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efta-efta01101108DOJ Data Set 9OtherDS9 Document EFTA01101108
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Ii
ELECTRON
CAP
I TAL
PARTNERS
LLC
Electron
Global
Fund,
LP
O1 2013 INVESTOR PRESENTATION
For exclusive of Jeffrey Epstein
EFTA01101108
introduction & team
executive summary
focused &
• Continuation of a 7-year global long/short equity strategy concentrated on global utilities and infrastructure companies in the US,
consistent strategy
Europe, Asia and Latin America
James ("Jos-) Shaver. Managing Partner & Portfolio Manager. has 8 years of experience as a long/short equity portfolio manager
and 21 years (including 10 years working abroad in both Europe and Asia) covering the global utility and infrastructure sectors
accomplished
team
demonstrated
track record
Shaver and the core investment team know each other well having worked together for an average of 6 years. both at SAC
Capital Advisors and the former Electron Capital Management (-Electron CM")
Combined annualized net return of 10.3% cumulatively outperformed each of the MSCI World Utility, S&P 500 and HFRI Equity
Hedge Indices by approximately 92%, 68% and 62%, respectively'
Consistent outperformance of the MSCI World Utility Index in 7 out of 8 years (in both up and down markets) resulting in
8.1% annualized alpha2and capital preservation in challenging markets
• Time-proven risk management culture and process which incorporates a proprietary global sector risk and capital allocation
risk management
model (60+ metrics)
•
The Managing Partner has committed a significant upfront investment to the Fund and management company
aligned interests
•
All Partners will reinvest up to 1/3 of distributable profits back into the Fund which will vest over 3 years (no base salaries are drawn)
I. Please see page 25 for detailed performance related disclaimers. 2. Jensen's alpha calculation. Jenseris alpha - Portfolio return -(Risk free rate Portfolio beta x (Market return - Risk free rate)].
ELECTRON
CA' TAT. PARTNERS LLC
$Ifiet y
hde- noi
Ou `.O! nut) c:alr. or ni:Voule
For exclusive of Jeffrey Epstein
EFTA01101109
I
introduction & team
g oba oh ty sector
philosophy & process
portfolio & EIS[ management
fund informano
accomplished team
the members of the investment team have extensive industry expertise and
a history of success investing together and across market cycles
Cohesive team who have worked together at:
• SAC Capital
• Electron Capital Management
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2010
2011
2012
2007
2009
2009
Jos Shaver'
UBS
CSFB/DLJ
SG Barr Devlin
PA
Electron"
SAC Capital
Electron
Managing Partner/
Director
(UK) Managing
Sector
Founder and Portfolio Manager. tong/short global
Portfolio Manager. long/short global utility and
Portfolio Manager
EU utilities
Director. EU utilities
US PA
utility and infrastructure fund
infrastructure book
Nell Chol
< Goldman Sachs (since '96)
Pequot
Citadel
SAC Capital
Electron
Pained
Sall-side analyst covering US utilities
Analyst covering
Analyst coveting US utilities.
Analyst covering US utilities.
Senior Analyst
US utilities
gas pipelines and IPPs
infrastructure and select
EU utilities
Peter Suozzo, CFA'
< UBS (since '96)
Citigroup
Electron"
Electron
Partner/
Sell-side analyst.
Sell-side analyst, valuation and
Analyst covering infrastructure and deep fundamental dives in
Senior Analyst
Head. Asian utility research
accounting research
US, Europe. Asia and Latam
Ran Zhou, CFA
Electron"
Electron
Partner/
Analyst covering Asia. select infrastructure and alternative
Senior Analyst
energy companies
Electron"
Calk
Electron
Jeff Zheng
Senior Analyst
Technical and quantitative analyst/
Aaron Keller, CPA
Intrepid Capital (Electron" Controller)
Electron
CFO and Head
of Operations
Senior Accountant
Controller
Chief Financial Officer
Greg Zaffiro
Intrepid Capital (Electron")
Electron
Managing Director.
