Case File
efta-efta01120660DOJ Data Set 9OtherExecutive Summary
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DOJ Data Set 9
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efta-efta01120660
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Executive Summary
Confidential
April 2013
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EFTA01120660
The World's
Most Creative
Scientists Solving
the World's Most
Challenging
Problems
EFTA01120661
Overview
Seed is a first-of-its-kind scientific think tank/consultancy working with
clients in the commercial, public, and social sectors on a wide range of
complex human-scale problems.
Like great mega-consultancies that came before it — IDEO, McKinsey,
Monitor, etc. — Seed is founded on a recognition that the world is
undergoing a fundamental transformation that requires a new way of
thinking (Scientific Thinking TM), new approaches to problem-solving (e.g.
Big Data), and new types of people solving these problems.
What IDEO did with design (>$100 million revenue, 600 employee firm) —
Seed aims to do with science. Seed combines science (e.g. complexity
science, linguistics, neuroscience, physics, etc.) with design (e.g. data
visualization, human-computer interaction, generative architecture, etc.)
and technology (e.g. data processing, software and database
engineering, etc.) to provide high-value/high-margin services to its clients.
Seed does not solve typically scientific problems (e.g. drug discovery,
new material development) — but complex human-scale problems that
affect countries and companies (e.g. economic development, spread of
misinformation, post-launch analysis, global policy planning).
Like IDEO for designers, Seed will be home for the next generation of
creative scientists and disruptive scientific thinkers. Seed will leverage its
extensive network of relationships across the scientific community to forge
"science transfer" (e.g. algorithms) licensing partnerships. Seed will form
a formal network of academic researchers who consult on various client
projects. And Seed will conduct and collaborate on basic research on the
application of Scientific Thinking TM to human-scale problems.
EFTA01120662
Overview
Like IDEO or McKinsey, Seed generates revenue from contracts for
services, among them: Research, Data Collection, Data Mapping,
Systems Mapping, Analytics, Visualization, Foresight. Additionally, Seed
retains rights to the intellectual property it generates during the course of
services contracts and will commercialize this IP through spin-off products
(e.g. software, architecture).
Seed was founded and will be headed by Adam Bly, a pioneering
scientific thought-leader (e.g. World Economic Forum Young Global
Leader, Vice Chair, Global Agenda Council on Complexity, 6-time Davos
speaker) and entrepreneur. A world-class team of scientists, designers,
technologists, and business leaders has been identified and is starting to
be assembled.
Seed evolved out of the acclaimed, eponymous magazine published from
2001-2011. The magazine set the intellectual stage for this venture and
provides invaluable goodwill and brand equity. Seed is currently operating
as a unit of Seed Media Group LLC (other units include: ScienceBlogs —
partnership with National Geographic; Visualizing — partnership with GE).
Seed has generated revenues of approx. $2 million over its first 18
months from blue-chip clients such as: Johnson & Johnson, United
Nations, GE, Pfizer, Government of Canada, The Coca-Cola Company,
Nike, and Government of Qatar.
Seed is seeking $5-10 million to buy-out the relevant assets from Seed
Media Group LLC and to finance growth. Within five years, Seed aims to
reach $50 million in annual turnover, employ 150 scientists, and become
the defining scientific think tank/consultancy in the world.
EFTA01120663
Opportunity
Bell Labs (1925)
Over the last century, transformational moments have given rise to
transformational professional services companies, each with a distinct
lens for seeing the world and solving its problems.
Seed aims to seize this once-in-a-generation opportunity.
Monitor (1983)
Media Lab (1985)
21st Centu y
*Kinsey (1926)
Cold War (1946-91)
GB (1987)
IDEO (1991)
Roaring 20s
Great Depression
Dot Corn Bubble
(1929-1940)
(1995-2000)
Seed (2011)
Era of Complexity
Information Age
Genomic Age
7 Billion
Sustainability
MDGs
EFTA01120664
Science 4 Services
Seed will always seek out new scientific approaches to solving complex
human-scale problems — and will add to its service offerings and labs as
new skills and solutions become market-ready.
Science
Current
Future
Math & Statistics
Natural Language Processing
Al/Machine Learning
Physics
Network Science
Complex Systems Science
Human-Computer Interaction
Services/Labs
Current
Data Discovery
Data Collection
Data Science
Data Visualization
System Mapping
Research
Master Class
Foresight
Systems Biology
Genetics
Evolutionary Biology
Neuroscience
Cryptography
Molecular Biology
Computational Social Science
Future
Behavioral Economics
Health Economics
Risk Analysis
Urban Planning
Resilience Planning
Policy Planning
Scenario Planning
Simulation
EFTA01120665
Interfaces
"I have noticed a growing conversation recently concerning the
relationship between design and science. Adam Bly did much to get this
conversation started." — Tim Brown, CEO, IDEO
Seed employs modern design as a way of interfacing (both digitally and
physically) with science and helping its clients do the same.
Design
Current
Future
Information Design
Data Visualization
Human-Computer Interaction
Generative Architecture
Game Design
Critical Design
...
Similarly, Seed makes use of technology to support and power its work
and the tools it develops.
Technology
Current
Future
Software Engineering
Database Engineering
Data Processing
Distributed Computing
EFTA01120666
Representative Contracts
Client: Government of Qatar
Scope: Through the lens of complexity, compile and analyze global
economic and social development indicators for novel relationships,
develop a novel visual language to analyze and explore correlation
values, and build a business intelligence tool to track indicators
Timeframe Category: 4-6 months
Size Category: $100,000-$200,000
Services: Research, Data Collection, Data Science (incl. Maximal
Information-based Nonparametric Exploration), Data Visualization (incl.
