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EFTA Document EFTA01385365Case File
efta-efta01385365DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01385365
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3 January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media. Cable & Satellite
flow of $251 million in 2018. Using our projected total debt of $4.36 billion, we
estimate Golden Nugget will end the year with leverage of 7.4x. Factoring
consolidated cash of $167 million, we estimate net leverage at 7.2x.
For 2018, we are projecting Golden Nugget will generate Adjusted EBITDA of
$640 million (+9.5% versus S585 million) on revenues of $3.48 billion (+3.5%
versus $3.37 billion). Factoring capital expenditures of $135 million, cash
interest of $250 million and cash taxes of $25 million, we project free cash
flow of $230 million in 2018. Using our projected total debt of $4.13 billion and
cash interest of $250 million, we estimate Golden Nugget will end the year
with leverage of 6.4x and coverage of 2.6x. Factoring consolidated cash of
$167 million, we estimate net leverage at 6.2x.
lEXhibit 4: Golden Nugget ($
2015 (A)
2018 (A)
LTA
2017(E)
2018 (5)
Lake Charles
567
$82
$100
$103
$115
Biloxi
30
25
25
25
26
Downtown
61
70
79
82
86
Laughlin
11
12
II
12
13
Atlantic City
21
24
27
79
24
Restaurants
348
347
336
335
375
AQUAS EBITDA
$637
$668
$678
5685
$840
Loss: Capital Expenditures
251
151
125
103
135
Less: Cash interest
162
168
250
245
250
Less: Cash taxes
8
13
25
15
25
Free Cash Flow
$118
$227
$178
$143
$230
Total Debt
54.356
54.356
54.126
Cash
65
167
167
Leverage
7.6x
7Ax
6.4x
Net Loam,
7.4x
7.2x
6.2x
Coverage
2.3x
2.4x
2.13x
Co.ne Cornowy ' ,*v$ n/Delglaw Sn
Downside risks include increases in promotional activity in Golden Nugget's
markets, the legalization of gaming in Texas, and a significant decline in the
price of oil, which could have a negative impact on Texas and Louisiana.
Moilv9en Garealy.
We continue to expect Mohegan Gaming to further
improve its balance sheet in preparation for the fierce competition that it will
face from Resorts World Catskills, MGM Springfield and Wynn Boston Harbor.
Further, we believe that the exposure by the company to South Korea is limited.
as the $200 million investment has already been funded and some of the cash
still sits on the balance sheet as restricted cash (-$148 million as of 04'17). On
November 21. the company indicated the opening of their South Korean casino
has been delayed again to late 2020 or early 2021.
With this report, we are reaffirming our Buy rating on the MOHEGN 7.875%
Senior Unsecured Notes 2024 ($103.2, 7.1% YTW, 491bps STVV), given our
belief that these notes are attractive to investors, particularly those willing to
tolerate higher risk in exchange for a higher yield.
For FY'18, we are projecting Mohegan will generate Adjusted EBITDA of $375
million (+7.5% versus $349 million) on revenues of $1.39 billion (+0.5% versus
$1.38 billion). Factoring capital expenditures of $194 million, cash interest of
Page 90
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0086649
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00232833
EFTA01385365
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