Marketing and IR
Asiocsate
Analyst
Director
'Please see Appendx for full team background. education and advisory board biographies. "Denotes original Electron Capital Management (2004-2008)
ELECTRON
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I
g oba ut. ty sector
global utility and infrastructure sector
regional market capitalization*
(US $2.8 Trillion)
subsector market capitalization*
Water 2%
Gas 22%
'Source: Morgan Stanley. MSCI
Electricity
43%
Utility-
related
33%
regional characteristics
w
Alp
Europe
The Pace Setters
US
Muddling Forward
Asia
The Diligent Student
Latam
Becoming Enlightened
• EU directive
• Hybrid structure
• Studying Europe
• Improving regulatory
• Political risk realized
• Consolidation
(particularly UK)
framework
• China factor
• Corporate governance
• Power and carbon
• EPA mandates and
renewables driving
• Environmental issues
• Government ownership
• Country specific issues
capex
• Increased transparency
• Coal-to-gas switching
universe of companies*
Region
Europe
US
Asia
Latam
Total
0.8
Electricity
44
66
43
20
178
0.6
Natural Gas
7
15
14
0
36
$ 0.4
To
C
Water
5
7
4
3
19
0.2
Utility-related
Total
38
94
59
147
46
107
0
23
143
376
0.0
a
A
C
•0
a
C
cri
V
0
it
o
global sector correlations*
One of the Least
Correlated Sectors
C
ra
O
C
C
C it
Health Care
C
7
ELECTRON
CAPITAL PARTNERS LLC
Sbicty Confidential.
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EFTA01101111
introduction & team
&bad utity sector
ph losopny & process
portfolio & risk management
fund
why the global utility and infrastructure sector
significant timely and ongoing
Structural changes increasing
opportunities in the sector.
• Regulatory arbitrage
-rr
Timely Opportunities
• Shale gas discoveries, change in fuel
mix and LNG impact
structural
change in
• Renewable subsidies expiring
changes
cycle
• Tax changes (dividends, subsidies,
•
Robin Hood taxes)
Re-regulation in some markets
• Fuel cost pass-through clauses
global utility
and infrastructure
opportunities
Textbook underperformance coming out
of recession waning
Generation capex waning yet transmission
and distribution capex increasing
Efficiency measures gaining momentum
Environmental initiatives on an upswing
Limited long/short dollars in what is viewed
as a complex niche sector(')
• Continued unbundling of the utiity
value chain creating long/short
opportunities
• Competition in generation and
retaiVsupply
dividends
Regulatory model changes
deregulation
and growth
Elimination of subsidies
Ongoing Opportunities
Consolidation and divestitures
changing risk profiles
•
(1) Only 1 stock is contained in Goldman Sachs VIP and VISP lists as of August 2012.
ELECTRON
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Increased investor appreciation of utility
characteristics - essential services, dividends
and growth in a low growth environment
Macro flows continue to create distortions
and thus long/short opportunities
Investors largely not pricing in potential
dividend increases and cuts
Re-rating or change in valuation metric
possible in "new normal"
Infrastructure growth from both developed
and emerging markets
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global unity sector
global utility and infrastructure market structure
Unique commodity
• Divestitures
• Reverse margin changes
• New entrants
New-build price signals
fragmentation/
consolidation
•
commodity
cycle
Fuel switching
• Environmental
• Efficiency
• Fossil fuel costs
• Market distortions
• Peak shaving
• Carbon price
• SO. NO,. Hg2
• Acts of nature
• Politicization of tariffs
• Nuclear
-(>
renewables
distortions
deregulation
Framework
• Commodity price impact
• Bottlenecks
• Expropriatory politics
• Generation competition
• Supply competition
• Value chain unbundling
ELECTRQN
CAP TAL PAR - NE IS LLC
Cor lid rutrAl
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ph[losophy &process
investment philosophy
team based culture
Work environment is a "safe" place for opinions and independent thought
"Hunt as a pack" particularly for cross-border market structure changes
Consistent measurement and feedback are the keys to improving as investors
Focus on alpha generation
Team members may own a view point, but not a name or region
Focus on utility market structure changes - generally slower to be priced into the stocks
Take advantage of the global utility sector's low regional correlations
Focus on the risk/reward proposition, not the greatest absolute return potential
• Build conviction by first eliminating possibilities
focused, sector-driven approach
• Cash flow is paramount
rigorous risk management
Sizing is most important risk step
• Keep risk model discipline - mitigate selective memory and bias
•
When in doubt. get out
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introduction & team
g oba ut 1
ctor
philosophy 8 process I portfolio & n* management
exhaustive, repeatable investment process
Thesis with Differentiated View
- Integrated research
- Global network of management
relationships spanning 20 years
- Senior advisory board members
- Regulators
- Consultants
- Lobbyists
- Sell-side/buy-side analysts
Toehold Positions
idea
generation
detailed
analysis
portfolio
construction
technical
ongoing
- Trade around fundamentally based
overlay
monitoring
positions
- Proprietary utility focused statistical
approach combined with multiple
technical indicators
• Short trade a bucket of
fundamental losers
• Maximize dividend capture
- Sizing based on conviction,
risk/reward and liquidity
- Thesis write-up, upside/downside
valuation and time limits for each
position in risk model
fund infofmatio.,
key focus on structural changes in utility
markets:
1. Cross-country/region comparison ("where
have we seen this movie before?")
