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efta-efta01139934DOJ Data Set 9OtherFrom: Vinit Sahni c
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DOJ Data Set 9
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efta-efta01139934
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From: Vinit Sahni c
To: jeevacationggmail.com
Subject: Re: Jeffrey - Mexico -> MBONO 30y look interesting [C]
Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2014 17:08:52 +0000
Inline-Images: unnamed; unnamed(1); unnamed(2); unnamed(3); unnamed(4); unnamed(5); unnamed(6);
unnamed(7); unnamed(8); unnamed(9); unnamed(10); unnamed(11); unnamed(12);
unnamed(13); unnamed(14)
Classification: Confidential
Jeffrey - hope u got the confirm. well keep an eye on the trade for u, and lookout for new ones. we also did slightly better on
the yield as we worked it work a couple of minutes. well try and stay tight on the execution. Spoke to Paul on getting u a fluid
global execution setup, will work on it.
Vinit Sahni
Managing Director I Global Head - Professional Client Group 8 Key Client Partners Capital Markets Group
Deutsche Asset 8 Wealth Management
1051108 Old Broad St (Pinners Hall).
EC2 1EN London Unite Kingdom
Tel.
Mobi
Email
Any proposed ideas are being delivered to you by the DeAWM Key Client Partners ('KCP') London desk for discussion purposes only, and do not create any legally
binding obligation on the part of Deutsche Bank AG and / or its affiliates ("DE'). These ideas are for the consideration of the intended recipients of this mail only. The
KCP London desk does not provide investment advice. All intended recipients are Professional investors (as defined by MiFID). who understand the strategy.
characteristics and risks associated with any ideas proposed herein and will be able to evaluate it independently. All trades on proposed ideas shall be subject to the
relevant internal approvals prior to execution.
?Ando-wit( Peefomt.
From:
Jeffrey Epstein <jeevacation(§gmail.com>
To:
Vinit Sahni/db/dbcom@DBEMEA.
14/01/2014 12:01
Subject:
Re: Jeffrey - Mexico -> MBONO 30y look interesting IC] it was a more general question
On Tue, Jan 14, 2014 at 7:57 AM, Vinit Sahni <1
> wrote:
Classification: Confidential as its local currency all the liquidity is in NY hours so it won't hurt. As soon as they get some liquidity
will shoot it across.
EFTA01139934
DA
Vinit Sahni
Managing Director I Global Head - Professional Client Group & Key Client Partners Capital Markets Group
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
105/108 Old Broad St (Pinners Hall).
EC2N 1 EN London. United Kingdom
Tel.
Mobil
Emai
Any proposed ideas are being delivered to you by the DeAWM Key Client Partners (*KCP") London desk for discussion purposes only, and do not create any legally
binding obligation on the part of Deutsche Bank AG and / or its affiliates ("DE'). These ideas are for the consideration of the intended recipients of this mail only. The
KCP London desk does not provide investment advice. All intended recipients are Professional investors (as defined by MiFID). who understand the strategy.
characteristics and risks associated with any ideas proposed herein and will be able to evaluate it independently. All trades on proposed ideas shall be subject to the
relevant internal approvals prior to execution.
Petffrien^:{v Peef0nn,
From:
Jeffrey Epstein <[email protected]>
To:
Vinit Sahnifdb/dtcom©DBEMEA. Paul Morrisfdb/dbcom@DBAMERICAS. Tazia Smithfdbidbccen@DBAMERICAS.
Dale:
14/01/2014 11:39
Subject:
Re: Jeffrey - Mexico -> MBONO 30y look interesting IC] can we set up an account based in london , so i do not have to wait for ny to open?
On Tue, Jan 14, 2014 at 7:00 AM, Vinit Sahni wrote:
Classification: Confidential got it back to u as soon as NY opens up
Vinit Sahni
Managing Director I Global Head - Professional Client Group & Key Client Partners Capital Markets Group
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
1051108 Old Broad St (Pinners Hall).
EC2N 1 EN London. United Kingdom
Tel.
