000
$50,000
$80,000
$140,000
EFTA00805667
,J
NAUTILUS GRANTS SUMMARY
Templeton
Foundation
$1,025,000
$300,000
$0
$0
$0
EFTA00805668
NAUTILUS DONATIONS
Support Science Journalism
DONATE TO NAUTILUS >
2016
2017
2018
2019
Carnegie
$10,000
$0
$0
$0
$0
Other
$7,395
$80,000
$80,000
$80,000
$80,000
Total
$17,395
$80,000
$80,000
$80,000
$80,000
Email and web solicitations for Donations to Support Science Journalism have generated $40,919 to-
date through June 21, 2017.
EFTA00805669
"S
\-J
NAUTILUS
Stand Umfor SCielleC
Dear Nautilus Reader,
Here at Nautilus, we stand for science literacy and narratives. We trust our
readers. Rather than reducing and dumbing down, we expand, connect, and
educate. Today, this is more important than ever.
But we need your help to continue producing some of today's best science
writing. PL•a<r <luuab•
And, this weekend only, every donation of $50 or more will get a complimentary
one-year subscription to our print magazine, with no added shipping costs—even
for international addresses!
Best,
John Steele, Publisher
EFTA00805670
RETAIL SALES
• MIT was handling all retail sales through chains, bookstores and specialty stores
• Limited sales data is available
• Small size and current cover formula do not lend the magazine to strong retail sales.
• In addition, the crossover nature of the editorial makes it difficult for retailers to correctly place
the magazine in the correct category — sciences/philosophy/thought leader/...
EFTA00805671
LIMITED RETAIL DATA
SMALL DISTRIBUTORS, BOOK STORES
• Whole food and Barnes & Noble are two of the better know retail outlets that have carried
Nautilus with mixed results in terms of % sale.
• A significant increase in retail copies (+3,500) is planned for the Sept/Oct 2017 and Nov/Dec
issues in Barnes & Noble. The business plan assume that the retail draw goes back to lower levels
starting in 2018.
• Given the declining efficiency and ongoing challenges of the retail magazine business, it is a
positive for Nautilus to not be dependent on this channel for future growth and revenue.
EFTA00805672
EDITORIAL EXPENSE
U
# Full-Time Staff
Intern — non Channel
Freelance Edit/Art/Misc
Staff w/ Benefits & Taxes
Total Edit Costs w/out
Channels
2016
2017
2018
10- 1 1
8
9
9
9
1
1
1
1
$792,086
$462,600
$561,900
$574,035
$587,305
$786,086
$811,759
$975,300
$1,019,188
$1,065,052
$1,578,173
$1,274,359
$1,537,200
$1,593,223
$1,652,357
EFTA00805673
PRODUCTION COST OF PRINT COPIES
2017
2018
2019
Total Copies
62,959
92,888 *
110,050
139,800
173,800
Ave. Copies /Issue
10,493
14,315
18,342
23,300
28,967
Total Cost
$165,262
$204,555
$236,608
$293,580
$364,980
Ave. Cost/Copy
$2.62
$2.20
$2.15
$2.10
$2.10
* Includes 7,000 copies of COSMOS
EFTA00805674
CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
• Significant upside on growing subscriptions and e-commerce beyond what is in the plan
• Continued success and growth in the channel concept is critical but doable. As the circulation and
audience grows, it will become an even more attractive platform for organizations to deliver their
message.
• Editorial expenses need to be managed in line with revenues
• Applying the full and committed resources of AAAS is an important factor and should allow Nautilus to
grow revenues and margin beyond what is in the plan.
• Content syndication or licensing could provide an additional revenue stream over time and the
opportunity for a television or web streaming show is certainly a possibility.
EFTA00805675
CONCLUSIONS & RECOMMENDATIONS
A key element is reviewing this property is the fact that Nautilus is more than just a magazine. It really is
a unique combination of the Print and digital offerings that are not static. The discussion continues well
after the Print edition is published and well after customers get their weekly digital updates and new
perspectives on the topic at hand.
The editorial positioning is unique and has the potential in today's world to have a much larger following
as it spans across areas that are of interest to millions. The unique design and appealing environment are
key attributes of the brand and reinforce the fact that this is something extraordinary. With thousands of
publications and media options out there competing for people's time and attention, Nautilus stands out as
something truly special.
There is not only a solid place for this brand and content but it can thrive and be held up as a case study
for how to create a successful publishing business in todays fast-changing media environment.
Ed Fones
EFTA00805676
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