2. Deep-dive analysis and discussion with
multiple parties involved. such as
company management, regulators,
consultants, etc.
3. Evaluate the potential impact to the
industry and local utility market
4. Determine the company winners and
losers under different structural change
scenarios
5. Evaluate upside/downside potential for
each affected stocks
6. Check how different we are from
consensus
7. Maintain and increase conviction through
research and elimination of possibilities
- Daily review of risk model and limits
- Discussion and action taken on positions
breaching stops, targets and time limits
- Periodic drawdown analysis and stress tests
- Daily measurement of alpha contribution by
region and subsector
- Deep-dive reviews of lessons learned
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I
lurid r I
portfolio & risk management
portfolio construction
position number,
sizing and liquidity
Typically 70 to 100 positions globally
No long position greater than 10% of Fund's value
No short position greater than 5% unless paired with long
95% of portfolio <2 days volume
•
Top 10 longs generally 40 to 50% of Fund's value
concentration of portfolio
•
Top 10 shorts generally 30 to 40% of Fund's value
•
Typically 150% to 250%
• Historical median Electron: 185% gross, max 212%
gross exposure
Historical median SAC: n/a
Generally ranges between 50% long to 15% short
Historical average Electron: 30% net
net portfolio exposure
Historical average SAC: 17% net
• Globally diversified with allocation according to the most attractive alpha opportunities
• Approximately 40-60% ex-US
geographic exposure
• Approximately 85%+ OECD countries
• Past performance is not indicative of future results. No representation is made that the Fund will or is likely to have exposures similar to the historical exposures shown above.
ELECTRON
CAP TAL PARTNERS lle
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8
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Oi
portfolio B nsk management
risk management
our proprietary global sector risk and capital model has been
developed over the last 8 years
provides multi-function/multi-level risk controls
Tracks on a real time basis 60+ risk and capital metrics relevant to the global utility and infrastructure sectors
Quantifies risk using a proprietary "risk lens" for the global utility and infrastructure sectors
Provides a "granular window" on market flows into and out of the global utility and infrastructure sectors
Conduct daily reviews to implement action plans on risk issues or triggered limit breaches
Periodic drawdown analysis and stress testing performed
sample risk positions
Nuclear
0
lOP
FX
I
Beta
0
o
?
0
Thailand
0
Coal
Action taken to mitigate
1.÷
O
Supply
ELECTRQN
CAP TA: FARTNE .PS LLC
IrictyCorlidevtral.
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portlotio 8 nE.k management
r
n
risk management
Electron believes that most metrics fall into the following three categories:
company
Country, regions, sectors. subsectors and sub-subsectors exposures
risk metrics
Commodity risk (e.g. power. oil, natural gas, coal. etc.) both direct and indirect
Interest rate risk (e.g. regulated utilities. company leverage. etc.)
Plethora of financial measures
position
risk metrics
capital metrics
Liquidity and concentration measures
Relative positions and volatility
Absolute and relative stop loss flags
Real time alpha and beta attribution by regions and main sectors
Thesis write-ups for all positions - consistently reevaluate thesis and avoid thesis creep
Absolute and relative target gain flags
Trade duration limit flags to mitigate stale positions
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introducton 3. team
gobai unity sector
philosophy 8 process
portfolio 8 risk management
fund information
demonstrated track record'
monthly
2012
returns (net of fees)
Jan
Feb
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
• Electron
Dec
• SAC
YTD
Mar
0.88%
2.30%
-1.61%
-1.21%
021%
2011
-1.87%
-0.60%
2.15%
3.19%
-3.77%
-0.89%
-2.01%
-2.95%
-3.20%
5.86%
•1.06%
2.07%
-3.48%
2010
0.84%
-0.88%
1.63%
0.18%
-2.70%
1.33%
1.65%
0.68%
1.88%
1.15%
•1.51%
1.56%
5.85%
2009
6.83%
2.08%
-1.18%
4.14%
3.40%
1.69%
2.29%
1.94%
3.79%
-0.05%
0.37%
0.20%
28.36%
2008
5.72%
2.16%
aoo:„
1.22%
-1.47%
n/a
-0.13x
0.12%
4.23%
-2.69%
-0.10%
0.01%
14.40%
2007
3.30%
3.22%
4.1 1%
2.70%
3.46%
4.06%
1.36%
-2.34%
3.02%
3.16%
-1.92%
1.35%
28.35%
2006
7.92%
0.08%
2.02%
2.52%
0.03%
•1.45%
-0.18%
1.19%
0.52%
3.59%
5.21%
28.24%
2005
2.52%
0 04'.