Mobi
Email
Any proposed ideas are being delivered to you by the DeAWM Key Client Partners (*KCP") London desk for discussion purposes only, and do not create any legally
binding obligation on the part of Deutsche Bank AG and / or its affiliates ("DE'). These ideas are for the consideration of the intended recipients of this mail only. The
EFTA01139935
KCP London desk does not provide investment advice. All intended recipients are Professional investors (as defined by MiFID). who understand the strategy.
characteristics and risks associated with any ideas proposed herein and will be able to evaluate it independently. All trades on proposed ideas shall be subject to the
relevant internal approvals prior to execution.
Purrin%* ?turn.
From:
Jeffrey Epstein <lcluaSgiall@galifall>
To:
Vinit Sahni/db/dbcom©DEtEMEA,
14(01(2014 10:55
Subject:
Re: Jeffrey - Mexico -> MBONO 30y look interesting [CI usd 3m bonds
On Tue, Jan 14, 2014 at 6:41 AM, Vinit Sahni wrote:
Classification: Confidential
Jeffrey - sorry, to clarify is it 3m USD worth of MXN bonds or 3m MXN, as its a local currency bond.
As soon as NY gets in will get a price on the MBONO 7.75% 11/13/2042 and ping u
as and when our view on rates or the currency changes will keep u updated, as here u have risk on
both components unlike the PDVSA where the bond was denominated in USDs.
Best
Vinit
Vinit Sahni
Managing Director I Global Head - Professional Client Group 8 Key Client Partners Capital Markets Group
Deutsche Asset 8 Wealth Management
1051108 Old Broad St (Pinners Hall).
EC
Kingdom
Tel.
E
Any proposed ideas are being delivered to you by the DeAWM Key Client Partners ('KCP") London desk for discussion purposes only, and do not create any legally
binding obligation on the part of Deutsche Bank AG and / or its affiliates ("DIY). These ideas are fix the consideration of the intended recipients of this mail only. The
KCP London desk does not provide investment advice. All intended recipients are Professional investors (as defined by MiFID). who understand the strategy.
characteristics and risks associated with any ideas proposed herein and will be able to evaluate it independently. All trades on proposed ideas shall be subject to the
relevant internal approvals prior to execution.
PurrinoV Reepow
From:
Jeffrey Epstein <lthitaraiglagaaggill>
To:
Vinit Sahni/db/dboom@DEtEMEA,
14/01/2014 10:18
Subject:
Re: Jeffrey - Mexico -> MBONO 30y look interesting [CI
EFTA01139936
agreed lets do 3m
On Tue, Jan 14, 2014 at 4:23 AM, Vinit Sahni
> wrote:
Classification: Confidential
Jeffrey - was looking for value in the EM space, post the PDVSA analysis, started looking at Mexico...
here is a trade I think makes sense -> buying MBONO 30y unhedged
At around 7.5% yield, inflation probably in the 3-4% in the foreseeable future, and USD/MXN likely stable or
stronger in real (deflated) terms, I think it is good value. The curve is steep. If you look at 10Y10Y UST and
10Y10Y MXN yields, the spread is above 500bp . Say inflation differential is 100bp higher in Mex and credit diff is
100bp (10Y CDS is about 100bp higher in Mexico although Mex has much better debt dyn), this still leaves about
300bp of cushion for real depreciation per year...In sum, it seems good value
near term mark to market risk is slower pace of implementation of energy reform and a selloff in USTs
happy to discuss further if u find interesting...