Force-Directed Algorithms and Network Science)
Deliverable: Report and Software
Client: GE
Scope: Advise on the application of resilience science to GE's corporate
strategy through a Master Class with leading resilience scientists
Timeframe Category: 1-3 months
Size Category: $50,000-$100,000
Services: Master Class
Deliverable: Report
Client: Johnson & Johnson
Scope: Study J&J's over-the-counter product portfolio and develop an
analytical framework and set of design tools to support an overarching
package redesign aimed at reducing complexity for consumers
Timeframe Category: 4-6 months
Size Category: $100,000-$200,000
Services: Research, Data Science (incl. Shannon Entropy), Information
Design
Deliverable: Report and Software
EFTA01120667
Representative Contracts
Client: United Nations (UNDP)
Scope: Conduct a global vote (MY World) to collect data that helps inform
the deliberations of the Secretary General's High-Level Panel on the
Post-2015 Millennium Development Goals
Timeframe Category: 4-6 months
Size Category: $200,000-$350,000
Services: Data Collection (incl. Database Engineering), Data Science
(incl. Natural Language Processing, Elbow Method Clustering,
Multivariate Analysis), Data Visualization (incl. real-time data dashboard)
Deliverable: Reports and Software
Client: Nike
Scope: Consider the future of manufacturing (i.e. processes, materials,
etc.) from a scientific point of view
Timeframe Category: 1-3 months
Size Category: $50,000-$100,000
Services: Research, Foresight
Deliverable: Report
Client: Nagra Kudelski
Scope: Analyze terabytes of log file data to determine various normal
rates and develop a tool to detect anomalies
Timeframe Category: 4-6 months
Size Category: $100,000-$200,000
Services: Data Science (incl. Anomaly Detection, Machine Learning),
Data Visualization
Deliverable: Software and Report
EFTA01120668
Representative Contracts
Client: The Coca-Cola Company
Scope: Using beta software developed by Seed, map The Coca-Cola
Company as a system of inter-connected and inter-dependent agents
(stocks, flows, and variables)
Timeframe Category: 1-3 months
Size Category: $50,000-$100,000
Services: System Mapping
Deliverable: System Map
Client: Johnson & Johnson
Scope: Employing network visualization, prototype a new way of seeing
the J&J organization
Timeframe Category: 1-3 months
Size Category: $50,000-$100,000
Services: Data Visualization
Deliverable: Software
Client: Amway
Scope: Study historical sales data and identify the most predictive post-
launch indicators of success for a new product launch at various points in
time
Timeframe Category: 1-3 months
Size Category: $50,000-$100,000
Services: Data Science (incl. Agglomerative Clustering)
Deliverable: Report
EFTA01120669
Current Deliverables
Report
•
DAT
SCIENCE
REPORT
Software
System Map
•
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EFTA01120670
Financials
Projected Income Statement
In millions of USD; For the years ending Dec 31
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Revenues
3.0
6.0
12.0
24.0
48.0
COS
1.4
2.7
5.4
10.8
21.6
Sales & Mktg
0.6
1.2
1.92
3.84
5.76
R&D
0.18
0.36
1.2
2.4
7.2
G&A
0.39
0.78
1.2
2.4
3.36
Op. Income
0.5
1.0
2.3
4.6
10.1
16%
16%
19%
19%
21%
Use of Proceeds
In millions of USD
Purchase of certain assets from
3.0
Seed Media Group LLC (code, designs,
trademarks, contracts, customer lists,
employment agreements)
Working capital
1.0 - 2.0
Growth capital
1.0 - 5.0
5.0 - 10.0
EFTA01120671
Benchmarks/Assumptions
Benchmarks
Founded in 1991, IDEO generated revenues of $40M in 1995, $72M in
2002, $90M in 2007, and $105M in 2011. It currently has 600+
employees.
IDEO's main competitor, frog, generated revenues of $35M in 2005 and
$120M in 2009. It currently has 1,000+ employees.
As the leading management consulting firm, McKinsey generated
revenues of $7B in 2011 and had 17,000 employees.
Professional services firm earn gross margins between 50-70% and net
operating margins between 7-23%. Billable employees range between
70-80% with revenues per billable employee between $0.18-0.25M.
To date, Seed has earned a gross margin of 51%.
Assumptions Used
•
Gross Margin
55%
•
Net Operating Margin
16-21%
•
Sales/Mktg as % of revenues
12-20%
•
G&A as % of revenues
7-13%
•
R&D as % of revenues
6-15%
•
Billable employees
75-80%
•
Revenue/billable employee
$0.20-0.25M
Model based on "time and materials"
EFTA01120672
Related Documents (6)
DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceUnknown
EFTA Document EFTA01973700
0p
DOJ Data Set 9OtherUnknown
From: Lesley Groff <lesley.jeeggmail.com>
2p
DOJ Data Set 9OtherUnknown
From: Adam Bly
1p
DOJ Data Set 9OtherUnknown
Revenues
9p
DOJ Data Set 9OtherUnknown
Subject: Adam Bly interviews Jan. 26-28
1p
DOJ Data Set 9OtherUnknown
From: "Adam Bly"
1p
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