2.25.
3 14%
cumulative returns
120%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
-20%
-40%
Aug-05
May-06
Feb-07
Nov-07
Aug-08
May-09
Feb-10
Nov-10
Aug-11
i
.Bectron/SAC
—MSCI World Utilities
,
S&P 500
• HFRI Equity Hedge
performance metrics
Electron/ MSCI World
SAC
Utiles
S&P 500
HFRI Equity
Index
Hedge
Total period return
91.2%
-02%
24.4%
30.1%
Annualized return
10.34%
-0.03%
3.37%
4.07%
% positive months
65%
56%
61%
65%
Annualized
standard deviation
8.94%
14.65%
16.44%
9.81%
Maximum drawdown
-14.92%
-41.97%
-48.09%
-28.86%
Sharpe ratio'
0.96
-0.12
0.10
0.23
Beta of Funds
0.30
022
0.62
Correlation of Fund'
0A9
0A1
0.68
Correlation of Fund
0.29
In down market'
0.18
0.55
1. see page 25 for detailed performance-related disclaimers. 2. monthly periodicity. risk free rate:3 month treasury bil secondary market rate (source: Federal Reserve). 3. based on monthly net returns.
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introduction & team
g:obal utlity sector
philosophy & process
portfolio 8 risk management
fund information
appe
demonstrated track record'
capital preservation in down markets
contra performance in down markets2
S&P500
Electron/SAC
MSCI World Utilities Electron/SAC
45%
43%
0%
40%
0.25%
0.37%
35%
2.4x
-1%
30%
25%
-2%
20%
18%
15%
-3%
10%
5%
-4%
-3.65%
.4.07%
0%
% of positive months when MSCI
% of negative months when MSCI
-5%
Average returns during indices' down months
World Utilities Index was negative
World Mites Index was positive
annual returns vs. benchmark index
total outperformance over indices
Annual Return
MSCI World Utilities
Outpertormance
100%
91.4%
3.14%
0.78%
2.36%
2006
28.24%
31.53%
(328%)
80%
2007
28.35%
18.49%
9.86%
61.1%
60%
2008
(14.40%)
(28.86%)
14.46%
2009
28.36%
2.01%
26.35%
40%
2010
5.85%
(4.52%)
10.38%
20%
2011
(3.48%)
(6.82%)
3.34%
2012P
0.31%
(1.56%)
1.88%
0%
Total
91.18%
(0.18%)
91.36%
S&P
HFRI Equity Hedge
MSCI World Utilities
1. Please see page 25 for detaied performance Sated disclaimers. 2. Corresponding numbers using S&P 500 Index are 42% and 20%. respectively.
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nt cAL.ctoll 5 teztn
cl oba
tv :odor
pl
fund information
fund terms & service providers
minimum subscription
s1 million subject to Company's discretion
liquidity
Monthly upon 60 days' notice
Soft lock-up
2.5% penalty during first 12 months
high-water mark
Yes
management fee
1.5%
incentive allocation
20%
Administrator
Auditor
legal counsel
prime brokers
Domestic:
Morgan Stanley Fund Services (USA) LLC
Offshore:
Morgan Stanley Fund Services (Bermuda) Ltd.
Rothstein Kass
Domestic:
Bingham McCutchen LLP
Offshore:
Maples and Calder
Goldman Sachs
Morgan Stanley
UBS
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APPEND
IX
ELECTRON
EFTA01101122
eduction & team
global utlity sector
philosophy & process
portfolio & risk management
fund information
appendix
appendix: investment team biographies
James ("Jos") Shaver,
Managing Partner/
Portfolio Manager
Jos has 21 years of experience covering the global utility and infrastructure sectors, during which time he was based in
Europe (five years), Asia (five years) and the US (11 years). For the past four years, Jos has been a Portfolio Manager
at SAC Capital Advisors, where he ran a global utilities and infrastructure book. Prior to that, Jos founded Electron
Capital Management, a global utilities and infrastructure-focused long/short fund, in 2005. Prior to starting Electron,
Jos lived in London (2000-2004) where here began his Investment career and was a senior investment banker to the
major European utilities as a Managing Director of SG Barr Devlin, which he joined from Credit Suisse First
Boston/Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette. Major European utility focus covered the following countries: UK, Germany,
France, Italy, Spain, Belgium, Netherlands, Sweden, Finland and Norway.