EFTA01139937
MBONO 7 34 11/13/42
+.000
As of 18 Apr
Op --
Lo --
Pre. 103.438
DB
`95) Save As ' 99 Actions7'11PM Edit W4
-Table
PI BGN
Line
II
11)Compare
Nov. Avgs WM=
I1BOI I. 7 'I 11/42
04/19/2012
1D
3D
1M
6M
'(TD
11
SY
MW(
OOVT
01/14/2014 Mid YTM lU Mid Yield To Maturity 7.504
I
T High on 12/04/13
7.836
-0- Average
6.740
I Low on 05/02/13
5.313
No Lower Chart e security/5.1y
Yield Chart
11 Even:
21311
0
8.000
GEM
► 7.000
► 6.500
0.6.000
0.5.500
Jun
Sep
2012
Dec
Mar
Jun
'Sep
Dec
2013
12014
Australia 61 2 9777 8600 Brazil 5511 3048 4500 Europe 44 20 7330 7500 Germany 49 69 9204 1210 Hong Kong 852 2977 6000
Japan 81 3 3201 8900
Singapore 65 6212 1000
U.S. 1 212 318 2000
Copyright 2014 Bloomberg Finance
SH 812823 EST GMT-5.00 H376-306-2 14-Jan-2014 03:04:41
CNYMXN chart courtesy Nav Gupta (shows relative value in Labour cost between China and Mexico)
EFTA01139938
CNYMXN
CliPL
2 . 172
BBLC 2.171 /2.172 BBLC
At 3:13
Op 2.159
Hi 2.172
Lo 2.156
Close 2.159
Value 01/16/14
90 Actions
CHYMXII CHPL Curn
01/14/2005
1D
3D
1M
6M
YTD
1,/
SY
Max
May •
01/14/2014
—Save As
Last Price
CMPL
Oil Last Price
2.172
-T High on 06/01/12 2.260
Average
1.745
Low on 07/18/05 1.278
0
Line Chart
MEMO
No Lower Chart
I0Compare
Nov. Avgs
6:1 searity/swy
M Event
I.2000
1800
1.600
1.400
.1.200
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
201
Australia 61 2 9777 8600 Brazil 5511 3048 4500 Europe 44 20 7330 7500 Germany 49 69 9204 1210 Hong Kong 852 2977 6000
Japan 81 3 3201 8900
Singapore 65 6212 1000
U.S- 1 212 318 2000
Copyright 2014 Bloomberg Finance
SH 812823 EST
GMT-5:00 H376-306-2 14-Jan-2014 03:13:52
Vinit Sahni
Managing Director I Global Head - Professional Client Group & Key Client Partners Capital Markets Group
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
105/1 inners Hall). EC2N 1EN London. United Kingdom
Tel.
Mobil
Email pedrciO3,-h7Peifban
Any proposed ideas are being delivered to you by the DeAWM Key Client Partners ('KCP") London desk for discussion purposes only, and do not create any legally
binding obligation on the part of Deutsche Bank AG and / or its affiliates ("DE'). These ideas are for the consideration of the intended recipients of this mail only. The
KCP London desk does not provide investment advice. All intended recipients are Professional investors (as defined by MiFID). who understand the strategy.
characteristics and risks associated with any ideas proposed herein and will be able to evaluate it independently. All trades on proposed ideas shall be subject to the
relevant internal approvals prior to execution.
From:
Jeffrey Epstein <[email protected]>
To
Vinit Sahni/db/dbcom@DBEMEA.
EFTA01139939
Cc:
Tazia Smithrdb/dbcorn©DBAMERICAS, "Nay Gupta (DEUTSCHE ASSET MANAG)' <
Morris/db/dbcomfgOBAMERICAS, Whe Stepanian/db/dbcom@DBArnericas
13/01/2014 11:50
Subject: Re: PDVSA chart + USDJPY Trade (CI
. Paul thanks , lets keep
On Mon, Jan 13, 2014 at 7:47 AM, Vinit Sahni < wrote:
Classification: Confidential
This attached image shows the current pricing on the curve, which is slightly weaker than it was in
early December. I have also added the term structure of PDVSA and VENZ sovereign bonds, which
gives us some relative value across the curve
Bouts of volatility will likely remain an issue and therefore it will trade like a short tail risk trade.
