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efta-efta00805771DOJ Data Set 9OtherNAUTILUS
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NAUTILUS
OUTLOOK
With an investment of $12M over four years, Nautilus has created a new audience and garnered a critical acclaim
without recent precedent for a science magazine. In addition to three dozen other awards, Nautilus has become the
first-ever magazine to win two National Magazine Awards in our first year. It has also achieved a monthly online
audience of over 800,000 unique visitors, a print circulation of 12,000 with an estimated three readers per copy, and
70% year-over-year revenue growth — all organically.
Nautilus is embarking on a next phase business plan, leveraging our unique editorial voice and loyal audience into a
self-sustaining expansion. The pillars of this expansion will be accelerating subscription revenue through marketing;
winning institutional partners interested in promoting their work on the Nautilus platform; entering the educational
market; promoting Nautilus content and subscriptions using third-party platforms; and boosting subscriber retention.
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The story so far — Pageviews since launch have grown at a roughly linear rate of 30,000 per month, and today they
exceed the American web traffic of Discover magazine. Nearly 20 million people have visited Nautilus.
Investment needs
Nautilus needs $1.5 million to cover $500,000 in debts and $ IM in operational funding before reaching profitability
in 15 months. Nautilus also holds two unstructured loans totaling $1.1M from two Nautilus board members. These
loans are without current repayment terms and may be convertible, in part, into a donation or equity. The projection
to profitability in I5 months is based on the revenue and cost analysis below.
Partnership Options
In addition to moving to a next phase of our business model, Nautilus is exploring partnership, equity and merger
options.
•
Non-profit merger — Nautilus has been in talks with the American Association for the Advancement of
Science for over four month to merge Nautilus into AAAS. Separately, the Howard Hughes Medical
Institute, a long-time supporter of Nautilus, is working on a funding pool that would financially support a
merger.
•
Philanthropic support — Nautilus continues to pursue a philanthropic endowment, including the HHMI
funding pool, that would provide us with the funding necessary to reach self-sustaining profitability.
•
For-Profit Subsidiary — Nautilus has studied, in detail, a plan to create a for-profit subsidiary to
NautilusThink, our 501(c)(3), as a vehicle to attract investment in the magazine. The newco subsidiary
would assume control of Nautilus with NautilusThink retaining a 20% equity interest and a royalty.
Revenue to the foundation would be used to repay loans. Foundation donations to NautilusThink's
education mission would also support the newco's revenue.
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NAUTILUS
Next Phase Model Impact Analysis
Revenue
Subscriptions
•
Both print and Prime (ow digital subscription) revenues grew over 30% year-over-year over the course of
ow first three years. That growth is accelerating: Year-to-date 2017 subscription revenue is 71% ahead of
2016.
Store Performance
Vieftwit
47,407
Convonow.
9.68%
awn
4,590
1 85.6 15.42
Subscription revenues — 2017 revenues through May ISth are shown in blue. 2016 revenues are shown in grey.
Growth has been generated with no external marketing (outside of a minimal Facebook spend). Though we
are projecting a continued conservative 30% annual subscription revenue growth in coming years, we have
more than doubled that rate this year and are confident we can maintain a higher growth rate. Our
projection for 2017 revenues is $426,000.
•
Renewals — A key challenge to subscription growth is subscriber churn, significantly increased due to the
absence of an "auto-renewal" option. Several magazine fulfillment firms have given us bids to assume the
store's operation and subscription fulfillment, and enable auto-renew.
•
List acquisition and cross promotion — By aggressively renting lists and cross-promoting Nautilus with
other magazines, we expect a significant subscription revenue boost. Our experience cross-promoting with
the AAAS list of subscribes in 2015 resulted in a 100% increase in Prime subscribers.
•
Expanded Social Media — Social media advertising has proven the most cost efficient way to bring traffic
and customers to Nautilus. We intend to greatly increase promotional spending on Facebook and Google.
•
Employee Benefit Services — Nautilus has recently begun offering discounted subscriptions to corporations
for their employees.
REVENUE
NAUTILUS
2017
(PROJECTED)
NAUTILUS
2018
(PROJECTED)
NAUTILUS
2019
(PROJECTED)
Nautilus Store (subscriptions/back
issues/product)
426,000
553,800
719,940
Retail Sale
•
Newsstand sales are projected to expand in upcoming years beyond our current distribution to Barnes &
Noble, Whole Foods and a number of independent outlets. However, because of distribution and bookstore
costs, we do not expect retails sales to ever generate significant profit, and treat them primarily as
marketing to potential subscribers. MIT Press currently run Nautilus' retail sales, expenses and revenue.
That agreement will end with the May/June issue.
Nautilus Print Retails Saks
I
30,000 I
40,000 I
50,000
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NAUTILUS
Nautilus Channels (Institutional Custom Publishing)
•
A central pillar of our business model going forward is the institutionally sponsored vertical, or "channel."
Channels give institutions the opportunity to create a custom publishing product on the Nautilus platform.
That includes an online "magazine within a magazine", print supplements, and potentially independent
print magazine spin-offs. Channel products can be scaled to meet institutional budgets and goals. Content
can be commissioned by Nautilus, or curated by Nautilus editors. Nautilus generates approximately
$75,000 per channel per year from a $5,000/month platform fee and margin from editorial services.