Prior to moving to Europe, Jos spent five years in Hong Kong (1995 - 2000) focusing on the Asian utiities. Jos was Head
of UBS' Utility Investment Banking Group (Asia), following the merger of UBS and SBC and, prior to that, the Head of
Project Finance Debt (Asia). Major Asian utility and infrastructure focus covered the following countries: China, Korea,
India, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, Philippines, Japan and Pakistan.
Before moving to Asia, Jos was a Team Leader in UBS' global project finance group in New York (1989 -1995) where
he advised/arranged and structured several notable financings in the independent power and mining sectors in the
US and Latin America.
Jos received a BA in Mathematical Economics from Colgate University in 1986 and an MBA in Finance and
Accounting (double major) from Columbia Business School in 1990.
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introduction 8 team
g:obai utifty sector
philosophy 8, process
portfolio 8 nsk management
fund information
appendix
appendix: investment team biographies
Neil Choi,
Partner/Senior Analyst
Peter Suozzo, CFA
Partner/Senior Analyst
Ran Zhou, CFA
Partner/Senior Analyst
Jeff Zheng.
Senior Analyst
Neil joined the team at SAC Capital Advisors in June 2010 as a senior analyst covering the US utility sector. Neil has 7
years long/short experience. Prior to joining SAC, he worked as an Analyst in the Global Equities division within Citadel
Investment Group, where he covered utilities, gas pipelines and independent power companies, and before that at
Pequot Capital Management for approximately two years, as part of a team managing the firm's long-short US utility
portfolio. Before joining Pequot, Neil was a sell-side analyst for nine years at Goldman Sachs, where he covered US
utilities. He graduated magna cum laude from The Wharton School in 1995 with a BS in Economics.
Peter has 22 years of experience covering the utility, infrastructure, capital goods and energy sectors. Peter joined
Electron Capital Management in August 2007 and moved with the team to SAC Capital Advisors in 2008. Prior to
joining Electron, he was a sell-side analyst with Citigroup, covering valuation and accounting, and with UBS, where he
was head of Asian utility research. Before that he was an Asia-based fund manager for privately held Unifund, SA and
an investment analyst with Columbia University's Office of Investments. Peter holds a BA in International Relations from
Colgate University (1982), an MBA in Finance from Columbia University (1990) and a MA in Accounting from The Lcklin
School (2007), and is a CFA charterholder.
Ran has 7 years of experience covering utilities, renewables, energy and capital goods. He joined Electron Capital
Management in June 2005 as an analyst after graduating from Columbia University with an MA in Statistics in May
2005 and moved with the team to SAC Capital Advisors in 2008, where he covered Asian utilities, energy, capital
goods and global renewables. Ran was born and raised in Beijing, China, where he received a BS in Mathematics
and Applied Mathematics from Tsinghua University in July 2004. Ran is a two-time Bronze medalist in China's National
Olympic Mathematics Competition. He is fluent in English and Mandarin Chinese.
Jeff joined Electron Capital Management in June 2007, focusing on technical and quantitative analysis in the global
utility sector and moved with the team to SAC Capital Advisors in 2008. Prior to joining Electron Capital Management,
he worked as a quantitative trading support intern at Greenwich Equity Group in 2007. Jeff received a BS in Coastal
Engineering from Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China in 2003, and MS degrees in Environmental Engineering and
Financial Mathematics from the University of Connecticut in 2006 and 2008, respectively.
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introduction 8. team
global utlity sector
philosophy 8, process
portfolio & risk management
fund information
appendix
appendix: operations team biographies
Aaron Keller ,
Chief Financial Officer and
Head of Operations
Greg Zaffiro,
Managing Director and
Head of Marketing / IR
Aaron Keller joined Electron Capital Partners as Chief Financial Officer in October 2012. Aaron is a CPA with 10 years
of experience in hedge fund accounting. He most recently served as Chief Financial Officer of IGngsbrook Partners.
Prior to that, he served as Controller of Intrepid Capital Management and Electron Capital Management. Before that,
Aaron was a Senior Associate at Rothstein Kass, with a focus in hedge fund accounting. He received his BS in
Accounting from the Sy Syms School of Business in 2001 and is a member of both the American Institute of Certified
Pubic Accountants and the New York State Society of Certified Pubic Accountants. At Electron, Aaron is responsible
for overseeing all back-office operations of both the funds and management companies.
Greg Zaffiro joined Electron Capital Partners as a Managing Director in November 2012. Greg has 9 years of
experience in the hedge fund industry. He most recently served as the Director of Marketing and Business
Development for Platinum Partners. Prior to that, he was an equity research analyst with Roth Capital Partners,
focusing on enterprise software companies. Before that, Greg was an associate with Intrepid Capital Management
and Electron Capital Management. He received his BS in Business Administration from Fordham University in 2006. At
Electron, Greg is responsible for overseeing all marketing and business development.
