Case File
efta-efta01193516DOJ Data Set 9OtherFrom: Jeffrey Epstein [email protected]>
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Unknown
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DOJ Data Set 9
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efta-efta01193516
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From: Jeffrey Epstein [email protected]>
To: Tazia Smith
Subject: Re: Biotech Sell-Off.... [I]
Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2014 13:42:37 +0000
Inline-Images: unnamed; unnamed(1); unnamed(2); unnamed(3); unnamed(4); unnamed(5); unnamed(6);
unnamed(7); unnamed(8); unnamed(9); unnamed(10); unnamed(I I); unnamed(I2)
remind me tomorow remind
On Tue, Mar 25, 2014 at 7:30 AM, Tazia Smith wrote:
Classification: For internal use only
Jeffrey -
Biotech posted sharp declines. You are up $970,282 across your basket of names as of yesterday's (3/24)
dose (detail below along with chart of Nasdaq Biotech Index and your holdings). Consider unwinding or
hedging now and watching for entry point via total return swap or zero cost risk reversal as this negative
momentum bottoms out. Note: Ariad an outlier (incrementally positive news on drug, Iclusig).
The Financial Times features an article this morning suggesting that the sell-off in Biotech is a signal of a
broader market peak.
A letter from congressional representatives to Gilead questioning its plans to sell a hepatitis C drug (named
Sovaldi) for $84,000 per dose has put the spotlight on Congress' concerns that the expense might saddle
state Medicaid programs with steep costs. US is the only major health-care market remaining without any
meaningful drug price controls — increased risk for the sector once the Congress gets involved, especially if
focused primarily on pricing.
Description
Trade Date
Quantity
Last Price• Unit Cost
Market Value
Unrealized G/L
SANGAMO BIOSCIENCES
05/2W2013
50,000.00
S
19.80
5
8.44
$
990,000.00
$
567,786.00
BIOGEN
02/14/2012
2,095.00
S 312.60
$ 119.55
5
654,897.00
$
404,442.05
FOUNDATION MEDICINE
01/13/2014
25,000.00
$
36.40
$
27.51
910,000.00 $
222,336.50
GILEAD SCIENCES INC
2/5/14,3/7/14
8,100.00
$
72.13
$
79.41
$
584,253.00
$
(58,951.00)
ARIAD PHARMACEUTICALS
2/14/12,1/24/13
16,535.00
$
7.60
$
17.60
$
125,666.00
$ (165,331.40)
Total Biotec 93,264,816.00
9 970,282.15
Nasdaq Biotech Index - lyr Price History
EFTA01193516
ARIA US -'Lai
03/2512013
ID
30
INBI
C 2499.44 -77.77
On 24 Mar
C 2587.92 I- 2587.92 t 2434.16 Prey 2499.44
ActIonr• Wor97) Edit -
99 Ter"
>1:01‘ Last Pnce g
M
Th Campare
Ir ser isity. stey
ID
3C
1M 6M
YTD
lY
SY
Max
Daily •
•
+ Track " Annotate 2. News 0, Zoom
■ Last Price
2499.44
T- High on 02/25/14 2854.26
-. Average
2155.07
Low on 03/25/13'1619.16
Line Chart minim
Evert
0
.2800
.2600
GEE!
. 2400
.2200
0-2000
.1800
. 1600
T ■
: vs•i lume
;2(isi,86
2
32:°4; 14
II
Jun
Sep
Dec
Mar
2013
2014
.0
Ariad - lyr Price History
ARIA US
5
Market
.11
Prey 7.60
Vol 171,991
99 Save As
%Actions
Line
03/25/2014
6M
YT:
lY
Max
Da-ty •
+ Track z Annotate
7.86 7 .88 K
15>l0
Editr 98 Table
DI Comore
Mov A.
Min
a
C Securty/StuCy
!_t! News 0, Zoom
Line Chart
NEW
M Event
O
VoLore
T
ELast Price
7.60
4.20
T High on 09/10/13 22.52
.
Average
12.8235
I Low on 10/31/13 2.20
-15
El • Volume
0.172M
.10
-
Ania Likeirelibodowt
100M
SMAVG (1S) 11A28M
Jun
Sep
Mar
2013
2014
Biogen - lyr Price History
Last Price
EFTA01193517
IBII6 US
5
Market
`'--
'rev 312.60
Vol 715
_314.75 315.50_
1 x 1
r
Wal
93 Save—As
//WIti
Last Price
9Q Actions -
9)) Edit •
93 Table
▪
Lire
A
o Comore
'
Line Chart
"SM m Event
O
Volume
1:
.3:
1s,
IV
SY
Max
Daity •
•
It: Evc_• tt-C:
± Track i
Annciate Ut News
Zoom
L-• Last Price
312.60
L
T High on 03/18/14 351.94
-- Average
250.467
L 1 Low on 03/25/13 176.22 c• Volume
715
iz
stievG ,(15), Ll.$06M
Jun
Sep
Dec
Mar
2013
2014
350
250
200
5M
1.806K
Foundation Medical - lyr Price History
FMI US
$
Market
_
P35.25 /38.78K
1 x 1
Prey 36.40
Vol 543 200 irgrOgir msgrefinr g iThirrin5Tir
FMI US
ui
co/24/2on
ID
3D
03P.S/20
IM
OM
Y7D
Lam Price
It
Lines ri Line
19
_ Comore ,:.