However, given that access to dollars remains key for Venezuela, we should expect the government to
do whatever they can to avoid a problem servicing these bonds (or even the perception of the same).
They do have a heavy amortization schedule in 2014 and 2015.
Vinit Sahni
Managing Director I Global Head - Professional Client Group 8 Key Client Partners Capital Markets Group
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
105/108 Old Broad St (Pinners Hall), EC2N 1EN London. United Kingdom
Tel. +4
Mobil
IIIIII/
Email
From:
Tazia Smith/db/dbcom®DBAMERICAS
To:
Jeffrey epstein" lvevarationaigmagain>.
Cc:
*Vinit Sahni'
'Nay Gupta (DEUTSCHE ASSET MANAG)" <
12/O1/2014 22:52
Subject: Re: PDVSA chart + USDJPY Trade (C)
EFTA01139940
Classification: Confidential
Looping in Vinit here as he was recently involved with a large offering in the pdvsa credit and may have some
take-aways.
My view is the bonds are money good in 2015, as of now, but you are not looking for yield cany (as discussed),
and the risks of restructuring and near-term downside due to politics specific to venezuela and chatter around EM
assets at large are likely greater than implied by the bonds' current —85 levels; would use Friday's rally to sell
(particularly if you believe it was rates driven vs credit). For what it's worth, we've found Latam family offices
that are very familiar the credit (and do like carry) are fully loaded and do not have incremental demand.
Tazia Smith
Director
Key Client Partners - US
Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue - 26th Floor
New York, NY 10154
Tel:(
Mobil
Fax:
E-mail:
From: Jeffrey Epstein [[email protected]]
Sent: 01/12/2014 04:56 PM AST
To: Tazia Smith
Subject: Re: PVDSA chart + USDJPY Trade [C] do you think money good in 15
On Sun, Jan 12, 2014 at 4:38 PM, Tazia Smith 5
> wrote:
Classification: Confidential
Jeffrey:
Please find the chart of PDVSA 5% 10/28/15 price history below, as well as a description of the USDJPY 10yr trade that we briefly discussed on Friday.
Speak with you soon,
Tazia
EFTA01139941
PDVSA 5 10/28/15 $
185.500
+1.500 1411.7 bp vs T 0.250 12/31/2015
As of 10 Jan Vol 989.011 0
14.489 TRAC
99Savr ct oft
a
all
IL Ox-cure np. A.,:
PI um II
S'i
Max
Daily •
gt Securtry/Se.dv rl Event
O
± Track
Annetate
Neiws O, Zoom
Used with permission of Bloomberg Finance LP, 1/10/14
Forwarded by Tazia Smith/db/dbcom on 01/12/2014 03:29 PM --
From:
To:
Subject:
Nay Gupta/db/dbcorn©DBEMEA
Tazia Smith/dbidbcom@DBAMERICAS.
01/10/2014 08:21 AM
SY (I]
Classification: For internal use only
Long SY Call Options. We like long expiry options to benefit from the present dislocation between interest rates and volatility
Deutsche Bank FX Strategists are calling for USDJPY of 115 by year-end 2014. and 120 by year-end 2015. See DB FX Blueprint published 1(9114. and note that #2
of the top 10 themes of 2014 (p. 5-6) revolves around extended weakness in the Japanese Yen vs. USD.
Consider a 10year expiry SY call option struck at 85 (spot fx 105. forward fx 77.70). Price 4.7% of USD notional
This option has four notable characteristics
•
If SY slays at these levels the option decays positively by approx 15-20% per year
•
If SY trades 90.00 at any tine (arguably a scenario in which the option is no longer wanted) the option "knrckg-our and becomes worthless. While SY might
decline to 90. our quantitative analysis indicates the probability of such a decline is significantly (double?) overpriced by the options market
•
The premium of the option is quite sensitive to moves in $Y spot - which is atypical for a 10year option. This also results Iron the knockout feature. This
means if SY moves quickly by 5% the option increases / decreases in value by almost half. so If SY rises to 110 or 115 the option can easily be unwound to
monetize the profit
•
The option costs roughly 1/3rd compared to the vanilla 85 strike call
•
Maximum loss is premium paid
EFTA01139942
Nav Gupta
Managing Director
Deutsche Bank AG. Filiale London
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
1051108 Old Broad St (Pinners Hall). EC2N 1EN London. United Kingdom
Tel.