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inttoduction & team
g'obal uti ty sector
philosophy & process
portfolio & risk management
fund information
appendix
distinguished advisory board
each member of the senior advisory board has been selected for his "out of the box"
thinking and had been with Electron Capital Management from launch and with
SAC for the first 2 years
Mr. Kevin Bond
Senior Advisor
Mr. Lenny Lee
Senor Advisor
•
Former President & CEO of CILCORP/IPALCO. Vice President of AES Corp. and Managing Director of AES (Asia)
2CC5
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
•
Former CEO of Kekla plc (United Kingdom) and Managing Director of EarthTech (Europe) - the water and infrastructure division of Tyco
•
Currently Chairman of CityWest Homes, the social housing company for the City of Westminster (London) and Chairman and Board Member of a
number of UK companies
•
Based in the United IGngdom
Electron Capital Management
SAC Capital
Mr. Alfred Sorensen
Senior Advisor
•
Based in Canada
•
Based in the United States
Electron Capital Management
SAC Capital
Former President of Galveston LNG and former President & CEO of Duke Energy (Europe)
SAC Capital
Electron
Mr. Duncan Whyte '
Senior Advisor
Former Chairman of Wales and West utilities
Former main board director of Scottish Power for 11 years (roles included Acting CEO, COO and CFO/Finance Director) and CEO of Weir plc
Based in the United IGngdom
ELECTRON
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Introduction 8 team
global utiTty sector
philosophy & process
portfolio 8 risk management
fund information
appendix
appendix: fundamental utility value drivers
difference in various regional value chains highlights an electric utility
company's value chain opportunity upside and constraint
O
generation
Commodity product
O9
trading
Risk management
Fuel mix
Merit curve
Trading skills
transmission and distribution
New entrant costs
Technology
Default risk
Collateral
Regulation
0
supply
Scale matters
Bottlenecks
Scale
Regulator skills
Infrastructure funds
Access to cheap electricity and gas
Churn and stickiness
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:eduction & team
g obal utP.ty sector
philosophy 8 process
portfolio 8 risk management
lund information
appendix
appendix: fundamental utility value drivers
supply response
Comments:
- As demand increases (Do 4 D,), prices eventually spike (Po 4
P,). and volatility increases
- Response to price signal (*) - world's most efficient generation is
built (typically gas-fired CCGT), shifting the supply curve to the
right (So 4 S1)
Results:
- The supply curve shifts to the right putting demand back on the
flat part of the curve and prices move back down (P, 4 P2)
$/mwhr
P,
Pz
Pe
Do
$O
Si
D,
00
Qi
0 2
mwhr
o ectricity prices (fragmented market)
Comments:
- Deregulated markets are in their infancy
- Economic theory would say that long run prices should track
long run marginal costs (LRMC)
- In reality, prices will spend the majority of the time close to short
run marginal costs SRMC only to spike upwards for short periods
of time
Results:
- The supply curve shifts to the right putting demand back on the
flat part of the curve and prices move back down (P, 4 P2)
$/mwhr
P.
_RtvIC
P.,P2
SRIAC
time
ELECTRQN
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introduction & team
g:oba] oft ty sector
philosophy & process
portfolio & risk management
appendix: fundamental utility value drivers
track approximately 60 components in the proprietary sector risk model of the theoretical
utility risk bundle to seek to hedge undesirable risks at the portfolio level
fund information
appencix
management
Accounting contra's
Operations
Trading VAR
Compliance
Unforced outages
Dividend policy
control
1
Capex
Labor
Integrity
Maintenance
Technology
Leverage
Regulator
Interest rates
Environmental changes
Acts of natures
Capital market access risk
Volatility
Market design
limited or no
Fuel Price
Gaming
Weather
Currency
Beta
Country
Valuation
management
control
I
I
I
I
I
Electricity price
I
Credit Risk
Economic growth
New technology
I
Regulatory regime
Inflation
Change in correlations
Meat order
Value chain mix
Intensity of use
Market fragmentation
Market concentration
Regulator
Market fragmentation moves
Envronmental changes
Gaming
judgment &
diversity
Weather
I
Acts of nature
I
Competition
Capital market access I
I
Market design
I
Change in correlations
Regulatory regime
Market concentration I
New technology
moves
hedgeable in
Valuation
Country
Fuel price
Credit risk
Bectricity price
Inflation
I
Interest rates
long/short
portfolio
Merit order
Value chain mix
Intensity of use
Economic growth
Beta
Volatility
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introduction 8 team
g obai uti ly sector
philosophy 8 process
portfolio 8 risk management
fund information