Nautilus currently has 6 new/renewed channels, in addition to a legacy channel from 2016 (Cosmos) and a
free Science Philanthropy Alliance channel. These channels have provided revenue of $430,000 year to
date and are projected to take in $750,000 in 2017. We are projecting 20 Channels in 2018 and 25 in 2019
with an increase in platform fee charges. There is a navigation challenge beyond 25 Channels which might
require aggregating the Channels into a separate site.
Advertising
•
Online - Nautilus has avoided online advertising to preserve the user experience, and to pursue a better
return on an issue sponsorship model targeting issue topics to institutional clients. Ads on our Nautilus
newsletters has proven modestly successful in generating revenue without negatively effecting the reader
experience. We expect our newsletter ads to generate increased revenue as our list grows. Year to date,
revenue has been $2,060 on a projection of $12,000 for 2017.
•
Print — We currently provide free print ads to ow philanthropic, channel and content partners as a way to
build those relationships. When the print edition crosses a circulation of 20,000, we will have the critical
mass to make Nautilus attractive to paying advertisers.
Advertising
12,000
30,000
40,000
Iss to Sponsorship
•
In 2016 Nautilus sold two issue sponsorships: The Glenn Foundation for Medical Research supported our
May Aging issue for $100,000 and the Olin College of Engineering was a sponsor for our September
Learning issue for $25,000. By matching our issue topics to institutional missions, we expect sponsorship
involvement in 50% of our upcoming issues. As traffic increases, so will the value of those sponsorships.
In addition, each sponsor can potentially be converted to a channel, as we did with the Glenn Foundation
and our Aging Channel. There are no year-to-date issue sponsorships, but we project $120,000 in
sponsorships for 2017.
Issue Sponsorship
120,000 1
300,000
400,000
Education
•
There are over 36,000 secondary schools in the United States and we're working on an institutionally
funded plan to put Nautilus into every one of them. For $40 per year, per school we provide copies of
Nautilus print to the school library or science classroom and access to Nautilus Prime, our premium digital
offering of unlimited reads and downloads of every print and online issue, to every student and teacher in
the school.
Nautilus Education Subscriptions
50,000
150,000
300,000
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NAUTILUS
Expenditures
Channels Impact on Operating Budget
Content
•
Nautilus has traditionally commissioned 12 to 20 feature articles per month for our home page "Grid".
Feature article commissioning going forward will be reduced to S to 10 features per month. To supplement
commissioned feature content, Nautilus will draw content, both custom and curated, from channels. This
will reduce our Nautilus-specific content costs by 40%. Channels content costs are included in the
individual Channel budgets. All Channels content is available to Nautilus for use online and in print.
Website C.ontcrat (occluding Channels)
250,000 I
300,000
300,000
Personnel
•
Because additional content and staff costs are built into each sponsored Channel, Nautilus would be able to
reduce core staffing expenditures, instead assigning personnel and intern costs to the individual Channel
budgets.
Editorial Staff (excluding Channels)
730,000 f
590,000
590,000
The plan also outsources Nautilus functions including store, website development and maintenance, and
fulfillment.
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NAUTILUS
Nautilus
Projections
REVENUE
NAUTILUS
2017
(PROJECTED)
NAUTILUS
2018
(PROJECTED)
NAUTILUS
2019
(PROJECTED)
Nautilus Store (subscriptions/back
issues/product)
426,OD0
553,800
719,940
Nautilus Print Retails Sales
30,000
40,000
50,000
Issue Sponsorship
120,000
300,000
400,000
Nautilus Channels *
750,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
Nautilus Education Subscriptions
50,000
150,000
300,000
Advertising
12,000
30,000
40,000
Grants
300,000
-
-
Donation & Events
30,000
60,000
100,000
Total Revenue
1,718,000
2,633,800
3,609,940
EXPENSES
NAUTILUS
2017
(PROJECTED)
NAUTILUS
2018
(PROJECTED)
NAUTILUS
2019
(PROJECTED)
IIH:ioostrnn:H
Editorial Staff
730,000
59(1, OA)
590,0(X)
Administrative & IT Staff
456,250
415,000
415,0(X)
Petsonnd CA)SIS & Benefits
213,525
180,910
521,200
Intern Program/Part Time
40,000
o
0
Total Personnel Expenses
1,439,775
1,185,900
1,526,200
Operations Expenses
Ttavel,T&E Related Expenses
60,000
65,000
70,000
Website Development
30,000
Nom
bµs.,
Website Content
250,000
310,(00)
Website Maintenance
40,000
40,000
40,i R. .
Communicaoims
16,000
16,000
16,coo
Research
2,500
2,500
2,5(X)
Administrative & Taxes
75800
60,000
60,000
Nautilus Print Edition Production & Distribution
185,000
225,000
225,0(X)
Facilities
100,000
120,000
120,0(X)
Marketing
40,000
58otio
100,0(X)
Consulting & Outside Services
110,000
120800
120,0(X)
Operations Total
908,500
1,028,500
1,083,500
Expense Total
2,348,275
2,214,400
2,609,700
It...cone
1,718,000
2,633,800
3,609,940
Total Income
1,718,000
2,633,800
3,609,940
Total Expenses
2,348,275
2,214,400
2,609,700
=
:663 030:HHH:
H4/411100
HOOXI00.-4400
•Nautilus Channel revenue projects profit from each channel. Channel costs are built into each channel budget (not
represented in the projection), plus hosting fee and service margin profit. Channels will also absorb a portion of
Nautilus staff and content costs, reducing both in subsequent years.
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