Mobil
Email
Any proposed ideas are being delivered to you by the DeAWM Key Client Partners ("KCP") London desk for discussion purposes only. and do not create any legally
binding obligation on the part of Deutsche Bank AG and / or its affiliates ("Dr). These ideas are for the consideration of the intended recipients of this mail only. The
KCP London desk does not provide investment advice. All intended recipients are Professional investors (as defined by MiFID). who understand the strategy,
characteristics and risks associated with any ideas proposed herein and will be able to evaluate it independently. All trades on proposed ideas shall be subject to the
relevant internal approvals prior to execution.
Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners - US
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue. 26th Floor
New York, NY 10154
Tel. +
Fax +
Mobile
Email
This communication may contain confidential and/or privileged information.
If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this communication
in error) please notify the sender immediately and destroy this
communication. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the
material in this communication is strictly forbidden.
Deutsche Bank does not render legal or tax advice, and the information
contained in this communication should not be regarded as such.
The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for the use of the addressee. It is the property of
Jeffrey Epstein
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this communication in error, please notify us immediately by
EFTA01139943
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation®gmail.com, and destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
This e-mail may contain confidential and/or privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient
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unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the material in this e-mail is strictly forbidden.
Please refer to http://www.db.com/en/content/eu disclosures.htm for additional EU corporate and
regulatory disclosures.
The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for the use of the addressee. It is the property of
Jeffrey Epstein
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail tojtevacation urnail corn and destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
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This e-mail may contain confidential and/or privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient
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unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the material in this e-mail is strictly forbidden.
Please refer to fillp://www.db.comien/content/eu disclosures.htm for additional EU corporate and
regulatory disclosures.
The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for the use of the addressee. It is the property of
EFTA01139944
Jeffrey Epstein
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeraacation@gmallsam, and destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
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This e-mail may contain confidential and/or privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient
(or have received this e-mail in error) please notify the sender immediately and delete this e-mail. My
unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the material in this e-mail is strictly forbidden.
Please refer to http://www.db.com/en/content/eu disclosures.htm for additional EU corporate and
regulatory disclosures.
The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for the use of the addressee. It is the property of
Jeffrey Epstein
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to [email protected], and destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
This e-mail may contain confidential and/or privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient
(or have received this e-mail in error) please notify the sender immediately and delete this e-mail. My
unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the material in this e-mail is strictly forbidden.
Please refer to filip://www rib com/en/r.nntent/eujfiscloseres FAN for additional EU corporate and
regulatory disclosures.
EFTA01139945
The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for the use of the addressee. It is the property of
Jeffrey Epstein
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation®gmail.com and destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
This e-mail may contain confidential and/or privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this
e-mail in error) please notify the sender immediately and delete this e-mail. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or
distribution of the material in this e-mail is strictly forbidden.
Please refer to http://www.db.com/en/content/eu disclosures.htrrk for additional EU corporate and regulatory disclosures.
The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for the use of the addressee. It is the property of
Jeffrey Epstein
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jetQL@I gmail.com, and destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
This e-mail may contain confidential and/or privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient (or have received
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distribution of the material in this e-mail is strictly forbidden.
Please refer to http://www.db.com/en/content/eu_disclosures.htrn for additional EU corporate and regulatory disclosures.
EFTA01139946
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Domain
jeevacationggmail.comEmail
[email protected]Email
[email protected]Email
[email protected]Email
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+1.500 1411Phone
1 212 318 2000Phone
1.200
2005Phone
212 1000Phone
330 7500Phone
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