appencikx
appendix: exposure analysis'
historical exposure
2005 Gross
analysis
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
• Electron
. SAC
Dec
Average
148.3%
147.2%
179.1%
211.8%
171.6%
2005 Net
27.1%
26.3%
19.2%
28.8%
25.4%
2006 Gross
2006 Net
I
23.8%
196.2%
13.1%
197.2%
16.8%
178.4%
20.1%
200.6%
25.5%
191.4%
22.1%
179.6%
22.0%
191.0%
31.8%
190.4%
34.9%
209.9%
27.2%
181.3%
32.5%
198.5%
31.8%
192.0%
25.1%
2007 Gross
188.8%
193.1%
203.4%
179.9%
196.9%
197.9%
187.3%
164.1%
171.3%
182.3%
157.9%
162.5%
182.1%
2007 Net
42.5%
37.7%
34.1%
39.8%
38.3%
37.1%
33.1%
37.9%
35.5%
36.7%
37.6%
37.3%
37.3%
2008 Gross
161.9%
154.4%
118.9%
104.2%
1.0%
n/a
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
149.9%
2008 Net
41.8%
28.2%
18.2%
26.0%
0.0%
n/a
0.2%
0.2%
8.7%
0.3%
0.7%
8.0%
12.0%
2009 Gross
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
2009 Net
7.4%
.0.7%
0.6%
20.9%
15.5%
26.2%
28.3%
26.9%
26.3%
31.0%
26.1%
16.3%
18.7%
2010 Gross
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
2010 Net
21.8%
17.5%
30.0%
22.0%
20.0%
-4.8%
18.4%
21.6%
21.9%
36.1%
33.0%
16.1%
21.1%
2011 Gross
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
2011 Net
10.5%
9.0%
24.1%
38.0%
34.4%
26.9%
32.4%
5.6%
0.2%
15.4%
27.4%
12.0%
19.7%
2012 Gross
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
184.8%
2012 Net
11.0%
7.2%
12.9%
14.1%
11.3%
1. Please see page 25 for detailed performance related disclaimers.
ELECTRON
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contact information
introduction & team
g'obal utirly sector
philosophy & process
portfolio & risk management
fund information
appendx
Electron Capital Partners LLC
New York Office
599 Lexington Avenue
38th Floor
New York, NY 10022
Greg Zaffiro
Office:
Mobile:
E-mail:
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introduction 8 team
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portfolio e. risk management
fund information
disclaimer
This presentation is presented solely for information purposes to assist prospective investors in determining whether they have a preliminary interest in investing in Electron
Global Funds (the "Fund"), which has yet to be formed. This presentation is a summary and does not purport to be complete.
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell. or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell, any securities or to provide any investment advisory services. Any such offer will
be made solely to qualifies investors by means of a final offering document and related subscription materials for the Fund, which will contain material information not
contained herein and to which the prospective investors are directed. This presentation is not intended to replace such documents, which should be carefully read prior to
investing.
An investment in any security, including the securities described herein, involves a high degree of risk. No assurance can be given that the investment objectives of the Fund
will be achieved and investment results may vary substantially on a quarterly, annual and/or other periodic basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future
results, and no representation is made that the Fund will or likely to achieve results similar to those shown. The nature of, and risks associated with, the investments to be made
by or on behalf of the Fund may differ substantially from the nature of. and risks associated with, investments undertaken historically by the principals of Electron Capital
Partners LLC.
Indices referenced in this presentation are presented for comparative purposes only. These indices were selected because they are well known to investors and we believe
that they are appropriate for comparison with the Fund's expected investment strategy. The performance of the Fund may not be comparable to the performance of these
indices. The performance of these indices includes the reinvestment of all income (other than dividends) and does not reflect the deduction of any expenses or fees. These
indices are not actively managed. It is not possible to invest directly in these indices.
Prospective investors should not construe this presentation or any other communication received in connection with the Fund as legal, accounting, tax, investment or other
advice, and each prospective investor should consult with its own counsel and advisors as to all legal. tax, regulatory, financial and related matters concerning an investment
in the Fund.
This presentation is confidential and proprietary. Accordingly, this presentation is to be treated as strictly confidential and not disclosed, directly or indirectly, to any party other
than the person to whom it has been delivered and such person's professional advisors. Any distribution of this presentation, in whole or in part. or the divulgence of any of its
contents, is unauthorized.
