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EFTA Document EFTA01385362Case File
efta-efta01385362DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01385362
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3 January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media, Cable & Satellite
Higher Yield for Higher Leverage
Boyd Gaming We continue to expect Boyd will be able to generate significant
free cash flow which will allow the company to reach its target leverage goal
(between 4.0x and 5.0x) in 2018. At this juncture, we are maintaining our Buy
rating on Boyd 6.375% Senior Unsecured Notes 2026 ($108.4, 4.5% YEW,
234bps STW).
For 2017, we are projecting Boyd Gaming will generate Adjusted EBITDA of
$596 million (+110/0 versus $536 million) on revenues of $2.37 billion (+8.5%
versus $2.18 billion). Of importance, our projection includes the incremental
contribution from Aliante and Cannery. Factoring capital expenditures of $245
million, cash interest of $165 million, cash taxes of $6 million, dividends of $11
million, $1 million towards acquisitions, $22 million of share repurchases and
$36 million from a tax settlement related to Borgata, we project free cash flow
of $182 million in 2017. Using our projected total debt of $3.08 billion and cash
interest of S165 million, we estimate Boyd Gaming will end the year with
leverage of 5.2x and coverage of 3.6x. Factoring consolidated cash of $159
million, we estimate net leverage at 4.9x.
For 2018, we are projecting Boyd Gaming will generate Adjusted EBITDA of
$628 million (+5.5% versus 5596 million) on revenues of $2.41 billion (+1.5%
versus $2.37 billion). Factoring capital expenditures of $110 million, cash
interest of S150 million, cash taxes of S5 million, dividends of $22 million,
share repurchases of $70 million, and $35 million from dispositions, we
project free cash flow of $306 million in 2018. Using our projected total debt of
$2.77 billion and cash interest of $150 million, we estimate Boyd Gaming will
end the year with leverage of 4.4x and coverage of 4.2x. Factoring
consolidated cash of $159 million, we estimate net leverage at 4.2x.
Exhibit I: Boyd Gaming ($Millions)
2015 CA)
2018(A)
LTM
2017(E)
2018(E)
Consolidated BUDA
$527
3536
$568
$696
$828
Loss. Capital Expenditures
131
160
239
245
110
Less: Cash interest
178
197
160
165
150
Lass: Cash taxes
II)
34
7
6
5
Less: Acquisitions
0
593
222
1
0
Less: Drvidends
0
0
6
11
22
Less: Share Repurchase
0
0
22
22
70
Plus: Tax Settlement
0
0
36
36
0
Plus: Dispositions
0
594
0
0
35
Fres Pt Flaw
$219
$148
($341
$182
5900
Total Debt
$3,322
$3,283
$3,118
$3,079
$2,773
Cash
159
194
159
159
159
Lamm.
0.3x
0.1x
5.3x
5.2x
4.41
Net leverage
8.0x
5.13x
5.0x
4.9x
4.
Carew*
3.0x
2.7x
3.7x
3.0x
4.2
sex.ece Convwv /40/714x1 0. 0114w 6411
Downside risks to our call include a deterioration of industry fundamentals and
incremental competitive pressure in the Midwest & South regions.
Eldorado liesoi is Going forward the primary focus for ERI is the completion
of the Isle of Capri integration, which had a solid start as depicted by O3'17
results. Further, this momentum continued into October 2017 as per
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Page 87
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0086646
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00232830
EFTA01385362
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