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EFTA Document EFTA01385382Case File
efta-efta01385382DOJ Data Set 10CorrespondenceEFTA Document EFTA01385382
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3 January 2018
HY Corporate Credit
HY Multi Sector.Media. Cable & Satellite
Healthcare Outlook
Miles Hi hsmith
HY Sector YTW and Returns versus the Broader HY Market
YTW and Returns
According to DB indices, at the time of this writing the HY Healthcare Index
YTW was 6.55% versus the broader HY market YTW of 5.75%, reflecting a
discount of 80 bps. The YID return for HY Healthcare bonds was 8%, and this
compares to a total return of 7% for the HY Healthcare Index. Over time we
have generally seen Healthcare outperform (and trade tight to the overall HY
index) in times of broader uncertainty and/or market weakness. In more robust
HY markets we generally see that Healthcare tends to lag (and trade wider
than) the overall Index. We believe in recent years there have been some
incrementally riskier structures that have come into the HY Healthcare market.
And we further believe that weakness in various healthcare sub-sectors (i.e.
hospitals) and specific names (i.e. Community Health) have helped contribute
to the current discount in the HY Healthcare YTW relative to the overall HY
index YTW. Figures 1 and 2 illustrate the HY Healthcare YTW versus the overall
HY index YTW over a 10-year period and a 5-year period, respectively. Figure 3
also shows total return between the two since 2010.
Figure I: YTW HY Healthcare vs. HY €ndex ( I 0Y)
20.00%
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YTW HY Healthcare vs. HY Index (10Y)
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DB HY HC Index
-DB
HY Index
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Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Page 107
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
DB-SDNY-0086666
CONFIDENTIAL
SDNY_GM_00232850
EFTA01385382
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