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efta-efta01193523DOJ Data Set 9OtherFrom: Tazia Smith <I
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DOJ Data Set 9
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efta-efta01193523
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From: Tazia Smith <I
To: jeevacationggmail.com
Cc: Vahe Ste anian <-
>, Paul Morris
Subject: Re: Biotech Se11-O1T.... [C]
Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2014 13:45:13 +0000
Inline-Images: unnamed; unnamed(I); unnamed(2); unnamed(3); unnamed(4); unnamed(5); unnamed(6);
unnamed(7); unnamed(8); unnamed(9); unnamed( I 0); unnamed( I I ); unnamed(I2)
Classification: Confidential
understood, will do
From:
Jeffrey Epstein <jeevacabccit§gmail.com>
To:
Tazia Smith
03/25/2014 09A2 AM
Subject:
Re: Biotech Sell-Off.... (I]
remind me tomorow remind
On Tue, Mar 25, 2014 at 7:30 AM, Tazia Smith <[email protected]> wrote:
Classification: For internal use only
Jeffrey -
Biotech posted sharp declines. You are up $970 282 across your basket of names as of yesterday's (3124)
close (detail below along with chart of Nasdaq Biotech Index and your holdings). Consider unwinding or
hedging now and watching for entry point via total return swap or zero cost risk reversal as this negative
momentum bottoms out. Note: Ariad an outlier (incrementally positive news on drug, Iclusig).
The Financial limes features an article this morning suggesting that the sell-off in Biotech is a signal of a
broader market peak.
A letter from congressional representatives to Gilead questioning its plans to sell a hepatitis C drug (named
Sovaldi) for $84,000 per dose has put the spotlight on Congress' concerns that the expense might saddle
state Medicaid programs with steep costs. US is the only major health-care market remaining without any
meaningful drug price controls -- increased risk for the sector once the Congress gets involved, especially if
focused primarily on pricing.
EFTA01193523
Description
Trade Date
Quantity
Last Prices. Unit Cost
Market Value
Unrealized G/L
SANGAMO BIOSCIENCES
05/28/2013
50,000.00
$
19.80
$
8.44
$
990,000.00
$
567,786.00
BIOGEN
02/14/2012
2,095.00
$ 312.60
$ 119.55
$
654,897.00
$
404,442.05
FOUNDATION MEDICINE
01/13/2014
25,000.00
$
36.40
$
27.51
910,000.00 $
222,336.50
GILEAD SCIENCES INC
2/5/14, 3/7/14
8,100.00
$
72.13
$
79.41
$
584,253.00
$
(58,951.00)
ARIAD PHARMACEUTICALS
2/14/12, 1/24/13
16,535.00
$
7.60
$
17.60
$
125,666.00
$ (165,331.40)
Total Blotec $3,264,816.00
$ 970,282.15
Nasdaq Biotech Index - 1yr Price History
NBI
( 2499.44 -77.77
i J
24 Mar
0 2587.92 f- 2587.92 L 2434.16
• 2499.44
NBI Index
99 Save As
99 Actions -'=47
911 Tr
—
Line CW't
03/25/2013
03/15/2014 Las: Pr:. !
al Compare
km,. A.os MIMM
uso
L
e
SM
VT:
11'
SY
Max
Daily •
+ Track
Security/Study
Ever:
0, Zoom
2800
.! Annotate
News
• Last Price
2499.44
T High on 02/25/14 2854.26
7A00
-- Average
2155.07
2499.44
I Low on 03/25/13 1619.16
2400
2200
2000
1800
1600
IY■ : sivlpAG
urtne(15) :23:3e4Am
0
Jun
Sep
2013
Dec
Mar
2014
Ariad - lyr Price History
EFTA01193524
ARIA US
Market
1/4-
4-4
K7.86 /7.88K
15x10
Prey 7.60
Vol 171 991
a
r
TSIV1gre
llillm•nctions -
97) Edit -
9)9 Table
Q L t e
g
:. Compare
te Av;5 =MIMI
:D
3D
1M
6/4
YE
lY . SY
Max
Daily •
if
ef. Security/Story
40. Track z Annotate el News O. Zoom
Last :'t
Line Chart
"Min
O
Volume
• Last Price
i
7.60
-4-20
T High on 09/10/13 22.52
-4- Average
12.8235
1 Low on 10/31/13
2.20
01 Event
4-15
10
y• Volume
0.172M
• SMAVG (15) 1L128M
Jun
Sep
Dec
Mar
2013
a
-100M
kairta..A....
2014
Biogen - lyr Price History
IBIIB US
Market
a
Prey 312.60
Vol 715
n
u
r 99 Save As
Last Price
ID
3D
124
tel
YTD
11,
-
Q314.75 /315.50Q
1x1
91 Actions
Line
SY
Max
Daly •
t• Track
Last Price
312.60
T High on 03/18/14 351.94
Average
250.467
/ Low on 03/25/13 176.22
Table
_ Compare
Mov.
Annotate
===
C
News O. Zoom
Line Chart
PI USD Pi
Volume
M E.vn
■ Volume
715
IIISetyGi(15)a 4.806M
Li
1
ji
iEIN" IL
Jun
2013
Sep
Dec
2014
Mar
0
350
312.60
300
250
200
5M
1.806M
GEEMI
Foundation Medical - 1yr Price History
EFTA01193525
US
$
Market
P35.25 /38.78K
1 x 1
Prev 36.40
Vol 543,200
951 Save As
OS Actions -
97) Edit -
99 Tome
vr—
IFI
Compare
SD 3D
MOM no
M'
SY
Mam
•
ZS•eirlty/Olaey
Z Annotate
News '-1 Zoom
Las: Price
Line Chart
■Event
I
. Last Price
36.40
T High on 03/13/14 43.62
•••• Average
30.1647
1 Low on 09/24/13 18.00
epE Volum
0543M
I-IIISMAVG (15) 0.265M
I PitialnarE.?