An investment in the Fund involves a significant degree of risk. including, without limitation:
•
The risk of loss and/or volatile performance:
•
The use of leverage;
•
Risks relating to investments in intellectual property;
•
The lack of liquidity; and
•
The lack of regulatory or other oversight.
Forward Looking Statements: Any projections. forecasts and estimates (including, without limitation, any target rates of return) contained in this presentation are necessarily
speculative in nature and are based upon certain assumptions. It can be expected that some or all of such assumptions will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual
results. Accordingly, these projections are only an estimate. Actual results will differ and may vary substantially from the results shown.
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introduction 8 team
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fund information
app,
performance-related disclaimers
All returns from September 2005 through May 2008 are derived from the annual audited returns of the Electron Global Utility Fund, Ltd ("Electron Original Fund"). Al returns from
July 2008 through Apdl 2012 are derived by Electron from information (the "Information") consisting of the buying power ("8P")'. gross market value ("GMV")2 and gross profit/loss
("PnL") of the account managed by Jos Shaver (the "Account") at SAC Capital Advisors. L.P. ("SAC"). and provided by SAC to both Jos Shaver on July 2, 2012 and Rothstein
Kass on November 12, 2012. In preparing these returns. Electron considered a variety of methods of converting the Account Information into estimated "hedge fund" returns,
and selected the methods that it believes are most representative of how the Account would have performed had it been a "hedge fund". The use of other conversion
methods could have resulted in significantly lower or higher returns. In addition. Electron made certain assumptions about the expected operations of the Fund. It can be
expected that some or all of such assumptions will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results. Recipients of this presentation are urged to make their own
examination of the Information presented. Please be advised that the Information provided by SAC is confidential and a confidentiality agreement will need to be executed by
a potential investor to review the Account Information.
To convert the Account Information into an estimated "hedge fund" return. Electron aggregated the daily PnL of the Account, divided the aggregate PnL by the GMV of the
Account as of the beginning of the applicable month, and multiplied by 185% (since 185% is the median gross exposure ratio for the Electron Original Fund).3 For 2008, volatile
GMV levels due to high cash levels (less than 1/3 of BP deployed for all 2008 months and see http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122394318763531045.html) would produce results
that Electron believes do not accurately reflect how a "hedge fund" would have performed under similar market circumstances and constraints. Electron adjusted the formula
by using the BP of the Account as of the beginning of the applicable month instead of the GMV. and by multiplying the result by 119% (since 119% is the median daily BP to GMV
ratio)! If the BP adjustment is not used for 2008 and GMV is used as in other years. the annualized return for the combined track record would be 13.26% instead of 10.34% and
the standard deviation would be 19.16% Instead of 8.94%. Finally, BP was taken to zero on April 13, 2012 when Jos Shaver resigned from SAC.
Rothstein Kass performed agreed•upon procedures which recalculated the results for the SAC period from July 2008 through April 2012 using the Information provided to them
directly from SAC on November 12, 2012 and according to the method outlined above. The results are presented net of a 1.5% management fee (calculated monthly in arrears)
and 20% annual performance allocation. The results of the Electron Original Fund are presented net of all actual expenses incurred by the Electron Original Fund. The results of
the Account are presented net of financing costs and other charges associated with investment decisions, but do not reflect the deduction of administrative. legal. accounting.
regulatory and other "hedge fund" expenses.
In providing information to Rothstein Kass and us, SAC has informed us that it and its affiliated entities have no responsibility or liability in connection with the information provided
herein and do not guarantee the accuracy of such information. While in no way limiting the foregoing, each recipient understands and agrees that (i) the information provided
by SAC is based on unaudited information, may involve the use of estimates and assumptions and therefore may not be completely accurate, (ii) neither SAC nor any affiliate
thereof will have any obligation to verify the information provided herein (or the accuracy thereof) to the recipient or any third party, and (iii) neither SAC nor any affiliate
thereof will have any liability to the recipient or any third party.
1. BP is the maximum Gross Market Value that could be held in the Account
2. GMV is the sum of USD equivalent absolute market value of each security in the Account at the end of each trading day. USD market value for each security is calculated using the exchange close
prices and translated to USD using the daily 3:00PM EST FX rate posted on Reuters. Calculations exclude currency forward contracts and cash balances posted to the Account. GMV for option
contracts is calculated based upon the number of such contracts multiplied by the apple-able dosing price for such contract multiplied by the applicable option multiplier for such contract. Illiquid
positions. if any, are valued at recent transaction price or at SAC's discretion.
3. The resulting formula is (monthly PnL)/(GMV month beginning) x 185%.
4. The resulting formula for 2008 is (monthly PnL)/(BP month beginning) x 185% x 119%.
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