=MIMI
Volume
"SD
SY
Max
Daily •
•
' Evarity/Staiy
Event
O
ArTiaCk
Mnotate
'News
-, Zoom
*45
Last Price
36.40
- T High on 03/13/14 43.62
--0- Average
30.1647
I Low on 09/24/13 18.00
NI Volume
0.54311
■ SMAVG (15) 0.26511
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
2013
I
2014
al
. 40
-30
0- 25
•20
. 511
Gilead - lyr Price History
EFTA01193518
GILD US
S
Market
Va."—
P72.64 /72.82K
1 x 1
SGMO US
ui
03/25/2013
1D
GILD US -iUi
33/33/II`la
11)
3D D4
Vol
Prey 72.13
29,340
99 Save As
919 Actions caiis,vae
dl
YID
Last Price
IV
SY
max
Calty 'Or
Line
PI
I
• Last Price
72.13
T High on 02/25/14 83.95
Average
64.4132
I Low on 03/25/13 44.98
97) Edit -
98 Tabtrer
Line Chart
Co—Pre
Min
11.[Er
l
a
te Secunty/Sorn
"I Event
VoIurne
Track
t
Annotate = News , Zoom
85
c•
■ Volume
29340
SM~~i81S)tji X4.756
Jun
Sep
2013
Dec
Mar
2014
80
7S
65
60
55
50
45
•
14.75611
Sangamo - lyr Price History
SGMO US
$ S Market
ti
K19.85 /21.40Q
2 x 2
Prey 19.80
Vol 2 907 036 n save xtliglifrAttltrflrV'—‘nreSPIIIIPIX7517r
^
L Compare
Mop. 4,:-
3D
1/I
Y- )
1Y
SY
Max
Daily • e Sectrity/St.dy
4. Track c Annotate = News O, Zoom
03/B/2014 Last Price
Line Chart m USD PI
Volume
I
-0-• Last Price
19.80
T High on 03/19/14 23.86
Average
12.1209
Low on 06/26/13 7.31
E:, • Volume
2.907M
L •
SMAVG (15) 2.74I3M i4owitama irlowiair.....bakaWill ilitiaramarairshowcakapa
s
adaliAl
Jun
Sep
2013
Dec
Mar
2014
0
24.00
22.00
Cl
18.00
16.00
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
10M
Healthcare sector has outperformed S&P500 last 4 years and has been the best-performing sector YTD
Improving R&D returns
Ongoing efficiency gains due to various 'self-help' measures
More supportive regulatory and payor environment
Increasing number of financings and IPOs in Q1
Frequent upward revisions lately to sales estimates at the largest biotechnology companies
Nasdaq Biotech Index (ISLB1)strstpped 4.4% Friday
EFTA01193519
Sharpest decline since Oct-11
•
Triggered by a letter from congressional representatives to a biotech company Gilead Sciences,
questioning its plans to sell a hepatitis C drug (named Sovaldi) for $84,000 per dose
Gilead required to give briefing by 03-Apr
Sovaldi expected to generate >$4bn in sales this year
The drug's expense might saddle state Medicaid programs with steep costs
The whole sector is as risk
US is the only major health-care market remaining without any meaningful drug price controls
Risk for the whole sector once the Congress gets involved, especially if focused primarily on pricing
The biggest NBI firms sold-off significantly
1d chg (%) Index Wt (%)
BIOGEN IDEC INC
-8.2
7.9
AMGEN INC
-3.2
7.8
GILEAD SCIENCES INC
-4.6
7.0
REGENERON PHARMACEUTICALS
-5.4
6.9
CELGENE CORP
-3.7
6.5
ALEXION PHARMACEUTICALS INC
-8.0
4.6
ILLUMINA INC
-5.4
4.6
MYLAN INC
-0.9
4.3
VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS INC
-5.1
3.8
BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC
-5.9
2.5
Ways to hedge exposure to the US biotech sector
•
ProShares UltraShort Nasdaq Biotech Fund (BIS US Equity): designed to be 2x short the NBI
•
Options on iSharesNasdaq Biotech ETF (IBB US Equity)
NBI — last 5 years
3000
2577.2_
2000
1500
1000
500
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
201•
NBI Index (Nasdaq Biotechnology Index)
CopyrightE 2014 Kocenberg Finance L.G.
23.4u-2014 14.35:20
NBI vs S&P500 — last 1 year
EFTA01193520
Normalized As Of 03/23/2013 m• NBI Index - SPX Index 38.8807
Hi: 57.370A
NBI — last 1 year
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
2013
PIBI Wei (Nasdaq Biotechnology Index) Daily 23W2013-21WA2014
Feb
Mar
2014
Oaprighl0 2014 Bloomberg Finance L.0.
2S77.21
2500
2400
2300
2200
2100
2000
23.iter-b314 14:35:52
KCP Capital Markets
This e-mail may contain conklential and/or privileged information. If you
are not the intended recipient (or have received this e-mail in arra)
please notify the sender immediately and destroy this e-mai. My
unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the material ki this
e-mail is strictly forbidden.
Tazia Smith
Director I Key dent Pa tiers - US
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue. 26th Floor
New York. NY 10154
Pereernit
(This communication may contain confidential and/or privileged information.
EFTA01193521
If you are not the intended recipient (or have received this communication
in error) please notify the sender immediately and destroy this
communication. Any unauthorized copying, disclosure or distribution of the
material in this communication is strictly forbidden.
Deutsche Bank does not render legal or tax advice, and the information
contained in this communication should not be regarded as such.
The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for the use of the addressee. It is the property of
Jeffrey Epstein
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this communication in error, please notify us immediately by
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation®gmail.com, and destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
EFTA01193522
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