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
2013
I
2014
Mar
W0
O EIN
45
40
30
25
20
5M
0.543M
Gilead - 1yr Price History
GILD US
I
Market
'72.64/72.82K
1 x 1
Prey 72.13
V-1 29,340
GILD US
ui
03/25/2013
1D
3.
:
99 Save As
98 Actions
99 Edit -
9S Table
03/25/2014 Last Price
VT:
IV
5Y
1
• Last Price
72.13
T High on 02/25/14 83.95
-I-Average
64.4132
A Li-e
Max
Daily •
4. Track
.e_ AnnOtate. S News C Zooin
I Compare
WADY Av;s MEM=
1 Low on 03/25/13 44.98
lac
art
PI USD 1",
Volume
M E .
0
85
80
7S
iv
65
60
55
50
45
I. Volume
29340
kitimix415444.756M`
11
Jun
Sep
Lec
Vol
2013
?C14
Sangamo - 1yr Price History
EFTA01193526
SGMO US
K19.8.5 /21.40Q
2 2
19.80
)1 2 907.036
SGMO US
ui
03/25/2013
99 Save
0325/2014
sM
As
961Actions
-
!1 LT-
a
SY
Ma.
Daily V
Track ..t.Arswitate
Last Price
lY
• Last Price
19.80
T High on 03/19/14 23.86
Average
12.1209
I Low on 06/26/13 7.31
97) Edit -
91!) Table
___
C SecuntyiEtLe.,
7._ News O, Zoom
Volume
al Event "Mr
O
24.00
22.00
MIN
-18.00
-16.00
14.00
12.00
•10.00
•8.00
93.1 Volume
2.907M
L • SMAVG (15)
2.7488
i-10M
A CM
Jun
Sep
2013
Dec
2014
Mar
2.907)1
Healthcare sector has outperformed S&P500 last 4 years and has been the best-performing sector YTD
Improving R&D returns
Ongoing efficiency gains due to various 'self-help' measures
More supportive regulatory and payor environment
Increasing number of financings and IPOs in Q1
Frequent upward revisions lately to sales estimates at the largest biotechnology companies
Nasdaq Biotech Index (NBI) dropped 4.4% Friday
Sharpest decline since Oct-11
Triggered by a letter from congressional representatives to a biotech company Gilead Sciences,
questioning its plans to sell a hepatitis C drug (named Sovaldi) for $84,000 per dose
Gilead required to give briefing by 03-Apr
Sovaldi expected to generate >$4bn in sales this year
The drug's expense might saddle state Medicaid programs with steep costs
The whole sector is as risk
US is the only major health-care market remaining without any meaningful drug price controls
Risk for the whole sector once the Congress gets involved, especially if focused primarily on pricing
The biggest NBI firms sold-off significantly
EFTA01193527
1d chg (%) Index Wt (%)
BIOGEN IDEC INC
.8.2
7.9
AMGEN INC
-3.2
7.8
GILEAD SCIENCES INC
-4.6
7.0
REGENERON PHARMACEUTICALS
-5.4
6.9
CELGENE CORP
-3.7
6.5
ALEXION PHARMACEUTICALS INC
-8.0
4.6
ILLUMINA INC
-5.4
4.6
MYLAN INC
-0.9
4.3
VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS INC
-5.1
3.8
BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC
-5.9
2.5
Ways to hedge exposure to the US biotech sector
•
ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotech Fund (BIS US Equity): designed to be 2x short the NBI
•
Options on iSharesNasdaq Biotech ETF (IBB US Equity)
NBI — last 5 ears
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
N3I Incex (Nascaq Btotec"roIa;y I-dex)
Copyright! 2014 Bloomberg Finance
.
201
23-Mar-2014 14:35:20
NBI vs S&P500 — last 1 ear
Normalized As Of 03/23/2013
Hi: 57.370
NBI Index - SPX Index 38.8807
2C AAm\N"
n0-5107
Jun
2013
Sep
Mar
2014
20 •
NBI - last 1 year
EFTA01193528
Mar
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
2013
NU Index (Nasdaq Biotectrobagy Index) Daily MSEP2013-LWR2014
2900
2600
2700
2577.21
2500
2400
2300
2200
2100
2000
Feb
2014
Cosyrigit 2014 Bloomberg Finance LP.
23-mar-2014 14:35:S2
KCP Capital Markets
This e-mail may contain confidential and/or privileged information. If you
are not the intended recipient (or have received ttis e-mail I, error)
please notify the sender inmediately and destroy this e-mail. My
unauthorized copying. disclosure or distribution of the material in this
e-mail is strictly forbidden.
Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners - US
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue. 26th Floor
New York. NY 10154
Tel.
Fax
Erna
1:kg1401%40-PeelrbrOn.
This communication may contain confidential and/or privileged information.
If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this communication
in error) please notify the sender immediately and destroy this
communication. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the
material in this communication is strictly forbidden.
Deutsche Bank does not render legal or tax advice, and the information
contained in this communication should not be regarded as such.
EFTA01193529
#ilgi*#ilgi***Plgi##*Plgilg#*#ilgi*#ilgi***Plgi##*Plgilg#*#ilgi*#ilgi***Plgilg
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
Jeffrey Epstein
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to [email protected], and
destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
This communication may contain confidential and/or privileged information.
If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this communication
in error) please notify the sender immediately and destroy this
communication. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the
material in this communication is strictly forbidden.
Deutsche Bank does not render legal or tax advice, and the information
contained in this communication should not be regarded as such.
EFTA01193530
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